VIX trade ideas
S&P500 / VIX - Black Swan Incoming? 🔮Taking a look at the SP500 Daily with our US Equity Gaps indicator, next to the VIX Weekly.
Looking back to the start of 2022, we can see a series of "controlled" selling, on our grind from the 4700s, down to 3500-3600.📉
Compare that to the VIX, we can see the stock market has yet to experience a true black swan. See the 2020 mega spike in the VIX.
Whether it's due to geopolitical tensions, financial data, etc., we'll see. But you can almost feel that the market is teetering on a knife's edge. Or at least that's how we feel! 😬
Throw these against the Equity Gaps indicator, and it shows we have plenty to fill to the downside.🤯
Who knows. Maybe we're just being cynical. However, we feel there's a 10-30% downside vs a smaller 1-5% upside.
If that's the case, we're happy to be sitting on our hands for the time being.
-TucciNomics
Chief Overlord, AlgoBuddy
Vix is going to explodeI’m short by other means, not uvxy, but I don’t think this market is up here much longer lol.
Vix is going through price compression, positive divergences, and an inside bar formed on daily after support from the 200 week ma. The symmetrical triangle pattern is coming to an end, and the market is going to get ripped to shreds. I’ll make a prediction and say in 3 months the vix is over 45
$VIX $PCC $DXY - All telling the same storyThe Macromarket is telling the same story overlapping on the same chart. More puts to calls, higher DXY, and Higher VIX. Likely a near-term top given the number of amateur investors seeing this same reality, but the trend will likely continue until something big breaks and the system bottoms and a new market cycle starts.
New pattern on the VIXNew interesting pattern on the VIX, it's rolling upward instead of a sharp incline. VIX is oversold now and may enter the Panic level zone on December 28 2022 thru June 15 2023 and the Bear market may be over starting around April 25 2024 based on the current curve but who knows it's just an observation.
VixOversold on the hourly, which could lead to a pop here.
RSI showing bullish divergence
CCI oversold -100..
Could see a pop to 23.88-24 where it could fizzle out. If we breakover 24 that would lead to a double bottom to 26.50.
At 26.50 is the 200sma daily.. I don't think we break back over this without an overall market reversal
Vix - 30 min - 26.5 to 26.7 are levels to watchPost FOMC sell off has seen vix declining - very counter intuitive. I am expecting this to reverse soon
Significant resistance around 26.5 -26.7, and declining with time and down move.
If we start trading above highlighted resistance zones - vix bears will run for cover
Somewhere around 24.5 will be a good place to try longs
vix shortvix,, short.. after long time holding the postion.. shorting after staying in the trend.. exit..
2008 VIX and SPY bar patterns Everyone has been watching this, so I figured I'd save a chart of it. See how it plays out. History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes!
VIX - Don't loose your euphoria yetThis is my long awaited confluence area - The price has reached weekly 200 ema (fakeout) but I expect it to hold this position and start getting bullish (bearish for stocks).
This is it, we are before the final round. Unless some fundamentals pivot away the sentiment - but we should be headed for new highs on this one.
VIX closing on target. DJI in trouble? SPX lil more steam?🚨🚨🚨$INDU🚨🚨🚨
We gap open & sell off with volume, party OVER for $DJI
(shorting if we gap up)
Serious RSI negative divergence
This happens $VIX fills gap & reverses
This means $SPX gets close enough to down trend
#stocks time for lil cool down, till December?
The moment we've all been waiting forChart says it all.
If you follow VIX - you'll know all about this.
May the VIX be with you through the imminent fear capitulation event to mark an end to the bear market.
VIX is still getting ready for its prime timeI like how VIX is coiling, when it goes it will hit 65 area conservatively
I have started some Apr 35 2023 calls today
VIX - Quick Updated after CPINothing has changed ! The lower stronger trendline was taken into account . I don't expect it to be crossed, therefore I stick to the same initial plan.
As to me - we touched bottom. No more ups this year.
$VIX hits 2nd target we called, can it fill the gap?$VIX hits 1st target & likely bounce & then fill gap down
$DXY almost hit 1st target but hit this one PERFECTLY & almost to the day!
Not sure if 3rd target can be hit
$TNX falling hard on possible #FED pivot soon
All fits narrative we pointed out early Oct
#stocks
Vix gap closeHovering right below trendline support..
Like I said in my last post, if it couldn't break over 200sma it would break below..
Now I believe that the vix will head lower to close gap around 20.
DXY and 10yr all broke supports today
VIX - The recent high to be taken out soonThe volatility index, VIX, has spiked again, with the market marking new lows for the year. With these grim developments, we continue to be bullish on the index and expect it to reach our short-term price target of 35 USD soon. As if it was not enough, we expect VIX to continue higher over time. Therefore, we want to set a medium-term price target for VIX at 37 USD. Our preceding articles are attached to this idea.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
VIX - what is that ?!...Oh It's just a prediction playing out.
Yeah so just updating you on this one - we are bouncing from the broken curve now - I still expect some consolidation - but that bounce is already showing great support at these levels - VIX is bottoming before the plunge of stocks.
VIX - update !Just a commentary every x days as always - VIX is consolidating in this area creating strong support and allowing stocks to breath a bit before the final blow.
Not expecting big dips here - a retest of bottom curve at best. Then a bounce to the upside. Hold on tight, we are about 1 month away from the worst.
VIX: time for some long vol?A price action above 23.95 supports a bullish trend direction.
Crossing below this level will negate the bullish trend and acts as a stop-loss.
Further bullish trend support above 25.25.
Crossing above 26.35 will support the price action to reach 28.70, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Crossing below 24.75 will be the first sign of pending bearishness.
VIX a telling… the first hintDespite the recent bear rally and the optimism that has built up, the VIX has been giving heads up that we broke seasonal cycle and is likely to be gearing up for another bout of volatility. Using the daily VIX chart and the TD Sequential Setups, it can be see that the major VIX trend is still Bullish. The recent drop in volatility appears to be a retracement, deeper and overdone. Now, all it needs is a TD Flip and the primary (bullish) trend takes off.
Crossing and closing above 27 would be indicative, and closing above 28 would be confirmative.
So watch the VIX… appears to be about to spike.
$VIX getting to our target level$VIX is SLOWLY getting to our target level
It MAY bounce around high 22's but don't be shocked if it fills the gap before it bounces
#VIX is SEVERELY oversold
$SPX looks ok & may keep pushing
Can this do 300 points?1
$NDX forming higher low?
#stocks setting up for more rally?
