Short selling remains the main themeGold hit a low of around 3267 yesterday and fluctuated until closing at 3274. Gold fluctuated upward at the opening today. Currently, gold is fluctuating around yesterday's rebound point of 3305. This is the resistance we need to pay attention to in the short term.
From the 4H analysis, today's short-term resistance is around 3305-3315. If gold wants to rise, it needs to stabilize above 3315. Focus on the 3335 first-line pressure, and rebound to the 3305-3315 resistance area during the day. You can consider shorting and follow the trend to see the decline unchanged, looking towards 3290-3280. Rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation. For the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
CFDGOLD trade ideas
GOLD Analysis : XAUUSD Major Bullish Demand Zone🧠 Market Structure Context (MMC Framework)
Gold has recently shown a clean structural decline from its local highs within a well-defined ascending channel. This analysis highlights a reaction zone-based playbook, focusing on high-probability reversal scenarios guided by institutional footprints, volume reaction points, and MMC logic.
We’re currently trading near a previous reversal zone, where history tells us the market tends to shift behavior. Let’s dissect the key components.
📊 Key Technical Components
🔸 1. Ascending Channel Breakdown
The entire uptrend was respecting a well-established bullish channel until the recent drop violated the midline structure. This breakdown confirms a temporary bearish phase, with price breaking cleanly below a QFL base (Quick Flip Level)—a level where price reversed sharply before, which now acts as a major supply zone.
Psychological Insight: Channels give clues about momentum. Breaking below the lower band shows the market is preparing for a retest or a deeper liquidity hunt.
QFL Breakdown: Once broken, previous buyer confidence is shaken—inviting sellers to test demand zones.
🔸 2. Previous Reversal Zone (PRZ) Reaction
Currently, price is hovering inside the blue shaded Previous Reversal Zone, where bullish pressure previously kicked in. It’s a minor demand zone, but critical due to historical reaction. The projected structure shows a bounce from this area before deciding next direction.
MMC Insight: The first test of PRZ often leads to an initial reaction. But deeper liquidity lies just below in the major green demand zone.
🔸 3. Major Demand Zone + Volume Burst Area (The Real Magnet)
Below the PRZ lies the major reversal block—highlighted in green. This zone is significant because:
It aligns with a high-volume burst in the past, confirming institutional orders.
It's a cleaner structure level for smart money re-entry.
It also provides room for the “liquidity sweep” (stop hunt), collecting sell stops before a proper reversal.
💡 Expected Play: Price may fake out below PRZ, enter the major demand, and then initiate a multiple-leg bullish rally. Patience is key here.
🛠️ Trade Structure Outlook
✅ Scenario 1 – Aggressive Buyers (Marked "1"):
Buy from the current PRZ zone around $3,305–$3,315
Target: $3,340 (Minor Resistance)
Risk: Slippage into deeper demand zone
Stop-loss: Below $3,295
✅ Scenario 2 – Safer Entry from Major Demand (Marked "2"):
Let price dip into $3,270–$3,280 zone (green box)
Look for reversal candles or liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes
TP1: $3,330
TP2: $3,365 (Major Resistance)
📈 Resistance Levels to Watch:
Minor Resistance: $3,340 – Expect short-term pullbacks or hesitation.
Major Resistance: $3,365 – Key target for swing traders and potential reversal zone.
🔍 MMC Concepts in Action
✅ Channel Logic: Breakdown implies momentum shift—watch for retests.
✅ QFL: Previous bounce zone broken = supply now overhead.
✅ Volume Burst Zone: Strong historical reaction = institutional interest.
✅ Zone-to-Zone Trading: Instead of random entries, focus on logical zone interactions.
🧭 Conclusion – Path of Probability
Gold is currently in a transitional phase—shifting from bearish correction to potential bullish revival. Patience will reward those who wait for PRZ rejections or deeper liquidity taps. The MMC framework helps frame this market not as chaos, but a map of strategic reaction points.
Gold Trade Plan 25/07/2025Dear Trader,
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently in a corrective phase, reaching near the support zone at around 3,340. The price is testing the trendline, and we may see a potential bounce towards the resistance level at 3,400-3,420. If the price breaks below this support, we could expect a further drop towards the next support levels near 3,325-3,310. The market will likely consolidate in this range until we see a breakout in either direction. The key levels to watch are 3,340 (support) and 3,400-3,420 (resistance). Monitor the price action closely as a reversal or continuation can occur here.
Regards,
Alireza!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We started with our Bullish target 3356 hit, followed with ema5 cross and lock above 3356 opening 3381. This was also hit perfectly completing this target. We now have a further ema5 cross and lock above 3381 leaving 3404 open with already a nice push up, just short of the full gap.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3356 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
BEARISH TARGETS
3331
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3311
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3311 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289
3266
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential from Strong Support
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,291.780, showing a potential bullish reversal setup from the strong support zone after a clear liquidity sweep and market structure shifts.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
✅ Strong Support Zone (Demand)
Price is reacting from a major demand zone (Strong Low) between $3,275 – $3,225, a level that previously triggered bullish rallies.
