XW1! trade ideas
WHEAT W1The situation on the wheat market may become critical for the consumer, due to Russia's withdrawal from the grain deal. That will probably entail a speculative increase in the price of grain. At the start of full-scale hostilities in Ukraine, we saw the price of quotations for wheat almost double in a very short period. After that, the situation stabilized a bit. But realizing that due to the impossibility of logistics of wheat from Ukraine, the situation could create hunger in the world. Because Ukraine is a very large supplier of grain, on which many countries depend. The states, with the participation of Erdogan, were able to reach a consensus and conclude a grain deal. But because of the shelling of the Russian fleet last week, the Russian Federation announced that it was withdrawing from this agreement. Now there are almost 300 ships at sea loaded with Ukrainian wheat and blocked by Russian troops. Not being able to supply grain to the consumer will create a shortage in the market and the price will automatically start to rise. Immediately after the announcement of Russia, the price increased by 8%!
Wheat Mini Futures ( XW!), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 904'1
Pivot: 856’0
Support: 781'4
Preferred Case: On H4, as the price moving below ichimoku cloud and descending channel , we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the pivot at 856‘0. which is in line with the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 781'4 where the 78.6% fibonacci retracement is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may rise to the 1st resistance at 904'1, which is in line with the 61.8% fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Wheat Mini Futures ( XW!), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 904'1
Pivot: 853'1
Support: 781'4
Preferred Case: On H4, as the price moving below ichimoku cloud and descending channel , we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the pivot at 853'1. which is in line with the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 781'4 where the 78.6% fibonacci retracement is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may rise to the 1st resistance at 904'1, which is in line with the 61.8% fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Wheat Mini Futures ( XW!), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 904'1
Pivot: 853'1
Support: 781'4
Preferred Case: On H4, as the price moving below ichimoku cloud and descending channel , we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the pivot at 853'1. which is in line with the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 781'4 where the 78.6% fibonacci retracement is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may rise to the 1st resistance at 904'1, which is in line with the 61.8% fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Wheat Mini Futures ( XW!), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 904'1
Pivot: 853'1
Support: 781'4
Preferred Case: On H4, as the price moving below ichimoku cloud and descending channel , we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the pivot at 853'1. which is in line with the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 781'4 where the 78.6% fibonacci retracement is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may rise to the 1st resistance at 904'1, which is in line with the 61.8% fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Wheat Mini Futures ( XW!), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 904'1
Pivot: 853'1
Support: 781'4
Preferred Case: On H4, as the price moving below ichimoku cloud and descending channel , we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the pivot at 853'1. which is in line with the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 781'4 where the 78.6% fibonacci retracement is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may rise to the 1st resistance at 904'1, which is in line with the 61.8% fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Wheat Mini Futures ( XW1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 904'1
Pivot: 858'2
Support: 781'4
Preferred Case: On H4, as the price moving below ichimoku cloud and descending channel , we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the pivot at 858'2. which is in line with the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 781'4 where the 78.6% fibonacci retracement is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may rise to the 1st resistance at 904'1, which is in line with the 61.8% fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
WHEAT // market is in daily impulseHi✋🏽
Trend is short, and price tested the last daily south breakout, then turned. Targets are marked by the fibo.
What do you think???
Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️
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ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter.
I JUST REACT!
Thanks for reading my analysis!🤘🏽
Remember that trading is a business.
SIZE your TRADES according to your risk aversion!
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WHEAT Part 210. 18. 22 This is part 2 of wheat. Essentially, I am very comfortable with part 1, and it represents how I would frame a market for a trade. However, I can get a trading advantage with a low risk of getting stopped out, getting in at a lower price If I use the 4-Hour chart. The 4-Hour chart has two functions in this case: It gets me in yesterday at a lower price, and it gets me a signal of where the markets had gap hire Which I could not have seen on the daily chart, plus it allows me to see a measured move that would be difficult to see on the Daily chart. In other words, a better trade location at a lower price, and a market pattern that suggests a higher probability that the market will not stop me out right away.... and this helps me manage my time at the computer, and frequently helps me use a smaller stop. I know some of these details that we can have as Traders can be a mind game. Regardless, this is how I frame my trades and manage my Initial stops. Part 1 is where you should start.... Because it's easy and its basic. We are just tweaking things here a little bit on the second part.
ZW1!10. 18. 22 I'm showing you the setup wheat trade. I do not trade wheat, but maybe I will someday. I went process and everything that I described is exactly what I would do if I were taking a trade in this market. What I mean by that is that I would not just set the market up for the long trade...I would also look at the long trade that I missed. If I were doing it so it might take me an extra 5 minutes of my time to look at what I missed. The most important thing is that I get a familiarity with that market. It helps me to look to the left to get a feel of the market even though I missed a good trade. It takes maybe 5 minutes to do this... but it developed a comfort level for me. In effect, I am going through my "training list".
Wheat Mini Futures (XW1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 904'1
Pivot: 876'3
Support: 818'6
Preferred Case: The H4 price is breaking the descending channel and below ichimoku cloud , we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the pivot at 876'3, where the 23.6% fibonaci retracement and overlap resistance are to the 1st support at 818'6, which is in line with the 61.8% fibonacci retracement and overlap support.
Alternative scenario: If there is a price reversal, price will move to 904'1, where the previous swing high and 50% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Wheat Mini Futures (XW1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 904'1
Pivot: 876'3
Support: 818'6
Preferred Case: The H4 price is breaking the descending channel and below ichimoku cloud, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the pivot at 876'3, where the 23.6% fibonaci retracement and overlap resistance are to the 1st support at 818'6, which is in line with the 61.8% fibonacci retracement and overlap support.
Alternative scenario: If there is a price reversal, price will move to 904'1, where the previous swing high and 50% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Wheat mini Futures ( XW1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish MomentumType : Bullish rise
Resistance : 1030'5
Pivot: 901'4
Support : 845'6
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving in an ascending trend and trading above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price may rise from the pivot at 901'4 where the 23.6% retracement sits to the 1st resistance at 1030'5 where the 50% fibonacci retracement and overlap support are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 845'6 where the 50% fibonacci retracement and overlap support sits
Fundamentals: No Major News
no earth on the horizon Under these conditions wheat prices will continue to rise at least to reach 949.4, assuming that price will go and displace the 1364.6 level is just pure gambling, because with Russian-Ucraine war we could see a violent lowering in prices if Ucraine will result as a winner of the conflict.
i would expect a pump from the zones marked that should be confirmed.
Commodity Wheat idea (05/10/2022)wheat
Completion of wave y of the compound binary wave, and completion of wave b at prices 945 We expect wheat to decline in the coming period after ending the correction pattern as we explained, and we expect a decline as prices are less than the decisive point 945, which is the crucial point. Important, a point for the next period and the beginning of the wave retreat
Wheat Mini Futures ( XW1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish MomentumType: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 1031'1
Pivot: 938'1
Support: 897'0
Preferred Case: The price is crossing the ichimoku cloud and moving within the ascending channel , we have a bullish bias that the price may rise from the pivot at 938'1, which is in line with the 38.2% fibonacci retracement to the 1st resistance at 1031'1, which is in line with the 50% Fibonacci retracement .
Alternative scenario: If bearish momentum persists, expect price drop to the 1st support at 897'0, where the 23.6% fibonacci retracement is.
Fundamentals: There is no major news.