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YM1! trade ideas

YM DOW FUTURES Still Range Bound Topping Pattern My long term thesis is an 18 month sell off back down to the monthly rising 200sma. My only concern is when is the market going to start. We are bumping up on the yearly up channel. My guess is it might take a couple of months to get going. Short term we have the CPI report in 12 hours. My best speculation is that it will be bullish and choppy to hit the stops up high and the top of the bear flag. I notice it is a bullish pullback on declining volume. Also, on the weekly chart, the 10 week rally that we had so far, is also on declining volume. The short sell off before it was on increasing volume. I also noticed that on the weekly, the 21ema is flat, range bound and not respected by price. This is indicating a flagging pattern or consolidation pattern. Here on the monthly, the topping process is forming. When will it start? I have no clue. The market takes it time to build up before it starts moving. Here on the monthly, it is like watching paint dry
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
2
DOW JONES FUTURES Range High Sell Same Setup August CPII don't know if it will play out exactly like August 7th but any small pop above the flat 200sma I must short as required by my strategy. I don't get to pick and choose. Going over prior data I noticed that August looks very similar to what is happening now. I am not saying that is what is going to happen just an observation. Anyway, I am short the Asia open with a fill price of 37,888 stop above the high at 105 ticks, targeting the range low at 400 ticks. I want to be out of this trade before January 11th CPI as it has the potential to blast higher like it did in August. I may even try shorting that pop above the 200sma as well. I think I will place a limit order in between those two red lines depending on how it is setting up and from where. Here is Chart of August Here is Chart of January, Today
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Dow Futures (YM) Doing Elliott Wave Corrective PullbackShort-term Elliott Wave View in Dow Futures (YM) suggests that the rally to $38115 high has ended the cycle from the 10.27.2023 low in wave (3) as 5 wave impulse structure. Down from there, the index is doing a corrective pullback in wave (4) against the October 2023 low cycle. And is expected to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings looking for more upside. We will explain the forecast in 30 Minutes chart below: Down from $38115 high the index is doing a corrective pullback when the initial decline to $37664 low ended wave (w) in a lesser degree 3 wave. Then a bounce to $37985 high ended wave (x) in another 3 waves. Below from there, the (y) leg lower ended at $37504 low after reaching the extreme area at $37534- $37427 area. Thus completed wave ((w)) as a double correction. Since then, the index is doing a short-term bounce in wave ((x)) as the Elliott wave expanded flat correction. Whereas small wave (a) ended at $37882 high. Wave (b) ended at $37470 low and wave (c) is expected to fail against $38115 high.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Week 2 January Daytrading Gameplan DOW JONES FUTURESI am performing my own weekly analysis for the week ahead. I may not be entirely sure what is in store for next week but my strategy calls for shorting into the 200sma whether it pokes its head above or not. I will be mostly short bias but if long, I WILL be closing before it reaches the 200sma. In my eyes I am seeing a range developing with a slight hint of a bearish bias. It looks to me that price is still retreating to go into demand zone at 37,200. January 11th is CPI and I think it could spike up and over the 200sma for the fade back down.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
10
Where's The NQ Headed To Start 2024? Volume Leaves Clues...The sellers had the ball to start off 2024, especially for the NQ which had its biggest decline in over 3 months. In this brief 5-minute video, I touch on my 2 favorite *indicators* of potential price direction, Anchored VWAP combined with a range-based Volume Profile. This methodology highlights areas the market may revisit, potentially in short order, as we kick off the year. Indicators on the chart: Anchored VWAP Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) 233 Exponential Moving Average
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by RodCasilli
Dow Futures (YM) Looking to Extend Higher to Complete Impulsive Short Term Elliott Wave View in Dow Futures (YM) suggests that rally from 10.27.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse structure. Up from 10.27.2023, wave 1 ended at 34315 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 33913. The Index then rallied higher in wave 3 towards 38012 and pullback in wave 4 ended at 37390 as the 30 minutes chart below shows. Wave 5 higher is currently in progress as another 5 waves structure. Up from wave 4, wave (i) ended at 37878 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 37604. Wave (iii) higher ended at 38026, and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 37876. Final leg wave (v) ended at 38089 which complete wave ((i)). Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 37758 with internal subdivision as an expanded flat. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 37841, wave (b) ended at 38113, and wave (c) lower ended at 37758 which completed wave ((ii)). The Index has resumed higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 38070, and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 37857. Near term, as far as pivot at 37390 low stays intact, expect the Index to extend higher.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Dow Jones Gap Fill TradeHow many gaps get filled? Gaps in the chart fill 80% of the time . ...................................................................................................................... We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature. and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing. This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by CryptoTrend-Alerts
