SPY | VIX | LONG | week end 29 OctoberSP:SPX
Possible Scenario: Long
Evidence: Price Action, Money Flow
I'm bullish for now; end of the story.
VXM1! trade ideas
vix may indicate market bottomwell probably head back toward bottom of envelopel. slow bleed until we have a reason to bet on another wave. if signal stays green we could have another leg up.
A strong possibility.This chart is self explanatory. Keeping it simple, this dog and pony show ain't over yet.
we should get ready for either 20 or 30 vixi think the hourly spike in vix is over, but the 4hr might be in for some additional waves, followed by a daily bear in vix with a weekly bull trend still on. the road to 20 seems locked in, but were not averse to 30 in the mean time.
i do think the vix is going to bounce, but not yeti think the vix will have to sink before it gets the rebound that it seems destined for. ive marked out a couple scenarios. if we climb above pivot i would look for upper horizontals and one of the green scenarios yo play out. if we remain beneath it id look for one of the red scenarios and lower horizontals.
VIX - Daily Settle 6 PM ESTit's that time of the month.
No, it's not Hygiene.
July CT spread is ZERO, the CAsh Vix is positive on Roll Yield as well.
The Curve went into backwardation slightly...
___________________________________________________________
Hopefully, a PCC Squeeze into the next DUMP.
VIX - DailyLosing the 55ED_EMA was not a good look for Vol.OnlyFabs.
The downtrend we indicted remains in Trade for now.
Vol of Vol collapsed well below the 103 Pivot... primarily due to
a solid lack of participation.
With $x Expiry ahead on the Day of the FOMC Rate Decision, it's
going to be a highly volatile day.
_______________________________________________________
VX ContangoVX2/VX1 Looking at Extremes in the Slope of the VIX Futures Term Structure.
This is just to show how the signal is generated & some data on it will overlay the signals on that breadth chart I use to illustrate how complementary Simple Breadth + Vol Metrics Can be for Long Term Buying/Selling.
VIX - Settlement Range for Continuous Contract The VIX has Gpas slightly below into the 29s on the 15-minute chart.
Breaking 30 would create an immediate dump.
Friday will provide a tell for the CT for the Indies.
___________________________________________________________
The VX Curve remains in Backwardation will beyond M2/V2.
VIXWhen the Vix trades its supports, it rallies and the Indices decline.
They never make it to Full Resistance.
Never.
____________________________________________________________
The ARB is to use the PCC over 1.28 to 1,35 for countertrend squeeze.
A trader who continues to project a bottom... persists in being incorrect.
Bottom Callers have been chumps time and again.
Inexperience - yeah, this time it is different, eh?
VIX - Daily Front Month FuturesA Pullback to the support zone, 26.00 should be observed for a reaction.
The 2022 50% is the Key Over/Under.
Consolidation PB is underway ahead of EPS.
26.00 is the PO
31.20 is the extension on reversal and back to the larger trend.
Vx1! Watching trend lineWatching Vix to see if it holds the line and or bounces if not back to 16 we go
Playing Spxl and or HUV
VIX - Daily - Larger Measured MoveDisappointing the VIX was unable to break up and out on a surrender move
for the Indices.
Lower Price Objectives will continue over time for the near term with minor
retracements.
VVIX is showing a PO @ 103s.
The VX Curve is attempting to flatten somewhat. with the Indicies approaching
extreme overbought readings - VX could pick up Short Term.
VIX - DailyBy the Numbers - VIX indicates a potential Index Pullback approaching either Today or tomorrow.
IT is currently sitting on 2022 Support.
Protection is absent across the Equity Complex, an ominous sign once again.
ES NQ YM RTY - Sell Indies @ VIX April 30.50Option squeeze on Delta for Puts.
Selling the Futures against the VOX Pullback to PO.
New Lower Lows ahead.
front month vix futures remain overbought (vx1!)the upside in short term vix futures remains muted as limitations on how far out broader market shorts in the money puts are due to backwardation in front month contracts. this is leading to derivatives like UVXY to probably continue to sell off of overbought.
we could find ourselves back in the low 14s UVXY if we see 22 vix again which should be soon. if we go over 28 vix id imagine were headed for 20 UVXY. the weekly picture for vix is bearish.
VX2!-VX1! (VIX in Backwardation?)Much better to panic early than late.
The VX1-VX2 spread helps you define when market participants are starting to panic. The backwardation / reversal is a sign that market participants are starting to panic. In this sense we can use it as a risk mitigation tool, including the distributions of returns for the stock market and the volatility when futures are in backwardation and when they are not.
VXG - Roll/Settle / Sleep to DreamSimply observe VVIX or Vol of Vol.
VXG is being Rolled Early, see Volumes.
Anticipate the usual Gamm to Delta Trade
into LAter Settlement.
_____________________________________
Keep it simple.
VIX - Daily Range for Continuous ContractGiven the VX Complex has asserted a Positive Weekly Trend for the First
time since the Roswell Crash (4/5 LT Structure) - the ST Structure indicates
more to come for IT 4/5.
________________________________________________________________
% Contango
M1 @ 3.66%
M2 @ 1.74%
M3 @ 0.78%
M4 @ 0.12%
M5 @ 1.51%
M6 @ -0.38%
M7 @ 0.57%
_________________________________________________________________
As long as the 50 SMA is holding on both the Daily, but far more importantly
on the Hourly - the VXG has game into ROll/Settle.
New highs should remain the Trade into March.
__________________________________________________________________
VVIX has performed extremely well for VX Leading Indications.
VIX - VXG Daily 2021 Weekly Trend extends to 2022That TRend is Higher into March.
How it unfolds, is a matter of interest to everyone with Skin
in the Game at the Flamingo.
Given VX Crush Friday is here, we see how the day unfolds.
______________________________________________________
It is usually after the EU Session closes the VX COmplex assault begins
and accelerates into the Close.
Yields will wreck the MArkets again as ZN appears to be heading to
new lows.
It will be extremely VOLATILE into March with wild swings in both directions.
______________________________________________________
VVIX has been a great leading Indicator.
