US30 at Support Pre-FOMCUS30 (4H) Dow Jones Industrial at support. October high backed by the October high week close. Bulls need to hold this levels to remain constructive on this stretch.
US30 trade ideas
US30 Maybe Rallying for a reversal to begin a Bullish TrendUS30 rejected the 43300 support and is now above the weaker support of 43500.
For potential longs, look for price to retest the upper support of 43500 for a buy opportunity or for price to indicate a buy but to wick out on the trend line only to fall again.
For shorts look for price to fall bellow the current support line and retest it or for price to retest the upper area of the trend line.
Make sure to send me any comments or questions>
Dow Jones rebound Dow Jones is probably bottom as my indicator on the 1hr timeframe show that. This movement compare to nasdaq is bullish. a shift of liquidity from nasdaq to Dow ahead of FOMC today?
US30 Continuation w Sell Limit Prediction After US30 broke our major daily Trendline we foresee a continuation to the downside to keep riding it down, we will try to catch it on the retest to the 44.430 area. Sell limit placed now let’s see if the markets agree w our set up..
US30 Short Idea based on monthly-minute breakdownAfter thorough breakdown i see US30 diverging in the weekly & hourly TF, after that I measured the daily-weekly moving average and concluded that it has finished the average pip movement before usual daily retracements. So after deciding it will be bearish I’m looking for a bullish retracement in the 1min-15 min TF to the 45100 area where I’ll be looking to place my SELLS. TP targets have been set from TP1-TP6 (Make sure to set to break even after TP1 hits if deciding to swing trade). Bulls usually control December so I did mark up the possible bullish scenarios from the 1st 4 TPs. Let’s see if US30 can FEED US !!
US30 Bearish To Bullish Play for the WeekAfter following US30 on the way down through a beautiful 1hr-4hr TL we might finally be getting to our final target 43,550. Will look for a slight move to the upside touching the sell limit which will then propel back down for another bearish move, after reaching 43,550 I expect sideways movement consolidating for a couple days/weeks hopefully giving us a clear view for a bullish set up in the process. I expect a Major move back up potentially creating new highs into 2025. 43,550 is the end of the daily average move and it will meet with a weekly trendline as it hits the weekly support zone. Let’s see if the streak on US30 continues.. May the markets be w us..!
P.s only way I would switch my bearish outlook is if we break through 44,150 following a break through 44,300 into full bullish territory
Expecting windfall returns after another 2% down on DJI
As I analyze the charts of DJI and S&P300, a compelling narrative emerges. To establish a higher low, DJI needs to revisit its support level, approximately 2% lower from current levels, before the end of this month.
To gain more confidence in the overall market structure, I constructed an S&P300 index by selecting the top 300 volatile stocks from the S&P500, excluding the top 10 largest market capitalization stocks to minimize data skew.
The chart below displays two sets of candles: DJI (divided by 400 for scaling purposes) at the bottom and S&P300 at the top. Observing the S&P300 chart on a monthly timeframe reveals a notable pattern – most candles bottom out approximately 2% above their previous month's low.
Currently, the S&P300 price is still 4% above its previous month's low, indicating another 2% downturn is likely. Given the strong correlation between DJI and S&P300, it's reasonable to assume DJI will follow a similar path.
With this insight, traders can confidently prepare for potential trading opportunities, leveraging the anticipated 2% drop to their advantage.
# Key Takeaways:
- DJI needs to revisit its support level, approximately 2% lower from current levels, before the end of this month.
- S&P300 is likely to experience another 2% downturn based on its monthly chart pattern.
- Strong correlation between DJI and S&P300 suggests a similar price movement.
# Trading Strategy:
- Prepare to take trades at the anticipated support level, leveraging the expected 2% drop.
- Monitor the S&P300 chart for confirmation of the 2% downturn.
- Adjust trading strategies accordingly to optimize returns while minimizing risk.
Happy trading!!!
Checkout my other free indicator sangana beta table to see beta of stocks in a table all at once(works for S&P500 and Nifty 500).
Note: I am not a financial advisor. Do your own research before investing!!
