DJ30 Short 15 Min Chart SMA+ Trend line + On weekly BBDow30 short after getting clear Resistance from the SMA+ Trend line + On the weekly BB
MYM1! trade ideas
Dow Jones Trend Day Setup 5* OpportunitiesMy goal going forward into 2025 is to only trade the Parabolic Trend trades and to master them. They happen roughly 5-8 times per month. Just catching 1 of these per month is all I need. Using 3% risk per one of these setups can deliver 15-20% gains.
The universal entry criteria is the 5 minute close back inside the 20sma.
The timeframe for entries are either 1 hour before the open, the open, and 1 hour after the open.
Profit targets are generally until the close or a range expansion target of 1-2 times the Asia/London box.
Below are multiple charts of the same setup with the green box being the ideal entry.
If I can only trade 1 trade PER MONTH, this is what I will focus on.
Northbound and DownBank move. liquidity sweep, Sig pattern, could not take out the low, large gap above off fomc news.
2025 Gameplan Dow Jones 20% Correction Into Monthly UptrendMy gameplan going into the new year is to watch for the formation of the topping process into that rising wedge for the 20% correction back down into the monthly uptrend.
After December 23' broke out and the whole of 2024, it will pullback to the 50% area of 37,000. This lines up nicely with the Long term Monthly trend and the November 2023 monthly candle.
The ramped volume is ripe for a stop hunt through because it is suspended above actual support. The next higher low in the Dow's trend is back down in the 37,000 area after the entire 2024 year gets taken out.
Dow Jones Range Bound Levels Buy LowThis is my updated gameplan inside of this sideways consolidation. I am looking for a run of the lows down into July FOMC level for support. I don't expect price to break this level.
Once price gets back down into the bottom of the range and starts buying, the next target will be at the top of the range and the break of the highs as a target.
YM Long day after Fed Rate Cut (INTRA-DAY ONLY)Yesterday the markets sold off following FOMC events that signaled fewer rate cuts for 2025. Markets seemed to have stabilized and Trade Analyzer heatmap is showing bullish setup on YM.
This is just for today. If the trade does not trigger by end of day, it will be cancelled.
Price still mitigating the July FOMC as I suspectedPrice is still on its way to mitigate the July FOMC level as I suspected a while back. I just got caught up in the short term and forgot about that prior post I made as a likely target.
I was wondering why the July FOMC level hasn't been retested lately as the September FOMC level bounced off. It seems to be repeating the December 23 FOMC level where it makes a suspension above the level before coming back down.
Now, I will be closing watching the July FOMC level and if price will come to the tick to it before another rally.
The arrows marks every time the market dumps down to a previous FOMC level only to halt mere ticks from it without breaching. If the July FOMC level is to not be breached, then it too should dump down into it by mere ticks.
I am still bullish on the Dow and am not going to fall for the manipulation. I will expect that low to be taken and articles mentioning extreme bearishness and another crash. This will be about the time the market forms the low and rallies back up to 46,000
Trade Idea Setting Up Into Support Santa Rally I am positioning myself to take part in the year-end rally and the December 18th FOMC. I can smell another 8% rally coming.
I will see how price gets into the support zone and when it starts holding, I will get in. The stacked highs are the target. The triple top over 45,000. I have a feeling the market will close 2024 over the 45,000 level for headlines.
The two biggest clues for this trade Idea is the peak formation low and the creeping trend. Creeping trends are used as order flow for the reversal back up. Once all the shorts start covering, a squeeze happens. What I am looking for is the creeping trend's capitulation into support.
There is probably 2000 ticks of upside potential here.
YM down - broke rsi channel, price action trendline brokenYM:
Daily:
-broke down hard from the rsi uptrend channel
-obviously a kill candle today on fomc; broke hard below the uptrend price action
W: (will publish separately)
-also breaking below an uptrend rsi trendline/channel
Note:
the yield curve reverted to normal this week
I expected that it would take several months before we saw a meaningful pullback, but the fomc may be a catalyst; tbd...
DJI - Has the DJI finished its profit taking?The DJI completed a cup and handle formation and run up, completed full EW moves and traced back to the 150 SMA after a nice profit taking moves. Will the santa claus rally will move it back up or the bears are strong enough to break below?
A Huge Move on the Dow: Are You Ready for What’s Next?In this idea, I’ll be analyzing the Dow E-Mini Futures (YM) using a 4-hour bar interval. For those who don’t trade futures, you can follow along with Dow-focused ETFs like DIA.
The goal is straightforward: gather as many clues as possible to determine the most likely market direction.
Have a different take? Share your thoughts in the comments—let’s discuss!
