VIX trade ideas
VIX can be a good tool for crypto tradingThe VIX ( Cboe Volatility Index ) is objectively considered the best volatility index in the U.S. market. Increasing values indicate increasing volatility, decreasing values indicate decreasing volatility. Thus, near particularly important events, the VIX tends to rise while it tends to fall near periods considered objectively calm for the markets.
Bitcoin historically has a correlation index greater than 0.6 with the NASDAQ whose volatility is well represented by the VIX . It is therefore simple to conclude that a correct volatility index with regard to the crypto world may be the Cboe Volatility Index ( VIX ). This is because altcoins are correlated with BTC with an index above the average 0.9.
So when the VIX goes up it is presumable to expect major movements for the crypto sector as well, conversely there will be flat calm for low values. Traders who work through volatility with reversal or range strategies should wait until the VIX reaches values above 30 points to trade. Conversely, those working with directionality might be wise to wait for values below 20 to set up intraday trades.
Volatility S&P 500 Index, Daily, The Upcoming Market Crash?I think that in mid-November we may be dealing with a stock market crash. Let's take a look at the volatility index of the S&P 500 stock index. The analogy of 2008 has been fulfilling almost perfectly so far. If it continues, the price should completely fill the gap and rebound from the green zone. If we break the red zone, I would expect a rebound from the newly created flip zone (gray box on the chart) and a dynamic increase in volatility. Volatility means big drops or big gains. In the current macroeconomic situation, it is difficult to think about dynamic increases, especially this winter. The potential trade on VIX to rebound from the green zone and break through the peaks from March 2020 has as much as a 20:1 risk-reward ratio (SL under the zone). I am sure there will be even more great opportunities for this scenario on shorting, i.e., SP500, Nasdaq 100 or DAX.
VIX D1: Setting up for 150% BURST TP 38/ 40 (SWING)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview?
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VIX D1: Setting up for 150% BURST TP 38/ 40 (SWING)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
Tagged as LONG because I expect PUMP soon.
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: VIX D1 chart market overview/outlook
::: revised/updated outlook
::: buy VIX March 2023 calls
::: near 14/15 expecting reversal
::: setup still valid as of today
::: repeating pattern from the past
::: compression into XABCD BULLS pattern
::: before 150% massive PUMP
::: already repeated twice
::: 2017 and 2019
::: also liquidity near GAP FILL ZONE
::: GAP getting filled then we PUMP
::: XABCD BULLS / point D / PRZ near 14/15
::: Until FED slow drift lower
::: near 14/125final LOW / get ready to BUY LOW
::: we are setting up for 150% PUMP
::: it's a slow process BUT expect FAST reversal
::: then get ready to SHIFT to BULL MODE
::: SWING trade setup do not expect
::: BUY/HOLD setup for patient traders
::: fast/miracle overnights gains here
::: good luck traders
🔸 Supply/Demand Zones
::: N/A
::: N/A
🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies
::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A
::: Sentiment short-term: BEARS/correction mode
::: Sentiment outlook mid-term: BULLS/150% GAINS
::: Technical structure: XABCD BULLS
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Crypto, Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Not In The Clear Just Yet... 🚨👀Taking a look at possibly the 3 most important charts for any trader; VIX, SPX, and USD 🔮
With a massive rebound in equities, crypto, risk assets, we're seeing much chatter that "the bottom is in".
Although we've made some nice trades in this week's pump, we don't think we're in the clear just yet.🥶
You don't have to look too far either.
Looking at the VIX 1W chart. We can see we are approaching a sure-fire support level with a rebound all but guaranteed if you're just looking at the chart.
Line this up with the SPX 1W chart, and you'll see we're approaching significant resistance at the same time.
Combine these two with a bullish trending US dollar, and you have the perfect recipe for another leg down.📉
Now we can certainly push up further. We would almost expect it.
However, to say the "bottom is in" would be naive.
As always, we'll continue to look for intraday setups, but mid to long term we remain bearish.
Stay safe and happy trading!
-TucciNomics
Chief Overlord, AlgoBuddy
#VIX - Time for volatility to return?Keep an eye on vix holding onto the lower end of this triangle, might be worth a short term punt as you can keep your stop relatively tight. With SPY moving to new highs, vix hasn't managed to make a new low, so this divergency might giving us a clue. Some divergence seen on RSI of the VIX chart as well as things stand as they are today
Market Update 11/30/22 Timestamps BelowReal support for Vix is below at 19.8 and 19.4 with the strong trend line at 17.6. Though Powell did have bullish comments today, the price movement of the VIX supported the likelihood of a market move upwards more so than a market move down.
Time Stamps:
VIX 0:00
APPL 11:00
NASDAQ 14:39
DXY 15:40
BTC 16:50
SPY & DJI 18:22
VIX - falling wedge - bullishFalling wedge: Bullish break-out potentially could happen soon.
Graph shows also some timeframes/period from bottom to peak.
Read line is the delta "VIX9D-VIX3M".
Bottom of VIX reached when "VIX9D-VIX3M" bottoms (or close to).
Better to see, when enlarging the area of VIX and VIX9D-VIX3M.
Hope the graph explains more than my words.
VIX continues to show signs of a stock market topIf we capture the lows in 2018 (VERY ACCURATELY) we can see we are on pace to bounce off that bullish trend line
Trend on the VIX shows we are making higher highs and lower highs
Mid to early 2023 we should bounce off that trend line (few months of sideways price action on VIX) AND IF THE MARKET CONTINUES TO GO HIGHER AND THE VIX HOLDS THAT TREND LINE THAT WOULD BE A GREAT CONFIRMATION THAT YOU SHOULD GO SHORT.
Devils Advocate: If we break that uptrend on the VIX that its the start to a healthy bull run & now I am broke because I over leveraged on short positions.
lol