Will the price of gold collapse today? NoWill the price of gold collapse today? No
When an avalanche occurs, no snowflake is innocent
When gold falls, no long player is innocent
As shown in the four-hour cycle:
In order to make everyone feel the changes in trends and emotions more intuitively,
I have drawn almost all the center dividing lines.
The current gold price is approaching $3,500,
The trend line has changed from 1-6 lines, and the rise has been out of control.
But the more this trend continues in the short term, the more it means that the rise in gold prices has deviated from the fundamentals.
It is more like a product of emotional catalysis.
Everything will reverse when it reaches the extreme.
Such a trend indicates that a wave of selling is coming.
I am not asking you to short,
but reminding you to be alert to the super waterfall callback that may occur at any time.
We have made a profit of nearly 500 points from 3,000 points to now. As a professional trader, I have only made less than 200 points in the past two weeks.
This means that I am always worried about the huge pressure brought by high-level selling.
At present, no matter from the perspective of structure, support level, increase, volume, ratio, angle, channel and other indicators, the price of gold has completely exceeded the expected rise.
Yesterday I expected it to rise to 3450 points, and today it is close to 3500 points.
Next, I think waiting is the wisest choice.
Of course, you can try to short with a light position near 3500. Please keep a light position and set a stop loss.
Current support level: 3400-3440--3470
Old rules:
As long as the price of gold is higher than 3440, there is only one choice: continue to go long, wait for a decent waterfall as much as possible, and then go long at a low price.
If you have a different opinion, you can leave me a message and we will discuss it together
GOLD trade ideas
XAU/USD.gold 4h chart pattrenIt looks like me updating your gold trading strategy with an entry point at 3300, and two target points at 3400 and 3500. Here's a breakdown:
1. Entry Point: Buy gold at 3300.
2. First Target (3400): This would be your first profit-taking level. A price increase from 3305 to 3400 represents a potential profit of 95 points.
3. Second Target (3500): This is your more aggressive target. If gold reaches 3500, you'd be looking at a profit of 195 points from your entry point.
Key Considerations:
Stop Loss: Consider placing a stop loss below 3300 to limit any potential downside risk if the price moves against your position.
Market Factors: Keep an eye on factors like economic data, inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical developments, as these can affect gold prices.
Timeframe: Be clear about your investment horizon. Are you trading in the short term or holding longer?
Let me know if you'd like help with anything like stop-loss strategies or a deeper dive into market conditions.
GOLD/USD 4H ANALYSIS – BUY SETUP📊 Technical Highlights:
Price respecting bullish market structure (HH – HL)
Strong rejection candle from dynamic support (EMA 50)
RSI recovery from oversold zone with bullish divergence potential
Target zones:
🎯 TP1: 3405
🎯 TP2: 3471
🎯 TP3: 3499
SL placed below recent HL (around 3279) for risk management
🧠 Bias: Bullish
📈 Strategy: Buy the dip / trend continuation
XAUUSD at a Critical JunctureAs I previously mentioned, the upside potential in XAUUSD appears relatively limited. At present, I estimate that XAUUSD is forming wave iv of wave (v) as indicated by the black label (best-case scenario), suggesting a potential correction toward the 3,228–3,292 range. Should this scenario hold, the next bullish target lies within the 3,483–3,561 area.
However, you should also be mindful of the bearish scenario (red label), where XAUUSD may have completed wave 3. In such a case, the current movement could represent the beginning of a deeper correction as part of wave 4, with the potential downside projected toward the 2,854–3,101 range.
The Gold Will Make a new All Time HighHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Multi-dimensional Analysis of Gold's Strength and Volatility RisLong-term drivers: After the breakout of the super-large sideways range from 2020 to 2023, global geopolitical conflicts, expectations of economic recession, and large-scale gold purchases by central banks worldwide have jointly fueled a super bull market.
Short-term disruptions: The tariff policy announced by Trump in early April triggered a short-term sharp decline in gold and silver. However, on the monthly chart, no effective correction signal has been formed, and the trend remains dominated by bulls.
Weekly strong characteristics: The long upper shadow line was engulfed by a bullish candle, forming an ultra-large bullish candle, indicating that the market still chose to break upward despite trade war risks, continuing the super-strong trend. While a correction of hundreds of dollars may occur after extreme market conditions, the current upward trend remains intact.
Medium-term rhythm: Multiple medium-term corrections have ended rapidly, highlighting gold’s extremely strong resilience. The current upward slope is steep , showing a "crazy bull" short-covering feature, making it difficult to predict the top in the short term.
