XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. We have news thins morning, we have Trump and Powell this afternoon. I am not trading the news, but I did mark the area we need to break out of. I can see this going either way. I will check back later. Be well and trade the trend. Beware the volatility and trade safely today. Big G gets a shout out.
CFDGOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is currently approaching two key supply zones (OB 1H):
🔴 First OB zone: around 3354 – 3360
🔴 Second OB zone: around 3368 – 3370
We're watching these zones for potential short setups, only with confirmation on the lower timeframes (5M or 3M).
If price reacts to one of these OBs, we expect a move down toward the green 1H demand zone around 3280 – 3290, where a long setup may later form.
📌 Key scenarios:
1️⃣ Price hits the first OB → confirmation → short
2️⃣ Price moves to the second OB → confirmation → short
3️⃣ Target for both setups = green OB around 3280
4️⃣ No entry without confirmation from LTF
❗️ Do NOT enter without lower timeframe confirmation.
XAUUSD 4H – Massive Sell Setup: Gold Crash Incoming? Gold (XAUUSD) just tapped into a key liquidity zone near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $3,364, followed by a sharp rejection. This aligns with the upper channel resistance and a bearish confluence from previous supply zones.
Price has failed to break above the dynamic EMA cluster and is showing signs of exhaustion after a relief rally. If momentum follows through, this could mark the beginning of a deeper selloff targeting major downside levels.
Short Setup
Entry: Around $3,349–$3,364 (rejection zone)
SL: Above $3,379
🚨Strong bearish engulfing candle confirms seller pressure
🎯 Take Profit Targets (Fibonacci):
TP1: $3,305 (38.2%)
TP2: $3,275 (61.8%)
TP3: $3,241 (Full move – 100% Fibonacci extension)
This setup offers high risk-reward if the rejection holds and price breaks below the mid-zone structure at $3,330. A drop below $3,305 could accelerate the move as liquidity gets swept.
XAU / USD Weekly ChartHello traders. News was good for the US dollar this morning. Powell did nothing, as expected, and gold is testing the lower boundries of the weekly candle body from last week. So now the question is, do we push down more, or does gold move up to take out all the leveraged shorts that are in profit? I marked the area to watch. Buys and sells with break and close out of the zone. Let's see how the daily and 4 hour candles play out. Shout out to Big G. Be well and trade the trend.
XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) 1-hour technical analysis:📉 Support Zones:
3,312.35 – 3,300.00: Strong demand zone (marked in green) – this is your “buy” zone.
3,326.00 – 3,341.27: Intermediate support level, but may not hold under pressure.
📈 Resistance Zones:
3,359.40 – 3,373.04: Near-term resistance.
3,402.78: Key resistance from previous structure high.
🔁 Price Prediction Path:
The hand-drawn path suggests:
Short-term choppy consolidation or fakeouts.
A potential drop into the green demand zone.
Buy opportunity near 3,312 if a reversal signal appears.
Expected bullish reversal toward 3,359+.
📊 Volume Analysis:
Volume spikes near previous demand confirm strong buying interest.
Recent volume tapering indicates a slowdown in selling pressure.
✅ Potential Trade Setup:
Buy Limit: Around 3,312.00 – 3,305.00
Stop Loss: Below 3,300.00
Take Profit: 3,359.00 – 3,373.00
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable if entry is timed with confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, double bottom, or volume spike).
Technical Analysis - Gold (XAU/USD) - 4H ChartI’ve dissected the market using Elliott Wave theory and uncovered key signals that most overlook. Here's my breakdown:
## 📌 **Setup Overview*
I'm tracking a complex wave structure that hints at the final stage of a corrective pattern, setting the stage for a potential bullish rebound.
## 🎯 **Entry Strategy**
I’ve identified a prime buy zone around **3,350USD**—just above current market levels. This isn’t just a number—it's where price action and wave theory converge. High-probability setup with a tight stop. Above 3,380
## 🧭 **Projected Move**
While I’m eyeing short-term upside, the larger wave pattern suggests the potential for a deeper correction targeting the **3120.000 USD** area. I’m preparing for both scenarios to stay ahead of market sentiment.
---
GOLD -Key Levels-Wait for Confirmation!Gold (XAUUSD) is now testing a critical Rejection Area 📍 (around 3,328–3,333), right beneath a minor CHOCH zone. This is a key decision level, and I'm just waiting for price to show its intrest – no early entries here. ⚠️
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
Price fails to hold above minor CHOCH ✅
Comes back to retest the Rejection Area as support 🧱
If we get a clean bounce + confirmation, I’ll look for buys toward 3,346 → 3,360 🎯
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
Price rejects from minor CHOCH ❌
Gives strong bearish confirmation 🔻
Then retests the Rejection Area as resistance 🚫
That’s my cue to short toward 3,310 → 3,295 📉
NOTE: possibility is that market take all liquidity from sell side. Avoid Taking any trade untill setup is clean.
Being patient here. Confirmation is everything! Let’s see🔍💡
Avoid Mid-Zone Entries!
GOLD → Countertrend correction. Where will growth begin?FX:XAUUSD faced pressure in the 3430 zone, traders moved into profit-taking mode, triggering a correction. The price entered the sell-off zone...
On Thursday, gold is trading below $3400 as traders assess progress in US-EU trade talks and await preliminary PMI data from the US and the EU. These indicators could influence expectations for Fed and ECB rates. Optimism is being bolstered by reports of trade agreements between the US and Japan and other countries. The ECB is expected to keep rates unchanged, while the probability of a Fed rate cut in September is estimated at 60%. Investors are also watching Trump's conflict with Powell amid his visit to the Fed. Technically, the daily market structure is not broken, and a correction is forming within acceptable limits.
Based on the current direction, the market may test the intermediate bottom: trend support, the 3345-3320 area.
