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Gold 4H – Compression Builds | Key Zones in FocusGold is consolidating beneath descending trendline resistance, compressing within a defined structure on the 4H chart. As volatility tightens, price is approaching a critical decision point. This post outlines the key actionable zones, ranked by risk, and highlights the stop-loss levels to manage exposure. Technical Analysis: Price action remains trapped within a descending triangle, marked by lower highs and flat support. Buyers have shown interest around the $3,313–$3,283 range, while broader structure still favors caution until a clean breakout or breakdown occurs. We’ve identified three main zones, each offering different trade opportunities based on structure and risk tolerance: 🔴 $3,313 – Minor Intraday Level (Higher Risk): This is not a formal support zone but a short-term reaction level. Positioned directly under descending trendline resistance, it's highly reactive and prone to stop hunts or liquidity spikes. Entries here carry elevated risk and require tighter stop placement. Stop-loss: Below $3,301.165 – A clean invalidation if structure breaks. 🟠 $3,283 – 4H Support Shelf (Medium Risk): A more defined level based on prior multi-candle rejections. This zone has shown stability and represents the core of current consolidation. A breakdown below here would likely trigger downside continuation. Stop-loss: $3,263.450 – Under the consolidation base, confirming bearish expansion. 🟢 $3,240 – 4H Support Zone (Low Risk – Backed by Daily Structure): This zone aligns with a broader daily support level and has not been tested in the current cycle. It offers a structurally clean and lower-risk long entry, especially for swing traders. Stop-loss: $3,218.240 – Invalidation of the daily support structure. Outlook: Bullish trigger: Break and close above $3,320 and the trendline → opens path toward $3,420 and $3,510. Bearish trigger: Clean loss of $3,283 → exposes downside toward $3,240, then possibly $3,127. Current bias: Neutral-to-bullish while price holds above $3,283 and compression remains intact. Note: The FOMC decision on Wednesday may act as a catalyst. A dovish tone could support bullish continuation in gold. ✅ Conclusion: Gold is compressing within a clean descending triangle structure. If buyers defend one of the mapped support zones, we could see a push toward $3,420 and possibly $3,510. Until a confirmed breakdown below $3,283 occurs, the bias remains neutral-to-bullish, with opportunity on structured pullbacks. Not financial advice. Like & follow for more Gold trade setups and structured market analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by husseindergham
XAUUSD... 1H CHART PATTERNI am looking at a **buy trade setup for XAU/USD (Gold vs USD)** with the following levels: - **Entry (Buy Now):** 3315 - **Target (Take Profit):** 3350 - **Support (Stop Loss):** 3275 ### Here's a quick breakdown of the trade: | Parameter | Value | |----------------|-----------| | Entry | 3315 | | Target (TP) | 3350 | | Stop Loss (SL) | 3275 | | Risk (per oz) | 40 points | | Reward | 35 points | ### Risk/Reward Ratio: - **Reward/Risk = 35 / 40 = 0.875**, which is **less than 1**. - This means the risk is slightly higher than the potential reward. Normally, traders aim for at least a 1:1 ratio, preferably 1.5:1 or higher. ### Suggestions: - If you're confident in strong bullish momentum (e.g. fundamentals or technicals support it), it could be worth it. - Consider adjusting the **target higher** or tightening the **stop loss** slightly to improve the risk/reward. - Watch for key resistance around **3350**, as price action may stall there.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Money_Magnet5
XAU/USD Short Term Pullback is Possible (READ CAPTION)📢As Of April 22, 2025 Gold (XAU/USD) is Exhibiting Strong Bullish movement Having recently Reached a Record high Of 3431.70 per ounce. 📌Key Levels: ✅️Resistance: Immediate resistance is observed around $3452 A breakout above this level could pave the way toward $3,485 and potentially $3,500 in the near term. ✅️Support: Support is established near $3,392. A decline below this point may lead to a correction toward the $33,74 level. 📈Market Outlook: While the overall trend remains bullish, the overbought RSI suggests caution, as a short-term pullback is possible. So If it's decline below this point it will Drop to 3374-70 🚀Don't Forget to Support me With Your Precious Feedback 💗
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Elliana_Gold_Trader
2