Short-term technical signals: The 4-hour chart shows that the high-level volatility is still confined above the 21 exponential moving average (strong support), indicating a continuation pattern in the uptrend. Two potential paths lie ahead:
- Conventional path: Consolidation into a platform before resuming the upward trend;
- Extreme path: Direct breakout to new highs without correction (referencing the frequent occurrence of non-correction short-covering rallies in recent months).
Conclusion: All timeframes suggest that gold’s rally remains unexhausted, with short-term volatility not altering the medium-to-long-term upward trend. However, risks of extreme volatility caused by policy mutations must be guarded against.
XAUUSD
buy@3300-3310-3320
tp:3340-3355-3370
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
GOLD 30M ANALYSISIn this analysis we're focusing on 30m time frame for GOLD. To identify the best buying area and POI for our buy trade setup. In this chart price is creating trendline support and also price break it's previous high. So overall market trend was bullish. According to the market trend my Bias was also bullish. Let's see when price retest and come to our entry zone. Once price comes observe the behavior of price and if price give any bullish confirmation then we'll execute our trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GOLD INTRADAY Bullish bias supported at 3392GOLD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be an overbought corrective pullback toward a key prior consolidation area.
Key Support: 3392 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point.
Upside Targets:
3507 – initial resistance level
3557 and 3600 – medium to long-term bullish targets
If price finds support at 3392 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels.
However, a break and daily close below 3392 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 3347, with further support at 3294.
Conclusion
GOLD remains bullish above 3392. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 3392 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold Technical Analysis🔹 Price Structure:
Price is in a short-term downtrend channel.
Currently trading at $3,336, heading towards a major support zone around $3,315–$3,310.
RSI at 36.6 is nearing oversold territory – indicating downside momentum slowing.
🔹 Key Zones:
Support: $3,315 (major support with bounce potential)
Resistance: $3,380 (target if support holds)
Breakdown target: $3,290 (if major support breaks)
🔹 Price Action Possibilities:
🔁 Bounce Scenario: Price touches major support, RSI bounces, and price rallies back to $3,380 (drawn with the up arrow).
🔻 Breakdown Scenario: Price fails to hold support and drops toward $3,290 (red arrow path).
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PITASTIC day on the charts with our targets getting smashed, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock to give us plenty of time to get in for the action.
After support and bounce from 3201 Goldturn into 3230 we stated that we will now look for a break and lock above 3230 for a continuation into the Bullish targets above. We got the lock opening the levels above hitting our Bullish target at 3261, followed with a further cross and lock opening 3292, which was hit perfectly and then our final lock for today above 3292 opened 3324 now complete - what a day!!!!!
We will now look for a lock above 3324 for a continuation into our final target 3352 or a rejection here will see price test the Goldturn below for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3261 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3261 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3292 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3292 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3324 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3352
BEARISH TARGETS
3230 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3230 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3201 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3179
3152
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3152 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3120
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3094 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3069 - 3038
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD sell Gold price retreats slightly from near $3,500, or a fresh all-time highs in the early European session on Tuesday as bulls pause for a breather amid overbought conditions on short-term charts. Any meaningful corrective downfall, however, still seems elusive on sustained US Dollar weakness
If Gold sellers manage to fight back control, Gold price could initially retreat toward the $3,400 mark, below which the previous day’s low of $3,329 will be tested.
Gold sell signal 3456
Target 3050
Gold weekly update with both buy and sell levels🔍 Short-Term Forecast for XAU/USD
Current Market Context:
Price: $3,227.375 (currently)
Recent High: Around $3,328
Structure: Strong bullish rally with minor retracement. Currently consolidating under a key resistance zone.
Fib Levels: Price has respected Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, particularly 0.618 and 0.786.
Volume Delta: High macro delta volume at 19.67%, indicating aggressive buying.
Forecast:
Bullish Bias short-term with room for a minor pullback to retest lower support zones around $3,200–$3,180 before continuation higher.
If $3,328 is broken convincingly, we could see a rally toward $3,345, $3,360, and beyond.
📈 Potential Trading Signals
Buy Signals:
Break and Retest of $3,328 Resistance – Watch for a clean break above $3,328 and retest as support to initiate a long position.
Pullback to $3,200–$3,180 Zone – This is a high confluence area of previous support + Fib level (near 0.382–0.5). Bullish reversal candlestick patterns here could be a buy trigger.
EMA Bounce – The 21 and 50 EMA are acting as dynamic support. A bounce from these EMAs could be a signal for continuation upward.
Sell Signals:
Failure to Break $3,328 With Strong Bearish Rejection – Look for long wicks and engulfing candles near resistance.