Resistance levels: 3375, 3383, 3400.
Support levels: 3345, 3320
A retest of resistance at 3375-3383 is possible. If the bears keep the price below this zone, the metal may continue its correction phase towards the zone of interest indicated on the chart. Local sell-offs have not yet broken the bullish daily structure.
However, the absence of a downward impulse and consolidation in 3375 - 3383 with a subsequent breakout of local resistance could increase demand again, which would generally lead to premature growth to 3400 - 3435.
Best regards, R. Linda!
How to seize the key turning points in the gold market?The market is ever-changing, and following the trend is the best strategy. When the trend emerges, jump in; don't buy against it, or you'll suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is a haven for all kinds of resistance, so don't hold onto positions. I'm sure many people have experienced this: the more you hold onto positions, the more panic you become, leading to ever-increasing losses, poor sleep, and missed opportunities. If you share these concerns, why not try following Tian Haoyang's lead and see if it can open your eyes? I'm always here for you if you need help, but how can I help you if you don't even offer a hand?
Gold did not fall below 3280 during the day on Friday and started to fluctuate in the range of 3280-3300. The non-farm payroll data was bullish, and it directly broke through the pressure of 3315, and then broke through the important pressure of 3335 again. As of now, it has reached a high near 3355. The non-farm payroll data market has almost been exhausted. Next, we will focus on the technical form adjustment. At present, you can consider light shorting in the area near 3355-3370. After all, chasing long is risky, and the technical side needs to be adjusted. If your current operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me.
Based on the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance is near 3355-3365, with a focus on the key resistance level of 3370-3375. Short-term buy orders should be taken if a rebound continues. I'll provide detailed trading strategies at the bottom of the page, so stay tuned.
Gold operation strategy: Short gold in batches when gold rebounds to 3355-3370, with the target being the area around 3340-3335. Continue to hold if it breaks through.
GOLD in 15minHello to all traders. 😎😎
I hope all your deals will hit their targets. 🎉🎉
After yesterday's heavy drop on the last day of July. We had a weak growth.
I think the price will retest $3300 and we will have another drop to the $3280 area. Look for short positions in the $3300 area.
Remember that this is an analysis and be sure to do money management when trading.
What Do You Think?
Which scenario do you think is happen? **Share your thoughts!** ⬇️
Don't forget that this is just an analysis to give you an idea and trade with your own strategy. And don't forget the stop loss🛑🛑🛑
❤️❤️❤️The only friend you have in financial markets is your stop loss❤️❤️❤️
Please support me with your ✅' like'✅ and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me 🙏😊
Be Happy , Ali Jamali
XAUUSD Update CONSOLIDATIONAfter bullish rejection, Gold make a new lower and break 3283 support level.
Now it seemslike bounce to make a correction and retest 3305 resistance.
If 3305 reject, price will continue moving downside and retest 3245 support.
If it break 3245...it will continue to find it support, near 3205 support zone.
Have a blessing day !
Bottoming out? Be wary of the market.After a sharp drop to around 3300 on Monday, gold rebounded, reaching a high of around 3330 so far.
From the 1-hour chart,Gold has now broken out and stabilized within the hourly chart's downward trend channel. The key upward level is currently around 3330. If it breaks above 3330 again, caution is advised; it may test 3345-3350. Conversely, if it fails to break above 3330, gold may consolidate between 3300-3330 before the non-farm payrolls release.
From a short-term 15-minute perspective, the current 15-minute range has been broken out and stabilized. The current situation is unfavorable for bears. Based on the trend, a breakout above the 15-minute range would indicate a rebound. However, until 3330 holds, the 3320-3330 range is the only option. However, the current trend favors a bullish pullback, so I'm not too keen on shorting. Therefore, focus on support at 3320.
If it fails to break below 3320, enter a long position near 3320. The upper target is the top of the 3345-3350 range.
Excellent Profit on my Selling ordersAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: "My position: I am Highly satisfied with recent results and will take early weekend break (no need to Trade more). If however you decide to Trade today, Sell every High's on Gold / no Buying until Monday's session (my practical suggestion)."
I have successfully re-Sold Gold from #3,338.80 with set of Selling orders, first batch I have closed around #3,327.80 Support for the fractal and second batch on #3,320.80 / another Support in extension / Highly satisfied with my Profits. I was aware that if Gold invalidates #3,318.80 Support / #3,310.80 extension can follow my Profit was already great to allow myself to Risk more which can backfire anytime.
Technical analysis: Not a bad start of the Trading week overall as the Price-action followed yesterday's session Gravestone Doji reversal formation into series of Bearish Hourly 4 chart’s candles, Gold is settling for a new Higher Low’s within former Hourly 4 chart’s Descending Channel. Despite this, the Weekly (#1W) candle remains on a (# -1.83%) and mostly Bearish values on my instruments. Daily chart continues to pile heavy Selling pressure on Gold so Technically my Short positions will see their value. The current Price-action is exactly on the Higher Low’s Upper zone as there is significantly more potential on the downside and as a results I do expect #3,300.80 psychological benchmark test as current decline is directly correlated with uptrend extension on DX (# +1.03%) and will most likely close the week in green values.
My position: I will continue re-Sells starting with #3,332.80 Resistance and my continuation will be re-Sell every High's on Gold unless Gold closes the market above #3,352.80 benchmark.
It still looks like a Triangle on goldHi traders,
Last week gold made an impulsive wave up but after that it dropped very hard.
If gold is still in a Triangle we could see a correction up and one more move down for wave E. But if price closes below (orange) wave C then the pattern is changed.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the pattern to finish. Then wait for an impulsive move up and a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs.
NOTE: The next three weeks I'm on holiday so I will not post any outlooks publicly.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave