GOLD trade ideas
DeGRAM | GOLD Anchored Above the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
GOLD trades within an ascending channel, holding above $3 285 support.
A breakout from a triangle confirms bullish momentum. Key targets are $3 360 - $3 380.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Demand is rising amid safe-haven flows, Chinese insurer interest, and central bank buying. A weaker USD and US - China tensions support gold.
✨ Summary
Technical breakout and strong fundamentals favor XAUUSD growth. Holding above $3 285 keeps the path open to $3 360.
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GOLD-SELL strategy 6 Hourly chart regression channelGOLD has moved up sharply but it is. again above the channel, and this usually will not last. It needs to correct back towards mid-channel over time.
The RSI is very overbought, but other indicators how still some upward pressure, however, I use the channel as my guidance for now.
Strategy SELL or ADD SELL @ $ 3,375-3,415 and take profit near $ 3,257 for now partially and further down rest @ $ 3,079.
LONG GOLD, FOMO is Real!!!!Entry
Buy breakout above flag resistance
Confirm with volume spike and bullish momentum
Price above key MAs (20/50)
Risk Management
GOLD has been overbought in a longer time frame, so the risk is increasing
Stop below flag low/recent swing
Risk 1-2% total capital
Size position accordingly
Targets
1:1 Risk rewards
or floating
XAUUSD Gold Is Surging: Technical / Macro Analysis & Trade IdeaHey traders! Let’s break down the current price action on Gold (XAUUSD) using both Wyckoff and ICT concepts, and tie it all together with the latest macroeconomic context. 🚀✨
Wyckoff Methodology:
Looking at the 4H chart, we see a classic accumulation phase that transitioned into a strong markup. The recent price action shows a clear spring (liquidity sweep) below previous lows, followed by a sharp bullish move—this is textbook Wyckoff manipulation, where smart money grabs liquidity before driving price higher. The current rally suggests we’re in the markup phase, with demand overwhelming supply.
ICT Concepts:
Liquidity Zones: The chart shows a sweep of liquidity below the recent consolidation, trapping late sellers before a powerful bullish displacement. This is a classic ICT move—liquidity engineered and then swept.
Displacement: The large bullish candle breaking above the previous range signals a market structure shift (MSS) to the upside. This is a strong sign of bullish intent.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): The impulsive move up has likely left a fair value gap (imbalance) between 3335 and 3385.50. Price may retrace to fill this gap before continuing higher.
Market Structure: The break above the previous swing high confirms a bullish market structure. As long as price holds above the 3335-3340 zone (50% retracement), the bullish bias remains intact.
Technical Trade Setups:
Bullish Scenario: Look for a retracement into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone (3335-3323) for potential long entries. If price forms a bullish rejection or bullish engulfing pattern here, it could be a high-probability setup targeting the recent high (3385.50) and the next extension at 3436.
Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above 3335 and closes below 3320, we could see a deeper retracement toward 3284 (100% retracement) or even lower, but this is less likely given the current momentum.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish 🟢 – The strong displacement, liquidity sweep, and market structure shift all point to bullish sentiment. Buyers are in control, and any pullbacks into the FVG or key fib levels are likely to be bought up.
Macroeconomic & Fundamental Drivers:
Gold’s rally is being fueled by several key factors:
CPI & Inflation: Recent CPI data shows persistent inflation, increasing demand for gold as an inflation hedge.
Interest Rate Expectations: The market is pricing in potential rate cuts by the Fed later this year, weakening the USD and supporting gold.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions (e.g., Middle East, Ukraine) are driving safe-haven flows into gold.
USD Strength: Any signs of USD weakness further boost gold’s appeal.
Summary & Trade Plan:
Gold is in a strong bullish phase after a classic liquidity sweep and market structure shift. Watch for retracements into the 3335-3320 zone for potential long setups, with targets at 3385 and 3436. Stay alert for any macro news that could impact sentiment, but for now, the bulls are in control! 🏆📈
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
Gold: Is the end of the fifth wave of the daily correct or the eIf the wave count is correct, the last wave, the fifth wave, has reached its end, which is 61.8% of the third wave. If the wave count is not yet over in smaller trends in small time frames. However, if the market wants to continue to move up, then a correction will start from 3342 or 40. Of course, 3332 is also an important and valid area. But in the longer view, 3376 or 75 is the main target for price growth. Which is evident in the 4-hour time frame wave count. In my opinion, when the gold market opens, it will first have an upward movement and then it should be seen in which direction the selling pressure will be stronger.
