CRUDE OIL Move Down Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL was making a
Bullish correction but
It is in the downtrend
Overall, so as the price
Is hovering beneath the
Horizontal resistance
Of 64.80$ from where
We will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
Sell!
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OIL_CRUDE trade ideas
WTI crude (USOUSD) short continuation .. the week of 12 MayWill price retest the support/resistance zone one more time? That is what I am hoping for. Note that we have been seeing consistently lower highs. Price then broke below the zone, did one retest already and seems to be trying to retest it once again. I am looking for price to enter the zone and then give me some bearish evidence.
Stop – above the zone
1st target can be at 57.00 with the possibility to take this down to 52.00
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Oil Price Decline Using the Shark Harmonic PatternBased on the Shark Harmonic pattern, there’s a potential for a decline in oil prices. Traders and analysts, stay alert for market shifts and adjust strategies accordingly.
The Shark harmonic pattern offers a structured approach to identifying potential price reversals in the oil market. By analyzing Fibonacci ratios and price movements, traders can assess the probability of a decline in oil prices and position themselves accordingly.
However, as with any technical tool, it is crucial to use the Shark pattern as part of a broader analysis framework to account for market complexities and external influences.
WTI Wave Analysis – 9 May 2025
- WTI reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 62.00
WTI crude oil recently reversed up from the strong support area between the support level 54.90 (which stopped wave 3 at the start of April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous impulse waves 5 and (3).
WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 62.00 (former minor support from the middle of April).
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 61.08
Target Level: 55.63
Stop Loss: 64.68
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 8h
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USOIL seems to be in a potential bullish reversalWTI crude oil futures rose slightly. Traders weighed factors such as the optimistic sentiment in Sino - US trade, the decline in US production, and the technical position, while also considering the persistent concerns about supply surplus. The recent decline in oil prices is largely due to the decision of OPEC + to accelerate production increase for the second consecutive month. It is reported that the number of drilling rigs is being reduced, which implies that the future shale oil production may decline, providing support for the bullish view on oil prices. This supply restriction, together with the signs of strong demand from Europe and China, helps to stabilize market sentiment. Crude oil showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. After reaching $60.2, it showed a callback trend. After two consecutive positive days on the daily chart, the oil price adjusted, which may indicate that crude oil will continue to maintain a wide - range oscillation. Overall, the reduction in crude oil inventory is expected to support the rebound of oil prices.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Trading Strategy:
buy@57.4-58.4
TP:59.4-60.6
Oil - Short Term Sell Trade Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 17th I shared this idea "Oil - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short Term"
I expected to see bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price moved lower as per the plan here!!!
Price respected the first Fibonacci resistance zone, created a false break of it and moved lower as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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USOIL Trading strategiesOn Tuesday, due to the increase in demand from Asia and Europe, the decline in U.S. production, and the further escalation of the situation in Israel, international oil prices soared. After today's opening, oil prices have remained volatile at a high level, demonstrating strong resilience. The key dividing line between bulls and bears is at the crucial price level of $58.4. As long as this price level is not effectively broken, it will be difficult for the bullish trend of oil prices to change. Currently, oil prices are still within the bullish channel.
In terms of today's trading strategy, it is recommended to mainly place long orders on pullbacks, supplemented by a small number of short positions. Pay close attention to the resistance range of $60.8 - $61.6 above, and closely monitor the support area of $58.9 - $58.0 below.
USOIL
buy@58.80-59.30
tp:60.00-61.00
WTI Crude INTRADAY key trading level at 6200The price sentiment for WTI Crude Oil remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action shows an oversold rally, which has stalled near a previous consolidation zone around 6200 — a key resistance level.
Key Resistance Level: 6200
This level marks a previous intraday consolidation area and could act as a ceiling for the current rally.
Bearish Scenario:
If WTI fails to break above 6200, it may resume its decline toward:
5860 (near-term support)
5713
5550 (longer-term support)
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 6200 would shift momentum and open upside targets at:
6375
6533
6700
Conclusion:
WTI Crude Oil remains under bearish pressure unless it breaks and closes above 6200. Traders should monitor this level closely for signs of rejection or breakout.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOIL SHORT SIGNAL|
✅CRUDE OIL made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance level
Of 59.80$ and we are already seeing
A bearish reaction so we are bearish
Biased and we can enter a short trade
With the TP of 58.10$ and the
SL of 59.93$
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Oil prices still face systemic downside risks.Although the geopolitical situation in the Middle East (the conflict between Israel and Iran) may support oil prices in the short term, market sentiment is still dominated by supply pressure. Technically, WTI has broken below the key support level of $60. The MACD death cross and the oversold RSI suggest that the bears are in the dominant position, and the next support level is expected to be $54.80. Barclays Bank has lowered its price forecast for Brent crude in 2025 to $66. Weak demand and the expectation of the resumption of shale oil production in the United States further suppress the medium - term trend.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Trading Strategy:
sell@58.8-59.1
TP:57.6-58.1
What adjustments will be made to oil prices?If traders don’t know how to trade, they can refer to the strategy of the Swing Trading Center. Earlier, it was announced to sell at 57.24. The lowest price reached around 56.3, and now the oil price has returned to 57.24. How to trade? If you are also confused, you can refer to the views of the Swing Trading Center.
