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GOLD trade ideas

The gold weekly line is about to close and the short position coThe downward trend remains unchanged! At the same time, after the current decline in gold, traders who have positions above should pay attention that the early morning rebound cannot exceed the stage pressure of 3292-3300. The larger the rebound, the weaker the downward momentum. After a continuous decline, the 3260 position can be seen below. After breaking, the 3230 point needs to be paid special attention to below. This is the golden section position of 50% retracement since the rise from 2956 to 3500 in this round. It is also a multiple resonance area in the trading concentration area. After reaching this point, traders who hold short positions should consider being more cautious.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
XAUUSD - Will Gold Reverse?!Gold is trading between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 15-minute timeframe and is on its uptrend line. A continued bullish move towards the supply zone will provide us with the next opportunity to sell it with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a range of $10-$15. Gold prices dropped by 4% on Wednesday, just a day after reaching an all-time high. The decline followed remarks by President Trump that helped ease Wall Street’s concerns about the ongoing trade war with China and tensions between the White House and the Federal Reserve. Throughout this year, gold has seen a substantial rise due to investor fears over the economic consequences of tariffs. Additionally, the metal has benefited from capital fleeing U.S. assets amid political uncertainty under the Trump administration. On Tuesday, Trump reassured markets by stating that he had no intention of removing Jerome Powell as Fed Chair and expressed his expectation that tariffs on Chinese goods would soon be lowered. Trump’s statements supporting Federal Reserve independence and hinting at easing trade tensions with China reignited risk appetite in financial markets, causing gold prices to tumble on Wednesday.Just a day earlier, prices had hit a record high above $3,500, as investors speculated that Trump might attempt to remove Powell. Trump had previously criticized Powell for not cutting interest rates and for warning that tariffs could lead to higher consumer prices. Gold’s price surge this year has been especially notable following Trump’s decision to halt the implementation of sweeping new tariffs initially announced in early April. Gold, as a safe-haven asset not tied to any single national economy—unlike traditional alternatives such as the U.S. dollar or Treasuries, which are subject to U.S. government influence—has become increasingly attractive to investors wary of Trump’s policy decisions. Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that continued tariff escalation in 2025 could push global public debt to 95.1% of GDP—an increase of 2.8 percentage points from previous forecasts. According to the IMF’s latest “Fiscal Monitor” report, if revenues and output fall significantly below expectations due to tariff-induced pressures, global debt could surpass 117% of GDP by 2027. Investment bank JPMorgan has projected that gold prices could exceed $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026. This forecast is based on expectations of an economic recession, a prolonged trade war, and sustained demand from central banks. However, JPMorgan also cautioned that a sudden drop in central bank demand could threaten this bullish trend. The IMF’s report further estimates that global public debt will climb to 99.6% of GDP by 2030, exceeding even the pandemic-era peak. The IMF has forecasted global economic growth at around 2.8% for 2025. In this scenario, the U.S. budget deficit is projected to decrease from 7.3% of GDP in 2024 to 6.5% in 2025, and further down to 5.5% in 2026, largely due to increased tariff revenues and continued economic expansion. These IMF projections for the U.S. deficit are based on policies announced up until April 2, 2025, and assume that the individual tax cuts enacted in 2017 will expire at the end of this year.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart appears to show a potential bullish reversal pattern in the gold market (CFDs on Gold, 30-minute timeframe). Here's a quick breakdown: Descending Channel: The green trendlines outline a downward channel, indicating a previous bearish trend. Bullish Breakout: The price action seems to be breaking out of the descending channel, possibly forming a reversal. Entry Zone: The green arrow and horizontal support suggest an expected bounce or entry zone. Stop Loss: Placed just below the support level to manage risk. Take Profit Zones: Two targets are marked — a conservative target around the mid-channel level and a more aggressive target near previous highs. This setup anticipates a pullback to support before a strong upward move. Do you want help analyzing the validity of this setup or discussing potential trading strategies around it?