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and CHoCH indicate previous bullish control and a possible re-accumulation phase.
✅ CHoCH Near Support
A recent Change of Character (CHoCH) around the support area shows the first signs of smart money accumulation.
Liquidity below recent lows has been swept, triggering possible bullish intent.
✅ Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A clear Bullish FVG remains unmitigated around the mid-range, offering target confluence at $3,349.560.
Price may aim to rebalance inefficiency and fill the FVG as part of the bullish move.
✅ Resistance Zone Above
The resistance area near $3,325 – $3,350 acts as a short-term target for long positions.
Further resistance lies at the Buy-Side Liquidity & Weak High zone around $3,450 if momentum sustains.
🧠 Smart Money Concept Interpretation:
Liquidity Grab: Price dipped into strong demand to collect sell-side liquidity before potential reversal.
CHoCH + BOS Alignment: Indicates the market may now transition into a bullish phase.
FVG as Magnet: Price is drawn toward unfilled value zones—ideal for bullish target projection.
🎯 Trade Idea (Educational Purposes Only):
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Around current zone ($3,290)
Target: $3,349.560 (FVG zone)
Invalidation/SL: Below strong low (~$3,225)
Gold May Rise Technically after Testing the $3,300 Zone📊 Market Overview:
Spot gold is trading around $3,295–$3,301/oz, influenced by slightly lower U.S. Treasury yields and a softer dollar tone. Analyst consensus from Reuters projects gold likely to stay above $3,220/oz through 2025 and possibly hit $3,400 in 2026 amid continued safe-haven demand
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $3,320 / $3,345
• Closest support: $3,274 – $3,280
• EMA09: Price is currently below the 9 period EMA on H1, indicating a short-term bearish bias.
• Candlestick / volume / momentum: There was a minor bounce from the support zone around $3,274, but volume remains low. RSI isn't oversold, suggesting room for technical pullback.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may experience a technical rebound if it holds above $3,280. A breakout above $3,320 would likely require clear catalyst—such as weak U.S. data or a dovish Fed tone.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD: $3,320 – $3,323
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,326
BUY XAU/USD: $3,279 – $3,282
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3376
XAUUSD Outlook – July 29, 2025
Gold enters a high-risk environment starting today.
All eyes are on Jerome Powell's speech, which will signal whether the Fed remains firm on its hawkish stance or adopts a more dovish tone.
📈 That said, a broader look at the chart suggests the market has already aligned itself with the dominant trend.
🗓️ In addition to today’s speech, tariff-related news expected on Friday doesn’t seem likely to disrupt the ongoing bullish momentum in gold — or in crypto markets, for that matter.
🧠 That’s the general market read I'm sensing right now, but we’ll have to see how it unfolds.
🎯 Personally, I still view the $3290 level as a solid buy zone, with the potential to become one of gold’s historical bottoms.
Will Gold Break Higher or Resume the Downtrend?Gold has been trading within a defined rising channel pattern, forming a short-term consolidation phase after a significant bearish leg. The current setup presents a critical inflection zone where Gold (XAUUSD) could either break out above the resistance trendline and major resistance zones or retrace and resume the prior downtrend.
Traders and investors should pay close attention to the price behavior around these key levels for possible high-probability trading opportunities.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Rising Channel Pattern
Gold has been bouncing between a support trend line and a resistance trend line, forming a rising channel. This indicates a controlled upward movement or short-term relief within a broader downtrend.
Support Trendline: Has been respected multiple times and offers a key reference point for bullish continuation.
Resistance Trendline: Acting as a cap on the short-term rallies.
This pattern represents a state of consolidation and indecision, often preceding a strong breakout in either direction.
2. Major Resistance Zone Ahead
The region around $3,345–$3,355 is stacked with:
Previous supply zones.
Confluence of the channel resistance and historical price rejection.
Psychological level near $3,350.
This zone is the make-or-break point for bulls. A successful breakout above this resistance could open the doors for a strong bullish continuation targeting levels such as:
$3,370
$3,390
$3,400+
But without a convincing close above this zone, bullish attempts may get rejected, resulting in a pullback or even breakdown.
3. Immediate Support Zone
On the downside, $3,320–$3,325 is a key short-term support level:
Aligned with the lower boundary of the channel.
Previous breakout retest zone.
Demand area observed in past bounces.
If this zone fails to hold, Gold could witness a strong decline, with potential targets at:
$3,310
$3,290
$3,275
🧠 Two Scenarios for Traders
✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario:
Trigger: Price breaks above $3,355 and sustains.
Retest Opportunity: If price comes back to test the breakout zone with a bullish engulfing candle or pin bar, it can serve as confirmation.
Target Zones: $3,370 / $3,390 / $3,400+
Stop Loss: Below the breakout point or recent higher low inside the channel (~$3,320)
❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
Trigger: Breakdown of the support trendline and close below $3,320.
Confirmation: A bearish retest or continuation candle adds strength to the setup.
