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YM1! trade ideas

Will Dow Jones repeat itself? | Bullish Action Idea for 1/3While conducting my evening analysis, I noticed that the last time price reached 42,510, it pumped over 1,000 ticks during the morning open. This occurred on Friday, December 20th. Looking at the current hourly chart, price action seems to be forming a similar concept. This leads me to believe we should touch 42,510 by morning open and then push toward buy-side liquidity around 43,097 and beyond. If this plays out as anticipated, I’m aiming to secure around 600 ticks. We do have PMI at 9, so hopefully its high impact will drive us further through buy-side. Trying to get better at predicting bullish price action, so lets hope this plays out. Let's collect these ticks!
CBOT_MINI:MYMH2025Long
by GeneralJWS
11
Daytrading Setup First Green Day Low Of Day Buying OpportunityI will be looking for a low of day buying opportunity at/near the NY session for the first green day setup. I don't know how far down price will go first but after a double bottom at the Low of Day, I will be looking for price to confirm the low of day and close back inside the 20sma. Either Thursday or Friday could present. It all depends on how price behaves near the NY open. The target I will be targeting is the high of the dump day at 43,320. If the trade does indeed setup, stop is 65 ticks and target is around 500 ticks for a nice 8 to 1 potential. Trade management would be to watch how price behaves. This should be a parabolic trade and if I see price chopping around after entry, I will seriously consider tightening up the stop and reducing risk. It should go fast and not come back.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
10
2025 Gameplan B (RangeBound Doji Year) I think my last post is incorrect now that I have taken a wider step back. I still believe it is in a wide range but I was able to expand the range down into 40,000 as a more likely bottom of the range. The range I was expecting was too small. The much larger range lines up with yearly ATR. The weekly and daily charts are showing more downside potential and 2025 is expected to open right in the middle of the range, right where 2024 closed. I don't expect the high to break in the entirety of the next year but in 2026. Price needs to consolidate before it starts on the next leg to 69,000. In the immediate, I see price popping above the declining daily 20sma before the next leg down. Down to take out lows of September and down to 40,000.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Dow In Range, In Process of Forming Low Buy at Bottom of RangeAt the present moment, Dow Jones is in a range. This was evident at the start of December with the false break reversal at the high and the trading back down to the other side of the range. I will be giving Dow the benefit of the doubt of being a range until further notice and look for a failed break of the downside for the return back up to the top of the range. Rangebound = Buy at the lows when false break Sell at the highs Avoid the middle at ALL COSTS The middle of the range is the Deathtrap and I do not want to get caught buying or selling in the middle as that is where you are the most likely to get taken out. The December 26th High is right under the middle of the range and is a prime target to get taken. Once the market exhausts itself to the downside and starts the buying back up, that will be the first target. The next target is the top of the range. Another clue for this range is where each month has been opening. September, October and November has opened in the bottom of the range (notated in purple). December has opened at the top of the range. January is expected to open at the bottom of the range as well. I have been keeping an eye on this doji candle for the past three months now as a major price magnet. I don't know how to explain my thought process on this but I have seen this countless times and is more of a gut instinct. I have a gut feeling that price is going to target this doji and bounce.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Elliott Wave View: Dow Futures (YM) Looking for Double CorrectioShort Term Elliott Wave view of Dow Futures (YM) is looking for a larger degree correction against cycle from 3.15.2023 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing. Rally to 45183 ended cycle from 3.15.2023 low as wave ((3)) per 1 hour chart below. Wave ((4)) pullback is now in progress to correct that cycle. Internal subdivision of wave ((4)) is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((3)), wave A ended at 43941 and wave B rally ended at 44556. Wave C lower ended at 42496 which completed wave (W) in higher degree. Rally in wave (X) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (W), wave A ended at 43663 and wave B ended at 42928. Wave C higher ended at 43746 which completed wave (X). The Index has turned lower in wave (Y), but it still needs to break below wave (W) at 42496 to validate this view. Near term, as far as pivot at 45183 high stays intact, expect the Index to extend lower. Potential target for wave (Y) lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (W). This area comes at 39403 – 41060 area where buyers can appear for more upside or 3 waves rally at least.