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CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T Note

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TNX.P trade ideas

Gold Intraday Trade ideaMajor resistance - $1188 Major support - $1152 (200- H MA) The yellow metal has made a high of $1183 and declined sharply from that level. It is currently trading around $1174. US 10- year bond yield shown a slight jump till 2.42% from low of 2.34% after US Non farm payrolls.The yield is trading slightly below 2.45% (200- HMA) and a break above confirms 2.52%. It is currently trading around 2.42%. Gold major resistance is around $1188 (Dec 5th high) and any break above targets $1200 in the short term. On the lower side, immediate support is around $1172 (60- H EMA) and any indicative break below targets $1161 (61.8% retracement of $1145 and $1188)/$1156 (200- HMA). It is good to sell on rallies around $1175-77 with SL around $1185 for the TP of $1161/$1156.
TVC:TNX
by FxWirePro
US 10Y Yield. The US 10Y yield has been in a downtrend for an extremely long time (further back that this data shows). We could be capped at between 2.5-3% from here on in and the yield suggests that future interest rates are going to remain low. Well, the expectations theory says that long-term rates embed a prediction of future short-term rates. So we could imply from this that we could see a rate rise in December. However, after, we could see risk off behaviour on bond buying which could send the yields heading back closer to 0.
TVC:TNX
by DavidBelleFX
Short US10Y Yield (long 10Y bond)I feel as though bond buying is going to commence again. The risk on behaviour is hugely unfounded. The only caveat is that Yellen has almost completely said there will be a hike in December. This would obviously be bullish yields. I dont necessarily think it is the right move, as this will deleverage equity indices, which I think are very fragile still as well. If you look at the downtrend that yields have been in, it would be foolish to expect that it would break here, considering the trend has lasted for 8 years. Now that I have said that I'll probably end up eating my words.
TVC:TNXShort
by DavidBelleFX
2
US 10-year yield at major crossroadsThe TNX should be watched very closely next week as the daily chart currently indicates a high risk of seeing another bond rally in the wake of the latest US employment figures (which weren't all that bad). If doubts over a possible Fed rate hike towards the end of the year strengthen in September, the 10-year yield could fall back to it's historical lows, reached earlier this summer. This trade setup currently suggests that so long as the TNX trades sub 1.65%, bond prices are likely to rebound in September. The other scenario would consist in prices breaking support, perhaps in the wake of hawkish comments by FOMC participants, leading to a new period of rising rates similar to that which we saw in 2013 and 2015.
TVC:TNX
by ABRAK75
Update: 10 Year T-Note Yield: Rates Fell From 1.64% To 1.56%This is an update to a chart I published yesterday (Sunday) for 10 Year T-Note Yields. Because the Fed struck fear in to the credit markets last Friday, I maintained that rates were not going to spike. Why? The charts I looked at had digested the Fed-Speak and didn't show much conviction. This is a 30 minute chart for-TNX. You can see that rates have fallen. Here is what I see on this chart: 1. Rates are coming back from a news induced event. 2. Alligator jaws now feeding in down-trend. 3. Chop indicator (under chart) (this indicates a trend or choppy action) is below the 38.2 shaded area, indicating a trending asset , which is trending DOWN. 4. Phase energy (lower top indicator) is heading lower (multiple consecutive red bars and the action is BELOW the zero line). 5. Momentum (middle top indicator) is the 5/34 measure, and this is heading sideways to DOWN. 6. Prices are trading into the Ichimoku Cloud . 7. Prices are trading below the thick red Ichimoku Cloud conversion line. 8. Prices are trading below the Ki jun-Sen baseline of the Ichimoku Cloud. So, believe it or not, the sky is not falling. Not yet, any way. Good luck to you. Don.
TVC:TNXShort
by 649bruno
TNX: 10 Year T-Note Yield Headed Higher? The Jury Is OutYes, the Fed has spoken. Halloween came early and the sky was falling. I don't think the 10 Year T-Note Yield is going much higher. The Federal Reserve doesn't control the front end on the curve. The market does. I still remain bullish on bonds and-TLT. The above chart is still in a down trend channel. The CHOP is high (indicator under the chart), but is back in the shaded area below 61.8. Look, Friday was a good cop bad cop Fed speak mumbo jumbo gumbo. The markets don't have clear direction. So, I will think rates are going higher ONLY IF yields break the down trend channel to the upside. If the Fed does raise rates - this will most likely have very negative effects on all markets, especially foreign. I don't think they will. So don't panic. Follow your charts. They will know when. Right now I think rates head lower. Good luck to you. Don.
TVC:TNXShort
by 649bruno
TNX: 10 Year T-Note Yield: Longer Term View Is LowerThis is the longer term view (daily chart) for the 10 Year T-Note Yield. It is heading lower. I would change my opinion if.... 1. The yield trades above the Ichimoku Cloud; 2. The 89 day moving average turns up; 3. The Alligator jaws open and feed in the up-trend. 4. The red border on the top of the cloud switches and becomes green (indicating a positive trend). 5. The yield breaches the down-trend channel to the upside. Until then, it is my opinion that 10 Year T-Note yields will head lower. Good luck to you in all your trades. Don.
TVC:TNXShort
by 649bruno
Summer Doldrums: 10 Year T-Note Yield: Clues For Trades, Part 2Part 2 of 2. This is a close-up of chart one, just the past 30 days. It is summer and volumes are low. 10 Year T-Note yields are in a tight trading range, from 1.59 to 1.49, and volumes can put you to sleep. Add to the mix the Federal Reserve regional commentary, some hawkish, some dovish - And you have all the conditions for whip-saw action. So, whether it's currencies-bonds-stocks-gold-REIT-etc. Light volumes and excessive pivot swings may "goof-up" your trade. Pay attention to daily and weekly charts when trading a 15 minute/ 30 minute chart. Knowing the longer trend is critical. Good luck to you with your trades. Don.
TVC:TNXShort
by 649bruno