VIX LONG OPTION TRADE (Jan 15)VIX is at key support. The pattern indicates a move to 14ish by the 3rd day is likely. Option is (24th Jan $14 C) Buy after Open on Monday
VIX trade ideas
Flight preparation?VIX has a long gun loading time.
But right now, two oscillators on the weekly chart look very bullish at once.
It would be strange if within a month the gun didn't start firing upwards.
Ok, I can't tell you the exact time frame, probably some day in the fall it will happen.
For comparison, I've indicated similar patterns for winter 2020.
But now the oversold is much more severe according to WT_CROSS.
🔄🌐 Preparing for Market Shifts - Time for Forex 💹🔍8+8 Risks🔄 Preparing for Market Shifts - Time for Forex 🔄
In 2023 I was very much focused on Crypto and especially Bitcoin. It ended upbeing a Great decision.
Bitcoin remains my favorite asset but as a Trader i need to make the first decision right:
What shall i focus on Trading now?
Well, looking at the VIX a shift in our navigational charts could be prudent.
Changing 'Market conditions'? Very likely inbound. Yes...
🌊 Navigating Calm VIX Seas - The Calm Before the Storm 🌊
The unassuming lull on the VIX, marked by a sub-7% hush, is a siren's call.
With economic indicators suggesting a softening of the inflationary winds and a potential ease in rate hikes, the market's next cycle looms on the horizon.
💹 Back to school - Forex Awaits 💹
The pivot to forex is not a retreat but a strategic maneuver. The forex market, with its vast array of currencies, offers a diverse battlefield as we prepare for the next wave of market volatility. It's in these fluid forex waters that we can capitalize on the slightest economic ripples, turning currents into opportunities.
📊 The Forex Advantage - A hedge to Bitcoin and Crypto! 📊
Crypto will remain my favorite arena but Forex trading beckons with its promise of agility and scope, critical in navigating the uncertain tides ahead. The shift to forex and equities signals my readiness to embrace broader markets and old frontiers as we anticipate the VIX's silent warnings of change.
🔍 A Watchful Eye - What can go wrong 🔍
These are the main 8 areas where 'Trouble can Arise':
1. 🇨🇳 China's Challenges: Property Pressure Cooker 🏗️💥
The world economy has 2 lungs, USA and China.
In 2008 the USA Lung got pneumonia.. and i am worried that soon a similar Chinese crisis could follow.
Unlike Westerns, Chinese are savers but still: Chinese growth is worry number one.
2.🗳️ US Elections: Political Pendulum 🎭📊
The US political landscape is a battleground of ideologies, the crowds are fanaticized and these elections smell like TNT. Needless to say it's a Global worry that America has failed to have a Strong Political leader this period. I don't like what i see...this is worry number 2
3.💳 Debt Dynamics: The Global Balancing Act 🌍⚖️
You know what i mean... Is it under control and for how Long? This is worry number 3
4.🌐 World Wars: Geopolitical Flashpoints ⚔️🔴
The grim prospect of war requires a keen eye on safe-haven currencies and risk management. The situation in Ukraine could be ending but Middle East and shipping routes are a ticking bomb. Let's pray for peace
5.🤖 AI's Ambition: Promise or Peril? 🧠💡
Artificial Intelligence advances at breakneck speed, offering innovation but also posing systemic risks if gone awry. AI is faster than we thought and that would pose a new threat. In this section add the possibility of a Global network's failure of some kind and disrupted communications. We depend on the internet.
6.📈 Inflation's Impact: Trade and Turmoil 🚚📉
Disrupted shipping lanes spell trouble for global trade, stoking inflationary fires. As supply chains twist in the winds of change, Forex markets react in real-time, presenting challenges and opportunities amidst the chaos.
7. 💱 USD Currency Supremacy: A Throne Contested 👑🔄
The US dollar's reign as the premier global exchange currency faces tests from rising contenders. The battle for supremacy can redefine currency correlations and demand adaptive trading approaches.
8. 🏦 Banking Sector: The Keystone of Stability 🏛️🚨
We saw what happened last year. Banks can go bust and this is a valid scenario one better be prepared for...just in case!