US30 painting a beautiful downtrendUS30 Technical Analysis Report
December 16, 2024
Current Market Overview
The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently displaying a significant bearish bias, with multiple timeframe analysis supporting a continuation of the downward momentum. Current price: 43,886
Technical Analysis by Timeframe
Daily Timeframe (HTF)
Confirmed bearish market structure break at 44,392 (December 10, 2024)
Overall Higher Timeframe trend remains bearish
This break serves as a key reference point for the current bearish momentum
4-Hour Timeframe (H4)
Clear downtrend pattern formation
Current price action showing retracement to sweep buy/sell liquidity zones
Price action respecting the downward trendline range
Suggested entry level identified at 43,809
1-Hour Timeframe (H1)
Key resistance level identified at 44,058
Potential for temporary trend interruption if this level is breached
Currently operating within Asian session range boundaries
Key Trading Levels
Entry Target: 43,809
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 43,345
Extended Target (TP2): 42,890 (conditional on market alignment)
Key Resistance: 44,058
Previous Structure Break: 44,392
Volume Analysis
Current phase: Asian session (characterized by lower volume)
Critical observation period: New York session open
Anticipating increased volume and potential trend confirmation during NY hours
Risk Management Considerations
Primary trend remains bearish
Watch for potential temporary reversals at 44,058
Monitor NY session volume for trade confirmation
Consider partial position closure at TP1 (43,345)
Trading Session Context
Currently in Asian trading hours
Key decision point expected at NY session open
Volume expected to increase significantly during NY hours, providing better trade execution opportunities
Trade Strategy Summary
The overall strategy aligns with the bearish bias across multiple timeframes. Entry opportunities are being monitored at 43,809, with a structured approach to take profit levels. The New York session will be crucial for volume confirmation of the anticipated moves.
Note: This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All traders should conduct their own research and risk assessment before entering any positions.
9 Straight Down Days...and CountingHave you been paying attention to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ?
Today marks the 9th Consecutive day it is down
a record daily losing streak since get this,.. 1978.
Lead lower by the collapse of United Healthcare, down 20 %
(which I wrote to you about in my last TradingView post)
traders at the mighty New York Stock Exchange are starting to get very concerned.
With record investor and trader bullishness on stocks, paper asset class
and the Fed now willing to grease the skids with another factored in rate cut tomorrow,
the Dow is sending a clear warning that someone knows something you don't
THE_UNWIND
12/17/24
Woods of Connecticut
DOW Jones Industrial to bounce $44K targetMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is negative
Price bounced off 0.5 Fibonacci level
In at $43500
Target is $4400 or channel top
Stop loss is $43400
Do you think we might see a price correction for the US30?
Hi dears
I have set two target areas that I think are likely to be reached and touched.
What do you think? Do you think we predicted correctly?
US30 Intra-Week Analysis DEC 17th 2024US30 continued to make its way down to the 43400 Key Level after retracing from the new All-Time-High and supporting the FUD from an increase in interested rates. From this price point we can expect a decrease in volume resulting in consolidation as we approach Christmas and the new year. If we see a break above 43800 that will help support potential buys back to ATHs otherwise look out for a break below 43250 meaning selling momentum is still there.
Dow Jones Long & ShortDow Jones
MTF Analysis
Dow JonesYearly Demand 37779
Dow Jones 6 Month Demand 40077
Dow JonesQtrly Demand BUFL 40077
Dow JonesMonthly Demand 43325
Dow JonesWeekly Demand 42491
Dow JonesDaily Demand DMIP 43381
ENTRY -1 Long 43381
SL 42938
RISK 443
Target as per Entry 44800
Target Points 1,419
If Price Reverse from current level then 44800 Is the First Target
Expecting Correction at 44800
ENTRY -2 Short 44800
SL 45073
RISK 273
Target as per Entry 42500
Target Points 2,300
Dow Jones (US 30) Pullback to Channel SupportChart Analysis:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average remains firmly within an ascending channel (green zone), with the current price nearing key channel support after a pullback.
1️⃣ Ascending Channel:
The price continues to respect the upward-sloping channel, which has been intact since mid-August. The lower boundary, near 43,450, is a critical support level to monitor.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): The price is testing this level at 43,514, which aligns with the channel support, acting as confluence.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 40,705, reinforcing the broader bullish trend and serving as a long-term support zone.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Currently at 39.77, approaching oversold territory. A bounce from this level could signal renewed buying interest.
MACD: Bearish momentum persists, with the MACD line trending downward. However, traders may watch for signs of a crossover near support.
What to Watch:
A successful defense of the ascending channel support and 50-day SMA could provide a foundation for a rebound toward the channel's upper boundary.
