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CBOE VIX VOLATILITY INDEX

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VVIX trade ideas

VVIX/VIX suggests growing possibility of a market crash One to watch in the coming days... In the past a break down of these VVIX/VIX trendlines is generally followed by a market crash. VIX measures the short-term volatility of the S&P 500 index, whilst VVIX measures the volatility of the price of the VIX. In other words, VVIX is a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index and alludes to how quickly market sentiment changes. A closer view of VVIX/VIX correlation since 2020 crash - I will grow more concerned below the October 2021 double bottom at 4.66 This recent downturn has been fueled by the new covid variant Omnicron, but also more recently by the FED's comments about increasing the pace of tapering. The latter poses longer lasting risks to the markets. On the flip side - percentage of stocks below 20-day average metrics are at extreme oversold levels and it is not unreasonable to expect a relief rally here - but the real questions are how long this lasts, how the longer average metrics develop, and how VVIX/VIX correlation plays out over the coming days
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by Vanillasagna
6
VVIX/VIX OVERBOUGHT ON THE 1 DAY! TREND REVERSAL APPROACHING? VVIX/VIX, 1DAY: The VVIX / VIX aka "The Vol of Vol", is essentially the historical volatility of the VIX , in relation to its own recent history as represented by the VVIX and over the current volatility of options on the SPX as measured by the VIX. It is a way of measuring current volatility against a second order measure of volatility gauging the "rate of change of the rate of change". We can also use VVIX/VIX to gauge the current volatility against its relative history and when the VIX (denominator) gets too low in relation to its relative history as represented by the VVIX in the numerator, we can see this relationship emerge on our RSI. The 1 DAY RSI on the VVIX/ VIX has been a YTD predictor of tops and bottoms. It has recently recached an overbought reading on the RSI as illustrated above. We also see that signal has yet to breach the 0.5 EXT on our Fibs giving a confluence of indications that a VVIX/VIX trend reversal (volatility increase )could be forthcoming. Please take a look at our #SPX analysis in the link below to see where this trend reversal might end up. Buckle up, be agile and stay liquid out there!
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by Firewalker_Charts
VVIX: Telltale Sign / Large Dunk begins againOnce this completes, rising Bond VX and Elevated Vol of Vol... A Very Bad Sign as Santa presses his Luck. The Operators have the ALGOs tee'd up to reverse this absurd non-sense once we see VX Vol crushed to Support. Should be a stunning reversal. ______________________________________________________ Depression Trade needs to be priced in... Then another Whacko response, then new highs... Then 50% decline in 2022. Fiddling with explosives... Our Central Prankers.
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by HK_L61
8
VVIX - 105s - * VERY Important for 30 Calendar Days to 11/21/21The VVIX was cornered to the 105s, as soon as this Level was violated the 100 Level. Gaps were filled on the VIX M1 October as we began to Settle November. This left a lower Gap for the settled Front Month / M1 - November. The HIgh Low Close - 16.10 / 14.70 / 15.35 for October Settelement. The HIgh Low Close - 19.70 / 19.30 / 19.325 for November Settlement. This occurred October 19th - Wednesday. Spread on Close = 400 Ticks - this is the present Gap Fill for the M1 / November VIX. It is quite large... and the ALGOs will fully lever this spread into November... which means the potential for Higher Equities Complex. They have set this up perfectly. Be aware - Higher Prices can exceed the ATH's, it is not only Possible but Probable given the Roll Yields. Weekly Indicators remain Bearish, but this is subject to change. ______________________________________________________________________ Patience into Settle was suggested, as we now know the Game.
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by HK_L61
2
VVIX - Vol of Vol / The attempted Crush ContinuesThat said... Good Luck Riggers, it will not work. CBOE VVIX Index attempts to represent - volatility of volatility in as much VVIX measures the anticipated volatility of the 30-day forward price of VIX. Simply put - it is measuring the M1 / M2 VIX 30 Day ST Short-term Volatility. For those of you who do not understand how the VIX is calculated, you are missing a very important understanding we've explained here many times. If you missed this, educate yourself. This is Hypothetical for the VIX futures contract in that the VIX itself remains within a Constant 30 day Maturity. These indicators should be used as though your trading success depends upon it. It does indeed. We can use the Vol of Vol's range for further Information as to where Price can gyrate into Roll / Settle. Add it to your set of Tools if you have not, it does assist in preventing DGing. The Divergences are Building in VVIX as well.... And Reggies know where HK leans on Divergences. - HK
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by HK_L61
28
VVIX - 30 Day Forward Volatility - Vol of VolToday presents an opportunity for Volatility to expand or contract significantly at approximately 12:30 PM EST. VVIX is calculated using the implied volatility of out-of-the-money (OTM) put options in the VIX itself. The VVIX is defending the Counter-Trend Long. It presents downside risk for the Equity Complex is approaching. @ 8:30 AM EST Average Hourly Earnings Non-Farm Payrolls Unemployment Rate 9:45 AM EST Final Services PMI 10:100 AM EST Final Services PMI The Federal Reserve Coupon Purchases $0 __________________________________________________________________ It is important to note the Data will beat. Unemployment benefit Drop-Offs will assure it. In addition, people returning to work will assist the numbers. This will create an interesting and potentially dangerous reaction. The Fed's 1/2 Mandates is Full-Employment. It implies one of their goals are being met. In addition, it implies increased probability of them carrying forward with their indicated "Taper" of MBS/Bond Purchases. It is not "Bullish", quite the opposite. Expect the "Delta Variant" to be front and center today as the parallel excuse to be bantered about for continued support of the Equity Complex. The Spin will be full tilt. ___________________________________________________________________ We have 3 Gaps below on the Indices. Each Instrument treaded Resistance during Globex and although we have been making higher highs and higher lows... It appears things are about to change given the VVIX's Bid for protection on the 30 Day Curve for Puts, the VXX supports this as well. The highs remain unbroken, they can be as it's Friday, a low participation Day, as well it is the last day of Summer Trading. The FED is steeping aside today, with No Bond Coupon Purchases. Volumes continue to dry up. It will be up to BR/VG to hold this hot mess togher. Wish them Luck in this effort.
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by HK_L61
6