ZB1! - Similar To Yields Right? Don't we all love a blow-out top ey?
In my last post, i mentioned interest in 125.30 as an area of important buyside liquidity which the algorithm would me most likely to target before moving up to the HTF rejection block @ 129.26.
Last week showed a sharp rejection from the premium SIBI range and this week trading solely inside last weeks dealing range.
Volatility will be induced into the market and stops, whether it's buy stops or sell stops will bend their knees to the wraith of the marketplace.
The question to ask is, which side will bend their knees first??
I'd put my coins on Sellside, targeting the buyside imbalance Sellside inefficiency with an overall target of 120.20.
I want to see 122.21 negated, with a candle body closure below for my first objective.
ZB1! trade ideas
ZB1! - 7 Days Of Heaven! Do You Want It To End?!ZB1! most volatile week in quite a long time; 26th Feb 24 being the only period this year with higher volume numbers, standing at 3.459 Million whilst this weeks volume is 2.677 Million.
The correlation between Yields and Bonds is currently in lockstep motion with each other; both printing 7 straight days of one-way price action.
I will not rule out a potential for a manipulated retracement to the downside but if this was to occur, the infamous level of 120.20 (as documented before in the last 4-weeks of analysis) is a potential draw for smart money to enter the arena.
Looking out for 125.30 highest SIBI & weekly buyside liquidity as my first target
Stretch target for this week is the macro order block @ 129.26
ZB1! - 120.20 Has Been A Stubborn AreaIt's been a relatively quiet week in comparison to the other pairs. Nothing major played out in the bond markets this week other than the last 2 weeks low being taken out before a pullback occurred. If it wasn't for the raid on sellstops, this week would have been an inside week, increasing the possibility for a low resistance liquidity run up to relative equal highs @ 120.20 (as mentioned before in my previous weeks analysis)
Relative equal highs @ 120.20 is prone to negation.
Just as US10y traded up to the volume imbalance before rejecting, repricing to the downside, ZB done the exact opposite, sweeping the 9th Jul 24 sellside before repricing higher. This also begun from Thursday and continued onto Friday.
First draw in liquidity is the premium array @ 119.21 - 119.26
Second draw in liquidity is 120.20 - 120.24
ZB1! - Yields v Bonds Matrix!I am anticipating a continued sell-off, short-term before a rebound, aiming for relative equal highs @ 120.20 - 120.24 as smooth edges tend to be made jagged as more trust is built.
118.30-118.26 T1
118.23 draw on liquidity T2
This might take some time to pan out.
Just gotta trust the process
ZB1! - Putting My Faith In 120.20Bullish bias has continued from last week with no signatures in price action indicating a weakness in the bulls.
It must be mentioned that US10 might have already done it's business below sellside and might be looking to rally higher.
If that is the case, it could take some time than expected for 120.20 to be delivered
ZB1! - I Like How Bonds And Yields Sync Up This WeekRemember scalpers, it is imperative that the projection you make is at least 2x larger than the actual pip amount you are aiming for.
I aim for 5-handles consistently which is a mere $250 per contract trading NYSE:ES but i always try to project 10x moves so that i can be confident in risking money for a profit of 5 handles.
$ZB/$TLTvUS10Y - Daily ChartBonds look to have a relief rally look to them.
However, they are failing to close higher above the BPR or FVG higher. Until that happens, it is merely a retrace to push lower
- This will week will start to solidify the Higher for longer with yields/interest rate narrative we have analyzed so far since October 2023 when they first announced 7 cuts which we knew was BS
- With that said, HOT CPI print will put bond prices under pressure again signaling no eager need to cut rates
- However, if we get an inline or COOL print, the rate cut narrative will start to materialize itself more and traders will start to front run that which will raise bond prices, drop yields
HOT CPI - NASDAQ:TLT 📉, AMEX:TBT 📈
COOL CPI - NASDAQ:TLT 📈, AMEX:TBT 📉
$TLT/US10Y Bonds look to have a relief rally look to them.
However, they are failing to close higher above the BPR or FVG higher. Until that happens, it is merely a retrace to push lower
- This will week will start to solidify the Higher for longer with yields/interest rate narrative we have analyzed so far since October 2023 when they first announced 7 cuts which we knew was BS
- With that said, HOT CPI print will put bond prices under pressure again signaling no eager need to cut rates
- However, if we get an inline or COOL print, the rate cut narrative will start to materialize itself more and traders will start to front run that which will raise bond prices, drop yields
HOT CPI - NASDAQ:TLT 📉, AMEX:TBT 📈
COOL CPI - NASDAQ:TLT 📈, AMEX:TBT 📉