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YM1! trade ideas

YM1! - Massive Sell-Off!Due to a delayed upload, my bias is neutral for the duration of the week. Initially, i was looking out for the weekly order block to be attacked, which occured before continuing it's downwards projection to the weekly sellside liquidity @ 37,675. In my last YMM post, i stated that YM could front run the index markets and thats exactly what we saw. But this does not mean it will be the case this time round so it's something to be mindul of. I would like to see this weeks liquidity void respected, with todays candle closing below 38,237 and YM has a good chance of repricing to 37,675. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT_MINI:YMM2024
by LegendSince
Three Aspects of a Trade Entry, Risk Management, ExitWelcome to our discussion on the three vital aspects of a trade: Entry, Risk Management, and Exit. Mastering these components is crucial for successful trading. Let's delve into each aspect, understanding their significance and how they contribute to your trading strategy. Entry: The entry point marks the initiation of a trade. While it may seem straightforward, it sets the foundation for your entire trade. When choosing an entry point, consider factors such as market trends, support and resistance levels, and technical indicators. Your entry should align with your trading plan and signal a high probability of profitability. Remember, a well-timed entry can maximize your potential gains and minimize risks. Risk Management: Effective risk management is the cornerstone of trading success. This aspect requires careful consideration and planning. Assess the amount of capital you're willing to risk on each trade and set appropriate stop-loss levels to limit potential losses. Remember, preserving capital is paramount to long-term profitability. Exit: The exit point marks the closure of a trade and realization of profits or losses. While it's often considered the simplest aspect, it's equally critical. Establish clear exit criteria based on your trading strategy, whether it's a predetermined price target, trailing stop, or technical signal. Stick to your exit plan without succumbing to emotional impulses or market noise. A disciplined approach to exiting trades ensures that you capture profits while minimizing potential losses. Importance of Each Aspect: Entry: Sets the stage for the trade and influences its outcome. Risk Management: Protects your capital and ensures longevity in trading. Exit: Determines the realization of profits and mitigation of losses. In summary, prioritize each aspect of the trade process, giving due attention to entry, meticulous risk management, and disciplined exits. By mastering these fundamentals, you'll enhance your trading skills and improve your overall performance in the markets.
CBOT_MINI:YMM2024Education
by CFRN
Week of April 14th - Gold/Oil/DJI/VIX/10yrWhat a week we just had! Friday we saw aggressive broad selling all the way into the close. The NDX is once again just flopping around in this multi-week range - while The Dow is meaningfully breaking down. For indexes - I will be focusing on the Dow this week. The DJI has been super clean lately and is the only index really making the sizeable moves as it took out the February lows. ALL of the major averages are rolling over on their daily charts. Dow - Friday we saw aggressive selling all day long and this caused a weekly Market Structure shift on the weekly chart. From here the DJI needs to back test this weekly breakdown level and confirm the shift. We have a weekly breaker that will provide the first resistance level around 39k. If we can get past that - we should pop to 39.4k or so. There are a LOT of things that are aligned to enable the up move. DJI held its 100dma as support today and I am looking for a back-test into its 20dma or so. VIX - Friday the VIX spiked in a big way and is breaking out of a 2 month daily range. This was driven by war fears in the Middle East. The simple fact is that everyone sold their stocks and bought bonds and gold and puts on Friday. If WW3 doesn't materialize by Monday - they will all be offsides and be rushing to enter the market. I am looking for the VIX to get aggressively sold Monday if WW3 doesn't break out - which will be bullish for stocks. DXY - DXY spiked into a daily level that I wanted to hold as resistance. DXY has broken out as everyone rushed into cash/bonds/gold - but again I want to see a ERL to IRL move to retest the breakout. A falling DXY (in the short term) will be bullish for oil and gold. Crude Oil - Oil has been whippy lately and this to me shows how exhausted it is getting. going into this week. The weekly chart wants to trade 88 and then I think oil is due for a long grind lower as the markets continue to roll over. Oil should find some bullish legs to pop $3 as the DXY retreats during its back-test. 10yr Yield- Rates are going higher in the short run. I am looking for 4.7% to trade and I will be loading the boat with bonds around this level. Gold- Gold cracked the $2400 level last night, and banks came in to mash the hell out of it all day on Friday. Nothing has broken on the 4hr chart - yet. But I have alerts set to I can start scouting for shorts. So here is the setup I am watching for this week; - I want to see DJI trade higher into the the weekly breaker block around 39k. From there I will be scouting for short entries. -Looking for interest rates to continue to march higher - this will continue to apply pressure to indexes. Indexes will ignore rates (for now) as the VIX marches lower to confirm its breakout. - Gold & Oil - I want to see these things top out and soon. Oil has one last gasp in it and will be supported by DXY heading lower to confirm its breakout - I am looking for $88 to trade on WTI. Gold - we have to hold it here or we are going to start a down move. I have been publishing my weekly newsletter over at www.baero.biz since November as I have more flexability on that platform. Use code 'HTF24' to get 50% off your first month, come join us!
