VIX Next MoveVolatility Index moving in down trend since 13 October. Index reached important level (Daily EMA 200 and MA 200 )and now it's time to decide which direction.
VIX trade ideas
VIX vs BTCOkay can someone explain this to me ? I guess not, Because I know that this can't be explained - and worst is - mathematicians have proofs of life being a "thing" made out of fractals - literally everywhere and between everything.
Well, back to markets - here We can See the Daily chart BTC fractal on the 1h timeframe of BTC - and also on the 1h timeframe of VIX - vis has played out nicely ( have posted about this fractal last week)
Now let's see if it leads us to low 19k on BTC.
VIX - Sentiment's unchangedVIX has been replicating 2008's sentiment 1:1. And has now retested the bottom - Ofcourse it can still consolidate or visit some local new lows but overall the idea is to keep this range - and go for the final blow.
Bearist for stocks.
Vix bounce to 28Closed in on 25 support area.
I'm displaying the BBands to show how it's candle is outside, you'll have to go back to Aug 2020 . If the vix bounces the market tanks. SIMPLE
VIX: Double Top + Broken Trend LineThe volatility index looks bearish in my view.
Bearish divergence on the daily
Double top
Cross down on the MACD
Broke the diagonal uptrend level of support
Targets that I am looking at are 23 and 20.
Getting closer to end of the triangleAlmost to the end of the triangle which ends in early 2023. Im sure it will break out before that as Fed continues to increase interest rates until something breaks. Looks like it is forming an inverted head and shoulders within the triangle.
Risk for Stocks increasing again $VIX $DJI
$VIX in middle of range, normal for now
RSI RARELY oversold
Maybe 1x per year & we're @ lower end
$DJI Comparison to last peak
In overbought territory
"2.5% upside" - ??? downside
Reducing longs
Our LARGEST position $TWTR = cash now
As we go higher raising more cash again
VIX Bullish ContinuationThe study of volatility is one of the most important factors of market analysis. I predict we will see more volatility breakdown for a short period of time until we fall to the RSI support zone. This support zone goes all the way back to March 2022.
After this we will retest the highs of around 34. A new analysis will be completed if this target is hit.
I think I have cracked the code for the action on the VIX!This idea illustrates a repetitive pattern which occurs during recession/bear markets. First sign is the VIX keeps basing higher and higher then you get a well defined resistance line going back to the base line BEFORE the crash which coincides with the end of the bear market. Then you get multiple retracements on the VIX which are all shorting opportunities!!
I hope you benefit from this idea!
Peace
VIX - Look look !Well.. actually nothing to see here. All goes 100% as expected and expecting a bounce up from the circled area. Additionally I have underlined TrendExhaustion and RSi as they are showing signs of exhaustion - Bearish for stocks !!!
Vix to 25 Falling wedge has turned into a bear channel. Has some support at 27 where we might dead cat before heading to 25
VIX interesting fractalI have checked the amount of days from Mar 2020 first spike to the main low of this VIX smile, its 491d
If counting from the same low day 491d it comes to Nov 2nd! give it plus one day in case I should of start from the following day of the mid low.
Very interesting timing.
Also week of Nov 7th is a cycle panic week...
Im only looking up in VIX
2X 4HR VIX ANALYSIS (200 EMA) (NEXT STOP BEFORE RUN !?)The Vix is the end all be all for stock once it spikes up. AS we look at previous cycles and price action we can see The vix is at a key level where it took off from october 22nd and september 22nd. If we get a reject or bullish confirmation look for the market to sell off because if volatility stays above 35 mark off buy areas for your favorite stocks and get ready to load puts stocks will discount way more!
VIX - Still in the gameVIX is consolidating at very high levels - bounced off of the double top neck - possibly will plan to fill the weekend gap now - If we break to the downside - then 2008's scenario is still in the game and we revisit double top's target.
If we keep going uip and break that htf and ltf curve - we head into unknown territory with sky being the limit.
VIX at potential reversal zone, yet NASDAQ/BTC/SPX looks bullishThe VIX is at a potential reversal zone, which is alarming, considering the NASDAQ is confidently bullish presently.
VorheesIn July I posted a prediction that VIX would break down August 1st and my target at the time was 14-15. However, it is known that the V is for Vorhees, he doesn't stay down and controlled for long, bullish Navaro200 nested in larger bullish Navaro - as well as harmonic on the stochastic (and severely oversold) - indicates we will see a spike in the coming weeks to the 0.618... Expectations:
- Activation level is 21.18, if closes above that expect explosive spike to 24 minimum but likely 29-30
- If fails to activate then it could continue down to 14-16 level but that would be awkward with the SPY showing signs of near-term pullback on a wave 4 following this local blowout top (should see the downside begin early to mid week (16th seems most likely)
- If activates and hits 29-30, will likely bullback to retest 24 in sychronicity with SPY wave 5 late August/early Sep.
- After this it has the setup to breakout temporarily through the equilibrium point where supply = demand (around Sep 26 2022) - this would be in syncronicity with an ABC corrective wave in the SPY before it begins larger degree wave II
- Depending on the extent of SPY ABC (i.e. 0.5 or 0.618, or 0.786), VIX goal target in early October is 36-47 (possibly even 51).. It will die again from there like Friday the 13th and likely around Halloween.
Last part is a joke but the rest is no cap.
Playing Aug 26 VXX calls for exposure to this move, will sell when VIX hits 29-30 and then re-enter October calls upon a realized bounce at 24 end of August.
#NoTfInAnCiAlAdViCe
Vix on life supportStill showing a falling wedge but yesterday Close beneath the daily 21ema and out of uptrend which is bearish.
Also the falling wedge would then turn into a double top if we break support wedge support or purple line.
If Vix is a double top and it breaks support then the vix is heading to 25 white line. Which means the Markets could have a bear rally through next week.
VIX is at DemandMust hold here! should explode soon imo
Staying elevated for a while, next stop wont be at 35 level but 45+
VIX is still in a setup to blow off the top move to above 65+Im still very bullish on VIC and want to see 2x on VIX at min, ideally we get even 2.5-3x
VIX OPEX is behind us and monthly will come tomorrow, after that we are free to move in a wider range and have new levels to be seen.
Nov is a panic month!
VIX looking for breakout today or tomorrowVIX is looking like its getting ready to break out of the falling wedge it's been trending in
I could see it breaking out before EOD or early tomorrow at open
Other supporting technicals are pointed out on the chart
Fake move on VIX? #VIXHi Everyone!
Looks like VIX wanted to move higher but faked it (double top pattern, RSI confirmation).
My target is low 20's.
Look for a relief in stocks.
VIX - to the dotVIX still doing what is expected - it crossed both lines and now is forming a double top which will lead into a small relief in the stock market - just like the fractal shows - we should retest that lower area before going into infinity.
