T-NOTES ZN BREAKOUT Hello traders, ZN finally brokeout of its corrective channel, we might see it going to test the 2023 low in the near future, time to trade, good luck everyoneShortby ZadoTrading012
Introduction To Reversal Bar Patterns: Part 2In part one we discussed the basics of reversal bars. To recap: Most reversal bars/patterns occur on significantly wider than normal price ranges with opens and closes near the extreme of the bars and on significantly higher than normal volume when viewed in the context of the recent past. In general, the wider the price spread and higher the volume, the more reliable the signal. The best signals generally occur after prolonged trends and the pattern extremes are often tested. In practical terms there is a significant degree of overlap between the patterns. The key is to understand that the patterns represent an overt change in the balance between supply and demand. Importantly, very few patterns set up as they would in textbooks or in my examples, but the principles are consistent. Understanding why they occur and developing your analysis and trading judgement around them is a key skill. In this regard, there is no substitute for staring at thousands of bar and candle charts. Reversal bars are common chart features. To be meaningful, they should occur at or near the culmination of a long trend (in the perspective you are trading or one higher), and are more reliable when traded in the context of overbought or oversold markets, mature trends, and other technical event confluences. A long trend on the hourly chart may not be visible on the daily or weekly chart, but will likely be important in the context of trades being developed on the 30-, 15-, and 5-minute charts. It is also worth noting that many of the patterns have candlestick chart analogs that are worth exploring. Multiple Bar Reversals: Hook Reversal: The weakest of the reversal patterns is the common hook reversal. The first bar opens near a low extreme and closes near the high extreme. Bar two opens near the bar one close, may or may not make a slight new high, and then closes near the low extreme of the two-bar range. The wider the two bars are, the stronger the signal. If the bars are wide enough, they become a pipe reversal (see below). Generally, the volume on the first bar will be lower than the volume on the second bar and the volume overall will not be remarkable. I particularly like this pattern when the first day’s bar closes beyond a significant resistance or support, and the second day reverses to close back within the support/resistance boundary. In some cases, the hook reversal may be classed as an upthrust or a spring which we will cover in coming parts. Key Reversal: In a bearish key reversal the market OPENS above the prior close, often leaving a gap, sets a new high, and then closes the day lower than the prior days close. The pattern becomes stronger if the two days comprising the pattern are wide range days (spikes) or if the spike on the reversal day is extreme. The lower in the day's range the bar closes and the higher the volume the more compelling the reversal. Outside Key Reversal: Adds a significant degree of reliability. This pattern opens higher, often leaving a gap, moves to a new high and reverses, not only closing below the prior close but completely overlapping the range of the prior bar. The pattern becomes stronger if the two days comprising the pattern are wide range days (spikes) or if the spike on the reversal day is extreme. The lower in the day’s range the bar closes and the higher the volume, the more compelling the reversal. Pipe reversals, like many other traditional patterns, have become less common, but are still important features. Bulkowski in his excellent “Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns” makes the point that pipes are more compelling when they show up on the weekly chart, but in my experience that is true of all reversal patterns (the higher the perspective the more reliable the pattern). The pattern consists of two adjacent upward/downward price spikes into fresh territory with only small relative differences between the bar extremes. The bars should be wide-ranging and should easily stand out from the rest of the trend. There is usually a trend acceleration associated with the pattern. In some cases, there will be a small range bar separating the two wide range bars (the pipes). I am particularly interested when this small range bar generates well above average volume. In future pieces we will cover springs/upthrusts, buying and selling climaxes, tests and the importance of inside bars. Good Trading: Stewart Taylor, CMT Chartered Market Technician Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. The CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. The CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur. Educationby CMT_Association4421
Technical Analysis on 10 Yr US T-Note by ARISTOVISTATechnical Analysis on 10 Yr US T-Note by ARISTOVISTA - INDICATOR: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - TIME FRAME: 30 mins Chart - POSITION: Long Longby ARISTOVISTA0
Technical Analysis on 10 Yr US T-Note by ARISTOVISTATechnical Analysis on 10 Yr US T-Note by ARISTOVISTA - INDICATOR: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - TIME FRAME: 60 Mins - POSITION: Long Longby ARISTOVISTA0
Technical Analysis on 10 Yr US T-Note by ARISTOVISTATechnical Analysis on 10 Yr US T-Note by ARISTOVISTA - INDICATOR: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - TIME FRAME: 30 Mins - POSITION: Long Longby ARISTOVISTA0