(YM DOW MINI) PATTERN FORMATION SHOWING BULLISH IN NEXT HOUR This is the YM Dow MINI FUTURES contract chart. This is a amazing, clear as day #BULLISH PATTERN Should start pushing up within the next hour? or two? for a nice run. for all the extra early birds out there trading y'all can take advantage of this Make sure you're always paying attention. to the structure and when it breaks allow smaller time frame candles. or one full candle to close above the breaking of THE triangular pattern. Let me know if anyone was able to jump on this trade. I believe gold might have a similar occurrence. about to check next.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by kavinpatel409
DOW JONES Gameplan 42,250 Top 2025 40% Sell Off 24,400This is what I am anticipating for the next 3 years or so on the DOW'S weekly chart. I am expecting a bullish run up in this bear flag formation to hit the third measured move up to 42,250 before the next sell off down to the covid low demand area of 24,400. This last weekly run up was the second measured move and is still in progress to hit 39,000 based on the January 11th CPI report. This move is also the start of the head and shoulders formation of the right shoulder and the complex topping pattern. Once that neckline gets broken, look out below. I will still be pursuing bullish strategies up until 2025 and the 42,250 price target. After which I will be selling my portfolio for cash to get ready for the next wonderful buy opportunity at 24,400. The weekly chart is the KING and is what the market maker's plan every weekend when the market is closed.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
1
DOW JONES CPI January 11th 2024 Bullish to 39,000I am basing my analysis on the chart and using trend analysis to determine that it is still bullish. It is not at the top but in the topping process for this second leg of 20%. January 11th is the next major red news of CPI and I believe that will be the catalyst to propel price to its goal of 38,800-39,000 target. Using the last 20% leg up back in October 2022, you can see how everything is playing out perfectly. The hourly 200sma sloping down, to a curl upwards at the bottom of the move. The trend channel's bottom lined up with the hourly 200sma Nearing the top of the monthly up channel Support from major red news ( FOMC Dec 13th 2023)
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
DOW 1st target 39k, Onward to 42,250 Bear Flag Pattern MonthlyEverything is timed and measured. This bullish price action is still within boundaries of a bear flag where, by definition, it is bullish. I believe after the last little push up to 39,000 that it will then pullback down to 35,500 area for the FINAL push up to 42,250. After the third measured move is complete, then the bear flag will have completed itself and the dump will commence taking out the low and going even lower. The top of the next market dump will be at January 2025 like I have been saying since September of 2023. The market is copying the playbook of 1967-1968 Short Term Bullish to 42,250 Medium Term Bearish to 22,000 Long Term 2035 Bullish to 55,000
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Dow Futures (YM) Breaking to New All-Time HighDow Futures (YM) has broken to new all-time high, suggesting the trend remains firmly bullish. It also suggests the next bullish cycle has started. Short term, rally from 11.10.2023 low is currently in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 11.10.2023 low, wave ((i)) ended at 36337 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 36022. Internal subdivision of wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag structure. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 36066, wave (b) ended at 36352, and wave (c) lower ended at 36022. This completed wave ((ii)) in higher degree. Index has resumed higher in wave ((iii)) and broken to new all-time high. Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 36201 and wave ii ended at 36064. Wave iii higher ended at 36659, wave iv ended at 36476, and wave v higher ended at 37030. This completed wave (i) in higher degree. Pullback in wave (ii) ended at 36758. Index has resumed higher again in wave (iii). Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 37051 and pullback in wave ii ended at 36917. Expect wave iii to end soon, then Index should pullback in wave iv, and then extend higher again. Near term, as far as pivot at 36022 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
December E-Mini Dow Jones Index Futures Weekly ChartDecember E-mini Dow Jones Index futures continued the uptrend that saw a break above the resistance line formed by connecting the high in January 2022 with the high in July 2023. With CPI, PPI, and a Fed announcement this week, there are certainly enough possible catalysts to turn this market to the bearish side. The MACD showed a bullish cross about a month ago and is not indicating a slowdown in momentum. The RSI at 62 on 12/8 indicates that there still may be room for price to continue bullish. Should the uptrend continue, a possible target (and resistance is the previous high of 37,906. A reverse to the downside might see the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (34,790) as support. Please Note: Commentary and charts reflect data at the time of analysis (12/08/23). Market conditions are subject to change and may not reflect all market activity.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Tradovate