Get started
Mini Cboe Volatility Index (VXM) FuturesMini Cboe Volatility Index (VXM) FuturesMini Cboe Volatility Index (VXM) Futures

Mini Cboe Volatility Index (VXM) Futures

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Forward curve Seasonals Contracts

VXM1! trade ideas

VIX - VXG / VVXX / VVIXThe Volatility Complex has been on a Wild Ride filling overhead Gaps and remaining in Trend. Super Bubbles taking time out - provide immense Lift for the VX Complex when the Operators take their foot off its throat, which they did to counter Super Leap Week whereby everything was put on Sale. Or You could always watch your neck of the woods... app.capitoltrades.com You'll notice Apple is Congressional Grifters easy money... GOOG MSFT NVDA FB AMZN AMD QCOM Oh, and there are some VIX Speculators on the HIll. _________________________________________________________________________ 711s a Fan Favorite across the isles... must be something to do with those contributions. And ht Sei feeding trough - where bill after bill is going to be proposed...
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
VIX - 22.50 Pivot - 2 Ticks Higher from Prior Week 22.40The VIX is inside its Intea-Day Uptrend. The ES is inside ita Intra-Day downtrend. ___________________________________ Countertrends will move price to the VIX squeeze providing a Lower Low for the Indies. 8 AM Bond Open will provide some clues. Vix Support is 19.70 4645.25 and 4638.75 remains the Micro Support for the ES. 4691.74 remains overhead MIcro Resistance when correlating the VVF. The range for NQ Expands from 15410 to 157544.
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
VX - M1/V1 : M2/V2 DailyThe VIX Guy, 50 Cents isn't present. Implied VX is SKY HIGH. __________________________________ The Illusion continues to Live. A great many are going to pay the Price for being dead-ass wrong. __________________________________ I'm going to be as Subjective as the mood suits today. QE Breeds Instability Conditions under QE - the substantive change may actually be relatively minor, but this is irrelevant to speculators and Degenerate Gamblers at the Flamingo Sports Book. The reason, simple: Speculators with assets in the Bag with longer maturities will take larger capital losses with relatively small changes in interest rates under prevailing Confidence. Projecting my inner monologue is something I attempt to avoid on balance - Shake Rattle and Roll on FOMC minutes is how I'm setting up for a Deline. ______________________________________ Something very serious is about to happen, can't shake it. We will be SELLERs, win lose or draw. Scalps the Micro Ranges with a SKEW at extremes. There you have it... Alex and I are Salmon Fishing. Have a great rest of the Weekend. Happy Hunting - Hunter Killer
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
VXF - Daily into 2022Volatility remains compressed with a slow and steady move lower on declining volumes. Protection is being bid at levels out the VX Curve at levels for February and March Expiries. It appears the Operators are beginning to Position ahead of the FOMC Meeting - January 25-26 (Tuesday-Wednesday). _________________________________________________________ Price Objectives for JAN VX (VXF) - 19.85 / 19.30 and the largest 2021 Daily extensions @ 15.20 & 12.30 for a Full extension. In the Chart above observe the prior two Highs with successive lower lows as VX Expanded into the end of 2021. Clear A / B / C patterns with the current move lower building "C". TIme indicates this move lower in VX Complex may continue into the first week in January. __________________________________________________________ The VX Curve remains in Contango (M1 - M4) Term Structure JAN - 20.80 @ 9.86% FEB - 22.85 @ 5.78% MAR - 24.17 @ 4.14% APR - 25.17 @ 1.71% ___________________________________________________________ October / November / December Roll to Settle arrived with Lows. The break of the 2021 50% implies there are Higher Highs ahead, from where is Time-Dependent - we can see the 3 Drives to a Low present prior to large reversals. By TIME - the same pattern suggests a Low for VX in early January. For Price - a Higher low by approximately 100 BPS. Unfortunately - there is a Large Daily Gap @ 17.35 for VFX for the Continuous Contract to Fill. __________________________________________________________ We remain patient for the Lower FIll and will wait for entry.
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
1
VXF - M1/V1 VIXVX Complex has a bit more work to do to the Lower end of the Range. Year-End it is quite easy for the ALGOs to compress the Range into a Full Retracement after continued failures to move and close above the .618 @ 22.90. There remains a concerted effort to continue the compression leading the ES YM RTY to a Lift. Of concern for January, China is amassing Commodities in amounts unseen before and moving quickly to become as Food Independent and free of all imports Net of Feed Stocks. Soybeans were replaced with Corn for the Season, which is somewhat curious, as Feeder Inputs appears to be a better decision for Livestock. The CCP has been on a tear to reduce all Foreign Dependence, in excess of 84% of all Food Stuffs have been secured internally. ______________________________________________________________ It appears China is hoarding consumables and Food Stuffs. Commods should be watched closely into 2022 as actions taken by China do not occur in a vacuum. _______________________________________________________________ VX Compression was noted last week in a commentary and Chart which showed the Lower Price Objective and Compression. The Divergence within is of concern as when compression ends - This is when we see the VIX move higher, significantly higher.
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