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Dow Setting Up Low Heading Into Next Year/Month JanuaryOn the Daily chart, I have marked each month by the vertical blue lines. The purple lines are the monthly opens. I will be looking for the low of Monday the 23rd to be taken and a couple of inside days before the breakout of Thursday's high. The three stacked highs at the end of November/beginning of December are easy targets to be taken. Also, the creeping trend with the FOMC blowoff into the rising trendline is another dead giveaway for a short squeeze. I will be on the watch for October's open to be used as a major support for the bounce This ALL lines up with my longer-term plan of the dump back down to 37,000 for the upcoming 20% correction. 37,000 will be the higher low in the Secular Bull Trend that is projected to hit 159,000 by 2042.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
4
Dow Jones Trend Day Setup 5* OpportunitiesMy goal going forward into 2025 is to only trade the Parabolic Trend trades and to master them. They happen roughly 5-8 times per month. Just catching 1 of these per month is all I need. Using 3% risk per one of these setups can deliver 15-20% gains. The universal entry criteria is the 5 minute close back inside the 20sma. The timeframe for entries are either 1 hour before the open, the open, and 1 hour after the open. Profit targets are generally until the close or a range expansion target of 1-2 times the Asia/London box. Below are multiple charts of the same setup with the green box being the ideal entry. If I can only trade 1 trade PER MONTH, this is what I will focus on.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Education
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
1
2025 Gameplan Dow Jones 20% Correction Into Monthly UptrendMy gameplan going into the new year is to watch for the formation of the topping process into that rising wedge for the 20% correction back down into the monthly uptrend. After December 23' broke out and the whole of 2024, it will pullback to the 50% area of 37,000. This lines up nicely with the Long term Monthly trend and the November 2023 monthly candle. The ramped volume is ripe for a stop hunt through because it is suspended above actual support. The next higher low in the Dow's trend is back down in the 37,000 area after the entire 2024 year gets taken out.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
2
Price still mitigating the July FOMC as I suspectedPrice is still on its way to mitigate the July FOMC level as I suspected a while back. I just got caught up in the short term and forgot about that prior post I made as a likely target. I was wondering why the July FOMC level hasn't been retested lately as the September FOMC level bounced off. It seems to be repeating the December 23 FOMC level where it makes a suspension above the level before coming back down. Now, I will be closing watching the July FOMC level and if price will come to the tick to it before another rally. The arrows marks every time the market dumps down to a previous FOMC level only to halt mere ticks from it without breaching. If the July FOMC level is to not be breached, then it too should dump down into it by mere ticks. I am still bullish on the Dow and am not going to fall for the manipulation. I will expect that low to be taken and articles mentioning extreme bearishness and another crash. This will be about the time the market forms the low and rallies back up to 46,000
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Trade Idea Setting Up Into Support Santa Rally I am positioning myself to take part in the year-end rally and the December 18th FOMC. I can smell another 8% rally coming. I will see how price gets into the support zone and when it starts holding, I will get in. The stacked highs are the target. The triple top over 45,000. I have a feeling the market will close 2024 over the 45,000 level for headlines. The two biggest clues for this trade Idea is the peak formation low and the creeping trend. Creeping trends are used as order flow for the reversal back up. Once all the shorts start covering, a squeeze happens. What I am looking for is the creeping trend's capitulation into support. There is probably 2000 ticks of upside potential here.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
7