If the support fails, the next significant area of interest would be the 42,000 level or the 200-day SMA near 40,705.
RSI movement and MACD signals will be key for confirming shifts in momentum.
The Dow remains within its bullish channel, but traders will be closely watching how price reacts to this critical support zone.
-MW
BTCUSDAn idea for long on BTCUSD, Liquidity grab, waiting for structure shift and a choch on lower TF to take an entry.
Santa abandons the Dow 30Buyers in the Dow Jones are likely frustrated given the recent gains in other stock indices, and as sellers are aggressively challenging the bullish uptrend, with the index nearly erasing all gains of its 5% rally off the November 19 low. As the price approaches a prior consolidation zone between 43,319 and 43,557, a reaction is likely, potentially forming a bottom and pushing higher as the December Santa rally begins. We maintain a bullish bias above 43,111, the November 20 low.
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US30 Possible Bullish ideaUS30 has been on a straight sell for the past 9days and finally is approaching a strong area of Resistance turned support and an ascending trendline on the higher TF. Seeing it has two ascending trendlines we will objectively look at it. If market respects the ascending trendline and the area of support turned resistance, we will execute a buy but if it breaks that level, we will continue a sell to the second trendline and area of resistance turned support.
Remember, objectivity is the rule of the game. The market lads, we follow.
US30 Completed a Stop Loss Hunt twice overnight to fall againUS30 completed two market sweeps to gain liquidity which is a good indication that price is most likely closer to its reversal point.
Market makers swept stop losses and buy stop orders at 43700 and 43800 last night only to push price lower. As I mentioned over the last week. Price is likely to go all the way to 43300 at which it will likely begin to reverse.
Before it reverses, expect there to be a time of consolidation. Wait for the breakout and retest before deciding to take along trade.
While in consolidation look for the range low and range high to set your intraday trades for smaller profits.
The Mystery Of The Dow Index..Here is an interesting trend trade swing opportunity. I already have my index quota filled although as US index long is not the worst of ideas. The trend trade in question is the Dow Jones (US30) which is technically setting up and awaiting a daily buy signal/bar.
Here is the interesting aspect. Why on earth is the DJI dropping for over a week back to averages while the SPY/SPX remains near ATHs? This divergence is creating the DJI trend trade but the fundamentals behind it need to be understood.
Both indices should be behaving similarly as they have for quite a while now but the recent divergence has to be due to a combination of risk factors which are just now aligning that way. Sector composition is different, right? S&P is heavy tech and growth while DJI is traditional large caps. But they should react the same way to the sentiment environment and FED cut expectations so what gives?
Maybe it is just tech. Tech is booming again with AI so it stands to reason that the S&P would hold an edge. Still, the environment is the same for traditional stocks and even if there should be a difference in gains, there surely shouldn't be a 100% divergence?
Maybe it is investor sentiment? Markets are all in on AI while traditional stocks are seeing pre holiday profit taking? Could be. Is the December H2 Santa rally around the corner and the DJI dip buy is in play? That's a lot of speculation for such a divergence.
Then we come to macro and this is where I think things begin to look different. Inflation has been coming in hot. But so has some other macro, macro that favours growth - and the FED cuts do to - so the S&P strength is probably warranted. The DJI is not so much about growth and probably more sensitive to inflationary pressures. I think that the inflation prints coming in hot may have been brushed off by the S&P and broader market, including the FED... but not by interest rate sensitive sectors of the DJI.
US30 SWING TRADE IDEA, FOR 16TH, DEC 2024.The Dow Jones Industrial (US30) is technically on an overall uptrend but currently recovering from a short-term downtrend retracement, with possible chances for an entry if an opportunity presents itself.
NB: All ideas are personal and probable Analysis for educational purposes, no accountability will be held if any loss is incurred. trade carefully and responsibly because the markets are risky walk wisely.
US30Market still in the bearish trend, if any reversal pattern occur at the support zone will go long with the main direction..
Follow for more analysis!!!!!
Thank you!!!!!
US30/DOW - LONG OPPORTUNITYTeam, the DOW is about to breakout, good entry
PREPARE TO ENTER LONG US30/DOW at 43610-15
STOP LOSS AT 45555
TARGET 1 AT 43667-75 - take partial and bring stop loss to BE
TARGET 2 AT 43736-52
TARGET 3 AT 43825