At present, the supply of oil prices exceeds the demand, and some oil-producing countries will continue to increase the production of oil prices. The market has never recognized that oil will become a slow-selling product. Oil prices can be allowed to fall. But oil is not allowed to have no production capacity. I like this sentence.
Oil prices are expected to be mainly adjusted in the short term. The clear trading instructions have been announced in the Swing Trading Center. Stay tuned. Prevent missing good trading opportunities.
Crude oil, still bearishAs global supply increases and macro risks rise, the price downside range reappears. If tensions in the Middle East escalate further, it may cause market volatility. The original trend of rising first and then falling today, after the downhill new low, the rise continued, and there was pressure at 57.7. It is expected that there will be shocks and then declines. The original trend is still in a bearish trend, so we consider shorting as the main. Pay attention to the 57.7 resistance and 55.5 support.
After a period of fluctuation, it will continue to decline.WTI crude oil has recouped part of the decline from the sharp drop at the start of this week. It was quoted at $57.55 per barrel during intraday trading. OPEC+ has unexpectedly increased production again, and WTI crude oil has continued the bearish trend that has gradually taken shape since March. With the increase in global supply and the rise in macro risks, the downward price range has emerged once again. If the tensions in the Middle East escalate further, it may trigger market volatility. The eight core member states of the organization, led by Saudi Arabia, have agreed to increase daily production by 411,000 barrels in June, which is the same as the unexpected production increase in May. The cumulative production increase now exceeds 800,000 barrels per day, marking an important step towards canceling the target of the voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day that has been promised since 2022. Crude oil showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. After breaking through a new low, the upward movement continued. It faced resistance after reaching
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Oil is Doomed: Time to SELL (Part 2/3)Drill, Baby, Drill & Trump’s Oil Pressure
🇺🇸 Trump’s Oil Agenda
Trump wants cheap oil to bring down inflation and interest rates. His rallying cry? *“Drill, baby, drill.”*
That means: more drilling, more refining, more pipelines → more US oil flooding the global market.
💼 MAGA & Low Oil Prices
Trump believes cheap oil = strong economy . He also wants to pressure OPEC and Saudi Arabia to cut prices as a way to end the Russia-Ukraine war.
Flashback: In 2020, oil went negative ($-40!) when Saudi and Russia ramped production. History may rhyme again.
⚠️ Demand Problems
OPEC, IEA, EIA, Rystad — all lowering demand forecasts for 2025.
Even the most optimistic see demand growth at 1.2 million bpd , down from 1.85.
And that’s before green energy kicks in harder:
🔋 Solar & wind are now cheaper in 96% of the world.
🌍 Renewables are eating into fossil fuel demand.
WTI TRADE IDEAhello everyone
From the previous oil movement, the entry at 58.52 moved up by 80 pips before hitting breakeven. For the upcoming open market, if the trendline and support or resistance break out as shown on the M30 chart, it could signal an opportunity to enter the market.
Ensure strong confirmation before acting, and keep an eye on shifts in market structure.
Thanks a lot for your support & best of luck
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Analysis and Layout of Crude Oil at the Opening of the MarketThe international crude oil market has experienced intense fluctuations. Both Brent crude oil and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil have recorded significant declines, dropping by 8.31% and 7.58% respectively. The expectations of OPEC+ production increase, the trade concerns triggered by Trump, and the market's risk aversion sentiment due to the global economic slowdown have become the key factors dominating the trend of oil prices.
The crude oil has corrected and broken below the support line, and there is a high probability that the bearish trend will enter a further acceleration stage. After the initial rise followed by a fall, the demarcation line between the bulls and the bears is around 59.4. If it comes under pressure again, it will indicate the continuation of the future trend. The moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, and it is suppressed by the 30-day moving average. Objectively, the short-term trend direction remains downward. Next week, consider taking short positions around 59.4 and expect further decline.
Summary of the Crude Oil Market This WeekThis week, the crude oil market witnessed a significant decline. Brent crude oil dropped by a cumulative 8.3%, and WTI crude oil fell by 7.5%. Both recorded their largest single-week declines since the end of March.👉👉👉
OPEC+ convened a production meeting ahead of schedule and planned to discuss the production increase plan for June. The market bets that the probability of a production increase is as high as 70%. Previously, OPEC+ unexpectedly announced in April that it would increase daily production by 411,000 barrels starting from May, which is three times the original planned increase. This move aimed to punish member states that had overproduced oil. If production is further increased in June, it will further intensify the supply pressure on the market.
Although the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East region have intensified, such as the postponement of the fourth round of nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran, which has, to a certain extent, provided support for oil prices, judging from the overall market situation this week, this supporting effect has failed to offset the impact of increased supply and decreased demand.
Overall, this week, under the intertwined influence of factors such as increased supply, uncertain demand prospects, and changes in the geopolitical situation, the crude oil market showed a significant downward trend. The market's expectations for crude oil prices are rather pessimistic, and it is expected that crude oil prices will still face certain downward pressure in the coming period. However, if OPEC+ changes its production increase plan, or if there is an unexpected improvement in the global economy, crude oil prices may rebound.