XAUUSD : Accumulating around the peak areaGold prices today remain stable in the high zone around 3,330 USD. This precious metal is temporarily sideways due to the market entering the Easter holiday, but the upward momentum has not shown any signs of stopping.
Accordingly, geopolitical tensions, economic instability, and trade policies from the US continue to be supportive factors for gold during this period. The current resistance level is around 3,353 USD, while the nearest support zone is 3,300 USD.
Gold may correct slightly and accumulate momentum after the recent strong increase. We should wait for the price to return to important zones such as EMA 34, the support zone, or wait for the price to break the resistance zone to enter reasonable orders when the market is active again.
Prioritize trading according to the trend, everyone, don't forget to set full TP and SL to ensure safety.
XAUUSD: 1H Channel Up bottomed and is rebounding for the new HHGold is neutral on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 52.820, MACD = 3.110, ADX = 23.525) and as it just crossed under its 1H MA50 and rebounded, we have the conditions for the new bullish wave of the short term Channel Up. We are aiming for another +4.45% rise (TP = 3,425).
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GOLD heading to $3,450 or a bull trap ahead?XAUUSD has shown a strong bullish reversal from the key zone at $2,832, with a series of high-volatility, full-bodied weekly candles that completely absorbed the supply in the $3,050–3,140 area. The breakout of previous weekly and monthly highs confirmed a bullish structural shift, with a natural technical target around $3,450—its recent all-time high. Price reacted precisely to previously tested demand blocks, suggesting that buy-side pressure may still have room to expand.
However, a deeper look at COT data reveals a more complex picture: Money Managers’ net positions on GOLD have been declining sharply for months, diverging from price action. This may indicate a rally driven more by retail flows or ETFs than by institutional strength, making it potentially unstable. Additionally, the COT report on the Dollar Index shows growing net long positions among leveraged traders, signaling USD strength—historically a headwind for gold.
In summary, gold remains technically bullish with room to climb to $3,450, but COT data raises a red flag: if institutional positions don’t realign with the move, this rally could turn out to be a bull trap. From a trading perspective, there’s room for aggressive longs, but only with tight risk management.
#XAUUSD | Daily Higher Time Frame Analysis
📊 **#XAUUSD | Daily Higher Time Frame Analysis**
🔍 Gold has been moving in a **strong one-sided uptrend** over the past 3–4 months — surging from **$2500 to $3500**, marking a **massive $1000 rally** in under 4 hours! 🚀
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🛑 **Key Psychological Resistance: 3500**
Yesterday, price tapped into the **3500 zone**, a major psychological level.
🔻 This was followed by **intense selling pressure**, likely sparked by news regarding a potential **Russia-Ukraine ceasefire** 🕊 — hinting at possible war closure.
💥 This triggered a sharp drop to **3370**, and today’s market opened with a **gap down**, followed by a **swift recovery**.
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🧭 **What to Watch Today:**
📅 Today’s daily candle is **crucial**.
⚠️ If the candle **fails to hold above 3320** and closes **bearishly below 3320**,
expect a **panic sell-off** in the next 2–3 sessions —
📉 Potential downside targets: **3245–3190**
🌀 These levels also align with the **Fibonacci 0.50–0.60 retracement zone** from the last impulse.
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🛠 We’ll fine-tune our **Buy/Sell zones** using **lower time frame analysis
Gold price plunged nearly $200. The signal of cooling down the tIn the early Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold opened nearly $40 lower and hit $3,313.51 per ounce, down nearly $200 from the historical high of 3,500 hit on Tuesday. Because U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson hinted that international trade tensions would ease, which stimulated optimism in the stock market and boosted the dollar to a near one-week high; spot gold closed down 1.2% on Tuesday, closing at $3,380.95 per ounce.
Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said: The latest remarks suggest that the trade war with the Asian giant may ease, but this is the time to start selling.
After Benson said that the tariff deadlock was unsustainable, the U.S. stock market rose by more than 2%, suppressing the safe-haven buying demand for gold, and the rebound of the U.S. dollar also suppressed the price of gold.
Quaid believes that its roller coaster trend is still continuing. I hope traders will pay attention to the speeches of several Fed officials later this week, hoping to find clues to future monetary policy at a time when people are worried about the independence of the Fed. And I will analyze it for you as soon as possible and give you reasonable suggestions.
