BUY. gold against the dollar using "Heikin Ashi" Analysis
The chart for the price of gold against the dollar using "Heikin Ashi" candles on a 4-hour timeframe. Here are the details:
Price Analysis:
1. Ascending Triangle:
- The price is fluctuating within an ascending triangle, indicating the possibility of a continued uptrend.
- The upper level of the triangle acts as resistance at around $3,350.
2. Support Line:
- The ascending support line (green line) supports the price movement, enhancing the chances of the uptrend continuing.
3. Resistance Level:
- The level indicated by the red line represents the resistance that, if broken, could lead to a significant price increase.
Opening a Buy Position:
1. Confirmation of Breakout:
- Wait for confirmation of a breakout above the resistance level ($3,350) before starting to open a buy position.
- Closing a candle above the resistance level can be used as a confirmation signal.
2. Risk Management:
- Set a stop-loss below the support line of the triangle to minimize risks in case of a pullback.
3. Price Target Advice:
- Entry Price: $3,350.00
- First Target: $3,375.00
- Second Target: $3,400.00
- Third Target: $3,430.00
- 🚨 Stop Loss: $3,329.00
4. Ongoing Technical Analysis:
- Periodically review the analysis to ensure the trend continues and to identify potential changes.
CFDGOLD trade ideas
Gold Sees Volatile Swings – Pullback Risk Remains📊 Market Highlights:
Gold surged to $3,351 earlier today after weaker-than-expected US ISM manufacturing data, which boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut. However, profit-taking quickly pushed prices down to $3,334 before recovering to $3,342.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,351
• Nearest Support: $3,334
• EMA: Price is above EMA 09 → uptrend still intact.
• Candles / Volume / Momentum: H1 candle shows a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure near the recent high. Bullish momentum is slowing, and volume has started to normalize.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $3,351 and the USD strengthens during the US session.
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💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 – $3,350
🎯 TP: $3,334
❌ SL: $3,353
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,332 – $3,334
🎯 TP: $3,350
❌ SL: $3,323
AFTER - XAU/USD - Jul 1,2025 DoneCongratulations guys 200 pips profits
✅ XAU/USD Trade Recap – Jul 1,2025
Bias: Short (Sell Position)
🔹 Entry Price: Around $3,348
🔻 Stop-Loss: $3,371
🎯 Take-Profit Target: $3,327 (✅ Hit – 200 pips)
📉 Result: First target partially reached – trade closed with +200 pips in profit.
Price rejected the resistance area and moved downward, allowing for a clean exit before reaching TP1 and TP2. Conservative profit-taking secured gains without risking reversal.
💡 Summary:
Smart and disciplined execution. The market respected the setup, and you locked in profits safely at 200 pips before any retracement.
Gold Pulls Back Slightly After Peaking at $3,357📊 Market Overview:
Gold rallied to $3,357 yesterday following weak US manufacturing PMI, sparking expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut. This morning, prices are pulling back to around $3,340 as traders await the FOMC meeting minutes for further guidance.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Near resistance: $3,357
• Key resistance: $3,370
• Near support: $3,330
• Major support: $3,318
• EMA: Price is still above the 09 EMA, but starting to slope downward → short-term weakness emerging.
• Candlestick & momentum: Doji candle with a long upper wick on H4 chart around $3,357 → showing fading bullish momentum. RSI dropping out of overbought zone confirms potential short-term pullback
📌 Outlook:
Gold is currently in a mild downward correction, and may continue to decline toward $3,330 – $3,318 if the FOMC minutes do not suggest strong dovish intent.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,350 – $3,354
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,359
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,328 – $3,332
🎯 TP: $3,350
❌ SL: $3,318
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy – July 1✅Yesterday, gold staged a strong “V-shaped reversal,” surging violently from the intraday low of $3247 to a high of $3309. The daily chart closed with a large bullish candlestick featuring a long lower shadow, initially confirming the validity of short-term bottom support and signaling a strong bullish rebound.
