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E-mini Dow ($5) Futures (Mar 2026)E-mini Dow ($5) Futures (Mar 2026)E-mini Dow ($5) Futures (Mar 2026)

E-mini Dow ($5) Futures (Mar 2026)

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YMH2026 trade ideas

Elliott Wave: Dow Futures (YM) Poised to Continue Its RallyThe short-term Elliott Wave perspective for Dow Futures (YM) indicates that the wave IV pullback concluded at 40725, as illustrated in the 1-hour chart below. The Index has begun to climb in wave V. However, it must still surpass the prior peak of 45227, set on January 31, 2025, to eliminate the possibility of a double correction downward. The rally from the wave IV low has so far unfolded in three swings. For greater confidence in continued upward momentum, it’s advisable to wait until a five-swing pattern emerges. The rally from wave IV is expected to develop as a five-swing diagonal Elliott Wave structure. From the wave IV low, wave ((i)) peaked at 41905, followed by a wave ((ii)) pullback that bottomed at 41587. Wave ((iii)) then advanced to 42388, with the subsequent wave ((iv)) pullback concluding at 41769. The final leg, wave ((v)), reached 42544, marking the completion of wave 1 on a larger degree. The ensuing wave 2 correction then found its low at 41751. From that point, the wave 3 rally reached its peak at 43148, followed by a wave 4 pullback that bottomed at 42459. In the near term, as long as the pivotal low at 40725 holds, anticipate that any pullback will attract buyers within a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, paving the way for further upside.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Bearish Outlook on Dow Jones Amid Corrective Phase- Key Insights: The Dow Jones is currently under bearish pressure with institutional selling prevalent across major indices. The corrective phase is expected to continue, potentially pushing the Dow towards support levels between 39,800 and 39,700. Investors should prepare for market volatility fueled by economic factors like upcoming tariffs, which may slow down potential recovery actions. - Price Targets: Short position advised next week. - Targets: T1 = 39,700, T2 = 39,500 - Stops: S1 = 40,500, S2 = 41,000 - Recent Performance: The Dow Jones recently exhibited a downward trend, filling a gap before moving further downwards similar to NASDAQ and S&P 500. This decline suggests a consistent bearish sentiment is affecting the markets. - Expert Analysis: Experts believe the Dow is in a corrective phase with an eventual rally towards new highs expected post-correction. Current sentiment remains bearish due to worries about tariffs and broader economic challenges, but optimism exists for future recovery to levels above 47,000, hitting as high as 51,000 in bull scenarios. - News Impact: Market sentiments are marred by the anticipation of new tariffs set to unveil on April 2nd. These tariffs could introduce significant volatility impacting both equity and cryptocurrency markets, which will be crucial for investors to closely monitor due to potential negative influences on the Dow Jones trajectory in the near term.
OSE:DJIA1!Short
by CrowdWisdomTrading
DOW Shorts: Better RRWhile NQ and ES was trending lower DOW was going higher. This was to take out stops, pair smart money orders and start the sell program. I waited for multiple confirmations before entering the trade. Buystops, rejection, CISD and IFVG. I could've entered earlier targeting even higher rr but the more confirmations there are showing bearishness, the higher the probability. This trade is risk free and partials have been taken. The stops will be adjusted accordingly and managed while letting the runner target the PDL. Let's see.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by TradesofThunder
Promising Breakout Setup Ahead! Chart 1W CBOT_MINI:YM1! BLACKBULL:US30 Promising Breakout Setup Ahead! The chart highlights RSI and Williams %R trendline breakout plays. My strategy? Identify trendlines on the chart, monitor RSI and Williams %R, and target breakouts on these momentum indicators. Current Situation: All key signals have already triggered. Strong bullish seasonality Favorable COT data (small specs bearish, commercials bullish) Low open interest This setup aligns with high-probability breakout criteria. Chart Indicator SMA 1W 52 (red) SMA 1W 18 (green) Bottom Indicators WilVal Williams R% 9 length RSI 9 length Not Financial Advice for more questions ask in the comments or check my X @valuebuffet
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by FairValueBuffet
US30 Bullish BiasFundamentals: Valuation: Undervalued on the 30d - 13d Between the mean/Undervalued on 10d (projecting one more drop to undervalued on the 10 days) Seasonality: Following the price well. But I've explained that the price of Dow Jones reached a High 2-3 weeks before seasonality Tool predicted. As per 5y 10y 15y seasonality, the bottom of US30 could be this week, or early next week. Whether we see another drop is something we can't tell. But Seasonality tool was late as per the example I've showed you on Trade Station, could be late this time around, and we could find a bottom within the next 5-6 trading days! Technically: I've explained why I prefer the lower Daily Demand Zone. The Demand Zone we are currently at - is where the Equilibrium lies as per Fib Tool - therefore not a good buy level! Lastly, can we see one more heavy move down with A -3.5% on FOMC this Wednesday? We don't know, but it happened in December and it could happen this week!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Nedal13