Another 8 factors could be:
🌿 Environmental Crisis: Disrupted Climate Costs 🌪️📈
🛢️ Energy Market Volatility: Wars over Lithium next? 🔄⛽
🚀 Satellite Security Concerns 🛰️🔒
🌐 Cybersecurity Threats 🔐💻
🌍 The Incontrollable migration Frontier unrests 📉🆕
🏭 Manufacturing Migrations: Shifting Supply Chains 🔄🏭
🧑🤝🧑 Social Instability: The Cost of Inequality 👥💸
🌱 Food Security: Agricultural Anxiety 🌾🚜
As a trader i need to be prepared and I need to be hedged. Time to hedge my Crypto exposure with some FOREX trades this year. ... Just in (8+8) cases!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
VIX Roadmap May 2023Very likely to explode higher post the usual seasonal low in summer although it is in July but this time likely in June
Don't Be Fooled, Eyes on a Bearish VIXThe S&P 500 has dismissed (thus far) a failed Santa Claus rally by climbing to all-time-highs this week. But the VIX's low double digit position, even during the broader market's less-jolly, pullback into 2024, is a much more sure-footed warning historically, rather than a reason for investors to believe this time is different. The good news and not to look a gift horse in the mouth, pricing for protective hedges on stock and / or index holdings, is by and large, attractively cheap and a much stronger option than jumping in and out of the market imho.
Bullish RSI divergenceVIX has bullish RSI divergence on the 1hr timeframe.
20 SMA is switching from a resistance roll to a support roll soon.
50 SMA is acting as resistance line for falling wedge.
100 SMA and 200 SMA will converge and act as heavy resistance and prevent full breakout of wedge.
VIX will fall back inside the wedge to the lower trendline for a little longer.
(I had a longer more in-depth post but I had to delete it because I forgot something the first time, and forgot to copy the description. Not writing more)
Falling wedge on VIX!!!Tracking this text book falling wedge on the VIX, which is about to enter demand. We could see this breakout if SPY decides to breakdown out of the Rising wedge its currently about to break.
Descending triangle set upVIX has formed a descending triangle along support of the rising wedge it's trending in. Medium to high chance it goes back down to fill the gap.
Nasdaq is overbought get ready for this!Nasdaq is overbought get ready for this!
watching this type of movement..
potential buy
VIX is showing signs of awakeningAs the stock market is beginning to manifest weakness, we are paying close attention to the VIX, which is starting to exhibit signs of awakening.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Vix Index/S&P 500Hard to believe, but is the vix index going into an extended period of low volatility as indicated by Monthly EMA 50 (Black line) Crossing Monthly EMA 89 (Blue line). Only happened twice before this century! Only a short period of time I know. (vix in main panel S&P 500 top panel)
VIX follows gas pricesGas prices seem to have predicted volatility better than other assets in the past half year. Could the trend persist? Both VIX and NG1 are poised to grow on a separate action. The winter is coming which means surging demand for electricity. A seasonal increase up to $3 seems attainable. VIX could gain if the reversal of the uptrend in the market will occur, which is quite likely considering that main indices all climbed up to ATH which historically causes correction in their prices
$VIX making noise again, cautionNot liking what I am seeing here in reference to the $VIX.
Let's see how we close today but this roar sounds stronger than the previous one we had not long ago. That might have been the practice, test.
#stocks have performed well and are due for some sort of "rest", consolidation.
1Hr CBOE:SPX showing weakness with a bearish crossover.
4Hr seems okay, for now at least.
#VIX AMEX:SPY AMEX:SPXS AMEX:SPXL
VIX showing that tension is expected soon in the stock markets.The Volatility Index (VIX) is trading within a Channel Down pattern since the September 28 2022 High, which has also been the start of the 2023 recovery year for the stock markets (SPX illustrated by the thin black trend-line). Being negatively correlated in nature, when VIX declined within this Channel, the stocks rose and vice versa.
Since October 23 2023, VIX started to decline again and that sparked the stock rise which is holding up to this day, the end-of-the-year rally. However, we see a deceleration on VIX's decline, while its 1D MACD has formed a Bullish Cross since December 01. Being so close to the Channel Down bottom, a technical rebound is technically plausible and the pattern is recurring as it resembles a lot the previous Lower Lows.
If it does reverse upwards, the SPX can react a few days later as during the previous bottom process and reversal (June 22 - July 27) it lagged. In any case, this pattern shows that by January 2024, we should expect heightened volatility translated potentially into a (short-term at least) pull-back on the stock market.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
$VIX about to make a moveTVC:VIX is rearing its head again. Last time it sputtered when it roared.
Let's see what happens this time around.
See how the RED LINE keeps pressuring it lower? It has been trading under the average since late Oct. Well, the Yellow line will either GIVE or Push it Higher. It is going to happen sooner rather than later.
SP:SPX AMEX:SPY
VIX to the moon If inflation is currently at the stage of disinflation instead of deflation, we will see a extreme drop in stock market and a interest rates hike would be the next best thing for the Fed to take action to reduce inflation.
VIX long term viewIn my view SPX bullish trend has restarted to target 4900 area then big crash , VIX will test 6 where massive bullish move will start to break the long term rectangle my
VIX near signaling a correctionLow volatility is good for the market, but extreme low volatility is not
As you can see, a lot of times where the TVC:VIX crossed 12 from below it signaled a correction within a bull market
And is not just the VIX, there are other breath indicators that are converging at levels that usually signal correction
I normally track the % of SPX stocks above their 50-day and 200-day MAs, NYSE New Highs/Lows and NYSE New 52-week Highs/Lows
My target would be 4.300 in the SP:SPX
VIX hitting a solid long zone one weekly candlesI will be averaging into some vix calls over the remainder of the year. I believe it will stay relatively low for the near term. My calls will be 6 months out if possible. The vix is known for its spikes and Ill have triggers for it to sell at certain price points. I am also doing this because of a personal conviction of a slight/ or major pull back in the new year. Please leave comments, I love to learn and hear other perspectives!
VIX Index at Lowest Levels Since 2017OVERVIEW
As of 12/12/2023, CBOE:VIX is at 11.82.
There have only been a handful of periods over the last 30 years where stock market volatility is at a similar level, including 2007 and 1994.
Some would argue it implies an increasing level of volatility will be due in 2024.
What is the VIX?
The CBOE Volatility Index, is a real-time market index representing the market's expectations for volatility over the coming 30 days. Investors often refer to the VIX as the "fear index" or "fear gauge" because it is one of the most recognized measures of market volatility.
Here's a breakdown of what the VIX represents:
Volatility Measurement:
The VIX measures the stock market's expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options. It is calculated using the bid and ask prices of S&P 500 index options.
Forward-Looking: Unlike many market metrics that look at past performance, the VIX is forward-looking. It provides a 30-day forward projection of volatility.
Market Sentiment Indicator: A high VIX value indicates that traders expect significant changes (volatility) in stock prices, which is often associated with market uncertainty or fear. Conversely, a low VIX suggests low expected volatility and is often associated with market stability.
Not a Direct Stock Market Indicator : It's important to note that the VIX does not measure the direction of stock market movements. Instead, it measures how much the market is expected to fluctuate, regardless of the direction.
Use in Investment Strategies: Some investors use the VIX to help in making decisions about market timing. For example, a high VIX might suggest a market turning point, leading some to consider it a good time to buy, while others might see it as a signal to sell.
VIX Derivatives: There are various financial products, such as VIX futures and options, that allow investors to trade based on their views of future market volatility.
Risk Management Tool: For portfolio managers and sophisticated investors, the VIX can be a tool to hedge against market volatility or to take a position on future volatility.
In summary, the VIX is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. It has become a crucial tool in financial markets for hedging, trading, and investment strategy formulation
VIX Sniper Butterfly the detail is shown in the above Idea.
I made this Idea based on Candlestick Analysis and Harmonic pattern using Fibonacci tools.
ViX makes a really pretty Butterfly
XB: 0.78 . XD :1.27
Good Luck
VIX MOONSHOTA little bird told me this, but birds aren't real, and pigeons are liars so take it for what it is worth.
