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CFDGOLD trade ideas

Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youThe current gold price stands at $3,288. The gold market was volatile in the early session: after the opening, prices plunged all the way, hitting a low of $3,247 at one point. However, it quickly rebounded, climbing back above $3,280. It was quite a roller-coaster ride, full of thrills. **Influencing Factors** - **Geopolitical Situation**: While the Middle East (situation) had eased earlier—such as the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, which weakened gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset (COMEX gold futures fell over 2% on the day the ceasefire was reached)—Trump stated today that he would consider bombing Iran again and abandon plans to lift sanctions. This reignited market safe-haven sentiment, attracting some bargain-hunting buying to support gold prices. - **Monetary Policy**: Market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts have been fluctuating. The CME FedWatch Tool shows an 81.9% probability of rates remaining unchanged in July, and a 76% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut by September. The previously released U.S. PCE data exceeded expectations, and coupled with the impact of tariff policies on the pace of rate cuts, these factors are swaying gold’s trend. - **Capital Flows**: Global gold ETF demand turned negative in May, with funds in North America and Asia leading the outflows. This put pressure on the gold market—it’s like the water flowing into the gold market has dwindled, or even started to flow out, pulling prices downward. **Technical Analysis** Last week, gold’s overall trend leaned toward a pullback, with the lowest price touching around $3,255, and the weekly chart closing with two consecutive. Gold even breached $3,250 last Friday, but rebounded slightly at the start of this week supported by that level. However, there is significant pressure in the $3,300–$3,310 range above. If gold can stand firmly above $3,300 this week, the short-term trend may shift. But if it continues to trade below $3,300, it will likely keep falling, possibly testing around $3,200. Moreover, the non-farm payroll data will be released this Thursday (due to the U.S. market closure on Friday, the data is being released early). This timing quirk could also trigger unusual volatility in market sentiment this week. On the daily chart, moving averages are in a bearish alignment; the MACD lines are below the zero axis with a death cross formed, and the green energy bars are expanding—indicating that bearish momentum is dominant. However, the RSI is around 39, near the oversold zone, suggesting a potential short-term rebound for a correction. *Trading Strategy** Wait for gold to rebound to the $3,310–$3,305 range to short. This level is a key resistance zone mentioned earlier; if prices can reach here, it will signal persistent bearish pressure. Set a stop-loss around $3,320 to guard against a breakout above resistance and a sustained rally. The initial target can be the $3,290–$3,280 range, where you can gradually close positions for profits based on price movements and market sentiment. If prices continue to fall, adjust the target accordingly—for example, toward around $3,250. Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you XAUUSD sell@3310~3305 SL:3320 TP：3290~3280
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by David_Wilson1
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – 02/07/2025On the 1-hour chart, Gold (XAUUSD) has just confirmed the completion of corrective wave (4) around the 3,328.3 zone, which aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci level and EMA9 support. Currently, price is rebounding with increasing volume, signaling that buying momentum is returning. Key Technical Highlights: Elliott Wave Structure: Wave (4) found support at 3,328.3. Wave (5) targets are forming, with Fibonacci extensions pointing to: 0.618: 3,360.05 1.0: 3,380.07 => These are critical resistance zones to watch. Fibonacci Retracement Zones: The current rebound is heading toward the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels of the previous down leg, located at 3,362.4 and 3,354.4 – short-term upside targets. Volume Analysis: Rising volume on bullish candles confirms a legitimate buying interest, supporting the upward movement. EMA9 Breakout: Price has broken above the EMA9 at 3,338.2, shifting short-term trend bias to bullish. Suggested Trading Strategy: Favor Buy on Dip entries near the 3,340–3,342 zone if a minor pullback occurs. Short-term targets: 3,354 – 3,362 Extended target: 3,380 Suggested stop loss below 3,328.0 to manage risk. Conclusion: A bullish impulse is forming following the end of wave (4). If price holds above 3,340 and breaks through the nearby Fibonacci resistance levels, wave (5) could extend towards the 3,380 area. This is a pivotal moment to watch for a confirmed short-term uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
