ZB1! trade ideas
US Treasury Bond Futures In Consolidation - 6/7/2016Whether it will break upside or down is anybody's guess but playing the range has been a very profitable exercise so far. As the global trend on bond yield suggests, a break on upside is more likely then down but we have to be vigilant if Fed surprises with hike. In that case also, it will be another buying opportunity than selling we believe. US has long way to go for negative yield but you never know !
T-BONDS FUTURES short entryThe price is at prior resistance area.
Some sort of a double top is being formed which is consiedered to be a reversal pattern.
I'm not sure whether I'll close the trade at initial target or earlier. However, the probability of a profitable trade here is pretty good.
Both entry price and stop-loss price are on the chart.
GLHF ;)
30-yr UST: The Long Bond is gonna get heavyEarly signs of topping on ZB futures. Distribution candles on the top, and failing yet again at familiar spot. Setup is not yet confirmed by RSI or MACD, though, and the long bond bounced a bit off the MA(9).
I'm inclined to open half of my position here. A daily close below MA(9) would lead me to open the second half of the short on ZB, targetting MA(200), around 156'00 at current times.
A breakdown below MA(200) is in the cards if Crude Oil (related idea) goes above 35$. Otherwise, good to hop on some ZBs for risk-off trading!
Squeeze on............ BondsInteresting enough, with the pending interest rate decision from the FEDs, The Bond market is experiencing a Squeeze.
Higher interest rates, affects the Bonds and Stocks negative, while the former being more sensitive, Keeping an eye on the Bonds may Shed some lights. If the interest rates will raise or not.
1. ISM index reported low
2. ADP Employment change is high.
Importantly,
3. Non Farm Payroll is due this friday.
That is a good amount of catalyst for the market.
In addition, This being the last month of the year, trading is a bit slow, even with the market failing to notice the divergences between multiple co-related asset classes.
Good Luck
Enjoy the holidays
See you all next year. Unless Something important happens.