Break Below $3,180 – Could trigger a sharper correction to $3,150 and possibly $3,100.
📊 Upcoming Economic Data & Impact on XAU/USD
Key Events to Watch:
U.S. Fed Commentary & Rate Decision Expectations
U.S. CPI / PPI / Core Inflation Reports
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP)
Geopolitical Risks (Middle East, Ukraine, etc.)
Influence:
Hawkish Fed Data (higher inflation, strong jobs) → Stronger USD → Bearish for XAU/USD.
Dovish Signals (cooling inflation, rate cut hints) → Weaker USD → Bullish for XAU/USD.
Geo-Risk Escalation → Gold rallies as a safe haven.
📋 Day Trading Plan for XAU/USD
Trading Style: Scalping to Intraday Swing
Timeframe Focus: 15min, 1hr, 4hr
Indicators Used:
21 EMA, 50 EMA
Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
Price Action (Engulfing, Doji, Pin Bars)
Volume & Delta Volumes
Key S/R Zones
🔹 Bullish Setup (Buy the Dip Strategy):
Entry: $3,200–$3,180
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or pin bar + bounce from EMA
TP1: $3,245
TP2: $3,280
SL: $3,172 (below structure)
🔹 Breakout Strategy (Momentum Trade):
Entry: Break of $3,328 and close above
Confirmation: 15m or 1h candle close above with increased volume
TP1: $3,345
TP2: $3,360
SL: $3,312
🔻 Bearish Setup (Fade the Resistance):
Entry: Rejection of $3,328 zone
Confirmation: Long upper wick or bearish engulfing candle
TP1: $3,280
TP2: $3,250
SL: $3,335
📌 Risk Management Tips
Risk max 1–2% per trade.
Adjust position size according to volatility (ATR).
Use alerts around key levels: $3,200, $3,328, $3,345.
Avoid trading major news releases without clarity.
🗺️ XAU/USD Day Trading Roadmap (Short-Term)
✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (Breakout Play)
📍 Key Level to Watch:
→ Resistance at $3,328
🟢 If price breaks and closes above $3,328:
Enter LONG on retest of $3,328 as support.
TP1: $3,345
TP2: $3,360
TP3: $3,382
SL: Below $3,312
📊 Confirmation Needed:
Bullish 15m/1h close above resistance
Increasing volume
🔄 Scenario 2: Range Play / Rejection from Resistance
📍 Key Range:
Top: $3,328
Bottom: $3,200–$3,180
🔴 If price rejects $3,328:
Consider SHORT entries from resistance
TP1: $3,280
TP2: $3,250
SL: Above $3,335
📊 Confirmation Needed:
Bearish engulfing or pin bar near $3,328
Divergence or decreasing volume
🟢 Scenario 3: Buy-the-Dip (Support Bounce)
📍 Buy Zone:
→ $3,200–$3,180 support zone (confluence of Fib & EMA)
🟢 If price pulls back and holds above $3,180:
Go LONG on bullish candle
TP1: $3,245
TP2: $3,280
SL: Below $3,172
📊 Confirmation Needed:
Pin bar, hammer, or bullish engulfing
Volume bounce or EMA support hold
🔻 Scenario 4: Bearish Breakdown
📍 Critical Support:
→ $3,180
🔴 If price breaks & closes below $3,180:
Go SHORT on retest of $3,180 as resistance
TP1: $3,150
TP2: $3,100
SL: Above $3,190
📊 Confirmation Needed:
Clean break + bearish volume spike
EMAs cross bearish
🧠 Bonus Tips:
🕓 Best sessions: London and New York overlap
📅 Check calendar: U.S. CPI, PPI, and NFP are gold movers
🧯 Avoid overtrading. Let price come to your key zones.
🎯 Use alerts at $3,180, $3,200, $3,328
GOLD New 2 Scenarios Available , Which One You Prefer ? Here is my opinion on Gold right now , after my last 2 posts on It , now i see the price need to go down a little to make any correction and i think this will happen tomorrow , so if we have a 4h Closure below my Support , we can sell it at least for 300 pips , and if we have not , then we can buy it but i prefer to sell it before buy it again , just follow the price action and then you can take you decision .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Gold is bearish, don't chase the decline
There is no technology to speak of for gold at present. Basically, it is a mindless long position. After breaking the new high again today, a strategy of chasing long positions was decisively given. At present, members who entered the market early have made a profit of 40 points. This market has to be said to be too crazy.