Gold bulls V-shaped reversal, price is rushing to 3350Gold trend analysis: Geopolitical risks still exist, technical side is strong and volatile The recent situation in the Middle East presents a cycle of "conflict-easing-re-escalation". After a brief exchange of fire between Iran and Israel, Israel turned to attacking surrounding armed forces, and geopolitical risks have not completely dissipated. Such "deterrent conflicts" may recur, and the support effect of risk aversion on gold will ferment intermittently. The market needs to be alert to sudden events that drive the price of gold to rise in a pulsed manner. 4-hour cycle Indicator signal: Stochastic indicator golden cross, MACD double lines sticking upward, showing the accumulation of bullish momentum. Key pressure: 3340 (upper rail of the descending channel), breaking through will open up the upward space. Short-term support: 3295 (yesterday's top and bottom conversion position), if lost, it will turn to oscillation. Hourly line pattern Short-term moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern, the low point of the callback gradually moves up, and the structure is strong. 【Operation strategy】 Main idea: Focus on low-long positions when the market is pulled back, and try to go short with a light position at the pressure level of 3340-3350. Long order: enter the market at 3300-3305, target 3315-3320, stop loss 3292. 【Risk warning】 If the geopolitical conflict intensifies again, the gold price may quickly break through 3340, and the strategy needs to be adjusted in time. During the US trading session, pay attention to the impact of US economic data on the US dollar.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Liz_Trading_gold
Excellent start of E.U. sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife." I have monitored the Price-action from sidelines throughout Friday's session as explained above however mid E.U. session I have engaged two #100 Lot Buying orders on #3,278.80 few moments ago and closed both of my Scalps on #3,285.80 with excellent Profit. Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations 📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week. Technical analysis: Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short. 💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by labaronAA
1
GOLD GOES 'PREPARING FOR SCORCHING-HOT JULY'. UPSHOT OF 1H 2025Gold market shines bright in first half of 2025, with nearly 25 percent year-to-date gain, which becomes one of the best start of the year in history ever following 1H 2016 (became a launching pad for Gold to more than Triple in price over next decade) and 1H 1973 (where Gold bugs sharply skyrocketed to infinity and beyond, printed more than 10x over next decade). The gold spot market in July 2025 is shaped by both fundamental and technical factors supporting a cautiously bullish outlook. Fundamental perspectives Were you ready or not, Gold prices have surged significantly in 2025, driven by persistent global uncertainties including geopolitical conflicts (e.g., Middle East tensions), trade disputes, and inflation concerns. Central banks, notably the Federal Reserve, are expected to cut interest rates later in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset. This monetary easing alongside continued inflation worries and safe-haven demand underpins strong gold fundamentals. Major financial institutions like J.P. Morgan and UBS forecast gold prices averaging around $3,500–$3,675 per ounce in late 2025, with potential to reach $4,000/oz by mid-2026. Central bank gold purchases and diversification away from US dollar assets also support demand. Technical perspectives Technically, gold has experienced volatile but mostly sideways trading in a roughly $300 range around $3,200–$3,500 since mid-2025, reflecting consolidation after a strong rally earlier in the year. Key support lies near $3,000 and $3,200 levels (125-Day, or 6-Month SMA), with resistance around $3,500 to $3,800. Indicators such as moving averages and RSI suggest an upward trend with possible short-term corrections. A breakout above $3,500 could trigger further gains toward $3,800, while a drop below $3,200 may lead to testing $3,000 support. Overall, July is expected to see continued range-bound trading amid new external uncertainties, with bullish momentum intact. In summary, gold’s fundamentals remain robust due to macroeconomic and geopolitical drivers, while technicals point to consolidation with potential for renewed upward moves in the July 2025 spot market. -- Best #GODL wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch
Gold Pulls Back After Strong US NFP Data📊 Market Overview: U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls came in at 147,000 vs. 110,000 expected, strengthening the dollar and reducing expectations for a July Fed rate cut. As a result, gold dropped nearly 1%, trading in the $3,328–3,332 zone 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,350 – $3,360 • Immediate Support: $3,322 – $3,328 • EMA: Price has fallen below the 09 EMA, indicating a bearish short-term trend. • Candle/Volume/Momentum: A strong bearish candle with increased volume shows significant selling pressure post-NFP 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue its downtrend in the short term if the dollar remains strong and no fresh bullish triggers emerge. A drop toward $3,322–$3,328 is possible. 💡 Trade Ideas: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,342 – $3,345 🎯 TP: $3,322 ❌ SL: $3,348 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,322 – $3,325 🎯 TP: $3,345 ❌ SL: $3,316