✅Fundamental Overview:
The U.S. Dollar Index recorded its sixth consecutive monthly decline, further falling today to 96.87—the longest losing streak since 2017. This reflects growing market expectations for future Fed rate cuts. A weakening dollar has strengthened non-U.S. currencies and reduced the holding cost of gold, providing upward momentum for gold prices.
✅Technical Analysis:
Gold is currently in a technical rebound phase. After reclaiming the key $3300 level yesterday, the short-term trend has returned to a bullish stance. A bullish consolidation structure is now confirmed. However, on the daily chart, prices are still capped below the 10-day and 20-day moving averages (around $3330–3340), while the RSI remains in a weak adjustment phase below the midline, suggesting medium-term direction remains uncertain. In the short term, bulls dominate. The 4-hour chart shows consecutive bullish candles breaking above the middle Bollinger Band, with a golden cross forming near the $3285 area. The 1-hour chart shows Bollinger Bands expanding upward, with prices riding the upper band and moving averages in bullish alignment.
🔴Key Resistance Levels: 3328 – 3335 – 3348
🟢Key Support Levels: 3305 – 3282 – 3271
✅Trading Strategy for Asia–Europe Session:
🔹 Long Positions:
🔰If gold remains firmly above $3300, consider entering long positions on pullbacks to the $3305–3308 zone. Set a stop-loss below $3300 and aim for a target range of $3328–3335.
🔰If the price breaks above the $3328 resistance with volume confirmation, consider adding to long positions near $3330, with upside targets at $3345–3350.
🔹 Short Positions:
🔰If gold rallies toward $3328 but fails to break through, and upward momentum weakens, consider light short positions. Set a stop-loss above $3335, with downside targets at $3310–3305.
🔰If the price unexpectedly breaks below the $3280 support, possibly triggering algorithmic selling, the correction may extend further toward the $3250–3260 range.
✅Currently, gold continues to show a moderately bullish trend, and the European session is expected to fluctuate within the core range of $3300–3335. Strategically, it's recommended to prioritize buying on dips, with shorts considered only on failed rallies. If upcoming U.S. data strengthens expectations for Fed rate cuts, gold could break above the $3350 threshold. Conversely, if the data is strong or geopolitical risks ease, be cautious of a potential pullback, with key defense support at $3280.
Gold is rising. Second starting point?Information summary:
1. The US dollar index has experienced the longest consecutive monthly decline since 2017. The weakening of the US dollar has increased the attractiveness of gold denominated in US dollars to non-US dollar holders, becoming an important support factor for gold prices.
2. Trump's continued pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates has formed a resonance effect with the weakening of the US dollar, which has jointly pushed up the short-term attractiveness of gold.
Multiple factors are intertwined, and gold has risen slightly again.
Market analysis:
Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Monday, showing a positive closing, and above 3300. After falling sideways for 5 consecutive trading days last week, although it fell for a short time on Monday, it did not continue. In this case, whether a new high can be reached, the watershed is the 3295 line. As long as the European session breaks the high, the long position is near the starting point of 3305 in the early trading session.
At present, the main focus is on the upper resistance around 3325. It opened directly upward on Tuesday, but did not break through too much space, unless it directly broke through 3325-3330; then the next resistance is around 3340. At present, the bulls are still running at a high level. The upward trend line generated after the reversal is more obvious, and the trend line has good effectiveness.
Since the current market is in the first wave of rise, the high point has not been confirmed. Quaid believes that when the high point is clear and the price falls back to the support area, consider entering the market to go long based on the support level. Of course, aggressive trading can choose to buy around 3320 and choose a suitable high point to take profit.
Operation strategy:
Short near the rebound 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3310-3300
Long near the fall 3305, stop loss 3290, profit range 3320-3335
XAUUSD 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025XAUUSD 4hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bearish
Gold has been on the rally of a century for a while and isn’t showing too many signs of slowing down long term. For now we do have a couple opportunities I can bring to your attention.
4hour bearish continuation - For this to happen we would like to see price action come back to our pocket of confluence near the 3,320.000 level followed by bearish conviction. If this happens look to target lower toward major support levels like 3,225.500.
