ZB1! trade ideas
$ZB_F: Uptrend signal activeWe now have a good signal here indicating bonds can rally substantially in the coming weeks. I've bot a bull call spread to capture the upside here, expiring on Dec 10th, for the March contract.
It allows me to fine tune risk and maximize gains if the trade works in a way that an outright futures long position wouldn't. If you can, join on Monday on dips, if making a higher high, be ready to pay up. It's a good hedge for your portfolio in case of carrying long oil positions like I do.
Cheers,
Ivan.
Two possible paths the chart may follow.EN:
We have a downtrend, the chart goes down into the downtrend channel,
the green and red horizontal lines are a 4h frame S / R which means they are strong for a 1h frame.
- The chart may continue to fall if it fails to break the red downtrend channel (red trend lines).
- The chart may go up in case it could not break the horizontal green support line, also if it breaks the red resistance area and the top of the bearish channel (upper red trend line)
wait for confirmation.
FR:
Nous avons une tendance baissière, le graphique descend dans le canal baissier,
les lignes horizontales vertes et rouges sont une trame S/R de 4h ce qui signifie qu'elles sont fortes pour une trame de 1h.
- Le graphique peut continuer à baisser s'il ne parvient pas à casser le canal rouge de la plage (lignes de tendance rouges).
- Le graphique peut monter dans le cas où il ne pourrait pas casser la ligne horizontale de support verte, également, s'il casse la zone de résistance rouge et le haut du canal baissier (ligne de tendance rouge supérieure)
attendre la confirmation.
ZB1! Analysis EN:
There is a trend reversal in the intersection area of the two parallel channels, with the chart continuing to follow the rising bullish channel , the red and green horizontal lines are S / R areas.
1 - In case the chart could not break the green support area , it may go up until it reaches the horizontal red resistance line, and if it does break it, we will manage to have a big move to the top.
2 - In case the chart breaks the horizontal green support line, it may go down until it reaches the bottom of the green channel, or the green support area , in case it breaks the trend of the channel , we can have a big downward movement.
Wait for confirmation.
FR:
Il y a un renversement de tendance dans la zone d'intersection des deux canaux parallèles, le graphique continuant à suivre le canal haussier remontant, les lignes horizontales rouges et vertes sont des zones S/R.
1 - Dans le cas où le graphique ne pourrait pas casser la zone de support verte, il peut monter jusqu'à ce qu'il atteigne la ligne horizontale de résistance rouge, et s'il la cassait, nous pourrions avoir un grand mouvement vers le haut.
2 - Dans le cas où le graphique casse la ligne horizontale de support verte, il peut descendre jusqu'à ce qu'il atteigne le fond du canal vert, ou la zone de support verte, dans le cas où il casse la tendance du canal, nous pouvons avoir un grand mouvement vers le bas .
Attendez la confirmation.
ZB Bullish Setup 12-06-21A little scalp in the market on a Monday for a 2:1 R-multiple. I am not risking more than a percent given it's Monday and price did not dig into the price zones I was expecting, I demand my price. The setup in NY open is a Turtle soup and OTE setup.
No USD news High or Medium today.
ZB Bullish setupMy weekly setup for the 30 yr Bonds panned out. Although price didn't dip into the PD Array I was eyeing but I was quick to recognize the setup when it happened and that was the way price reacted to a short term low (previous day's NY session low).
A Turtle soup buy setup and 5 OTE setups were available an hour after NFP release.
Key take away: Wait for the OTE levels to be reached, monitor the lows if your bias is Bullish, PATIENCE.
T Bond Futures LONG ZB is breaking not one or two supports but three at once, one of them is really ancient.
we can wait for pullback on the 162'09 area where price surly will find it hard to break, it's just gonna use it as a pullback area, so it rises in the US session, as GOLD prices rise we can see that ZN and ZB are only showing sings off an uptrend, in addition that DX1 is dropping really well
Why are Bond Futures pushing up?I dont have the fundamental reason for why bonds are going up but I can report on the technicals.
We are breaking the trendline with volume while pushing up off a fib.
Also the oscillators look great as well with convergence to the upside.
Fed is supposed to taper so I dont know hoe reliable this analysis is.
Forgive me.
Divergence Play on ZB via Stoch 3xVW (Triple Volume Weighted)NEXT Stochastic 3xVW is intended to be used like the original Stochastic oscillator within the context of divergence trading: higher price highs, lower NEXT Stochastic 3xVW highs = bearish; lower price lows, higher NEXT Stochastic 3xVW lows = bullish. The triple volume weighing within Stochastic 3xVW's algo smoothens %K and %D slopes without introducing significant lag, making them more reliable and less prone to whipsaws.
Target market: CBOT:ZB1! 1-hour chart
Required add-on: NEXT Stochastic 3xVW (free)
Order management: Use a preset TP / SL and/or close if NEXT Stochastic 3xVW retraces back to last relevant high or low. Alternatively, use %K/D% line crossovers to exit.
#ZB: T-Bonds bottomedI think we have a low risk bottom signal here, it fits with my view of rotation back into growth names since the value stocks rally we had since the #PFE vaccine announcement. Today's CPI data gave investors some peace of mind it seems. I'm long growth and a few select equity ideas already, but a bond futures or #TLT options position might be a good proposition as well here.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
ZB Bullish setup 10/14/2021ZB was clearly Bullish based on the Daily bias. I was trying to sell today in NY and my position got stopped out.
ZB had a Daily sell side liquidity and formed a Bullish market structure shift on Monday but stalled till the next day, moved in Asia but I am inactive during that time. NY open Tuesday formed a Bullish OTE, and today price hit the Relative Equal Highs (Previous week highs).