The Entry - Sell Today, we will do a few case studies on how we can make a market entry, this technique can be applied both the long-term or the short-term trades.
Today’s content:
1. 25 Nov 21 - Entry signal to short (transiting into today’s bear)
2. 13 Oct 22 - Entry signal to go long (for this bear rebound)
3. Today – Entry signal – Sell
If you have been following, today’s is the 5th tutorial in our Trading Series:
1. “The buy strategy”
2. “The sell strategy”
3. “Developing long & short-term view”
4. “Choosing between the time frame”
5. “The entry”
E-Mini Dow Jones Futures
Minimum fluctuation
1 point = $5
10 points = $50
100 points = $500
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
YM1! trade ideas
Dow Jones Action Areas For The Week AheadIn this update we review the recent price action in the emini DowJones futures contract and identify some high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 Dec 12
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 Dec 12
Scenario3 Long at 33800 and Scenario1 short @ 34246 were fruitful.
This shows the importance of waiting for price reaction at the
price levels.
I'll be off trading for the holiday season, see you in 2023.
Possible scenarios:
1) Have a good break and return in 2023
2) Short on rejection at 34607 / 33455
3) Long if supported at 33455
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
35750 35330 34605-34283
33455 31848 30513
28635
Weekly: Ave vol down bar close off low = minor weakness
H4: Supply observed
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
money rotations,"the dow bones, the og index has already shown us what the market is about to do.
those who know, shall prosper, those who don't will be left behind in the winds."
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i'm theorizing that all the dow money is going to rotate into big tech, small caps, and the spx500 in the next 3-4 months.
it's more probable for the dow to just chop while everything else runs up big time.
don't get caught in the distribution phase, seek opportunity elsewhere.
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dow bones, expanded flat target sits between 36.1~36.8k.
---
happy holidays ♥
DOW looking pretty badYes we have seen these same decline recently with just as violent climbs shortly thereafter. This time the fed is announcing the end of the current asset purchasing program so we will see what happens.
E-MINI DOW JONES ($5) FUTURESE-MINI DOW JONES ($5) FUTURES
A very strong landing as we analyzed and broke the forces of the zones of support and demand and God willing to continue landing
YM1! 2W BEAR CYPHER, Steep drop expected DEC/JANThe 2W chart for DJI futures has entered trade for bear cypher harmonic pattern. The shape of this pattern typically retraces at pt1 back toward initial pattern entry/SL, then progresses sharply to pt2/3/4. I've indicated what the path typically looks like in red.
Best wishes for trading the holidays! -Worm
SHORT | DIA | YM! | Swing TradeCBOT_MINI:YM1!
Possible Scenario SHORT
Evidence: Price Action
TP1: 34273
TP2: 34155
Timeframe: this weekend ( ending 10 Dec)
*could be happen 5th Dec 2022
Dow Jones Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 Dow Jones Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 2.82%, down from 3.06% last week according to VXD data
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 7th percentile, while according to VXD, we are on 8th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 2.6% movement
Bearish: 1.9% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 19.5% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 35473
BOT: 33370
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
79% probability we are going to touch previous high of 34750
21% probability we are going to touch previous low of 33370
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Weekly timeframe indicates 77% BULLISH trend
Daily timeframe indicates 80% BULLISH trend
4H timeframe indicates 53.3% BULLISH trend
Dow Jones technical analysisI predict the Dow Jones will continue to rise. I don't expect any market crash until 2025. According to my analysis, it will cross 40K next year.
YM (Dow) UpdateI don't usually look at the Dow, but you can see that it has clearly broken the year long down channel.
That is bullish for the other indices.
Dow 1hour say: 35000 is upper target as I predict yesterday dow go down
if you have old sells, close all above fibo61%
We must buy above green arrow after pinbar comes , try hold it to new high ,filo 161%
BE CAREFULL FROM SELL, END OF YEAR +RALLY CAN START
wish you win
Dow mini futures - volume resistance aboveOne of the best preforming parts of the stock market in recent weeks has been the Dow Jones Industrial average. On this mini futures chart I can see that this could be the time where we see a serious pull back because there is a high volume zone right above where we are now.