My Analysis Setup
I’ve divided my screen into four quadrants for a comprehensive view:
Price Action 1 (Q1)
Price Action 2 (Q2)
RSI Action 1 (Q3)
RSI Action 2 (Q4)
What Does RSI Tell Us?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveals momentum. A declining RSI typically indicates that sellers are gaining control, as selling pressure outweighs buying.
Q1 (Price) and Q4 (RSI): November 11–19
From November 11 to November 19, both price and RSI were in decline, marked by red arrows. This led to a pullback of 1,463 points before the Dow reversed course and ultimately hit an all-time high of 45,106 on December 4.
Q2 Price and Q3 RSI Divergence: After November 25
Post-November 25, price continued to rise, hitting new highs (green arrow), while RSI began to decline (red arrow). By the close on Friday, December 8, RSI showed continued weakness, but the price only experienced a modest 400-point pullback compared to the earlier 1,463 points.
What Does This Tell Us?
Earlier Phase (Q1/Q4): A declining RSI aligned with a drop in price, signaling sellers were in control.
Later Phase (Q2/Q3): Despite RSI weakening, buyers became stronger and more aggressive. They drove prices higher, limiting pullbacks and resisting sellers’ pressure.
This shift suggests growing buyer strength, with demand outpacing selling pressure.
What’s Next?
If buyers can clear out the remaining sellers, I believe the Dow could test 50,000, the next major psychological level for traders. Beyond that, the 100,000 mark could start appearing on the radar for the largest market players.
Based on Friday’s closing price of 44,706, I see any pullback as a potential buying opportunity.
Final Thoughts
This market is looking very bullish. The resilience of buyers, even in the face of weakening RSI, is a strong signal of upward momentum. Let’s keep monitoring for signs of continuation and see how long the bulls can maintain control.
Do you agree with this bullish outlook? Or are you seeing something else? Share your perspective in the comments!
Buy : MYM Dow Jones Futures 17-12📈 CBOT_MINI:MYM1! Buy : MYM Dow Jones Futures
🟢 Signal: Strong Buy Opportunity
🔹 Entry Price: 43,591
🔹 Stop-Loss: 43,003 (Protective stop below key support)
🔹 Take Profit: 46,099 (High-probability target zone)
📊 Technical Analysis and Rationale:
Key Support Zone:
The 43,591 level has shown strong buying interest historically, acting as a solid support base.
Price is showing signs of stabilization after testing this area, indicating buyer momentum is ready to push the market higher.
Favorable Risk-to-Reward Setup:
With a stop-loss at 43,003, the downside risk is tightly controlled, minimizing losses if the trade fails.
The take-profit target at 46,099 offers a significant upside potential, providing a 5:1 risk-to-reward ratio—ideal for disciplined traders.
Technical Confirmation:
Look for bullish signals such as hammer candles, bullish engulfing patterns, or a volume spike near the 43,591 zone to confirm the entry.
Moving averages or RSI divergence may also indicate growing bullish momentum, reinforcing the buy decision.
Trend Potential:
Dow Jones Futures have the potential to rebound strongly from this level, targeting the next major resistance around 46,099.
A break and hold above minor intraday resistances will further strengthen the bullish outlook.
Dow Jones Bearish Price Action Gameplan for 12/16High-impact news should bring significant volume on Monday. Based on this, I anticipate a strong buy from 5:00 AM to 8:30 AM CST, potentially pushing price back up to FOMC Support before resuming its bearish trend toward 43,575 —a move worth approximately 358 ticks. If the market grants me my desired volume, I may be tempted to surf a few concepts; however, after Friday's successful hold, I’m leaning toward placing my sell position and holding it for the remainder of the session.
I anticipate price selling down to 43,300 by Wednesday FOMC, as this level aligns with the overall bullish trend we're currently in. Dow Jones often respects structures and trends, so I’m banking on it continuing to do so.
My only concern is that the election candle drove the trend higher than the original bull trend, so we may or may not reach my anticipated target. @Dow_Jones_Maestro posted a perfect example of this, check out his idea linked below:
Let’s lock in and collect those ticks!
Weekly Forex Forecast: Buy The S&P & NASDAQ. Wait On The DOW!This forecast is for the week of DEC 16 - 20th.
The SP500 & NAS100 are bullish and buys are the order for the week. The DOW Jones is weeker, sliding down as the USD climbs. Be careful here, as the DOW tends to travel it's own path at times.
FOMC is Wednesday. Stay vigilant and disciplined this week!
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Sell : MYM Dow Jones Futures 43.910Sell Signal: MYM Dow Jones Futures
🛑 Signal: Sell on Pullback
MYM1!
🔹 Sell Zone: 43,910 (Key pullback resistance level)
🔹 Stop-Loss: 43,980 (Above recent high to manage risk)
🔹 Take Profit: 43,800 (First target), 43,760 (Extended target)
📊 Technical Analysis:
Pullback Resistance: Price approaching 43,910, a key level of prior rejection where sellers stepped in.