TVC:GOLDLong
by money_magnet2
The gold shorts aren’t over yet The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold forms a death cross downward, then there is still room for gold to go down in the 1-hour period. Gold has been under pressure from the 3340 resistance line for many times in the US market and has fallen. Gold has hit a new low again in the US market, falling to the 3260 line. The lows of gold continue to hit new lows, so the gold short position has not ended yet. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average of gold has moved down to around 3366. Gold continues to be shorted at highs below 3366.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fortune-signal
XAUUSD Today's strategyThere has been a remarkable negative correlation between DXY and gold prices for a long time. Although this internal logic is short-term disturbed by multiple complex factors, the core correlation has always dominated the market rhythm. Recently, the joint remarks by the U.S. Treasury Secretary and Trump on easing tariff issues may boost the U.S. dollar emotionally in the short term, thereby suppressing the bullish momentum of gold. However, this impact needs to be examined within the macro framework. Currently, the high uncertainty of the global economy, the intermittent escalation of geopolitical risks, and the reconstruction of inflation expectations in some economies jointly form a long-term supporting logic for the safe-haven attribute of gold. From a trading perspective, the above-mentioned short-term disturbances instead provide a window for strategic allocation — Long-term investors who have not yet positioned or exited midway can take the opportunity of market sentiment fluctuations to build positions in batches, with key attention paid to the test opportunities of the critical support range of $3,250-$3,280。 Short-term traders need to strengthen discipline and strictly follow the established stop-loss and take-profit rules. Given the amplified volatility and enhanced randomness of the current market, it is recommended to appropriately shorten the operation cycle and closely track the intraday dynamics to adjust strategies. Overall, the marginal changes in tariff policy expectations only constitute small-level fluctuations in the trend process, and the medium-to-long-term upward logic of gold remains undamaged. Investors can grasp structural opportunities under the premise of controlling positions according to their own risk preferences. XAUUSD buy@3250-3280 tp:3300-3340 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by H_C_12
Gold price up or down?Gold has been fluctuating at the bottom in recent days. The large range is obviously 3260-3370, and the small range changes every day. On Tuesday, it was 3352-3300. The overall trend was first falling and then rising, but the decline was stronger than the rise. For the time being, gold is still weak. On the upside, pay attention to the break of 3370. If 3370 breaks, look at 3420-3500. The operation idea remains unchanged. Today, we still look for low points to go long. The support below the small cycle is around 3300-3280. These two supports are necessary points for going long today.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KittyBaldwin
4/29 Gold Trading SignalsThe buy orders initiated around 3273 yesterday have already delivered solid profits. After a slight rally at today’s opening, gold prices have pulled back. Currently, the candlestick formation shows no clear directional trend, while some short-term technical indicators are pointing downward. Before any corrective signals appear, we need to closely watch the support near 3306. As long as this level holds, the short-term bullish momentum still has a chance to continue. On the news side, today's scheduled data releases are of minor impact. Focus instead on developments regarding the India-Pakistan situation and US Treasury Secretary Bessent’s press conference. If geopolitical tensions escalate, gold may break out to new highs. 🔹 Today's Trading Strategy: Sell within 3407-3428 zone Buy within 3258-3223 zone Flexibly trade between 3346-3313 / 3378-3336 / 3273-3316 zones Please manage your positions carefully and stay alert for unexpected market moves.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold is trying to break through the upward channelGold started the new week on a bad note, hitting a low of 3260 in the morning, followed by a small shock adjustment; then it began to rise sharply. As of press time, it has risen to around 3350 and tried to break through the upward resistance. Although some of gold's safe-haven appeal has weakened, its overall forecast and price trend remain optimistic. Until we see clear lower highs, lower lows, and a solid trade agreement rather than more political bragging from the Trump administration, the possibility of gold setting new highs cannot be underestimated. Surface calm hides potential risks Although last week's market movements and today's early trading performance show that the market is calming down, any sense of security is fragile. Under the surface, key risks remain: trade tensions, recession concerns, and uncertainty about monetary policy are real. Ongoing trade negotiations remain a key factor. If the United States sticks to its position on tariffs or the negotiations break down, risk aversion may quickly pick up, boosting demand for gold again. Quaid's analysis: Based on last week's market situation, Quaid conducted an analysis of gold's trend this week over the weekend. As I predicted, gold is trying to break through and try a new high. Gold has risen to around 3350, and 3365 is a key resistance level in the upward trend. If the gold price breaks through this position and can maintain horizontal development, it will continue to rise in a stable situation. From the upside, the initial resistance level is $3365, followed by $3430. If the bullish momentum is restored, it may soon hit the historical high of $3500 again. On the contrary, if the price fails to break through the 3365 resistance level, Quaid believes that it is necessary to pay attention to the key support at the 3285 position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
XAUUSD Bearish - SELLMarket Overview Asset: Gold (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 1H Current Trend: Downtrend Market Context: Fundamental Drivers: Gold faces downward pressure due to a strengthening US Dollar, driven by the Fed’s hawkish outlook on April 28, 2025, with no anticipated rate cuts in Q2 2025. Rising US 10-year Treasury yields (near 4.6%) are reducing demand for non-yielding assets like Gold. Recent Price Action: Gold rallied to the $2,450–$2,460 zone but was rejected, forming a lower high after failing to break above the 50-period EMA, consistent with a broader downtrend from the March 2025 high ($2,500). Sentiment: Bearish sentiment prevails, with risk-on markets (e.g., S&P 500 gains) diminishing Gold’s safe-haven appeal.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by learnFX
