2 year notes ahead of the unemployment numbersShould break substantially either way in the next few days.
ZT1! trade ideas
2 year T Bond divergenceI believe, simply put, that we will see a downturn here in the two year bond based on divergence of the macd and price action.
ZT1! P-Modeling Pt 1. 2 Year T-Note Futures. Extreme CajunZT1! 2 Year T-Note Futures Extreme Prediction Modeling Architectures
The following is an very experimental Extreme Long Range Prediction Model, using quantum graphing decoding protocols that were developed to tease out very complex long range modeling architectures... This has mostly common sense schematics outlined..
Find the 2 year cycle patterns.
Decode the Matrix Residual from those patterns.
Copy/Paste correct residuals into hyperspace.
Gather Geometric Support thru Regression/Vector blueprints of ecosystem.
Post idea and wait...
I do not expect to be right. Fully..
But, this is potentially a full ecosystem reset ...
Laugh now... Cry Later.. Doubt is an illusion to the truth... Doubt now, Laugh Later..
Failure is a necessary component of success. ;)
Welcome to the Hyperspace and thanks for pondering the unknown with me,
Glitch420
ZT1! 3Drives completionIt is not just the $Dax, the 2-yr T bond futures also not feeling the Pow Wow love with a 3-drive completion and a bunch of SSR suggesting an impending trend change.
2 YR TREASURY NOTE BREAK OUT PENDING POST CORRECTIONTHE BOND MARKET seems to be indicating possible economic slow down - this appears to be world wide phenomenon - this favors the 2 Yr treasury the most in the near-term - a breakout from a descending wedge is a possible way this could occur - a recent correction after a long rally has occurred - this might present an opportunity to joint the trade - the contract is a $200,000 contract at CME - quite high for many traders - the 10 year might be a better way to play it ($100,000) per contract. There may be treasury BULL ETFs as a way to play it safer or merely writing calls on TLT (20 year ETF) could be another way to play this. I am quite bullish bonds. This is trade is purely macro per Raoul Pal at Real Vision but I noticed the descending wedge formation. This was an amazing call at the time. There is likely more room to run in the LONG BOND trade as there is a flight to safety for capital in a market which is either agnostic or slowing down potentially.
2 YEAR NOTE FUTURES COULD GO HIGHER2 YR NOTE FUTURES NOW at 2007-2008 LEVEL - COULD GO HIGHER FROM HERE - OPPORTUNITY OF A DECADE TO BE LONG?
2 YEAR T-NOTE FUTURES (MAR 2019), 1D, CBOTTrading Signal
Short Position (EP) : 106'03'3
Stop Loss (SL) : 106'07'1
Take Profit (TP) : 105'27'1, 105'19'0
Description
ZTH2019 formed Double Repo Sell at 1d time frame. Trade setup with Sell Limit at 0.382 Level (106'03'3) and place stop after 0.618 level (106'07'1). Once the position was hit, place take profit before an agreement (105'27'1) and 105'19'0
Money Management
Money in portfolio : $280,000
Risk Management (1%) : $2,800
Position Sizing
$0.0078125 = +-$15.625/std-contract
Commission fee = -$2.94/std-contract
EP to SL = $0.1 = -$234.38
Contract size to open = 12 standard contracts
EP to TP#1 = $0.3 = +$515.63
EP to TP#2 = $0.5 = +$1,023.44
Expected Result
Commission Fee = -$35.28
Loss = -$2,812.5
Gain#1 = +$3,093.75
Gain#2 = +$6,140.63
Total Gain = +$9,234.38
Risk/Reward Ratio = 3.23
2 YEAR T-NOTE FUTURES (MAR 2019), 1D, CBOTTrading Signal
Short Position (EP) : 106.09375
Stop Loss (SL) : 106.21875
Take Profit (TP) : 105.78125, 105.59375
Description
ZTH2019 formed Double Repo Sell at 1d time frame. Trade setup with Sell Limit at 0.382 Level (106.09375) and place stop after 0.618 level (106.21875). Once the position was hit, place take profit before an agreement (105.78125) and 105.59375
Money Management
Money in portfolio : $280,000
Risk Management (1%) : $2,800
Position Sizing
$0.0078125 = +-$15.625/std-contract
Commission fee = -$2.94/std-contract
EP to SL = $0.1 = -$250
Contract size to open = 12 standard contracts
EP to TP#1 = $0.3 = +$625
EP to TP#2 = $0.5 = +$1,000
Expected Result
Commission Fee = -$35.28
Loss = -$3,000
Gain#1 = +$3,750
Gain#2 = +$6,000
Total Gain = +$9,750
Risk/Reward Ratio = 3.2
Good Short Opp HereInterest rates spiked due to the Brexit event but market forces are trying to regain equilibrium now.
One could short the futures contract or buy a put option to take advantage here.
Futures trading involves serious financial risks and are not suitable for all investors. Please seek competent trading advisors before placing any trades.
Great Short Opp Here!Futures are not for everyone. Futures trading involves financial risk of loss. Please consult your professional trading advisor before placing any trades.
Short Opp Here!I have been working on some new trading rules based on Bill Williams Trading Chaos.
Long term weekly 89 sma is down and price and daily 89 ema are both below it. (The purple trend line)
Price is currently 'on sale' in terms of the long term trend, that is, the price is above the yellow trend line (daily 89 ema)
Acceleration and momentum are both showing downward pressure.
