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CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T Note

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Which Way Are U.S. Interest Rates Heading? Down.This chart is part one of two. I wish to show you the INVERSE relationship of falling yields and the bullish pattern in-TLT. (The chart for-TLT published next). There is a lot of down-side pressure in this chart. A falling Ichimoku cloud , a sinking 89 day moving average , and a regression trend channel that is solidly DOWN. In my opinion the 10 Year T-Note yield will soon sink to 1.40, then 1.25. This should fuel-TLT to continued bullish highs. Good luck to you. Don.
TVC:TNXShort
by 649bruno
Falling US 10 Year T-Note Yield Vs Easterly Govt Properties: DEAEasterly Government Properties-DEA. Another strong INVERSE relationship. Here is another example of CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fall and real estate assets rise. Easterly Government Properties, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company is focused primarily on the acquisition, development and management of Class A commercial properties that are leased to the United States Government agencies, such as the Drug Enforcement Administration, Federal Bureau of Investigation, Internal Revenue Service, Patent and Trademark Office, Customs and Border Protection, U.S. Forest Service, Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and Department of Transportation. The Company owns approximately 40 properties in the United States, encompassing over 2.6 million square-feet in the aggregate. They also currently pay a 4.49% dividend. I ask you to compare both channels on the above chart. There is a direct correlation between the falling yield and the rising stock price. This is the INVERSE RELATIONSHIP you should be looking for. DEA-had a secondary public offering (of 6.1M shares at $18) on 06-02-2016. The last close was $20.49. I have to conclude the offering was well received. As always, good luck to you. Don.
TVC:TNXLong
by 649bruno
Falling US 10 Year T-Note Yield Vs Caretrust REIT: CTRECaretrust REIT. Another strong INVERSE relationship. Here is another example of CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fall and real estate assets rise. CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a self-administered, self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company is primarily engaged in the ownership, acquisition and leasing of healthcare-related properties. The Company's segment consists of investments in healthcare-related real estate assets. They also currently pay a 4.71% dividend. Their earnings are due to be reported 08-08-2016. I ask you to compare both channels on the above chart. There is a direct correlation between the falling yield and the rising stock price. As always, good luck to you. Don.
TVC:TNXLong
by 649bruno
Falling US 10 Year T-Note Yield Vs Rexford Indust Realty: REXR Another strong INVERSE relationship. Look at REXR-Rexford Industrial Realty. Here is another example of CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fall and real estate assets rise. Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed full-service real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company is focused on owning, operating and acquiring industrial properties in Southern California infill markets. The Company's consolidated portfolio consists of approximately 119 properties with over 12.0 million rentable square-feet. They also currently pay a 2.36% dividend. Their earnings are due to be reported 08-03-2016. I ask you to compare both channels on the above chart. There is a direct correlation between the falling yield and the rising stock price. As always, good luck to you. Don.
TVC:TNXLong
by 649bruno
SDY: S&P SPDR Hi-Dividend ETF Vs Falling 10 Year T-Note YieldAnother strong INVERSE relationship. Look at SDY-the S&P-Hi-Dividend-ETF. Here is another example of CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fall and dividends become important. SDY-seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the total return performance of the S&P-High Yield Dividend Aristocrats Index. The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index is designed to measure the performance of the highest dividend yielding S&P-Composite 1500 Index constituents that have followed a managed-dividends policy of consistently increasing dividends every year for at least 20 consecutive years. The fund is non-diversified. If the 10 Year T-Note yield is falling, the SDY-should be an inverse trade, and the SDY-ETF should keep grinding higher. As always, good luck to you. Don.
TVC:TNXLong
by 649bruno
Realty Income Corp (O): Falling US 10 Year T-Note Yield Vs "O"Another strong INVERSE relationship. Look at O-Realty Income Corp. Here is another example of CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fall and real estate assets rise. Caution: O-continues to rise because it has a sound business plan. So falling rates alone will not save a poorly run company. But it sure will enhance a company such as-Realty Income Corp. They also currently pay a 3.38% dividend. As always, good luck to you. Don.
TVC:TNXLong
by 649bruno
XLF: Falling US 10 Year T-Note Yield Vs XLF (Banks)With the S&P-500 at all time highs, have you ever wondered why financials are lagging? Many people bought bank shares last year because they were cheap. Guess what? They got cheaper. This is a comparison of-XLF and the falling yield for 10 year T-Notes. This is a a NON-INVERS E relationship. If yields keep falling, banks will have a very hard time making money on interest rate spreads. Some regional banks may buck this trend, but I believe most will not. If crude slips below $40 per barrell, many banks will have non-performing loans with oil companies. My conclusion, XLF-grinds lower as 10 year T-Bill yields continue to fall. Good luck to you with all of your trades. Don.
TVC:TNXShort
by 649bruno
Falling US 10 Year T-Note Yield Vs Silver (SLV)Inverse relationship installment number 5. I thought I would show you an INVERSE relationship between silver-and-falling rates. It is not nearly as strong as-gold . In quality engineering we would call this a problem with the "signal to noise ratio". The signal would be the falling 10 year yield, but the noise is that silver-doesn't rally as well as-gold. In April rates FELL but silver-also went lower. Just before May 1st yields rose and silver-rose. Not exactly an INVERSE relationship - so I wouldn't use one to help predict the other. Since mid-May silver-has demonstrated an INVERSE relationship with falling yields - but, as I said, not as strong as-gold. Good luck to you in your trades. Don.