CBOT_MINI:YMM2024Long
by Baero-Trading
Using KEY price action analysis to refine EntriesHere is a short video on my key price action concepts which enable me to build a picture of what is happening and what side of the market I should be on. I like to use Anchors to a trend and key levels to build the trades on a 5min and then use the 1min charts for the entries. Enjoy the ramblings !!! The basic concepts discussed are : - Anchors - Price Action - Lower highs/Higher lows - Multi-timeframe Analysis ** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more ideas and learning material ** ** Any Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by TradeTheStructure
Dow Jones(US30):🔴Possible scenarios🔴(Details on caption) Well, as you can see Dow Jones in the daily chart swept the liquidity and created a new all-time high, then had a bearish reaction and shiffed the market structure as well. after that, the price had a retracement from a bullish FVG to a bearish breaker block and continued to the sell side. For now, there are two different bearish scenarios which I follow the first one. First scenario: The price created the buy side liquidity below the balance price range in the premium. We all know it is a high-probability scenario that can push the price lower. So in this scenario, we wait to move higher, grab the buy side liquidity, and look for a sell position inside the BPR on a lower time frame. Second scenario: If the price is strongly bearish we can expect the price to move to sell-side liquidity from inversion which has already tapped in. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️07/04/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
CBOT_MINI:YMM2024Short
by VahidTradingCR
1
YM1! - Better Bearish Order Flow $40,358 all-time highs was printed at the beginning of the week but a drastic sell-off led YM to sweep below the Feb 14th bullish fair value gap @ $38,909 before a late friday retracement. Inverted fair value gap between the 18-20th Mar 24 has been attacked and respected on the Friday so I will be keeping a close eye on YM to see whether it could be the first mover to the downside. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT_MINI:YMM2024
by LegendSince
Dow to Consolidate and Move Down from HereYM (DOW 30), 4 Hour, Indicators: This is what I need to see turn to get confirmation on our short position up here. The 4 hour is still locked in "embedded" mode on the slow stochastic. My bet is that this is going to come off "embedded" and in the process swing back to the middle of the Bollinger band. . . if that happens, that would take us back to 39921 . . . there is your 300 points. Notice the resistance on the 4 hour from above . . . You also have the top of the BBs on the 4 hour up there. So, it makes sense that it would be a good place to sell off from. Obviously, our stop is back at B/E but, if we wanted too . . .beyond this 4 hour level would also be a good place for a stop. More downside for YM could develop if we bust through the 39900 level if this wedge gives out.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by CeresTrader
YM (US30, Dow Jones Industrial Aveage) Puts in a Double TopYM (US30) 4 Hour, Fibs: Traded the first bear fib after the double top and saw it trade past its objective yesterday. The Dow has been one of the weaker indices of late, after outperforming most of the year. It didn't even make it up to the 50% line, selling off at the 38.2% line in the initial down move. Then, yesterday, on the rebound, it traded it's halfway back short. ####TRADE ALERT#### YM (DOW 30) Call: Short Entry Type: Market 39320 SL: 39500 TP1 / TP2: 38636 ################### Normal Size Position - Much Better Entry at A Series Fib with a Much Larger Reward:Risk 900 points of reward:200Points of Risk
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by CeresTrader
YM ran to 40k without any resistance just like I said it wouldI've been saying for some time now that Dow Jones has _no_ relevant resistance till 40k and now here we are If that resistance fades quickly then the next relevant resistance is at 45k and probably most retailers will come up with excuses to short it the whole way there also "But how did you come up with that number?" See for yourself heh this is a very clear cut chart at such high timeframes not too dissimilar to BTC and XAU Some very notable calls in recent years: SPREADEX:NIKKEI and TVC:DJI both to 40k (over 1y in advance) CRYPTOCAP:BTC pico bottom at 15k and recent local top at 70k FX:EURUSD pico bottom & TVC:DXY pico top at 115 TVC:USOIL pico bottom at 68 NASDAQ:SMCI mega breakout at 100 NASDAQ:NVDA mega support at 120 NASDAQ:TSLA pico bottom at 105 NASDAQ:NFLX pico bottom at 165
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by markusrafferty