SETs week candle closed above the support and resistance
Even if the week held above support and resistance, it ended with an evening star pattern in day and heading to TF 115 min, the week ended with a shaved bottom candle.
So all in all, next week its up to the matadors to get the bulls moving, because the bears is starting to waking up from their hibernation.
SET trade ideas
SET index on the 1H time-frameSET index on the 1H time-frame.
Steps:
1. The price hit the resistance line and closed to Fibonacci level 261.8% then throw back to the support line at 1553 to 1560
2. If the price breakout 1553 then will be running to 1529 first.
3. If the price can not breakout the support line then it still keep running an uptrend.
SET index on the 1H time-frameSET index on the 1H time-frame.
Steps:
1. The price hit the resistance line and closed to Fibonacci level 261.8% then throw back to be created the higher low and still confirm an uptrend.
2. If the price breakout the previous low at 1555 then will be reversal pattern.
3. Keep waiting for take an action.
Wave analysis on SET(Thai stock market)As the global economy is expected to recover from COVID-19 pandemic, Thai stock market has also started to gain its strength.
In this post, I am sharing my wave analysis and Elliot count on SET, Stock Exchange of Thailand, starting with monthly chart to grasp the big picture of the market.
Monthly chart
The following chart illustrates major financial crisis during this 20-25 years.
Looking at the post-Lehman crisis period, 5 wave bullish trend seems to have been finished with the 3 corrective waves; ABC as indicated with black wave and it bounced from black trend line.
Weekly chart
Price plunge due to COVID-19 pandemic ended around 970THB, where the market turned the way upward. Now it seems to form the third wave as indicated with purple waves.
Whether Thai stock market really regains its strength like pre-VIX crisis period depends on if the price can exceed lower high of weekly chart(purple dotted line). If going above the line, the market would have a chance to try record high, which is 2018 peak.
Daily chart
Looking at the daily chart, we can see that the first wave of weekly chart consists of 5 bullish wave of daily chart and it looks like the market has been forming a third wave of weekly third wave.
The next challenge would be if the price can go above the resistance line at 1600THB, which is also capped by 200 week SMA(light purple MA).
According to Bangkok Post, foreign investors in SET turned net buyers in Nov 10,2020 which contributed SET price surge. Foreign investors buy is also a key to break the ceiling.
SET on the 1H time-frameSET on the 1H time-frame.
Steps:
1. The price created the higher low and breakout the previous high to confirmed the reversal pattern.
2. TP1: 1561 and TP2: 1612
3. Now the price created double top and divergence is happened by the MACD which is the 1st step of the reversal pattern.
SET index on the 1H time-frameSET index on the 1H time-frame.
Steps:
1. The price created double top at the resistance line and breakout the previous low to confirmed the reversal pattern.
2. If the price create the lower high by the next MACD (+) then the TP of downtrend are 1477 and 1457 accordingly.