XC1! trade ideas
Cup and HandleMarch 2021
Pattern only valid at or above long entry level..
Support below handle low (HL) or mid cup (MC)
Not a recommendation
Long C H1 as it is both bullish in FA & TACorn continues to trade along the lower end of the trend channel. Both daily and weeklies are still on the uptrend but watch carefully as some of the momentum indicators continue to flatten.
On the fundamental side, erratic weather patterns in South America and continuous large demand from the Chinese continue the bullish case for the corn and the grains complex. My initial TP on the trade is around 4.50 for starters, entry is 4.25, and stop loss level is set at 4.20. Thinking of an R-Multiple of 5. Though as soon as the trade goes my way, will lift my stops to breakeven.
Brazilian Corn.. indecisionFor moment brazilian corn has given a break on it trends up.... now its moment to take profits and walk away waiting for moment
Three Drives pattern. Trend slowing/changing?I have Adam Grimes book I have been reading and I went back to look because I saw this similar on a daily trade he wrote about on wheat. I'm also considering the 100 month moving average and the fact that were at highs of a big range from 2014 on corn. Currently parabolic on the Daily. I'm expecting a trend change to follow oats and wheat. This pattern as far as the Daily is known as a Three Drives Pattern.
small short, tight SLi didn't look at fundamentals, so i'm taking small short position was tight stop loss
My scenario for #CORN #FUTURES #CME #CBOT to the rest of 202038.2 retracement needed to continue the rally to the target for 2020
Good luck..
Corn Short, Based on COT data and TAZC1!
Commercial accounts are currently net short on corn futures contracts (-355k contracts), while as noncommercial accounts aka, Retail traders, are net long (+411k contracts). These two positions are at extreme polarized ends of the play. Usually commercials tend to be net short on any asset but its the extremes one should keep an eye on.
Corn is currently at a basing pattern, with a previous impulsive move to the downside. Entering at a base is relatively risky, since the pattern can either turn into a drop base drop or a drop base rally pattern. So one can play this two ways, enter short at the base with a tight SL so if an impulsive move to the upside were to occur, you will stop out with minimal damage. Or, wait for the pattern to play out and if the pattern is a drop base rally, then short a potential double top. The play I am making is short at the base of this pattern with a SL at 407'5.
Targets for the short are
- 0.5 retracement
- 0.618 retracement
- 0.786 retracement
- 305'4
I will be taking profits at each target, with the last target being a runner position.
Corn - MonthlyWhat do you think is gonna happen here?!.. :-)
(This is the monthly chart so this may take a while, nevertheless...)
Little analysis for wheat On volume we can buy if we go up, or sell if we go down "the support level" (short term analysis)
Corn Bearish ForecastI see a nested supply zone from Daily pressing on resistance 384. We might see bullish spikes trying to break that resistance line, but according to our structure it should fall. We anticipate a bearish move here and it will need confirmation, also monitoring once confirmed.
If it gets below 377, then we might have our bearish bias. But volume or momentum strength will play an important role.
All of my market shared technical set-ups are speculative, they are not guaranteed for accuracy or in completeness in the form of any content. At this profile page, the analysis, ideas and also, the strategy of a chart belongs to Khiwe; -it is not to advice on financial markets; please apply your own analysis and confirm it with price action.
Corn (big) SHORT3 way confluence with a massive Bat (with a much lower PRZ!) looming over this weekly chart!
Wyckoff Event in Corn Background:
After a series of Sell Down in Corn ,
we finally see a accumulation and breakout of
the chart signal us that the sell off is over.
The composite man has probably done their
accumulation phase and now is the time to
bring the real rally out from water.
In all the 3x Previous rally
are followed with relatively Higher
Volume . Each Pull back forming
a Higher Low and
showing a Up trend
line is FORMED.
Wyckoff Analysis Events
PS Preliminary Support
SC Selling Climax
AR Automatic Rally
ST Secondary Test
Spring Test
SOS Sign of Strength
LPS Last Point Of Support
BU Back-Up (Small Pull Back After SOS)
Entry : 365-370 (If PB Happen), Otherwise current Price.
Target : T1 410, T2 460
(Before Dec 2020 Contract Expired)
Stop : 355
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Other Wyckoff Analysis on SoyBean
UPTREND SUPPORT SLIDING DOWN - CORN - ZC1! - 30MNWe have seen an up trending line hidden but being actually acting like a super strong resistance line stopping the market to go further up. Shall we see it like a regulated price for the Corn ? Not sure. But this line is clearly sliding and in a very regular way giving us a probability to see it sliding further.
The black arrow are showing the sliding effect.
We have marked with a red line the potential next break. if it breaks, there is a strong probability to see the market going down further to the next blue line down, following the logic of a next level of support from past history data.
We have also market in green a potential break up, as the market decides at the end. But, that point can be seen as a probable good entry for a short position direction. A potential pullback down might occur as the candlestick in the red circle shows a brake in the uptrend. it is a signal. Huge volumes have been stopping the market from going up further.
For the moment we stick to the possible short direction scenario.
According to my experience. I expect a hike. Short term dealA purchase bargain
I am not using take profit. And stop loss
If you want to exit the deal. right on time. you can call me.
I welcome everyone