4hour trend reversal - If we are to see a reversal of the 4hour trend we would need to see price action pop back above the 3,320.000 resistance area. Look for strong bullish conviction above this level and target higher toward appropriate levels of resistance.
Monday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD)In my opinion, we can expect a drop at the beginning of the week, with price potentially falling to the 3310–3300 zone. This area may act as a demand zone or liquidity pool, from where I expect a bullish reaction. After reaching that level, I anticipate the price to climb back up toward the trendline.
I’ll be watching for confirmations around 3300 for possible long entries.
Let’s see how the market opens on Monday.
Gold’s Bullish Range Holds – Is This the Dip to Buy?With tensions easing in the Middle East and risk appetite moderating, gold has settled into a bullish daily range. The metal recently broke a key high, confirming its upward momentum, but now appears to be consolidating. The central question is whether gold will break lower for a deeper correction or whether this is merely a pause before the next leg higher.
Reduced geopolitical risk has tempered the “risk-on” rally in gold, but the metal remains firmly within a bullish daily range. This indicates that the underlying bid has not disappeared—only short-term speculative flows have adjusted.
Gold recently breached a protected high—likely a higher high or significant resistance level—reinforcing the prevailing bullish momentum. A pullback into imbalance or demand zones is anticipated; however, if a catalyst emerges, price could resume its advance from current levels, with the 0.328 Fibonacci retracement acting as a strong support.
Meanwhile, the DXY is exhibiting signs of a pullback but lacks the fundamental drivers necessary to sustain a broader rally.
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3335.9
Stop - 3338.8
Take - 3330.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Why is the 147k Beat in Payrolls Data Not as Strong as it Seems?Yesterday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report came in above expectations, but a closer look at the details reveals a less encouraging picture. Despite the headline beat, market reactions quickly faded. For instance, gold initially dropped from 3350 to 3311 in the first 15 minutes after the release but has since recovered more than 75% of that decline. So why is the June jobs report not as strong as it first appeared?
According to the BLS report, nonfarm payrolls increased by 147k in June, surpassing the consensus estimate of 106k. However, when breaking down the numbers, private payrolls rose by just 74k, well below expectations. Most of the gains came from government and healthcare hiring. Government jobs accounted for 73k new positions, and 63k of those came from the education sector alone.
Some analysts suggest the high net hiring in education may be due more to a lack of firings, a consequence of a tight labor market in that sector. Meanwhile, the 59k increase in healthcare jobs is part of a long-term trend. Over the past two years, the U.S. has added an average of 70k healthcare jobs per month. This growth is largely driven by the needs of an aging population and reduced payrolls during and after the pandemic that have yet to fully recover.
If you exclude government and healthcare hiring, U.S. payrolls increased by just 15k in June.
The unemployment rate also came in better than expected, falling to 4.1% from 4.2%, while markets had anticipated a rise to 4.3%. However, this decline was driven by a drop in the labor force participation rate, which fell to 62.3% from 62.6% in just two months , a worrying sign that fewer people are actively participating in the labor market.
In the first 15 minutes after the data came, gold fell to 3311 from 3350. In the following 18 hours, gold recaptures 85% of the loss. Gold is still over the broken bearish trendline in 1-H timeframe. With tariff deadline in 9th July and incoming 10-12 tariff letters coming in from Trump in the next few days, gold could have potential to go upwards with market understands this jobs data is not strong as it seems.
Gold Bullish Structure - Awaiting A RetestThat inverted head and shoulders pattern on is what is still giving me the confidence that the bulls will soon take over this market with a high probability of new All Time Highs.
At the moment however, I am patiently aways the possibility of a retest to the H4 demand zone as indicated by the downward pointing arrow. The bullish move might only happen in ful swing next week.
Plan for London on NFP Day (03.07.2025)⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. It’s simply my personal trade plan and analysis.
I just want to share knowledge for free – that’s all.
My concept is: Keep it simple, stupid.