VIX - Settlement Range for Continuous ContractSpot Vix - 22.05 VXZ - 21.45 VXF - 23.70 _________________________________________________________________ Tomorrow the New Continuous Contact for the VIX will begin trading. To project Price we need to consider the VXZ / VXF Spread (Roll Yield) and use Draws for both months to determine the Point of Convergence for Price based upon Draws for both Contracts. The VXF Chart above provides the Price Objectives and lower Gap FIlls. The VIX has been trending down for some time now and may continue the trend into year-end. Clearly, this gives the ES YM RTY room to move higher. __________________________________________________________________ We indicated yesterday the RT Potential and Price Objectives above into the Gap Fills as the Lower POs were front-run by a significant Margin. The NQ kept the 615 pivot gyrating until it moved tp and through it during the 3 PM EST to 4 PM EST Hourly Bar. In the final Hour, the NQ would trade below the 615 Pivot for the last time. ES, exactly the same pattern. YM, a bit different, but close. ___________________________________________________________________ Into Wednesday's during Settlement, we will see the direction for the rest of the year's - Low Volume Price action in all probability. We traded the Lows of the Range and the A/D was sitting on Lows, it can stabilize or Rise. It remains a very Negative indication, as do all longer TF Charts. ____________________________________________________________________ RT Anticipated, RT in Trade - Gap Fill. VFX has some catching up to do on the downside. It will provide a Lift to the Indices. Momentum Cloud to Trending Cloud Supports is the Price Objectives & Gap FIlls remain lower.
CBOE:VX2!
by HK_L61
1
VIX - Daily: VXZ / VXF / VIX Spot-CashThe NQ will have the wider swings into Year-End as the Range has expanded from 150616 to 16302. The VIX may range into Year-End permitting the ES to build out the Symmetry. The NYSE Remains collared at the Lower end of the Range. VX has been compressing into Year-End. Wednesday will confirm as 96% of m1 is loaded on the CM-30 VXX. ____________________________________________ Implied Targets for VXX 35.16 to 45.36 on reversal. This implies a large and very extended decline. Donside Momentum is building, how long can they keep this collared... we' will see. I maintain we will test the Dialy 377 SMAs for the ES NQ YM RTY. It will be a 5/5 decline or should be... the Algos have been very good at breaking Candles, FIBs, and Symmetry - Far too many False moves. There are a very Large Number of Sellers overhead for the Equity Complex. VX should be relieved of the foot on its throat into the new year.
CBOE:VX2!
by HK_L61
VXF - 1 HourOver 23.60 and the VIX remains in a Bid and a Long. It has become far less technical than the Indexes. Roll to settle is creating an Arbitrage which is suppressing the VXZ VXF VXX. VX Complex collared by the Operators. VXF continues to struggle at Cloud Momentum. ______________________________________________ 4X Expiry and enormous Ranges on each Index. Price is moving into the Lower end of the October Range. DX Weakness may provide the sport for the Equity Complex to produce a Counter-Trend off their Lows. _________________________________________________ We closed : NQ @ 735 ES @ 635 CASH @ 100%
CBOE:VX2!
by HK_L61
VXF - The Blow Monkey2:30 to 3:00 PM EST today will provide indications for Globex this evening. Should they follow the usual suit, the Indexes will begin to grind higher into the Close. All of the leaders, with the exception of FB - were sold. Continued Distribution. __________________________________________________________________ With VXZ and SPOT/CASH VIX near Par and 100% of VXX concentrated in VXF, the horror show begins Wednesday / Thursday - that is 100% certain. Who gets the Hall of Mirrors treatment... Stay Tuned - as the Lower High, until it is confirmed suggests a lower low well below the 4260 for the ES. A higher high and a friendly Pelican with a mouth full of fish means this complete mess could trade up into Mid January, prior to letting go into MARCH. ___________________________________________________________________ VXX - FAILURE IS 21.39 and then confirmed by 21.28 then 20.36. Sound unrealistic? Yeah, I feel ya. VXF 21.10 Price Objective on Pullback... VXF is above within the Chart Frame - Cloud Momentum and Trend have been the RANGE. Expect more complete insanity... expect nothing less. We remain 100% CASH until 230 - 3 PM EST. Should APPL reverse and retest the Highs, the Vomit Comet is my ride. __________________________________________________________________ ALL OR NOTHING for the Operators. Sure would like this to be easier.... it's not. Prefer to enjoy this, I'm not.
CBOE:VX2!
by HK_L61
8
VXF - Roll M1/V1 VXZ into next WednesdayThere are complications into next week. In order to avoid the Dramas associated with these opposing forces - permit me to infer the extremes have never quite been this degree of a Cluster F_ck. Fail on Drama, apologies _____________________________________________________________________ An "offsides trade" is again forming as I see 4X Negative Divergences begin to Form once again on Larger Daily and Weekly Timeframes. Delta is being hedged - simply not in a way most are paying attention to... typical and opportunity. ______________________________________________________________________ I am seeing 2 very distinct patterns within the Delta Squaring. Both create immense Risk of what should be referred to as the Cascade Trade. The over/under will depend on how aggressive the Operators become today, should they be unable to unwilling to support Price today, it is a very large Negative Omen. There exists a Protection Trade well below and not above. ________________________________________________________________________ \We will begin to see which way this breaks shortly - Roll/Settle remains ahead. Within the Pivot, whichever way it breaks ST will reinforce the Trend.
CBOE:VX2!
by HK_L61
4
VIX - Below 23.65 / Globex Fun RunIndices continue their Rally. I am posting an analogue for the Indices this morning to demonstrate how similar the RTs are to a recent point in time. We see a large RT during Globex due to the Vix beginning its pullback. ______________________________________ Privately, I was contacted by a number of Traders a few hours before the close - they all now understand why we indicated closing all SELLs and moving to CASH was the proper Trade Plan. Deeply oversold conditions always RT. China kicked the party off over the weekend with relaxed standards for their Banks Chinese RE ETFs had been sold wholesale over the prior 3 weeks. They began to level off Monday - the AX50 and HS also caught support.
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
2