Current strategy:
Relative to the market situation: as long as the price can continue to rise, it means that the current situation is just a volatile market, not a peak retracement, which is also a feature of the volatile trend; at the same time, the current market is not extremely strong after a sharp drop, and it is still in a volatile rise; therefore, do not go long, but go long after the retracement support.
XAU/USD Longs from 3,220 or 3,120 back to ATHMy Analysis this week for gold is for it to keep pushing higher, even though gold has been overbought and we could at any time expect a major correction or distribution. We will be going on. current market structure and currently we have seen another ATH breach as well as multiple break of structures to the upside.
From these demand zones that have been created we will be looking for a small correction a retracement in which price will then re accumulate in one of our POI, to cause another rally to the upside.
Confluences for GOLD Buys are as follows:
- Demand zone on the 4hr and 6hr is near by for potential long setups to formulate.
- Market structure has been very bullish on the lower and higher time frame
- There is asian high above that needs to get taken out as well
- Dollar index has been bearish which means bullish movement for GOLD
P.S. If price breaks through both demand zones i do have an extreme one at 3,020 but if it reaches that low we could expect price to just start moving temporarily bearish.
XAUUSD | Strength Intact – First Support at the Blue BoxGold continues to show impressive resilience, holding onto most of its recent gains. The first area I’m watching for buyers to step in is the blue box below current price—this zone has acted as a reliable springboard in past pullbacks.
🔵 Why This Zone Matters
• Buyers have consistently proven up here that they’re willing to defend these levels.
• When gold revisits the blue box, it often finds momentum to lift back toward new highs.
🧠 How to Trade It
Wait for Lower‑Time‑Frame Confirmation
Let price dip into the blue box, then look for a neat higher‑low on a 5‑ or 15‑minute chart. A pause there, coupled with positive CDV shifts, is your cue to join the move.
Be Ready to Adapt
If gold breaks below the blue box without giving a solid bounce, I won’t force a long. Instead I’ll step back, wait for the next known support, and reassess.
Capture the Reaction – Don’t Chase
Imagine catching that sweet spot where buyers push off the blue box—getting in early before the crowd follows. That’s how these setups pay off.
🤝 Why You’ll Want to Follow This
I share these levels because they work again and again. You’re not just copying numbers; you’re aligning yourself with a clear, tested approach that keeps you ahead of knee‑jerk moves. Trade with the confirmations, let the market show its hand, and you’ll see why staying patient pays off.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on.
XAUUSD 1H CHART PATTERN Upon examining the gold price action on the 1-hour chart, it's evident that the market recently achieved a fresh high, reaching up to $3245. This upward move indicated strong bullish momentum at that point. However, shortly after hitting this level, the price experienced a noticeable correction. This retracement not only pulled the price lower but also suggested a potential shift in the market structure, indicating that bullish strength may be weakening.
Currently, all eyes are on the $3214 level, as it appears to be a key support-turned-resistance zone. If the price remains suppressed below this threshold and fails to regain momentum above it, it could confirm a bearish continuation pattern. Should this scenario play out, we can anticipate further downside movement in the short term.
The next possible support levels, or downside targets, to watch for in sequence are $3190, $3178, $3156, and eventually $3140. These levels may act as areas of interest for traders looking for potential bounces or further breakdowns, depending on overall market sentiment and price behaviour near each zone.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Long 4/22/2025XAU/USD Long Setup – ABCD Correction into 15-Min Demand Zone
Looking to long gold after a textbook pullback off the recent impulse leg.
Structure:
We had a strong impulse move from $3,413 to $3,500, forming the high of the leg.
Correction:
Price has since retraced in a clean ABCD pattern, forming a 1:1 measured move — a proportional, orderly pullback.
Entry Zone:
The D-point of this correction aligns perfectly with a 15-minute demand zone, where price is now reacting.
Bias: Bullish continuation.
This structure suggests the correction is complete, and momentum is likely to resume to the upside.
Target: Looking for a full retest of the high at $3,500.
Simple and clean — structure-driven entry off confluence. Let’s see if gold wants to reload for another leg.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – 30-Min Long Trade Setup !🟡 🟢
Pattern: Falling wedge breakout + bullish reclaim
📊 Trade Plan – Long Position
✅ Entry: $3,388 (Breakout and retest of wedge + yellow support reclaim)
✅ Stop-Loss: Below $3,360 (under wedge base & recent wick low)
✅ Target Zone:
🎯 TP1: $3,440 – First structure resistance
🎯 TP2: $3,473 – Upper resistance zone (wedge origin)
📐 Risk-Reward: ~1 : 2.5+ (approx.)
