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YM1! trade ideas

US30 Full AnalysisPrice Action: It is time for the monthly price to get back to the mean reversal where the Weekly open/close is inside-bar (but broke the low). Price hovering around the inside-bar is prone to break on either side. On the Daily structure, we have 3 days of Dojis, bearish engulfing followed by Gravestone Doji followed by two days of bearish doji and the price is moving in the channel. I expect monthly/weekly price to test the baseline while price from daily and below timelines are already below the Baseline in TDI. SK System: After sustaining a recent high, the price is respecting the SK Levels. My Bias is SHORT, if not SL and up, and shall look for the LONG. NB: US30, NAS100, S&P have a correlated move but both NAS & S&P price action are very distinct from US30. Let us Observe :-)
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by NareshSenThakuri
1
YM DOW Sell Set Up On 1 Hour RTH Chart Wednesday 17th JanI will be looking for a couple more green candles to rally into the declining hourly 21ema. I will keep raising up my sell limit order under the body of the highest green candle until a red candle eliminates it. The candle can rally past the 21ema by a bit and is still acceptable, in fact, preferable. This would "close" the gap and hit stops up high. I will be placing a stop above the high of that bar and will be using a 125 point stop. My target is a fixed 2 to 1 or 250 points. It has room for 450 points down to the red support line but I don't care. I am only taking my 2 to 1. Dropping down to the 15 minute, the rally would be into the declining 200sma, which should halt it in its tracks. Its ok if it pops above by a little bit
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
1
Dow Jones YM Week of January 15-19 Expected Range BoundI am expecting another choppy range week and will buy the lows, sell the highs. Will take it slow this week and try to avoid getting chopped up. I am only going to allow 2-3 trades per day. I am only going to allow 2 losses per day as Max daily loss I am only going to allow 2 winners in a row as Max profit protection I will only do 2:1 on every one of my trades and at the end of the week, add up my P/L stats. I will try to shoot for 50-60% win rate. 10 trades at 2 to 1 at 50% win rate is 5% gain.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
4 Hour Next Day CPI Pullback Setup IdeaI was tinkering around with news ideas and I have come up with this setup that I will try if market sets up with all my rules. I must have these rules in place, Most importantly, a fat CPI green bar followed by an even fatter, Bear engulfment bar. Once these are in place I will place a sell limit order in the middle of the golden pocket of that bear engulfment's High/Low range. I will target just a bit before that 50% mark of that prior fat green bar from December 13th. December 13th 2022 setup blueprint This post is merely a tutorial of sorts to show a potential 4 Hour Swing trade idea. I will give it a try. As long as my risk is contained then I am ok with the loss.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
YM1 US30 - SMART MONEY BEARS? 📈💥Just a quick update – the Cpi has hit, and as a result, the YM1 US30 DOW JONES is now priced in. Yesterday's high and low prices have been swept, and the current price is in a state of flux. However, it seems that bears are starting to take over, and it's possible that the price will decrease since liquidity has already been swept and we are in extreme premium price. We'll have to wait and see if the price retraces and takes the lows from last week out.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by MOTIONCAPITALTRADING
YM DOW FUTURES Still Range Bound Topping Pattern My long term thesis is an 18 month sell off back down to the monthly rising 200sma. My only concern is when is the market going to start. We are bumping up on the yearly up channel. My guess is it might take a couple of months to get going. Short term we have the CPI report in 12 hours. My best speculation is that it will be bullish and choppy to hit the stops up high and the top of the bear flag. I notice it is a bullish pullback on declining volume. Also, on the weekly chart, the 10 week rally that we had so far, is also on declining volume. The short sell off before it was on increasing volume. I also noticed that on the weekly, the 21ema is flat, range bound and not respected by price. This is indicating a flagging pattern or consolidation pattern. Here on the monthly, the topping process is forming. When will it start? I have no clue. The market takes it time to build up before it starts moving. Here on the monthly, it is like watching paint dry
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
2
