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10 Year T-Note Futures10 Year T-Note Futures10 Year T-Note Futures

10 Year T-Note Futures

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ZN1! trade ideas

Bonds Consolidate, Breakout Soon??Bonds have consolidated as we have expected. We are seeing strong support at 130'19, and appear to be forming a flag pattern bounded by 130'07, and 131'02. The Kovach OBV is trending up slightly, suggesting a small bull bias. From here it could go either way. The Fed is discussing tightening, which would be bearish for bonds, but persistent risk off sentiment due to the Omicron strain could give ZN a lift, though it appears this may be priced in by now. We will see continued support from the upper and lower bounds of the range. Volatility has consolidated quite a bit so we expect a breakout either way potentially soon.
CBOT:ZN1!
by quantguy
1
Inverse Head and Shoulders in Bonds??Bonds have seen a bit of a relief rally as we predicted yesterday. They hit the exact target we identified, 130'00, before settling near support at 129'26. We anticipate a quiet market as we go into the US hoiday for Thanksgiving. The Kovach OBV is still solidly bearish, suggesting that this rally may be just a relief rally. That being said, we do have an inverse head and shoulders pattern forming with a neckline at 130'00. If we break out further, we could easily hit 130'07, or 130'19. If the selloff continues, our next target is 129'11.
CBOT:ZN1!
by quantguy
Bonds Establish ValueBonds have dipped but have found support at the levels we identified yesterday. ZN retraced from relative highs at 131'02 to 130'19. It has since rebounded and is currently testing 130'26. The Kovach OBV was quite strong, but has dipped with the retracement. We appear to be forming value between 130'19 and 131'02. If this is the case, then expect further support at 130'19 and resistance at 131'02. Beware of the vacuum zone below to 130'07. The next target above is 131'12.
CBOT:ZN1!Long
by quantguy
1
Bearish Looking 10Y US Notes Can Push USDJPY HigherHello traders! Today we will talk about 10Y US Notes and its negative correlation with USDJPY. 10Y US Treasury yields keeps pointing lower, as we see a bearish triangle formation within wave 4 correction that can send the price even lower for wave 5. If that's the case, then respecting correlations, USDJPY can see more gains for wave 5, as we also see a bullish triangle pattern within wave 4. As you can see, triangle, a continuation pattern can be approaching the end, as we see the final subwave "e" in progress, so ahead of NFP report, be aware of that final 5th wave before we will see reversals. Be humble and trade smart! If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
CBOT:ZNZ2021
by ew-forecast
2
10 YEAR T-NOTE HTF ANALYSIS 11/2 SESSIONSummary : Price trading lower, creating new yearly low, and it reverse to trade higher. However it created an insignificant low, creating a new equal lows (liquidity) bellow. The price doesn't break the higher swing (BMS) and created confluence to trade lower. But we have to be careful cuz it's still trading on a range, so it's possible for the price to trade higher, but for this time it's safe to assume it's gonna trade lower. Confluence : -10&20 EMA (DAILY) = BEARISH - BEARISH DAILY BMS - 1D BEARISH OB + RTO - 1D ICT BEARISH BREAKER - MOST RECENT LIQUIDITY RUN ON SHORT TERM SWING HIGH + STOP HUNT (SH) Conclusion : -Bias = Bearish, Bullish for Dollar, Bearish for Major Foreign Currencies (EUR,GBP, etc.) -Target = Old Low (In this case Yearly Low) -Probability = MEDIUM -Suggestions = Find another confluence, in the dollar index & the pairs that you want to trade, Higher Time Frame Or Lower
CBOT:ZNZ2021Short
by wekelex