A Huge Move on the Dow: Are You Ready for What’s Next?In this idea, I’ll be analyzing the Dow E-Mini Futures (YM) using a 4-hour bar interval. For those who don’t trade futures, you can follow along with Dow-focused ETFs like DIA. The goal is straightforward: gather as many clues as possible to determine the most likely market direction. Have a different take? Share your thoughts in the comments—let’s discuss! My Analysis Setup I’ve divided my screen into four quadrants for a comprehensive view: Price Action 1 (Q1) Price Action 2 (Q2) RSI Action 1 (Q3) RSI Action 2 (Q4) What Does RSI Tell Us? The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveals momentum. A declining RSI typically indicates that sellers are gaining control, as selling pressure outweighs buying. Q1 (Price) and Q4 (RSI): November 11–19 From November 11 to November 19, both price and RSI were in decline, marked by red arrows. This led to a pullback of 1,463 points before the Dow reversed course and ultimately hit an all-time high of 45,106 on December 4. Q2 Price and Q3 RSI Divergence: After November 25 Post-November 25, price continued to rise, hitting new highs (green arrow), while RSI began to decline (red arrow). By the close on Friday, December 8, RSI showed continued weakness, but the price only experienced a modest 400-point pullback compared to the earlier 1,463 points. What Does This Tell Us? Earlier Phase (Q1/Q4): A declining RSI aligned with a drop in price, signaling sellers were in control. Later Phase (Q2/Q3): Despite RSI weakening, buyers became stronger and more aggressive. They drove prices higher, limiting pullbacks and resisting sellers’ pressure. This shift suggests growing buyer strength, with demand outpacing selling pressure. What’s Next? If buyers can clear out the remaining sellers, I believe the Dow could test 50,000, the next major psychological level for traders. Beyond that, the 100,000 mark could start appearing on the radar for the largest market players. Based on Friday’s closing price of 44,706, I see any pullback as a potential buying opportunity. Final Thoughts This market is looking very bullish. The resilience of buyers, even in the face of weakening RSI, is a strong signal of upward momentum. Let’s keep monitoring for signs of continuation and see how long the bulls can maintain control. Do you agree with this bullish outlook? Or are you seeing something else? Share your perspective in the comments!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by onlytrade2win
Buy : MYM Dow Jones Futures 17-12📈 CBOT_MINI:MYM1! Buy : MYM Dow Jones Futures 🟢 Signal: Strong Buy Opportunity 🔹 Entry Price: 43,591 🔹 Stop-Loss: 43,003 (Protective stop below key support) 🔹 Take Profit: 46,099 (High-probability target zone) 📊 Technical Analysis and Rationale: Key Support Zone: The 43,591 level has shown strong buying interest historically, acting as a solid support base. Price is showing signs of stabilization after testing this area, indicating buyer momentum is ready to push the market higher. Favorable Risk-to-Reward Setup: With a stop-loss at 43,003, the downside risk is tightly controlled, minimizing losses if the trade fails. The take-profit target at 46,099 offers a significant upside potential, providing a 5:1 risk-to-reward ratio—ideal for disciplined traders. Technical Confirmation: Look for bullish signals such as hammer candles, bullish engulfing patterns, or a volume spike near the 43,591 zone to confirm the entry. Moving averages or RSI divergence may also indicate growing bullish momentum, reinforcing the buy decision. Trend Potential: Dow Jones Futures have the potential to rebound strongly from this level, targeting the next major resistance around 46,099. A break and hold above minor intraday resistances will further strengthen the bullish outlook.
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Long
by lostcontrol
Dow Jones Bearish Price Action Gameplan for 12/16High-impact news should bring significant volume on Monday. Based on this, I anticipate a strong buy from 5:00 AM to 8:30 AM CST, potentially pushing price back up to FOMC Support before resuming its bearish trend toward 43,575 —a move worth approximately 358 ticks. If the market grants me my desired volume, I may be tempted to surf a few concepts; however, after Friday's successful hold, I’m leaning toward placing my sell position and holding it for the remainder of the session. I anticipate price selling down to 43,300 by Wednesday FOMC, as this level aligns with the overall bullish trend we're currently in. Dow Jones often respects structures and trends, so I’m banking on it continuing to do so. My only concern is that the election candle drove the trend higher than the original bull trend, so we may or may not reach my anticipated target. @Dow_Jones_Maestro posted a perfect example of this, check out his idea linked below: Let’s lock in and collect those ticks!
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Short
by GeneralJWS
9
Weekly Forex Forecast: Buy The S&P & NASDAQ. Wait On The DOW!This forecast is for the week of DEC 16 - 20th. The SP500 & NAS100 are bullish and buys are the order for the week. The DOW Jones is weeker, sliding down as the USD climbs. Be careful here, as the DOW tends to travel it's own path at times. FOMC is Wednesday. Stay vigilant and disciplined this week! Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by RT_Money