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ZB1! trade ideas

30-yr UST: The Long Bond is gonna get heavyEarly signs of topping on ZB futures. Distribution candles on the top, and failing yet again at familiar spot. Setup is not yet confirmed by RSI or MACD, though, and the long bond bounced a bit off the MA(9). I'm inclined to open half of my position here. A daily close below MA(9) would lead me to open the second half of the short on ZB, targetting MA(200), around 156'00 at current times. A breakdown below MA(200) is in the cards if Crude Oil (related idea) goes above 35$. Otherwise, good to hop on some ZBs for risk-off trading!
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by Daniel_Urdaneta
Squeeze on............ BondsInteresting enough, with the pending interest rate decision from the FEDs, The Bond market is experiencing a Squeeze. Higher interest rates, affects the Bonds and Stocks negative, while the former being more sensitive, Keeping an eye on the Bonds may Shed some lights. If the interest rates will raise or not. 1. ISM index reported low 2. ADP Employment change is high. Importantly, 3. Non Farm Payroll is due this friday. That is a good amount of catalyst for the market. In addition, This being the last month of the year, trading is a bit slow, even with the market failing to notice the divergences between multiple co-related asset classes. Good Luck Enjoy the holidays See you all next year. Unless Something important happens.
CBOT:ZB1!
by UDAY_C_Santhakumar
Why you should be buying more stocks now...The chart presented is a Comparison of the 30 Year Bond and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Notice how the extreme Peaks in bond prices (hitting the upper trend line) starts a strong rally in Equities and also vise versa. Its a good time to buy stocks, and short bonds. With the Feb raising rate some time in the future, I expect bond price to fall and the the next major top can be estimated when the price hits the lower trend-line. Until then the Trend is your friend...The projections made are just estimates based on the average of the two last occurrences of this pattern. Bullish !
CBOT:ZB1!Long
by aravindran1
It's not a system, it's progressionAll markets move the same. There is always accumulation which sets up a pop and leg up. Once the leg is complete we will always see distribution, followed by a leg back down to test every level that was gained and lost. Most people can't recognize accumulation or distribution. Instead they call it chop, which is technically not incorrect, but it limits our view. When we know if the chart is accumulating or distributing, we know where price is going to go next. If we just say it's in a chop mode, or sideways, we gain no insight. The safest trade that can be made is off a first touch. The pop or drop is almost 100% accurate, a large move, and very few people understand how to recognize it. This probably makes people scratch their head as to why it's a strong entry. The h pattern is also a result of a first touch pop, where momentum is being exhausted to setup to test a significant level below and then to test the most recent level lost. Often we will see accumulation during the h pattern. Patterns are generally worthless when looked at alone. Patterns form during the progression process. What are double bottoms and inverted H&S? Accumulation patterns. What about H&S patterns? Distribution. What about wedges? You guessed it: either accumulation or distribution patterns. Leg starts will pretty much always be tested, and are the absolute best trade to take on a first touch, because the following move will almost always be very large. This is not a system; it's progression, and it's on every single chart on every single time frame.
CBOT:ZB1!
by TradeVulture
8
Long 30-Y Treasuries Futures $ZB on Pull BackIn a deflationary environment, yields will continue to fall and bond prices will rise. In many countries, we are seeing structural deflationary pressures that can't seemed to be fixed by adding money supply. This trade setup looks to buy a pull-back to the P-Pivot level, which also coincides with the up-trending blue slope As of 13 Jan 2015, price has broken through 148'00 to form the beginnings of an AB=CD pattern. Using the AB=CD pattern to project key levels, the target set for Profit Target One is at the .618 extension level, right before the All Time High dating back to years ago. Profit Target Two is set at the full AB=CD extension. Stop Loss is set to below point B of the AB=CD extension and below the previous weekly low. Entry: 149'05 Stop loss: 147'05 Profit Target One: 152'25 Profit Target Two: 160'17
CBOT:ZB1!Long
by luke1827
1