DOW JONES FUTURES Range High Sell Same Setup August CPII don't know if it will play out exactly like August 7th but any small pop above the flat 200sma I must short as required by my strategy. I don't get to pick and choose. Going over prior data I noticed that August looks very similar to what is happening now. I am not saying that is what is going to happen just an observation. Anyway, I am short the Asia open with a fill price of 37,888 stop above the high at 105 ticks, targeting the range low at 400 ticks. I want to be out of this trade before January 11th CPI as it has the potential to blast higher like it did in August. I may even try shorting that pop above the 200sma as well. I think I will place a limit order in between those two red lines depending on how it is setting up and from where. Here is Chart of August Here is Chart of January, Today
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Dow Futures (YM) Doing Elliott Wave Corrective PullbackShort-term Elliott Wave View in Dow Futures (YM) suggests that the rally to $38115 high has ended the cycle from the 10.27.2023 low in wave (3) as 5 wave impulse structure. Down from there, the index is doing a corrective pullback in wave (4) against the October 2023 low cycle. And is expected to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings looking for more upside. We will explain the forecast in 30 Minutes chart below: Down from $38115 high the index is doing a corrective pullback when the initial decline to $37664 low ended wave (w) in a lesser degree 3 wave. Then a bounce to $37985 high ended wave (x) in another 3 waves. Below from there, the (y) leg lower ended at $37504 low after reaching the extreme area at $37534- $37427 area. Thus completed wave ((w)) as a double correction. Since then, the index is doing a short-term bounce in wave ((x)) as the Elliott wave expanded flat correction. Whereas small wave (a) ended at $37882 high. Wave (b) ended at $37470 low and wave (c) is expected to fail against $38115 high.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Week 2 January Daytrading Gameplan DOW JONES FUTURESI am performing my own weekly analysis for the week ahead. I may not be entirely sure what is in store for next week but my strategy calls for shorting into the 200sma whether it pokes its head above or not. I will be mostly short bias but if long, I WILL be closing before it reaches the 200sma. In my eyes I am seeing a range developing with a slight hint of a bearish bias. It looks to me that price is still retreating to go into demand zone at 37,200. January 11th is CPI and I think it could spike up and over the 200sma for the fade back down.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
10
Where's The NQ Headed To Start 2024? Volume Leaves Clues...The sellers had the ball to start off 2024, especially for the NQ which had its biggest decline in over 3 months. In this brief 5-minute video, I touch on my 2 favorite *indicators* of potential price direction, Anchored VWAP combined with a range-based Volume Profile. This methodology highlights areas the market may revisit, potentially in short order, as we kick off the year. Indicators on the chart: Anchored VWAP Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) 233 Exponential Moving Average
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by RodCasilli
Dow Futures (YM) Looking to Extend Higher to Complete Impulsive Short Term Elliott Wave View in Dow Futures (YM) suggests that rally from 10.27.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse structure. Up from 10.27.2023, wave 1 ended at 34315 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 33913. The Index then rallied higher in wave 3 towards 38012 and pullback in wave 4 ended at 37390 as the 30 minutes chart below shows. Wave 5 higher is currently in progress as another 5 waves structure. Up from wave 4, wave (i) ended at 37878 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 37604. Wave (iii) higher ended at 38026, and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 37876. Final leg wave (v) ended at 38089 which complete wave ((i)). Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 37758 with internal subdivision as an expanded flat. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 37841, wave (b) ended at 38113, and wave (c) lower ended at 37758 which completed wave ((ii)). The Index has resumed higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 38070, and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 37857. Near term, as far as pivot at 37390 low stays intact, expect the Index to extend higher.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Dow Jones Gap Fill TradeHow many gaps get filled? Gaps in the chart fill 80% of the time . ...................................................................................................................... We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature. and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing. This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by CryptoTrend-Alerts