GOLD (XAUUSD, 1H) Double Bottom & Continuation to Lower FibsOn the 1-hour chart, gold attempted to form a double bottom structure, which initially showed bullish potential. However, the price action quickly reversed near resistance, failing to sustain above key EMAs and trendline zones. This invalidates the reversal attempt and reaffirms the current bearish structure within the descending channel. The price is now trading back below broken support and heading towards deeper Fibonacci retracement levels, with visible supply pressure and repeated failure to hold any bullish breakout. Volume has shifted lower on rallies, confirming weak buyer commitment. Downside targets (Fibonacci structure): – $3251 – 0.382 retracement – $3221 – 0.618 retracement (primary structural support) – $3165 – 0.786 extension zone (final support before breakdown scenario) The descending wedge remains valid. Unless the market reclaims $3305–$3334 with strong confirmation, the corrective leg toward the lower support zones is likely to continue. A clean break below $3220 would open the door for a move toward the $3160s. The failed double bottom setup confirms bearish continuation. Structure, volume, and trendlines all align with a move lower. Watch for reactions at $3221 and $3165 as critical levels.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold prices staged a "roller coaster" market, and the trade war In the early Asian session, spot gold showed a trend of rising and falling. The gold price reached a high of US$3370.58/ounce and then fell back to around the 3350 mark for consolidation. After experiencing a sharp drop of nearly 3%, the gold price ushered in a strong rebound, with a single-day increase of 1.83%, and finally closed at US$3348.50. This wave of rebound was mainly driven by the weakness of the US dollar and the entry of market bottom-fishing funds. The trade deadlock fell into a "Rashomon", and the rebound of the US dollar was blocked The current gold market is caught in a fierce game of long and short factors. The Asian power issued a solemn statement, emphasizing that if the US side really wants to solve the problem, all unilateral tariffs should be canceled immediately. This statement is in sharp contrast to the "negotiation signal" recently released by the White House, making the trade outlook more confusing. Affected by this, the US dollar index fell 0.61% to 99.29, while gold received strong support from safe-haven buying. Quaid believes that the gap between the positions of the United States and China on trade issues is as huge as the Pacific Ocean, and this uncertainty will continue to affect the market trend. The US dollar rebounded but was blocked. Although Trump's attitude eased and it strengthened briefly in the early stage, it showed signs of fatigue again in the morning. At the same time, the US stock market achieved three consecutive positive days, and the S&P 500 index rose by 2.03%, with technology stocks leading the gains. Quaid's analysis: Looking forward to the later period, high-level fluctuations may become the main theme, and traders need to grasp the rhythm. The current market presents a pattern: First, the uncertainty of the trade war. If the US insists on imposing new tariffs, the gold price may hit the $3,500 mark again; second, the suspense of the Fed's policy. Whether the May meeting will release a signal of interest rate cuts will become a key turning point; finally, the trend of the US dollar. If subsequent economic data continues to deteriorate, the US dollar index may fall below the 99 integer mark. Market operation strategies: Go long on a pullback of 3335, stop loss at 3330, look at 3380 Go short after rebounding at 3380, stop loss at 3390, and look at 3330
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
Gold with Technical aspect XAUUSD Gold Update | M15 Timeframe 🙌 - This Analysis is based on educational purposes using Technical aspect In M15 time Frame we have been observed that market bias is in bullish - We have been waiting for our point at 3320 - 3314.00 as a Good Buy opportunity on behalf of Technical Analysis ❗️ If the body closing below the trendline on H4 Timeframe we will definitely share our thoughts Although our targets would be 3364 - 3384.00 - All you need to stick with one Mentor 👋 #XAUUSD
TVC:GOLDLong
by professionaltradersfx
Gold’s upside seems limited given overbought conditionsGold appears to be showing signs of finally cracking after an impressive run higher, with the excitement surrounding its rally potentially approaching a crescendo. The precious metal experienced a sharp intraday reversal on 22 April, a decline that continued into 23 April. Since the recent uptrend began in mid-March, gold has consistently found support at its 10-day exponential moving average (EMA). For now, gold continues to hold just above this key support level; a break below the 10-day EMA could signal a heightened risk of further declines, potentially targeting $3,280 per troy ounce. Gold remains extremely overbought on the weekly chart, trading above the upper Bollinger Band, with the relative strength index (RSI) above 80. This suggests that gold could be due for a sideways consolidation or pullback towards the 10-week moving average at $3,100. Gold also remains overbought on the monthly chart, trading above the upper Bollinger band and with an RSI above 85. In this scenario, a break below $2,900 may lead to a decline towards the 10-month moving average of $2,800. It is not often that an asset class trades at such extreme levels, and this suggests that gold may be overdue for a period of consolidation, either by trading sideways and marking time or by pulling back to retest some of the moving averages situated at lower levels. It continues to indicate that overall gold’s upside may be limited. Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