Life is already complicated enough thanks to the people around me, so I prefer to keep things simple… at least when it comes to my charts. 😆
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📈 London Session Trade Plan (only for London session)
Resistance Zones
Zone 1: 3422 – 3410
Zone 2: 3394 – 3380
Support Zone
Zone 1: 3334 – 3327
Entry Strategy – I’m watching for 4 main scenarios:
1. Blue Arrow:
If price reaches Resistance Zone 1 → wait for clear PA (Price Action) on M15 or M30 → then look to Sell
2. Black Arrow:
If price reaches Resistance Zone 2 → wait for PA on M15 or M30 → then Sell
3. Red Arrow:
If price drops to Support Zone 1 → wait for PA on M15 or M30 → then Buy
4. Pink Arrow:
If price breaks below Support Zone 1 → wait for price to pull back → then Sell
(In this case, I’ll use Fibonacci to assist with entries – key levels: 50.0 and 61.8)
But for today, I give this scenario a lower win rate compared to my other techniques. So I’ve decided not to use this strategy for the London session.
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‼️Scenario 5 – Sideways Market
If price just keeps ranging inside the green circle and there's no clear PA → I will not react at all.
This is common before big events like NFP. No signal = No action.
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✅ Reminders to Myself:
I'm an intraday trader who separates sessions by market behavior.
Today is NFP day, and price often moves wildly and irrationally.
It's okay to stay out of the market.
When in doubt
GOLD 4H: structure broken - phase reversal beginsTwo key directional signals were recorded on the gold chart: first, a breakdown of the ascending channel, followed by a confident downward exit from the triangle with a clear fixation under the $3297 boundary. Both figures worked independently, but consistently - and strengthened the impulse towards selling.
The price has already gone beyond the lower boundary of the triangle ($3297), confirming the bearish scenario. Candlesticks closing under the level and local consolidation from below is a characteristic formation before the momentum continues.
Technical parameters:
- Channel breakout: completed
- Triangle breakout: $3297 level
- Retest from below: expected as confirmation
- EMAs reversed downwards, structure broken
- Volumes strengthened at the moment of breakout
Tactical plan:
- Sell after retest of $3297
- Targets on the move: $3248 and $3201
- Stop: above $3305 (above the area of false outs).
The current structure indicates the end of the accumulation phase and the beginning of the downward momentum. As long as the price holds below $3297 - shorts are the priority.
Focus on tomorrow’s non-farm payrolls!Gold hourly chart;
Gold short-term analysis; Gold 4-hour analysis shows that the stochastic indicator is golden cross, which is a bullish signal; MACD indicator double lines stick together upward, which is a bullish signal; 4-hour bias continues to rise; 4-hour downward trend channel is temporarily suppressed, and the pressure position is near 3355, which is the only empty point today; the short-term support position is temporarily near 3320;
Gold breaks trend – bullish wave returnsIn the most recent trading session, gold (XAUUSD) has made a strong rebound from the key support zone around $3,263 and is now approaching a short-term resistance near $3,347 – signaling a potential continuation of the bullish momentum in the short term.
1. Price Structure & Market Behavior After reaching a local top around $3,347–$3,350, gold entered a clear downtrend.
However, the breakout of the descending trendline (yellow line) with solid bullish candles is a strong reversal signal.
The market has formed higher highs and higher lows with strong bullish candles, confirming a V-shape reversal pattern from the bottom zone.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels Immediate resistance: $3,347–$3,350 – previous rejection zone.
Short-term support: $3,308 – newly broken resistance now acting as support.
Major support: $3,263 – previous low with strong bullish bounce, highlighting significant buyer interest.
3. Suggested Trading Strategy Given the strong breakout and bullish trend structure, traders may consider a buy-the-dip strategy around $3,308–$3,315 on potential pullbacks.
Stop-loss should be placed below $3,263 to protect against false breakouts.
Short-term take-profit targets can be set at $3,350–$3,360. If this level breaks, extended targets could reach $3,375.
Volume & Momentum Volume is increasing along with price, confirming strong buyer participation.
Bullish candles are closing near highs, showing weak selling pressure and suggesting the uptrend may continue.
Conclusion: Gold has resumed a short-term uptrend after breaking its previous downtrend. Traders should favor bullish setups and look for pullbacks to enter at better prices. Watch the $3,347 zone closely – if gold breaks and holds above it, further upside is likely.