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ZB1! trade ideas

Bonds "Bull Flag" Break Could Accelerate Downside QuicklyI find the position of Bonds very precarious going into this week. I've heard it said that Bonds are are in total "hands off" mode or "anything but bonds" is said right now. Nobody wants them... and if they fall fast it could literally cause a "Bond Crisis." So this is going to be an important watch. In the shortest time frame I see a potential Leading Diagonal down, which has a very small correction 50% maximum) already started. My stop is above 62% of this tiny decline. If the natural targets of this leading diagonal are hit that points to a very fast move of 3 points to the 123% - which will be a definitive break of the bull flag. And I think that will create the 1st wave of an extended 5th wave which could target 3.6 or 4.6 extensions for the larger 1-2. That would be a fall of 7 or 11 points and basically 5% yield. ...Which could be dubbed a crisis in the short term.
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by FuturesIntelTM
ZB1! - Cra$hed & BurnedLast week’s projection was short throughout the week and boyyy did we get shorts! Monday got the ball rolling with a bearish decline of -1.67% with all further retracements not fulfilling the open of Monday’s trading, insinuating that the bulls are loosing strength. To confirm this bias, we can clearly see on Friday that smart money tried to sweep buystops and entice buyers to join in and take profit by the 116 equilibrium but it failed incredibly, sharply retracing in the inter-day timeframe and closing out as a bullish shooting star but below the bullish daily order block which signifies weakness by bulls. Current market structure is rangebound throughout the overall week but 113.10 daily sellside is where I will have eyes fixed to. This is not 100% but if yields are to appreciate, there’s a very strong possibility that bonds will continue to decline. Overall short target is 112.27 for the week as this coincides with the weekly bullish order block. Would be in for a continued full run in the dollar index? My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by LegendSince
ZB1! - Three Weeks Of Consistent DeclineNotice when bonds decline, yields appreciate? Thats due to the inverse correlation in price action. 115.10 weekly OB was respected this week but price action failed to close below indicating some form of retracement in the cards next week. 112.27 is another weekly OB that i have in mind that the algorithm could reprice down to with bullish yields on upto the weekly fair value gap aiding my bias. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by LegendSince
ZB1 weekly analysis ZB1 continues to trend lower, with a brief respite after finding support liquidity on Tue 03 Sep '13. This occurred alongside a favorable market environment following a drop in inflation. However, after Q1, the Fed announced that interest rates would remain fixed until 2025. This has led to a continuous decline in ZB1, targeting lower lows and aiming for short-term support liquidity around 107'05. The subsequent target, if the price continues to drop, would be 103'22. In technical analysis, we observe the market absorbing liquidity before rallying to reach the order block for a liquidity purge.
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by Deotrade1
ZB1! - Slippery Slope Of DeathThursday is the only day throughout the week that the bulls showed their strength. Overall Sentiment has been bearish throughout 2024 with things not looking to change anytime soon, especially if the long term highs @ 120.20 is not taken care of by the bulls. 116.21 daily liquidity void is where I have my eyes set to if we are to see yields continue it's bull run. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by LegendSince
ZB1! - Usually Correlation is Tight With Yields...After Monday's sell-off, bonds continued to trickle higher, running through the weekly highs @ 120.06 closing for the week @120.14. Last week, I set out two bullish projections; 120.08 being T1 and 121.01 (now updated to 121.02) for T2. This weeks first target is 121.02 with a possibility for a continued bullish run up to the daily liquidity void starting from 122.11. This bias goes hand in hand with yields continuing to sell-off, enticing short traders to continue to pile buy stops above recent highs increasing the likelihood for smart money to capitalise from. Trading below Monday's bullish order block @119.06 will bring me back to the drawing board. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT:ZB1!Long
by LegendSince
ZB1! - Playing It Safe With LongsWith bonds 90%* of the time doing the opposite to yields, its safe to say the bond market has a higher possibility of continuing the rally up to weekly swing high/low equilibrium @ 120.08 with a stretch target of 121.02. Playing safe this week and only aiming for low hanging fruits as the overall price action for the tickers I analyse does not give me all the signatures I need to spread my wings. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT:ZB1!Long
by LegendSince
ZB1! - Eat or Be EatenWith 7 daily bearish candles, how many people are currently betting a retracement will occur? That's the question I ask myself when I study recent and current price action. 118 is unfinished business for short sellers with 117 also in the cards if 118 does not show signs of respect. This goes in line with my bullish bias for US10Y. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by LegendSince
ZB1! - Deprived Bonds There is usually a very tight correlation between the bonds market and the yields but what we have seen especially on Friday is price action moving in tandem to each other. Yields closed bearish whilst Bonds had a shift in market structure whilst closing bearish on the Friday which indicates something will give soon! 121.02 was my expectation for this weeks price action which was met but we have yet to retest 121.02 after running right through it. 120 would be a deep retracement but I would not rule that out of the cards for next week. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by LegendSince
ZB1! - 121 Premium Prices Coming W/ Lower Interest Rates?With Yields and bonds having a reverse correlation, I am expecting bonds to continue trading higher, targeting the 121.02 EQ range. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT:ZB1!Long
by LegendSince
ZB1! - Weekly Put Trust In Your BiasWith projected longs in the yields markets, I was anticipating a continue in the reverse correlated pair, bonds in which I wanted to see us run on daily sell stops, stretching for the 116.17, 50% equilibrium. What we got was a sweep of daily buy stops with the possibility of a continuation up to the psychological number 120 which I would be awaiting a rip through the hourly liquidity gap @ 119.08 as that is considered thee last line of defence from the bears perspective My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT:ZB1!Long
by LegendSince
1
Treasury Bond Futures Triggers a Swing Long EntryThis chart of long term treasury bond futures indicates an impulsive move off of the October 2023 low. Since that impulse topped out in a first wave (or an A wave), price has retraced very nicely into the expected depth of correction guideline of the fourth wave of lessor degree. The correction unfolded as a double zigzag that met a the alternate wave guideline of equality as wave W is equal to the length of wave Y in price. With two guidelines met, probability dictates that the correction is complete and odds are that the next advance is underway.
CBOT:ZB1!Long
by ChartWizardTrading
ZB1! - Weekly When Will The Pain Subside?TVC:US10Y and CBOT:ZB1! are strong reverse correlation between each other and with last weeks price action proving to be mainly bearish, I do not believe the pain to the downside has ended... With TVC:US10Y Thursday's daily bearish hammer forming @ the bullish order block created on Monday, we witnessed a bullish shooting star in CBOT:ZB1! , Thursdays candle which is the complete opposite. I accept a relief rally up into the Mon 12th Feb 24 daily bearish order block with the market trading higher than 119.24, my idea will be negated. I do suspect if the TVC:US10Y is to continue to the upside, CBOT:ZB1! will continue its decline with 116.17 in sight. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by LegendSince