CMCMARKETS:GOLD
by cmcmarkets
XAUMO XAUUSD Tactical Breakdown – April 30, 2025 1. XAUMO Tactical Map Red Zone – Bearish Rejection (Sell Trap Zone): Upper Limit: 3314.60–3318.00 Strong historical rejection + VWAP & Ichimoku base rejections. Yellow Zone – Liquidity Sweep Trap Area: Zone: 3297.50–3306.00 Price bounced repeatedly from this sweep zone; stop hunts likely. Green Zone – Bullish Activation (Breakout): Break Level: 3318.50+ Clean air above with strong upside potential to 3330+ 2. Market Structure Overview Ichimoku Cloud: Bearish crossover confirmed, price below cloud. Volume Spike (RVOL): Reaching 1.93 on final leg = heavy sell interest. Price Action: Lower highs forming. Current candle series weak. VWAP Rejections: Ongoing rejection at 3305–3310. Momentum: Bearish, confirmed by RSI < 45 on M15 & M30. 3. Tactical Entry Setups (Live Ready) A. Intraday Sell Setup – Trap Breakdown Type of Entry: Sell Stop Entry Price: 3280.00 SL: 3287.00 TP1: 3270.50 TP2: 3259.00 TP3: 3246.00 Confidence: 82% Justification: Break below key liquidity shelf w/ heavy volume + trend confirmation from Ichimoku + RVOL surge. B. Breakout Reversal Long Setup Type of Entry: Buy Stop Entry Price: 3318.50 SL: 3310.00 TP1: 3326.50 TP2: 3334.00 TP3: 3341.00 Confidence: 71% Justification: Break above compression + rejection cluster. Cloud flip + volume confirmation required. C. Mean Reversion Scalp Play Type of Entry: Sell Limit Entry Price: 3305.00 SL: 3309.50 TP1: 3298.00 TP2: 3292.00 Confidence: 75% Justification: Previous VWAP + red zone overlap. Perfect trap zone confluence with divergence across M5. 4. STRIKE | DEFEND | SCALP | SWING STRIKE: 15:30 Cairo → Enter Sell Stop @ 3280 if NY Open flushes. 3318.50 breakout long only if volume sustains. DEFEND: Stay out of chop 3298–3305 unless confirmed wick fakeout. SCALP: Inside Yellow Zone: scalp wick traps at 3304–3305 or 3288–3290. SWING: If price holds below 3280 post-NY, swing short down to 3259+ over 1–2 sessions. 5. Summary Market still biased Bearish unless 3318.50+ breaks. Volume + structure + Ichimoku confirms ongoing downside with brief retrace attempts. NY Open = trigger window for explosive move.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
1
The gold market fluctuated sideways. Waiting for a new trend?OANDA:XAUUSD During the Asian trading session, gold prices maintained a slight decline; in the early European trading, gold began to fall sharply, but it was still within the trend range expected by Quaid. Today, the initial value of the US real GDP in the first quarter of 2025 will be released, and it is expected to grow by 0.3% at an annualized quarterly rate, after a strong growth of 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024. If the world's largest economy unexpectedly shrinks, it will re-ignite bets on a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. And this data will boost the upward trend of gold. On the other hand, if the cooling of US economic growth is less than expected, it may bring a short-term relief to the overall market and the US dollar, which will continue to put gold under corrective downward pressure. However, traders will remain cautious before the release of US ADP employment data this week; this data will limit the reaction of gold prices to GDP data. US non-farm payrolls will help the market assess whether US tariffs have had a substantial impact on the labor market. Current trend analysis: The daily line closed negative, and it is still bearish today. At the same time, yesterday's decline encountered 3300 support. In this pattern, regardless of today's strength, short once and see how the European session trends. If the European session falls, short the US session; if the European session rises strongly, the US session may remain volatile. If the European session breaks the downward channel, the US session may continue to fall. Hi guys, if you want a solid trade, please wait for the US GDP data this morning. Quaid conducts gold trading after professional analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
GOLD Once more fall what will next?According this analysis a next Gold movement , Forest from Mr Martin Date 29 April Tuesday 2025 Gold has been in under pressure amid tariff war and head if US Data. on Monday Gold is testing the last week 3260 remining under pressure from strengthening dollar and easing trade risks between the US and china. Gold will a new zone will formed I will see the market price once more fall and catch the strong Support. Resistance Zone 3330 / 32340 Support Levels 3285 / 3275 You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11