Trend Continuation: Market remains bearish on lower timeframes; pullbacks provide shorting opportunities.
Confirmation: Look for bearish signals such as rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or declining volume at 43,910 before entering short.
⚠️ Strategy:
Wait for a retest of 43,910 and signs of reversal.
Use tight risk management with the stop above 43,980.
Take partial profits at 43,750 and trail stops for further downside.
MYM1! CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
Sell : MYM Dow Jones Futures 43.910Sell Signal: MYM Dow Jones Futures
🛑 Signal: Sell on Pullback CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
🔹 Sell Zone: 43,910 (Key pullback resistance level)
🔹 Stop-Loss: 43,980 (Above recent high to manage risk)
🔹 Take Profit: 43,800 (First target), 43,760 (Extended target)
📊 Technical Analysis:
Pullback Resistance: Price approaching 43,910, a key level of prior rejection where sellers stepped in.
Trend Continuation: Market remains bearish on lower timeframes; pullbacks provide shorting opportunities.
Confirmation: Look for bearish signals such as rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or declining volume at 43,910 before entering short.
⚠️ Strategy:
Wait for a retest of 43,910 and signs of reversal.
Use tight risk management with the stop above 43,980.
Take partial profits at 43,750 and trail stops for further downside. CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
How Dow Jones Moves Based Around FOMC ReleasesI made a similar post awhile back detailing how Dow Jones moves and uses FOMC. Now I have a little more update, it is even clearer.
The purple highlighter is the FOMC release and the purple line is the price level it was released at.
The November FOMC kickstarted the bull trend and since then, price has been defended from prior FOMC levels.
Below I will show you what I am referring to.
I long the MYM1! because it's on 0.618 why not kekw. Before longing this golden ratio, I wanna see the path as illustrated.
Push to the upside Hour open/close back into its own 618
To protect the margin, a hard TP1 43.91 as a 1:1 of the expected initial impulses.
Tp levels.
1.) 43.91
2.) 43.96
3.) 44.07
4.) 44.123
MYM1! Bearish Price Action for 12/13This week has been nothing short of spectacular. I’ve always enjoyed bearish weeks, likely because I developed my strategy during similar conditions. Price action has been remarkably consistent throughout the week, and I anticipate a strong buy around 7:00 AM CST, targeting the 44,105 area before retracing into an overall bearish trend for the day post market open.
I plan to place and hold my sell position once price buys to the 44,105 area at market open. If price action doesn’t reach my "End of Day" target at 43,702 , I expect it will gradually sell down to the Sellside Liquidity zone around 43,821 before market close. With no high-impact news scheduled, I feel more confident holding this trade throughout the day rather than concept surfing.
Lets finish out the week strong guys!
Elliott Wave View: Dow Futures (YM) Looking for Further UpsideShort Term Elliott Wave in Dow Futures (YM) suggests rally from 11.5.2024 low is in progress as a 5 waves diagonal. Up from 11.5.2024 low, wave ((i)) ended at 44625. Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 42999. The Index has resumed the rally higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 43563 and wave (ii) pullback ended at 43181. The Index nested higher in wave (iii). Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 43749 and wave ii ended at 43445. Wave iii higher ended at 45121 and wave iv pullback ended at 44790. Wave v higher ended at 45171 which completed wave (iii).
Pullback in wave (iv) ended at 44680 and final leg wave (v) completed at 45176. This also ended wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Wave ((iv)) pullback is now in progress to correct cycle from 11.19.2024 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before it resumes higher again. Down from wave ((iii)), wave (w) ended at 44261. Expect a rally in wave (x) followed by a wave (y) lower to end wave ((iv)) before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 43000 low stays intact, expect the Index to extend higher.
Dows trending up short termLooking at the trend there's a positive momentum at 15 min. It might reverse before
Market opens. Close when you get to your humbled goals at anytime. Happy trading!
YM pivots and targets for tomorrow/tonight YM levels for tomorrow with retracements/pivots (blue boxes) and targets (grey boxes)
MYM1! Bearish Price Action for 12/9Here’s my plan for tomorrow’s price action: I trade based on key indicators at the 8:30 CST Open. If the market sells, my target range is 200-300 ticks. However, I try to avoid being too greedy and will likely secure profits around the low 200s, depending on market volatility.
One of the many reasons I love trading the Dow Jones is its respect for structure—price tends to honor key trendlines, as seen on the 2H chart. This week, I anticipate strong bearish action, similar to last week. Once we hit the target area around 43,500, we could see a shift back into Buys.
Only time will tell. Let’s stay sharp and collect those ticks!
