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Volatility Index

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Time Makes Fools Of Us All...This statement is especially true if you look at the leftover Chinese food in my refridgerator. Looking to go long around 08/14 to 08/16 - it may fill that open gap below at $14.15 before it resumes it's moon journey. Eyeballing the 09/20 $14.50 to $15 calls - depending where we are at on the aforementioned days. Remember 08/16 is FOMC. Really no clear signal at the moment and I am not trusting this market right now. Just like how I do not trust eating that Kung Pow chicken in my fridge. GLTA
TVC:VIXLong
by sonidofranko
Until the VIX breaks this level, it remains range-boundA quick look at our VIX chart shows us that we are range-bound since June. Exactly, as I expected and have stated numerous times in past posts. But now, with the U.S. credit rating downgrade, fear has spiked. Will we break this range and move up? We could, yes. But to do so, we need the VIX to move above that 15.94 level with confirmation. As of today, the VIX can still be technically classified as range-bound at all time 2-year lows. Of course, when the VIX remains low, the market will remain relatively positive. This is bullish. Stay tuned for further updates here. Stew
TVC:VIX
by stewdamus
VIX - THE RECESSION INEVITABLE?The "VIX = Volatility Index S&P500" has predicted us in the last 3 decades, quite reliable possible "extreme movements". = Why in the next 2-years such an event could occur, we will take a closer look in the following article. WHAT IS THE VOLATILITY INDEX S&P500 = Expresses the expected range of fluctuation of the U.S. stock index S&P 500. = To determine volatility, it measures the distribution of options that run on these stocks. TABLE OF CONTENTS - 1st part = VIX - 2nd part = VIX PROPERTIES + USE - 3rd part = CURRENT SITUATION - 4th part = CONCLUSION PART ONE "PAST." If you compare the past of the "VIX" with the S&P500, you will notice that the - 36.47 - mark played / continues to play a very important role. Every time the "VIX" exceeded the - 36.47 -, there was extreme volatility in the S&P500 and other asset classes. PAST EXTREME MOVEMENTS . > 01.10.1998 > 01.10.2008 > 03/02/2020 (near crash) Why the VIX has such a big impact on the S&P500 and how we can actively factor this into our trading follows in part two. PART TWO "VIX CHARACTERISTICS" The "VIX" provides information on how serious fluctuations could be based on the option volume. = "VIX" goes up -> Statistically more likely that the S&P500 will fall. = "VIX" goes down -> Probably that the S&P500 gains slightly. Additionally, it can be noted that as soon as the "VIX" gets close to - 36.47 - many market participants take profits. WHY IS THIS SO? The market has already reached a "VERY VOLATILE point". > Price - FALLS - fast = SHORT positions will take profits > BUY > Price - RISES - fast = LONG positions will take profits > SELL CONSIDERATION OF "VIX" IN TRADING? "VIX" = Negative correlation to the S&P500 = "VIX" goes up = S&P500 goes down. = This negative correlation occurs because institutional investors use options to hedge against high volatility (hedge against stocks). RISING "VIX" = less liquidity in the stock markets + position reduction = stocks fall FALLING "VIX" = More liquidity in the equity markets + position building = equities rise PART THREE "CURRENT SITUATION" > The "CORONA crash" could not make a new HH in the "VIX", which is why this could still be pending at the current view. = 2020 the market "fell" "35.41%" in the SPX = 2008 the market "fell" "57.69%" in the SPX With the technical analysis, I come with the current constellation, to a higher "VIX" value than the 2008 reached. = which would mean a bigger sell-off. > Since 2018, we have been testing a "falling resistance line." = Similar resistance lines resulted in the past when broken, with significant volatility + movement in the S&P500 (= traditional markets). = The current resistance line has been respected several times, resulting in reactions. > The "rising resistance line" since 1990 + "the arc" + "the macroeconomic environment", suggest another "VIX" breakout . > The rising resistance line was tested at the two "extremes" - 01.10.1998 + 01.10.2008 - on. = this meant, both times, the temporary end of the extreme volatility = in 2020 we could not reach it, which additionally suggests another "breakout". > If the price trend continues to consider the direction of the arc, then this leads us to a much higher target than 2008 / ever before. PART FOUR CONCLUSION "If the VIX is high, then it's time to buy, if the VIX is slow, it's time to go" > Regardless of the outcome of the analysis, anyone who hasn't used the VIX before should now have gained a little insight. The future looks anything but bright for now, however we can use this time to learn and grow . The VIX could delay the final decision for another 2-years, which is certainly to the advantage of each of us. = Despite this still "long" period of time, a decision will be made in the future. > Let's discuss it in the comments and exchange our perspectives, your view on the whole thing would interest me "burning". If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would greatly appreciate a review of it. Thank you and happy trading!
TVC:VIXLong
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
12
VIX Massive Long! BUY! My dear subscribers , VIX looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The instrument tests an important psychological level 13.48 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 14.01 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
VLong
by AnabelSignals
3