Just how bad is THIS Financial Crisis going to be??...Well, let's try to measure it - and "time it", if anyway possible. Look at the title chart! OK, so we just did it. No?!... (The title chart is the simple ratio of US 30-Year Treasuries / Russell2000)by Nemo_ConfidatUpdated 999
BEWARE OF POTENTIAL REVERSAL - OBSERVATION WEEK COMING - ZB-30MNThe T-Bond 30 Years ZB is falling when the S&P500 is rising, Shouldn't it be the opposite when the economy is not going well? Beware of the possible super return of trends that might come soon. What about the timing at the moment? We notice that at open or 2h after American open an acceleration of the price movement occurs. Also at London closing time. What about the forces? Forces are clearly dragging the prince down but no vision in where the price is going. What about correlations? Opposite correlation with S&P500, ES. Same direction with Gold, GC. The green vertical line is at the time in which tomorrow, Monday 21st, we probably should see some nice movements if the market price follow same pattern as during the week before. We will still observe during next week. To repeat again, beware of trend sudden reversal. Probably, you can use this chart in combination of your S&P500 trading session, going in opposite direction.by Diallo_Charts_Ideas3
Treasury notes bounce will support commodities Treasure notes have been in a downward trajectory since August. As many of you know , treasury notes and yields have an inverse relationship. What we are setting up for here is a bounce in treasury notes (a drop in yields). Many commodities including precious metals have been consolidating since August which is no coincidence, treasury yields have been rising simultaneously. Now that treasury notes have reached the bottom of the declining channel, I suspect a drop in yields and purchase of bonds will take place soon. This will subsequently support metals and commodities in the short term and place some downward pressure on equities. Longby Fida4u111
Bullish Bonds: Technicals vs. NoiseContrarian bet against the onslaught of bond bears. RH Technicals vs. WallStreet - Clean, MACD Bullish Divergence - Descending Triangle, Completed E-wave signals new trend. - 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement hit; Also referred to as the Golden Retracement . It is, after all, based on the Golden Ratio. - And potentially a False Breakdown, likely to mirror the False Breakout of the B wave in the E wave. Implications for the S&P go without saying. Best, RHLongby RHTrading3
Bond Update #bondsThis breakout trade out of the December range (rectangle)to the downside to the lows set back in March has been even better then expected but as we approach those lows it is decision time again. Because I have good trade location I am going to hold the short position even if we get an immediate term bounce. I am watching to see if we can hold below 169'00. If we can the downtrend is still intact. How price reacts here at 167'00 will be interesting to watch though because if rates are really going to rise this time, the down move could be strong if we can make it below 167'00. Despite the FED and the economy not fully being open, bond yields are certainty indicating inflation for now. by IngenuityTrading220
Sell Signal: 171'05Taking a on a range breakout play to the downside. Stop above the high of the day. Hopefully we have some acceleration to the downside Shortby IngenuityTrading220
It's a great buy T-Note ZB in this chart we suggest the support line and RSI=25 so all of this suggestion mean that it's probably you have to buy market Good Lock, Shortby HamzaELMsiahFx1
PLAY IT SHORT ENTRY PROBABILITY |T-BOND FUTURE - ZB1! - 30MNThank you for your shares and likes! Much appreciated! __________________________________________________________________ We have identified the channels which have helped to see trade other markets correlated to the ZB1! US 30 Years Future (Like GOLD for example). See how the market is bouncing around those lines. THE BLACK LINE We have identified probable line illustrating the "what the price should be", The Bottom Black Line. If the Bottom Black Line break, the probability to get profits in the short direction will be amazing. For the recent past history, this Bottom Black Line has seen pullback up. Staying in a constant uptrend overall. THE RED LINE We have identified a Top Red Line which is probably the best place to enter short from. But will the market find enough power to reach the $175 mark? Probability exists since we have seen a super squeeze of seller recently. Now small candle sticks a re running in the upward direction, one after the other like if nothing happened before. Nice 40 to 45 degree angle. No coincidence, the market has closed at the top on the channel. A critical point from which anything can happen. The market could probably break up and test highs or go down staying in the blue channels traced. WHAT TO DO? It is more likely that you make good decision only when the market approaches those Red or Black line. In between, anything can happen for the moment. So 171.1, 172.23 and 175 will possibly be the most important prices. So, probably, only wait and observe for the moment. This is also trading.by Diallo_Charts_Ideas0
ZB1! / TLT : US Treasury Bond Futures : HTF Bias (Option 2)US Treasury Bonds (ZB1! or TLT) are nearing some very sensitive + bullish zones on the weekly chart. Here's another way this can play out in next few weeks! Alternative way this could play out : Longby makuchaku3
ZB1! / TLT : US Treasury Bond Futures : HTF Bias (Option 1)US Treasury Bonds (ZB1! or TLT) are nearing some very sensitive + bullish zones on the weekly chart. Here's one way this can play out in next few weeks!Longby makuchaku3
ZB short Term Target Objective (Continuation)Just showing the progress of my previous analysis. The news did not affect price significantly. TIME ZONE MDT 7:00am USD HPI m/m 1.7% 0.8% 1.5% USD S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y 6.6% 5.3% 5.3% 7:59am USD Richmond Manufacturing Index 15 20 29 8:00am USD CB Consumer Confidence (MEDIUM) 96.1 97.7 101.4 Short07:31by OpeyemiJonah2
ZB short Term Target Objective The price of the Bonds is giving Lower Highs and Lower Lows. That is simply a downtrend, and the price I aim for a previous swing lows that have been formed in the past from the uptrend. News can possibly drive price down, or might do a stop hunt to 173'20. Short03:02by OpeyemiJonah1