Technical Analysis on 10 Yr US T-Note by ARISTOVISTATechnical Analysis on 10 Yr US T-Note by ARISTOVISTA - INDICATOR: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - TIME FRAME: 30min Chart - POSITION: Long Longby ARISTOVISTA0
I recommend keeping the sale portfolioI recommend keeping the portfolio selling treasury bond futures contracts for 10 years, but while breaking the red moving average indicated by the blue arrow, I recommend buyingShortby aboubakkrhajjamielidrissi0
US 10-Year Notes - LONGI've been loading on these like crazy, all day long. Yields have peaked, by any measure. Also, the inevitable - continuous - U$D buying can't help but push these higher. The Yuan/Rubble based trade, while present, is miniscule and capital isn't exactly flowing into mainland China. No one trusts the Chinese and the Russo-Chinese alliance is about as stable as a floating dice game. Hence, the Chinese central Bank's insane gold buying spree despite which gold prices couldn't muster more than an intra-day all time high, lasting all of 5 minutes. All U$D, all day long.Longby Nemo_ConfidatUpdated 1
Elliott Wave Analysis ZN1!Elliott Wave Analysis 10 Year T-Note Futures Details on the chartLongby UnknownUnicorn14191258111
Ten Year Notes (ZN) May Find Support SoonShort term Elliott Wave view in Ten Year Notes (ZN) suggests that cycle from 3.24.2023 high is in progress as an expanded flat. Down from 3.24.2023 high, wave ((A)) ended at 113’3 and wave ((B)) ended at 117 as the 45 minutes chart below shows. The Notes then extends lower in wave ((C)). Internal subdivision of wave ((C)) is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((B)), wave 1 ended at 116’09 and wave 2 ended at 116’12. The Notes extends lower in wave 3 towards 115’13, and wave 4 rally ended at 115’29. Final leg wave 5 ended at 115’01 which completed wave (1). The Notes then corrected in wave (2) which ended at 116’16. Internal subdivision of wave (2) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (1), wave A ended at 115’31 and pullback in wave B ended at 115’24. Wave C higher ended at 116’16 which completed wave (2). The Notes then extends lower in wave (3). Down from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 115’05 and rally in wave 2 ended at 115’18. The Notes then extends lower in wave 3 towards 113’04 and rally in wave 4 ended at 113’25. The Notes should soon end wave 5 of (3), then it should rally in wave (4) to correct cycle from 5.11.2023 high before it resumes lower. Near term, as far as pivot at 117 stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside. Potential target lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((A)). This area comes at 111’31 – 113’28 where buyers can appear for 3 waves rally at least. by Elliottwave-Forecast1
Long /ZN ideaLong ZN to the target volume imbalance following a break of market structure. #ict conceptsLongby gottimhimmel158Updated 2
Golden Cross in the US 10yrThe 10yr is coming down, after a failure at the 117'00 level last week. However, please note that the 50dma crossed the 200dam which is known as a "golden cross" Longby ForexAnalytixPipczar0
10 Year Futures - Bear FlagAnother bear flag on the ZN monthly, but this one is massive with lots of volatility. The next leg down might be ugly.Shortby iamroot3
Short /ZNIn a daily time frame, the /ZN is high in the curve and the 4H trend is down, so I am looking for a pullback to the 1H supply zone and take short from the 1H supply zone. The risk is $ 375.00 Target 1 is 1:1 (+$218.00) Target 2 is 1:3 (+$609.00) Shortby orangeusa7770
T-note bond USA FED managesT-note massive money printed bond purchasing programme through repos...keep inflation high and perpetual debt who cares. T-note straight forward to 124. just sell put ZN options contracts and get premiums easy-peasy. For pro advice to send private message. Longby JorgeCCMM0
$ZN_F: Bullish signalSeems like bonds are about to rip higher for many weeks here...I'm long with an ETF position using some leverage to hedge my equities positions here. Seems like a good position to put on, can be done with $IEF or $ZN_F futures . Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.Longby IvanLabrie5
It’s time to sell and sell big As we see in the chart the candles went under The iceberg also supported by a big volume that is a good indicator to sell by aminio2320
T-notes Double BottomThe current chart pattern seen here resembles a bullish "W". Sort of like a double bottom . I'm guessing price will at least reach the 122 level. The W pattern signals the end of the long bear market that has lasted from 2021 to 2023 (2 years) as seen in the recent break in the 200 moving average. Longby racer8335
pitchfork indicator as we see in the image the pitch folk I used identify a channel in which this asset is likely to trade. The moment our candle passes the central line and bonce over the first line in the pitchfork that means its good time to BUY by aminio2320
results of my previous charthello, "Time to double your money" as I mentioned before in my previous chart, once we passed the iceberg our chances of growing became bigger and with that result we could have done a good trade. this result is not final "the wave is still growing" good luck to you all by aminio2320
time to double your money the indicators tell us that its Time to double our money and buy moreby aminio2320
zn marcheZN marche in 2/04/2023 att 6 h to 22:00 h you can bay this marcheShortby oussamalemmih28Updated 0
usa 10note bond ZN1!crucial time for t-bond FED increases money supply, easing money to banks and prints it as well as rises interest rates...those are opposite things that we do not know how it turns out would the descending triangle be broken?by JorgeCCMM0