ZB1! trade ideas
High probability ZB trade.after , the pullback on 190 MA, selling short the ZB seems to be a high probability trade.
A bearish week might be expected for the ZB and ZN market.Those who trusted treasury bonds have lost this trust, we can think of Asians who are the largest holders of treasury bonds.
The interest rate can only go up and up we can expect easy money. The weekly chart shows a significant bearish trend that may have room to extend.
Don't try to surf, just sell and wait.
The trend is your friend. etf or futures contract? Either way. here's an investible dip.
what are your other buy and hold options? stock indexes with this inflation risk? Bitcoin at these highs? this is all we got.
Investing in US T Bonds10 year moving average. 120 simple. months. no brainer. Stocks are way too high for buying
ZB Really need a bounce here.Looking for a bounce off this level to calm the market down a bit. From a charting perspective its completely normal for price to accelerate into levels like this. It would be surprising, however, if price went through this level easily. If it does that would imply extreme selling pressure which would be concerning. It OK for yields to rise slowly, but can be disastrous if they rise rapidly.
US 30-year Treasury Bonds; Get ready to buy them up.These will easily outperform US (and probably global) equities by a very wide margin! (3%-5% annually) - And so will the 10-year Notes, and the T-Bills, and ... Bet on it! (Inflation expectations = waiting for the Tooth Fairy)
... and when the head o JP Morgan Chase says; "I wouldn't touch 30- year treasuries!" ... You know it's time to load up!
ZB1!, Approaching Critical LevelsChart is inverted for clarity purposes. The price is approaching yearly S1 level. It is a rare opportunity for investors. How often one can enter at yearly levels? Be on a lookout.
03/07/2021
ZB1!, A Trend Reversal to WatchBonds were in the downtrend since March 2020. A larger H&S pattern is in play. Its right shoulder is being developed. The most recent retest of the 61.8% level provided a decent reaction. It means buyers are closely watching the price movement and took a shot to stop the bleeding. This could be an opportunity to enter the market on the long side and hold for a swing trade while the professionals enter the accumulation phase.
02/21/2020
Just how bad is THIS Financial Crisis going to be??...Well, let's try to measure it - and "time it", if anyway possible.
Look at the title chart!
OK, so we just did it. No?!...
(The title chart is the simple ratio of US 30-Year Treasuries / Russell2000)
BEWARE OF POTENTIAL REVERSAL - OBSERVATION WEEK COMING - ZB-30MNThe T-Bond 30 Years ZB is falling when the S&P500 is rising, Shouldn't it be the opposite when the economy is not going well?
Beware of the possible super return of trends that might come soon.
What about the timing at the moment?
We notice that at open or 2h after American open an acceleration of the price movement occurs. Also at London closing time.
What about the forces?
Forces are clearly dragging the prince down but no vision in where the price is going.
What about correlations?
Opposite correlation with S&P500, ES.
Same direction with Gold, GC.
The green vertical line is at the time in which tomorrow, Monday 21st, we probably should see some nice movements if the market price follow same pattern as during the week before.
We will still observe during next week. To repeat again, beware of trend sudden reversal. Probably, you can use this chart in combination of your S&P500 trading session, going in opposite direction.
Treasury notes bounce will support commodities Treasure notes have been in a downward trajectory since August. As many of you know , treasury notes and yields have an inverse relationship. What we are setting up for here is a bounce in treasury notes (a drop in yields). Many commodities including precious metals have been consolidating since August which is no coincidence, treasury yields have been rising simultaneously. Now that treasury notes have reached the bottom of the declining channel, I suspect a drop in yields and purchase of bonds will take place soon. This will subsequently support metals and commodities in the short term and place some downward pressure on equities.
Bullish Bonds: Technicals vs. NoiseContrarian bet against the onslaught of bond bears.
RH Technicals vs. WallStreet
- Clean, MACD Bullish Divergence
- Descending Triangle, Completed E-wave signals new trend.
- 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement hit; Also referred to as the Golden Retracement . It is, after all, based on the Golden Ratio.
- And potentially a False Breakdown, likely to mirror the False Breakout of the B wave in the E wave.
Implications for the S&P go without saying.
Best,
RH
Bond Update #bondsThis breakout trade out of the December range (rectangle)to the downside to the lows set back in March has been even better then expected but as we approach those lows it is decision time again. Because I have good trade location I am going to hold the short position even if we get an immediate term bounce. I am watching to see if we can hold below 169'00. If we can the downtrend is still intact. How price reacts here at 167'00 will be interesting to watch though because if rates are really going to rise this time, the down move could be strong if we can make it below 167'00. Despite the FED and the economy not fully being open, bond yields are certainty indicating inflation for now.
Sell Signal: 171'05Taking a on a range breakout play to the downside. Stop above the high of the day. Hopefully we have some acceleration to the downside