Party's OverDow Futures daily forming a downwards channel with price targets potentially down to 34k and 31k. These drops would be about 20-40% which is considered a true market crash. The falling wedge pattern plays out until potentially June of 2027, but wedges from the top of the range are dangerous as they can turn into bull traps. - Economic fundamentals have been disconnected from the financial system for some time but as the underlying economy begins to falter (ex. unemployment wave) markets begin to price in data such as falling retail sales. - President Trump is going through with mass layoffs in the Federal Government which creates unemployment as the private sector has been going through layoffs and has halted actual new hiring since 2023. - As more traders have become accustomed to "bad news is good news," they will most likely be wiped out trying to buy dips or chase false breakouts doing what they have always done. - Tariffs regionalize trade which make global economies and supply chains less interconnected. A global economy that is also very levered up on USD denominated debt needs dollar liquidity to continue to function. By regionalizing trade that liquidity is starved which can lead to financial problems on a global scale if not handled carefully. - Markets are likely to price in these risks over the next 2-3 months leading asset prices and interest rates lower. Expect individual companies to do well at times but then rotate to others while the Dow index itself falls. - Even if the Dow were to play out the wedge during 2026, without significant improvements to the global financial system expect that move to be a bull trap or a best lead to minimal gains without a new wave of monetary inflation.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by CrashoutCapital
YM (March 2025) - Pay Close Attention To Dow JonesWhen comparing the three pairs; YM, NQ and ES, it is evident that the weekly lows has still not been made, indicating the weakness bears have to push price lower. The mean threshold of the 6th Jan 2025 has been respected, indicating the potential for a short term retracement on the lower time frames back up into 43409 - 43024 weekly previous bullish order block. The most important days to study is Sunday to Wednesday.
CBOT_MINI:YMH2025Long
by LegendSince
Dow Jones Volatility Daytrading AnalysisI am writing this post to organize my thoughts on ATR and Volatility. I have noticed that there are three different phases of Volatility. Low Medium High Using the 1 period ATR on the Daily chart, the high to low movement indicates what kind of Volatility one can expect. Low Volatility is when, on average, the daily high to low is around 300 ticks +/- 300 ticks is just a number. What I am looking for is the percentage. Low Volatility seems to be when the high/low movement of the day is around 0.50%-0.70% of the price of Dow Jones. Example: If Dow Jones is at 85,000, then 0.60% would be 510. Therefore, a low volatility day within this price range would be 510 ticks on average. Because Dow Jones is at on average 44,000 then a low volatility day using 0.60% would be 265 ticks. This is in line with 300 ticks on average. On the 15-minute time frame, using the 14 period ATR, I try to line up the peaks of the ATR values. In this case, it lines up to around 50 ticks. This information is vital in knowing how big stop losses and targets should be. If a low volatility day is around 300 ticks, then does it make sense to go for 300 tick moves? Depending on your risk to reward preferences, you can use ATR in a myriad of ways. I personally use 1.25 times the 15-minute peak ATR as this is my entry time frame. The peaks are on average 50 ticks. This would give me an ATR stop loss of 62.50. I would round it up to 65 ticks. If I was to take this hypothetical trade, I would use the 65 ticks stop and using 2.5 risk to reward, I would use 165 tick targets. If one would like to go for a 1 to 1, then they can use twice the peak ATR of 50 ( 100 ticks ) and go for 100 tick targets. Medium Volatility is around 580-600 ticks on the daily chart, or 1.25% from high to low. On the 15-minute chart, this would be 90 ticks using the peaks of the 14 period ATR. Using 1.25 times the ATR, I would arrive at 115 ticks for stop loss and using 2.5 risk to reward, I would target 290 ticks. This would give the trade room to play out. High Volatility is around 850 ticks and above. On the 15-minute chart, High volatility is 135 ticks. Using my same 1.25 time ATR, the stop loss would be 170 ticks and the target 425 ticks, using 2.5 risk to reward. If I were to take this hypothetical trade, and even having a not-so-great entry, using a 170 tick stop loss would allow me to take some heat on the trade but still stay in. Going for 2.5R, I would target 425 ticks. Taking this other hypothetical trade, one could still be in the trade and achieve the profit goal without getting pinged out by wicks. This allows a trader to not have the pressures of being so pinpoint accurate on their entries and to allow a trade to play out without getting pinged off the trade. We are not brain surgeons and therefore, do not need to be highly accurate and precise. You can be an average trader with good technical skills and still achieve success. Using the ATR indicator is an art form and is not rigid in its application. You have to use judgement calls when reading the numbers. It is not a fool proof indicator and sometimes you will under or overcompensate what number to use. I hope this post was helpful for anybody and feel free to leave comments down below on your thoughts. Thank you.
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
by Dow_Jones_Maestro