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ZB1! trade ideas

US T-Bonds - US Elections Is A Hot Topic Right Now!📉 U.S. Treasury yields dip ahead of key employment data and elections. 10-yr yields hit 3-mo high on less dovish Fed expectations. 76.6% odds of 25 bps cuts in Nov & Dec. Yields influenced by betting markets showing greater odds of Trump presidency & Republican majority. Going into the future, I will be sitting on my hands, awaiting for more data to make logical decision on the next draw on liquidity. #TreasuryYields #FedInterestRates #USPolitics
CBOT:ZB1!
by LegendSince
US T-Bonds - The 120.00 Region Looks Real Promising Similar to US10Y where we have seen 4 consecutive up close candles, with T-Bonds, we have witnessed 4 days worth of bearish price delivery with he volume imbalance on a higher timeframe (1W) consequent encroachment being met as support for the time being. Not shying away from a manipulative run, targeting 122.25 but would not be phased if we do not even make it to 122.08. Bias is bearish until 120.25 - 120.08 is booked. Back to the revaluation stages once I see a daily candle close above Monday's high.
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by LegendSince
Downside Ahead For T Bonds - COT Strategy ShortDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT T Bonds (ZB) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in ZB if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal Extreme Positioning: Commercials most short they have been in last 3 years = bearish. Small Specs most long they have been in 3 years = bearish. OI Analysis: Extreme high in OI. Generally, extremely high OI found at market tops. True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for t bonds to go down into October COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist & POIV Sell Signals Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by Tradius_Trades
ZB1! - Similar To Yields Right? Don't we all love a blow-out top ey? In my last post, i mentioned interest in 125.30 as an area of important buyside liquidity which the algorithm would me most likely to target before moving up to the HTF rejection block @ 129.26. Last week showed a sharp rejection from the premium SIBI range and this week trading solely inside last weeks dealing range. Volatility will be induced into the market and stops, whether it's buy stops or sell stops will bend their knees to the wraith of the marketplace. The question to ask is, which side will bend their knees first?? I'd put my coins on Sellside, targeting the buyside imbalance Sellside inefficiency with an overall target of 120.20. I want to see 122.21 negated, with a candle body closure below for my first objective.
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by LegendSince
ZB1! - 7 Days Of Heaven! Do You Want It To End?!ZB1! most volatile week in quite a long time; 26th Feb 24 being the only period this year with higher volume numbers, standing at 3.459 Million whilst this weeks volume is 2.677 Million. The correlation between Yields and Bonds is currently in lockstep motion with each other; both printing 7 straight days of one-way price action. I will not rule out a potential for a manipulated retracement to the downside but if this was to occur, the infamous level of 120.20 (as documented before in the last 4-weeks of analysis) is a potential draw for smart money to enter the arena. Looking out for 125.30 highest SIBI & weekly buyside liquidity as my first target Stretch target for this week is the macro order block @ 129.26
CBOT:ZB1!Long
by LegendSince
ZB1! - 120.20 Has Been A Stubborn AreaIt's been a relatively quiet week in comparison to the other pairs. Nothing major played out in the bond markets this week other than the last 2 weeks low being taken out before a pullback occurred. If it wasn't for the raid on sellstops, this week would have been an inside week, increasing the possibility for a low resistance liquidity run up to relative equal highs @ 120.20 (as mentioned before in my previous weeks analysis) Relative equal highs @ 120.20 is prone to negation. Just as US10y traded up to the volume imbalance before rejecting, repricing to the downside, ZB done the exact opposite, sweeping the 9th Jul 24 sellside before repricing higher. This also begun from Thursday and continued onto Friday. First draw in liquidity is the premium array @ 119.21 - 119.26 Second draw in liquidity is 120.20 - 120.24
CBOT:ZB1!
by LegendSince