Since gold started to rise from the low point of 2956, except for two normal adjustments in the middle, the price of gold has maintained a strong upward trend relying on the MA5 moving average for most of the time. This trend characteristic shows that in a shorter period, the MA5 moving average has become an important support line for the rise in gold prices. As long as the price runs above the MA5 moving average, the bulls will dominate.
At present, 3500 is about to arrive in a flash, it is just a matter of time. The current market depends on everyone's courage. There are more than a dozen profits when you enter the long position, which is easy, basically without callbacks, and any callback is an opportunity. In terms of operation, you can continue to do more by relying on the short-term moving average MA5.
I am Yulia, and I hope you can gain something and gain insights from my article! A small boat is drifting in the sea. If you don't set sail, you will drift in the sea forever. Only the existing value can truly protect you.
[ TimeLine ] Gold 21-22 April 2025Hello everyone,
📅 Today is Monday, April 21, 2025
I will be using the High-Low price levels formed on the following dates as reference points for potential trade entries:
📌 April 21, 2025 (Monday)
📌 April 22, 2025 (Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan & Notes:
✅ Gold has broken its ATH multiple times over the past two weeks —volatility remains high
✅ The range formed on April 21 is approximately 3331 to 3430 — a massive 1000-pip zone
⚠️ Due to the large range, reversal entries or trades based on Fibonacci levels may be more appropriate
✅ I will personally trade both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy
⚠️ If you're unsure or risk-averse , consider skipping April 21's signal
📋 Execution Plan:
🔹 Wait for the price range from the candles above to fully form ( marked with green lines )
🔹 Entry will be triggered upon breakout, with a 60-pip buffer
🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), switch direction and double the position size on the next valid entry for potential recovery
📉📈 Chart Reference:
x/lgXVOC2u/
XAUUSD - BUY 🔻 Big Drive Down – After tapping -$3,500
Price tapped $3,500, triggering major profit-taking across Dubai - London and New York
Dubai started the sell-off
London piled in — aggressive push
New York confirmed the move — final slam down to fill the gap below.
📈 Now Price appears to be Pushing Back Up as it should to fill this mornings massive gap above from NZ open.
Gap below is now fully filled — technical objective met.
Buyers stepping back in from key demand zone.
Market now targeting the gap above to rebalance.
🔥 Macro Context Remains Bullish
Inflation is far from under control — expect it to rise still.
Interest rates will likely go up, not down good for Gold bad for Stocks.
Gold remains the primary safe-haven — this was a flush, not a reversal imho.
📍 Holding long bias.
Look to Elliott Wave projections on the chart for next target potentials.
: )
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 4/23/2025Gold has been wild yesterday. After hitting ATH of 3500, it went all the way down to 3367. I am expecting the serious correction to take place for a few weeks at least.
Currently it opened a gap. I am expecting the gap to be closed. I will sell from 3375, first target will be 3282.
GOLD the retreat after hitting $3,500 is a natural market pause amid strong buying pressure, profit-taking, and technical overextension rather than a reversal of the bullish trend. The overall outlook remains positive, with gold continuing to benefit from safe-haven demand amid geopolitical and economic uncertainties.
Dollar Weakness: The U.S. dollar has weakened amid political and economic uncertainties, making gold more attractive as an alternative store of value.
Trade War Fears: Escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China have increased economic uncertainty, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold.
President Trump’s Criticism of the Fed: Trump's attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and calls for rate cuts have unsettled markets, weakening the dollar and boosting gold demand.
Strong Momentum and Overbought Conditions: Gold’s rapid ascent has pushed technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) into overbought territory (around 79), which can lead to minor price pullbacks or consolidation but does not indicate a sustained sell-off.
XAU/USD intraday sell (on pullback)XAU/USD is in a strong bullish trend, with price breaking above the bearish order block at 3,450–3,460 after filling the FVG at 3,410–3,420. The break above 3,472 suggests a continuation toward 3,500, where buy-side liquidity may be targeted. A pullback to 3,450 (now support) or 3,410 (bullish OB) is eminent before the next leg up. Watch for confirmation during the London or New York kill zones
Growth potential up to 3400Description of the weekly analysis:
After a good week of trading, we move on to next week.Given the bullish market sentiment, it is not unreasonable to expect the price to rise to 3,400.
I expect the price to be ready to rise to 3400 after a correction towards 3293 or eventually the 3230-3246 support zone.
Note and reminder:
Of course, this analysis is valid as long as the price does not close below 3200.
If the analysis fails, it will be updated immediately and I will share it.
Possible positions this week:
A:Suitable prices for BUY positions
1)3300~3290
2)3230~3246
B:Suitable prices for SELL positions
1)3398~3408
This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work.
Hoping for a good and profitable week.