TVC:TNXLong
by 649bruno
Falling US 10 Year T-Note Yield Vs Terreno Reality (TRNO)Inverse relationship example number 4. One tool I use to position myself, long or short, is any strong correlation in the 10 Year Treasury Note yield and an interest sensitive asset. Look at Terreno-Reality. There is a CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fall and real estate assets rise. Caution: TRNO-is also rising because it has a sound business plan. So falling rates alone will not save a poorly run company. But it sure will enhance a company such as-TRNO. This is why I have been long TRNO-many times. One other thing. The stocks I have featured, ADC-TRNO-MNR, all have great dividend yields as well as great earnings . This would be one reason why the INVERSE relationship is so strong. Martin Zweig taught all of us to NEVER FIGHT THE TAPE. I don't. When I see a good harmonic pattern or a STRONG INVERSE RELATIONSHIP I act on it. As always, good luck to you.
TVC:TNXLong
by 649bruno
Falling US 10 Year T-Note Yield Vs Monmouth Reality (MNR) Inverse relationships installment number 3. One more time - One tool I use to position myself, long or short, is any strong correlation in the 10 Year Treasury Note yield and an interest sensitive asset. Look at Monmouth-Reality. There is a CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fall and real estate assets rise. Caution: MNR-is also rising because it has a sound business plan. So falling rates alone will not save a poorly run company. But it sure will enhance a company such as-MNR. This is why I have been long MNR-many times. As always, good luck to you.
TVC:TNXLong
by 649bruno
Falling US 10 Year T-Note Yield Vs Gold (GLD)Inverse Relationships Installment 2. One tool I use to position myself, long or short, is any strong correlation in the 10 Year Treasury Note yield and an interest sensitive asset. Look at-Gold. There is a CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fell and gold-began to breakout to the upside. This is why I have been long gold-SWC-HL-GORO-GDX-many times. My advice is to look for INVERSE relations and strong correlations in opposite directions. It will give you an early warning for market turns. As always, good luck to you. Don.
TVC:TNXLong
by 649bruno
Falling US 10 Year T-Note Yield Vs Agree Reality (ADC)One tool I use to position myself, long or short, is any strong correlation in the 10 Year Treasury Note yield and an interest sensitive asset. Look at Agree Reality. There is a CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fall and real estate assets rise. Caution: ADC-is also rising because it has a sound business plan. So falling rates alone will not save a poorly run company. But it sure will enhance a company such as-ADC. This is why I have been long ADC-many times. I think it's due for a pullback to $49, and then the uptrend should continue. As always, good luck to you.
TVC:TNXLong
by 649bruno
Falling US Interest Rates Vs XME (Metals & Mining)Today's THREE key words continue to be: INVERSE. CAUSE & EFFECT. Last week I published a VERY BULLISH CHART FOR-XME. I explained that-XME would breakout to the upside.. This article will try to explain the WHY. The CBOE-10 year Treasury Note Yield (above chart) is LOCKED IN A STRONG DOWN-TREND. This has an INVERSE relationship for price action in-XME. For those of you who read my contributions, I have recommended real estate-TLT-Gold-and other Metals. As interest rates keep falling just ask yourself "What asset classes directly benefit from falling rates?" Or, in other words, if falling rates are the CAUSE, then-XME rising is the EFFECT because-XME is the INVERSE of lower rates. Warning-XME has gone up a lot and is due for a pullback. If you plan to trade metals why not look at both XME-and-TNX to help you in your timing? Good luck to you. Don.
TVC:TNXLong
by 649bruno
Falling US Interest Rates-What It Means For Your Trades, Part 1Today's THREE key words: INVERSE. CAUSE & EFFECT. Yesterday I published a VERY BULLISH CHART FOR-TLT. I explained the WHAT (TLT-to rise). This article will try to explain the WHY. The CBOE-10 year Treasury Note Yield (above chart) is LOCKED IN A STRONG DOWN-TREND. This has an INVERSE relationship for price action in-TLT. As a former quality engineer I would explain it like this: If you eat too much food (CAUSE) you will gain weight (EFFECT). If interest rates are falling (CAUSE), then-TLT will rise (EFFECT). These two things have an INVERSE relationship. For those of you who read my contributions, I have recommended real estate-TLT-Gold-and other Metals. As interest rates keep falling just ask yourself "What asset classes directly benefit from falling rates?" Or, in other words, if falling rates are the CAUSE, then-TLT rising is the EFFECT because-TLT is the INVERSE of lower rates. After you look at the above chart, please take the time to review Part 2 of-TLT vs the 10 year yield. Part 2 is the chart of-TLT. You will see my examples as to the CAUSE, EFFECT, and the INVERSE relationship of falling rates vs-TLT. You will see that the trend-line channel for-TLT is not down, as you see on this chart. It is the exact opposite, or INVERSE. Now ask yourself the question "Do falling US rates have the possibility to affect my trades?" Good luck to you. Don.
TVC:TNXShort
by 649bruno