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 NOV 28
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 NOV 28
Scenario1 continuation long was in place from Nov 07's analysis.
Weakness are appearing on all timeframes. Tighten stops on
long positions. Volume was thin due to US holidays. Expected
to remain thin as year end approaches.
Possible scenarios:
1) Temporary short if 34246-33800 is rejected
2) Stay out of market since volume is thin
3) Continuation long if 34246-33800 is supported
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
35750 35330 34246-33800
33106 31793
30513 28635
Weekly: ND on uptrend = minor weakenss
Daily: Declining volume + narrow spreads = weakness
H4: Supply observed
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
Dow Jones E-mini Futures – Stage 2 Breakout AttemptThe Dow Jones is making it's first Stage 2 breakout of 2022, with the Stage Analysis Technical Attributes (SATA) indicator on a SATA score of 10 of 10, which is the highest score since May 2021.
Dow Jones Bear Case.gm,
---
The highest request over the last few weeks = "elo, what's your bear case on the stonk market?".
Well, you guys asked for it...
So I'm here to give you just that.
A face ripping,
soul crushing,
heart wrenching dip;
which takes the average american's 401k,
and turns it into a 201k.
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Tuesday November 29th 2022 ~ December 21st 2022 = my calculated top.
Estimated to sit between 34,329 ~ 36,697.
.
---
Friday May 12th 2023 ~ Tuesday October 24th = my calculated bottom.
Estimated to sit between 27,317 ~ 23,620
.
---
🔺
dowjones 4hour : all scenario on dow 1-70% go down and touch support and go up to fibo161
2-30% go down break support and go downer
above green arrow after pinbar come on 1hour or 4hour or daily chart we must buy Sl: pinbar low and hold to new high ok?
if you have old sell,you must close all or hedge them in fibo50 33760-33770...dont forget dow,index, dax sp500 and gold love buy and uptrend so sell on them is very very dangerous..check weekly chart exactly
note: as predict 10 days ago in low dow can go to 35000 even 3600 so be careful from sell and 90% looking for buy
ALERT: END OF YEAR UP TREND RALLY ON INDEX LIKE DAX NASDAQ SP500 AND DOW CAN START
good luck
dow 4 hour : it can go down now technical say dow can see fibo50 or fibo61 is best place for buy after pinbar come on 1hour or 4hour or daily chart
if you have old sell close all above green arrow ,,,dow main trend will +up to 35000
goodluck
Dow Jones: Down UnderAfter moving sideways for a while, we're expecting Dow Jones to drop into the orange target zone between 32 762 and 31 980 points to complete wave iv in orange in order to push the trend back up to the orange target zone between 34 305 and 35 466 points. After managing to pull itself up there to compete wave (i) in blue, we expect the course to drop back South.
In our alternative scenario, Dow Jones can't turn the trend up this early and continues to drop below the support line at 31 738 points. After crossing this mark, the course should sink further into the blue zone between 31 331 and 29 789 points until wave alt. (iii) in blue hits its low before turning back up to move North. blue hits its low before turning back up to move North.
Is this rally a bear trap or a resuming bull? This is what we will be discussing today, and we are going to study both its technical and fundamental reasons and subsequently to derive why it is a bear trap? Or could it be a new bull in the making?
I hope this tutorial will be helpful, in enabling you to read into the market with greater clarity.
I have started a trading series, purpose for trading into longevity. Last week was on Buy Strategy, today on Sell Strategy. These strategies shared, they all can be applied to most markets and in different time frames.
Content:
a) The sell strategy – applicable to both:
· Long-term – Fundamental & Technical
· Short-term – Fundamental & Technical
b) Bull or Bear?
Some important dates:
14 Dec 21 - Fed: "Inflation no longer transitory"
10 Nov 22 – Oct CPI @ 7.7%, below expectation of 8.2%
Micro E-mini Dow Jones Futures
Minimum fluctuation
1 index point = $0.50
10 = $5
100 = $50
Of course if you need something more sizable, there is the E-mini Dow Jones Futures.
You can refer to the links below, you will find some of my past video tutorials, on how I time the different markets.
As time passes, you will see how nicely most markets trend along our analysis then.
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