Target Zones: $3,310 / $3,290 / $3,275
Stop Loss: Above $3,335 (recent high)
📝 Final Thoughts
The XAUUSD 1H chart is setting up for a volatile move as price action coils between strong support and resistance. The rising channel within the larger downtrend makes this an ideal setup for both breakout traders and trend followers.
For bullish traders, the best entry lies above the resistance trendline, ideally after a retest. For bearish traders, a breakdown below the support line confirms downside momentum continuation.
In either direction, a clear break from this consolidation channel is likely to deliver a fast, directional move. Patience is key—wait for a clean breakout or breakdown before entering large positions.
=================================================================
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
=================================================================
GOLD Falls Back Toward the $3,300 ZoneOver the past four trading sessions, gold has depreciated more than 3.5%, showing a renewed and steady bearish bias around this major safe-haven asset in the short term. Selling pressure has remained strong recently, as confidence in financial markets has gradually improved. Investors have responded positively to the latest trade agreement developments, which have temporarily reduced concerns surrounding the trade war. As a result, demand for safe-haven assets has declined, directly impacting gold, one of the most important hedging instruments currently in the market.
Sideways Range Remains Active
Since late April, gold has been unable to establish a clear directional bias, and has remained trapped within a sideways range, with resistance around $3,400 per ounce and support at $3,300 per ounce. So far, price action has not been strong enough to break out of this structure. However, gold is now testing important support levels, where sellers could begin to face stronger barriers as the price attempts to break through the bottom of the established range.
RSI: The RSI line has consistently crossed below the neutral 50 level, indicating that selling momentum is becoming more dominant. If this trend continues in the short term, it could reinforce the presence of bearish pressure in upcoming sessions.
MACD: The MACD histogram has started to move below the zero line, suggesting that the momentum of the moving averages has shifted firmly to the downside. This reflects a strong bearish tone, and if this continues, selling pressure could become more relevant in the short term.
Key Levels:
$3,400 per ounce – Major Resistance: This level marks the recent all-time high for gold. If buying momentum pushes the price back above this zone, it could trigger a renewed bullish bias and set the stage for a sustained upward trend in the sessions ahead.
$3,300 – Current Barrier: This level defines the lower bound of the short-term channel. A break below this support could confirm a dominant bearish bias, potentially lasting for several trading sessions.
$3,200 – Final Support: This marks the lowest price level reached by gold in recent months and lies below the 100-period simple moving average. If the price drops to this zone, it could trigger the start of a new short-term downtrend on the chart.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
XAUUSD on Bearish values and volume Gold is currently below rising channel and holding the Range of 3320-3335,although yesterday implusive drop is incompleted without testing 3290-3280
Eyes on DXY
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️I will wait next for my sell trades at 3338-3345 area but what we have to watch during that time H4 candle closing.if H4 & H1 candle close above I will not hold or renter sell also below 3320 we have implusive drop.
▪️Secondly if H4 candle closing above 3345 this down move will be invalid and Price-action will reached 3370.
#XAUUSD
Gold Continues Mild Uptrend – Watching for Reaction at $3351📊 Market Overview:
Gold maintained its bullish momentum during the Asian–European session, rising from $3330 to $3344. A slightly weaker USD and safe-haven demand supported prices. However, price is now approaching a key resistance zone, where technical rejection may occur in the U.S. session.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key near-term resistance: $3345 – $3351
• Stronger resistance (higher zone): $3360 – $3366 and $3374
• Nearest support: $3335 – $3332
• Stronger support (lower zone): $3322 – $3315
• EMA 09 (H1): Price is above EMA09 → confirms short-term uptrend
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• Price is consolidating in an ascending triangle
• A breakout above $3345 may target $3360+
• RSI remains below overbought; volume is stable → room for continuation
________________________________________
📌 Outlook:
If gold holds above $3335 and breaks above $3351, the uptrend could extend toward the $3366–$3374 zone. However, failure to break $3351 followed by a drop below $3332 could lead to a deeper pullback toward $3315.
💡 Recommended Trading Strategies:
BUY XAU/USD: $3318 – $3315
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS
❌ SL: $3321
SELL XAU/USD: $3360 – $3363
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS
❌ SL: $3357
Gold Market Opens the Week with Bullish Hedge Toward 3370'sGold market opens the week by hedging into fresh demand at 3320's, building a bullish sentiment.
The price action now aims to mitigate 3370's, aligning with the continuation of the upward trajectory if structure holds. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
XAU/USD(20250728) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Trump announced that the US and Europe reached a trade agreement: 15% tariffs on the EU, $600 billion in investment in the US, zero tariffs on the US by EU countries, the EU will purchase US military equipment, and will purchase US energy products worth $750 billion. However, the US and Europe have different statements on whether the 15% tariff agreement covers medicines and steel and aluminum. Von der Leyen: The 15% tariff rate is the best result that the European Commission can achieve.
US Secretary of Commerce: The deadline for tariff increases on August 1 will not be extended. The United States will determine the tariff policy on chips within two weeks.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3345
Support and resistance levels:
3393
3375
3363
3326
3315
3297
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3345, consider buying in, the first target price is 3363
If the price breaks through 3326, consider selling in, the first target price is 3315