It is only a matter of time before the price breaks below $3,300From a daily chart analysis, gold showed a strong upward momentum during Tuesday's session, once hitting the key level of $3,500, before quickly retreating under overhead pressure and eventually closing with a bearish candle. This pullback after a sharp rally highlights significant selling pressure near the $3,500 level, where bullish momentum was fiercely resisted by bears at high prices. The bearish trend continued on Wednesday, with gold closing lower again to form a two-consecutive-day bearish candlestick pattern. This consecutive decline further confirms that bears have taken short-term dominance, with bearish forces gradually gaining the upper hand. Notably, the price action has a clear dividing line: the $3,317 level serves as the bull-bear watershed. A valid break below this level is likely to sustain the downward trend. Based on the current momentum, a decline below $3,300 appears only a matter of time, further reinforcing the short-term bearish sentiment. XAUUSD sell@3325-3335 tp:3300-3280 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by H_C_12
Gold – How Important Could the Fibonacci Support Levels Be?Even by recent standards, the price action seen in Gold this week so far has been extreme. For those that may not have seen it all, here we go. Gold opened at 3331 on Monday, traded to a new all time high of 3500 on Tuesday, then dropped all the way back down to 3260 on Wednesday before recovering again to current levels around 3330. A round trip of circa 14%. The drivers appear to be comments from President Trump and US Treasury Secretary Bessant. With President Trump seeming to challenging the independence of the Federal Reserve at the start of the week (Gold higher) and then pulling back from his most outspoken criticism on Wednesday (Gold lower). Alongside President Trump and Secretary Bessant both commenting on the potential for a de-escalation of the trade war with China on Wednesday (Gold lower), but then suggesting it may take some time to agree (Gold higher). All of this at the same time that a potential US brokered peace detail between Ukraine and Russia may be moving a step closer to becoming a reality and you can possibly see why Gold prices have moved so much. Right now, as traders take a pause for breath, its may be a good time to consider the charts and identify some potential support and resistance levels that may come into play into the Friday close. Technical Update: 3292 Fibonacci 38.2% Support in Focus Let’s be honest here, when a market is accelerating higher into new all-time high ground, as an almost ‘panic’ rush to get long of an asset is seen, it is very difficult to establish upside resistance levels that may or may not be able to hold the advance, let alone reverse it. As technical analysts, we can only really focus on 2 things in such a condition, psychological round numbers and Fibonacci extension levels. Therefore, it’s interesting where the recent acceleration higher in Gold stalled this week, at 3500. Obviously, this is a round number that may have drawn traders’ interest from a psychological perspective, but this also represented a test of 3468, which is equal to the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th 2024 sell-off. With weakness developing from 3500, this extension level held on a closing basis, from which further declines have materialised. So, we might suggest after the recent weakness in Gold prices, that an upside resistance area has now been established between 3468/3500. If that is the case, what might the support levels be for us to monitor to gauge if current weakness has further to carry of not? Potential Support Levels: The latest phase of price strength in Gold was seen between April 7th to April 22nd 2025, and calculating Fibonacci retracement on this price strength, may highlight some interesting support levels. The latest downside move has tested, and is so far being held by support at 3292, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest strength. Traders may now be watching how this level performs on a closing basis, as confirmed breaks lower might see a more extended phase of price weakness emerge. Much will of course depend on future market sentiment and price trends, but closing breaks below 3292 could suggest further declines to 3228, the 50% level, possibly even 3165, which is the deeper 62% retracement. Potential Resistance Levels: As we have already said, the latest price activity may well be suggesting the 3468/3500 range is an area that may prove to be a resistance focus. However, if the 3292 retracement support continues to hold, focus could then be on 3380, as a possible lower resistance level. This is equal to half of the latest declines, with closing upside breaks of this resistance possibly suggesting positive themes are re-emerging, which could lead to further pressure being placed on the important 3468/3500 resistance range. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
Topping Out or Temporary Pullback?Market Analysis (Daily Chart View): The Daily chart indicates that price has declined after reaching a record all-time high and reacting from the upper boundary of an Ascending Broadening Wedge. Both the Weekly and Monthly charts remain in extreme overbought conditions, suggesting caution. Additionally, the upward trend across all three timeframes—Monthly, Weekly, and Daily—is unusually steep and unsustainable. Such steep trends often lead to parabolic spikes, typically seen near the end of a trend, which is evident from the long wicks on the recent Weekly and Monthly candles. Based on the structure of the Ascending Broadening Wedge, the projected price target is 2565.00.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SpicyPips
Believe me, gold cannot fall all the way down Gold prices fluctuated this week, hitting a record high of $3,500/ounce, then encountered resistance and fell to $3,300/ounce. The main reason for the record high in gold prices was that after US President Trump verbally attacked Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, the market was worried that the Federal Reserve would lose its independence. But after Trump and Bessant's remarks, market risk appetite rebounded, hitting safe-haven asset gold, and then plummeted all the way! Is gold going to fall after a sharp retracement? In fact, the market has a warning for today's retracement. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so there must be a continuation in the trend of gold. Moreover, after yesterday's gold rose to 3,500, the trend weakened, and the market fell all the way to break the 3,400 mark and the 3,300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3,290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive, the market ushered in the suppression of the market retracement, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation! In my opinion, the key entry point for long orders today is the previous rising point of 3280. The short-term retracement of gold is obviously continuing, and in the medium and long term, gold is still bullish. So our entry point is actually relatively simple. When it retreats to 3280, we can directly enter the market. There are still many opportunities for long orders. The retracement is not the peak! Gold: 3280 more, defense 10, target 3330-45! Join me and I will guide you to a profitable trade 💵!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Yuliya1l11