📌 Highlights:
Bullish breakout from falling wedge
Strong reclaim of horizontal support (~$3,388 zone)
Entry confirmation shown with candle close above wedge + yellow line
XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025✅ XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025
🧭 Market Context & Trend After a powerful continuation post-holiday, Gold smashed through the previous ATH and is now trading in a vertical, parabolic leg — with minimal structure below and zero resistance above.
💣 Middle East tension + macro safe-haven flows = strong fuel for this spike. But we’re now in a price zone where traps and liquidation are very likely.
📈 Trend:
• H4: Strong bullish BOSs since April 10
• No valid H4 CHoCH yet — structure remains bullish
• Price is deep inside unmitigated premium, with signs of slowing momentum intraday
🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price
Type Zone Notes
🔻 Premium Sweep Zone 3395–3405 Key area around ATH for possible fakeout/sell trap setups — watch for M5/M15 CHoCH or BOS here
🧱 Ultimate Spike Zone 3415–3425 High-impact inefficiency from lower timeframes + round number zone – ideal for stop hunts
🚨 Extreme Spike Risk 3435–3455 No structure here — only if geopolitical tensions worsen
🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price
Type Zone Notes
🔵 Intraday Buy Zone 3333–3340 Minor FVG + OB zone – valid only for scalps or continuation if PA confirms
🟩 HTF Demand 3284–3288 Strong OB + FVG + clean H4 CHoCH base – valid for swing longs if dump occurs
⚓️ Institutional Support 3220–3235 Last clean unmitigated H4 demand + equilibrium from macro breakout zone
🧠 Trading Considerations
🔻 SELL setups only valid with clear bearish confirmation (M5/M15 CHoCH + momentum shift) inside the 3395–3405 zone. No blind shorts — the trend is still active.
🟢 BUY setups are cleaner from 3284+ or deeper — chasing now is extremely risky unless price builds structure above 3400.
📉 A fast spike followed by breakdown could signal a swing reversal from this premium zone.
🎯 H4 Bias:
Cautiously Bullish — structure is clean, but price is hyperextended. Best setups will come after liquidity is taken.
GOLD Weekly Outlook | Bullish Bias Remains StrongGold (XAU/USD) continues its powerful rally, printing two consecutive bullish weekly candles that reflect increasing momentum and strong buying pressure. The most recent weekly candle opened at 3229.79, dipped slightly to 3193.60, then surged to a high of 3357.67, and finally closed strong at 3327.46—just a few points off the high.
The week prior also closed bullish at 3167.72, (closed well above the open of 3034.91 with significant range).
XAUUSD Weekly timeframe
✅ Weekly Bias: Strongly Bullish
We’re clearly in a higher high, higher low structure on the weekly timeframe, and there's been no sign of exhaustion yet. Last week's candle had a small bottom wick and a large body, showing that bulls dominated from open to close.
🔑 Key Zones to Watch:
Support:
🔹 3320–3211
Resistance / Targets:
🔹 3375
🔹 3400–3420 → Psychological and potential profit-taking area
📌 Trade Idea:
I’ll be watching for bullish setups on a pullback into the 3311–3320 zone. If Gold retests this area and forms bullish price action (e.g., bullish engulfing or rejection wicks on 1H or 4H), I’ll consider long entries.
🎯 TP1: 3370–3380
🎯 TP2: 3400–3420
🛑 SL: Below 3283-3298 (structure invalidation)
📣 Final Thoughts:
Gold continues to be a beast, driven by a mix of macroeconomic uncertainty, central bank accumulation, and safe haven flows. As long as the structure remains intact, dips are for buying.
Let me know in the comments—are you bullish on Gold this coming week? Or do you see a reversal coming soon?
GOLD New Scenarios Available , Which One You Prefer ? Here is my new update on Gold , now the price create new res 3500.00 and move to downside very hard after give me 1300 pips from the entry i shared with you , so now we have 2 scenario , first one the price will retest 3450.00 and then go up again to hit 3550.00 or the price can close today below 3450.00 and give us some bearish movement , so i`m waiting for confirmation to choose which direction we can go with , tell me your opinion on the comments .