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Xauusd market update This chart presents a 4-hour analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) against the US Dollar, showing potential bullish scenarios based on price zones and market reactions. Key Insights: Current Price: $3,353.31, slightly down 0.11%. --- Highlighted Zones: 1. Resistance Zone (~$3,420–$3,455): Price reacted here previously. Marked as a potential final target for bullish momentum. 2. Mid Supply/Resistance Zone (~$3,370–$3,405): Critical decision area. Price might face consolidation or rejection. 3. Demand Zone (~$3,240–$3,270): Previously respected support. Ideal area for a bullish reversal if price dips. --- Projected Price Paths (Black Dotted Lines): Scenario A (Immediate Bullish): Price consolidates above $3,350. Breaks into the mid-zone, then pushes to $3,450 resistance. Scenario B (Pullback Then Rally): Declines to the $3,250 demand zone. Rebounds strongly, breaks mid-zone, and heads for $3,450. Scenario C (Range-bound): Multiple bounces between $3,250 and $3,405 before a decisive breakout. --- Conclusion: The chart suggests a bullish bias as long as price holds above the $3,250 support zone. Breakout confirmation above $3,405 could pave the way toward $3,450+. However, a drop below the demand zone would invalidate the bullish outlook short-term. Would you like a trading plan based on these scenarios?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mr_Zakrii
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 3Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance level 3400, support level 3300 4-hour chart resistance level 3382, support level 3327 1-hour chart resistance level 3364, support level 3341 After bottoming out, the lowest point of yesterday's correction, 3327, has become an important support. Today's gold is still a strategy of buying at a low level. This idea can be maintained before the release of NFP employment data. Tomorrow, the US Independence Day will be closed for one day. The NFP data will be released in advance today, and the trading market will be closed in advance. Judging from the current market trend, today it broke through the previous high of 3357. Today's Asian session slightly rose to 3365 and then quickly fell back to 3341. The low point of the Asian session retracement of 3341 is a small support. The second is the low point of 3333 in the US session yesterday. The support point of 3333/41 can be bought when the European session falls back. The possibility of a unilateral rise in the high point of today before the NFP data is small. I expect it to fluctuate and wait patiently for a pullback to buy. Today's NY market risk is relatively high. Please try to avoid trading during news time! Buy: 3341near Buy: 3333near
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
July 1, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis: The monthly close suggests a reduction in bullish momentum, raising the possibility of stronger bearish pressure ahead. However, yesterday’s daily close above 3300 indicates bulls still have some control. Watch 3312 carefully — if price breaks above it, it will confirm a shift towards a stronger bullish trend. Summary: Above 3300, the strategy is buying on pullbacks to support. Below 3300, the plan is selling on pullbacks to resistance. If price breaks below 3275, bearish strength could accelerate, and future longs will need clearer confirmation. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3350 – Bullish target • 3338 – Resistance • 3325 – Key resistance • 3310–3312 – Intraday key resistance zone • 3300 – Psychological level • 3283 – Key support • 3275 – Intraday key support • 3263 – Support 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3298 → target 3292, then 3288, 3283, 3275 • BUY if price holds above 3312 → target 3318, then 3325, 3333, 3340 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Gold Price Setup: Bullish Continuation or Rejection? 🧠 Chart Analysis (XAU/USD – 1H): Key Structure Highlights: CHoCH (Change of Character) zones marked both up and down indicate a battle between bulls and bears. Recent bullish CHoCH followed by a fair value gap (FVG) retest suggests potential continuation to the upside. Price recently bounced strongly from demand zone, shown by the green arrows and strong candle reaction. Ichimoku Cloud: Price is trying to break back above the Kumo (cloud), a sign of bullish momentum building. However, resistance is still present with the Kijun and Tenkan lines converging. FVG (Fair Value Gap): The current price is attempting to fill and break above the FVG zone. A successful breakout above this area confirms bullish intention. Fibonacci Levels: Price is hovering around the 0.5 - 0.618 retracement zone, often a strong reversal or continuation point. Upside targets lie near the 0.786 retracement (3352) and ultimate target at 3391, a major resistance level. Risk Management: Trade setup shows an excellent Risk:Reward ratio. Stop-loss placed just below the last structure low. Potential downside to 3290–3258 if breakout fails. 🟢 Possible Next Move: Bullish Scenario: If price clears the FVG and breaks above 3353, expect continuation to 3391. Bearish Rejection: If rejected at FVG/0.618 level, watch for a drop back to 3290 or even 3259.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader