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CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T Note

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TNX.P trade ideas

Never mind the taper tantrum: Buy GoldAfter a long downtrend that is starting to look like a bull-flag type pattern, gold has reached a historically important level - which has corresponded with multiple inflection points since 2011 (including March 2020). Gold has a clear negative relationship with 10 year rates - which are also at a key historical inflection point in a sharp rise amid a multi-year secular downtrend. Rates are already rejecting hard off a key fib level (red line), and we should expect them to go down in the coming months. Furthermore, the 10-year RSI is at historically high levels. Previous iterations over 70 have usually corresponded with the start of major declines in 10-year rates. All these factors together suggest now is the time to go long on Gold.
TVC:TNXLong
by dtingbudong
1
Through The Roof...This will not stop until the entire market accepts the idea that yields will be high forever. I think 10Y will blow past 3%. Even 3.5 .. 4% are possible. The trend is ready to blow-up. Usually, once waves 1-2-1-2 are completed, wave 3-of-3 happens really fast: almost instantly compared to the rest of the move. I estimate the yellow 3 completed by end of April, yellow 5 end May, and some follow up in summer in the final green wave 5. Expect a real crash in stocks starting next week, and through entire March and April: should correlate heavily with the development of wave 3 in Treasuries. While many expect stocks to crash, very few expect the dollar to move. The world is still at an all-time record heavy short on DXY, because of the prevailing belief that "the dollar is too strong and can only weaken from here." Wave 3-of-3 in Treasuries and Stocks will force the market to abandon this idea. The rush into the dollar will be unprecedented.
TVC:TNXLong
by AndyM
6
TNX 10-year ratesam.jpmorgan.com The Federal Reserve (Fed) announced on April 1, 2020 that it would temporarily exclude U.S. Treasuries (USTs) and banks’ deposits with the Fed (Fed deposits) from its calculation of banks’ supplementary leverage ratio or SLR. The action is the latest aggressive measure by the Fed to help ensure the flow of risk and liquidity through the financial system. It is set to last until March 31, 2021. Below are some frequently asked questions relevant to liquidity investors about the new rule.
TVC:TNXShort
by UPnDowns
US-MARKETS: 4-MAJOR INFLUENCERS10 yr Yield expected LOWER, RISK-ON after conformation. BUYING STRATEGY: Take 50% profit at 50% of previous WAVE (just do it) and place stop at purchase price. IF price reverses lower YOUR EVEN,.... IF price continues UP-TREND then, re-buy at NEXT CORRECTIVE WAVE. This is actually a very aggressive strategy for going in early that is why 50% "hedge" PROFIT is taken EARLY in the TRADE. Combining ELLIOTT WAVE and THIS strategy , has SAVED my account 3-TMES during the past 3-weeks.
TVC:TNXLong
by wolffarchitecture