THE KOG REPORT - Update & NFP analysis End of day update from us here at KOG:
We managed to get the move into the red box we wanted which should have been a enough for the day. However, the levels were so clean during NY that we managed to get another decent trade into the Excalibur target to complete the day.
With NFP tomorrow and a US holiday on Friday, we're going to share our levels and view but due to unforeseen circumstances, I won't be around for the rest of the week to see it through.
We've added the updated red boxes, the key levels and the potential move if they break. So far, we've had a good week, so these levels are simply for reference and unless there is a clean set up, our traders will stay away until Monday.
Red boxes:
Break above 3350 for 3355, 3362, 3373, 3375 and 3390 in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3320, 3316, 3310. 3306, 3298 and 3285 in extension of the move
The week so far:
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297✅ and above that 3306✅
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
CFDGOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD $3500 Recovery? Reverse Heads and Shoulders? 🔎 STRUCTURE & TECHNICAL ELEMENTS
1. Pattern:
A falling wedge was formed and broken cleanly to the upside → bullish reversal structure.
Breakout was followed by a successful retest at prior structure lows (marked “Clear Breakout and Retest”).
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG 1D) Zone:
Currently being tested. This zone coincides with:
Minor support from prior consolidation
Fib retracement (0.5 level)
Potential demand area (watch for bullish reaction/candle structure here)
3. Volume Profile:
3,350 = POC (Point of Control) → heavy resistance.
3,300 = Secondary HVN → strong support below current price.
Low-volume nodes just under current price → if broken, price likely accelerates into the GP zone.
4. Fibonacci & Liquidity Confluence:
Golden Pocket (3287) just below 3,300 = ideal liquidity draw if FVG fails.
Target 1 / 2 / 3 above are Fibonacci-based projections + historical swing zones.
✅ SCENARIO 1: Bullish Case – FVG Holds
If price respects the FVG 1D zone, expect:
Continuation up toward Target One (~3,430)
Extension to Target Two (~3,470) and even Target Three (~3,540+) possible
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing / high-volume bounce / sweep of intraday lows without close below FVG
Bias: Bullish continuation as long as price holds above FVG/0.5 Fib
🚨 SCENARIO 2: Bearish Case – FVG Breaks Down
If price closes below FVG zone, particularly below 3,312:
High probability drop toward 3,300 (psych level)
Liquidity sweep and deeper correction into Golden Pocket (~3,287) likely
This area can act as a high-probability long re-entry zone
Bias: Short-term bearish if close below FVG + swing structure invalidation
⚖️ REFINED SUMMARY
Price rejects off FVG - we can expect target 1 and 2 tagged.
Price breaks & closes below FVG zone - we can expect it to drop/wick to 3,300
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad start to the week with the path working well, we got the swoop we wanted and the opportunity for the long presented itself. We've completed quite a few of the bias targets as well as the red box targets, so now, with it being the last trading day of the month and quarter and tomorrow being the first, we'll take a back seat.
Support stands at the 3275 level with resistance still at 3404-6. Higher box is defence so we'll stick with it and see if it works how we intended.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297 and above that 3306
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306 in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold 30 Min Engaged ( Dual Entry's Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Reversal : 3309
Volume Poc + Value
🩸 Bearish Reversal : 3284
Volume Poc + Value
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
DeGRAM | GOLD held the support area📊 Technical Analysis
● Bullish rebound from the green 3 250-3 300 demand, where the rising-channel base and May’s inner trend-line intersect, prints a higher low and invalidates the prior break.
● Price is reclaiming the channel median; a push through 3 378 unlocks the June swing cap at 3 434, while risk is contained by the fresh pivot turned support at 3 300.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US ISM-Mfg prices and a dip in 2-yr yields eased dollar pressure, while IMF data show another uptick in official gold purchases—both restoring near-term bid.
✨ Summary
Long 3 300-3 320; hold above aims 3 378 → 3 434. Invalidate below 3 250.
-------------------
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Gold price recovers above 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) trades at $3,292 after rebounding from an intraday low of $3,246 and looks set to close out June with a modest gain of over 0.18%. However, its upward momentum has been restrained by easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing optimism over forthcoming trade agreements. Meanwhile, analysts at Citi expect Gold to consolidate within the $3,100 to $3,500 range throughout the third quarter.
In Washington, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence that the “One Big Beautiful Bill” will make progress in the coming hours. The sweeping tax reform legislation, which narrowly passed the Senate over the weekend, includes major tax deductions funded by reductions in Medicaid spending and green energy incentives.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovers above 3300 , ahead of NF reports this week . Accumulates above 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3353- 3355 SL 3360
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3272-$3270 SL $3265
TP1: $3283
TP2: $3295
TP3: $3310
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
HelenP. I Gold may retest resistance before dropping to $3230Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that after a period of sideways consolidation, gold started to form lower highs under a descending trend line. Each time the price approached this trend line, it was rejected, confirming strong bearish pressure. Most recently, XAUUSD broke below the support-turned-resistance level around 3295, entering the lower resistance zone. Now, the price is trading just under this area, which has acted as a strong supply zone in the past. Given the current technical setup, I expect that gold may show a minor upward move to retest the resistance zone between 3285 - 3295. However, this retest is likely to act as a trigger for sellers to step back in. The prevailing downtrend and repeated failures to break the trend line suggest further weakness ahead. That’s why I’ve placed my target at 3230 points - a level that aligns with the next major support on the chart. This area could provide the next bounce opportunity, but for now, the bearish structure remains dominant. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We said we would stick with the plan and look for the higher levels on Gold, which we did and worked well. Once we approached the red box however, you'll notice we broke straight through it. The indicators then gave us numerous long signals which meant we either got in with the madness of the move, or, simple waited for the red box target to hit and then attempt the short on the RIP, which is moving nicely at the moment.
Now resistance is on the flip 3350 with support below 3333-5 which is we're we are looking for a potential bounce. We have made a big move today so not expecting much towards the end of the session.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297✅ and above that 3306✅
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3301 and a gap below at 3242. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3364
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3295
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3295 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3242
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold setup: ascending triangle and Trump’s debt bombGold just formed an ascending triangle, and a breakout could send it $300 higher. In this video, we analyse the new pattern, the key breakout level, and why Trump’s new tax bill and Powell’s potential replacement could spark a major move. Will fundamentals match the technicals? Watch to find out.
XAU/USD 3H CHART PATTERNOn this XAUUSD 3-hour chart, price has broken out of the descending channel and is retesting near the 3304 area, aligning with a bullish change of character (CHOCH) zone for a potential buy setup. The chart shows a clear upward projection after the retest, targeting a move towards the upper resistance zone around 3440. This setup aligns with market structure respecting previous support zones and aiming for higher highs after a successful breakout. Monitoring the retest area is crucial for confirmation, allowing a low-risk entry for a continuation towards the targets while maintaining clear structure. Price action should be observed for bullish momentum before continuation to the higher resistance levels indicated on the chart for a clean execution.
Entry: 3304
First Target: 3381
Second Target: 3440
Stop Loss: 3390/335
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,330 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,330 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD keeps falling just
As I predicted but the price
Will soon hit a horizontal support
Around 3235$ from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
#XAUUSD(GOLD)): 29/06/2025 Last Analysis Going Great!Gold has been moving nicely since our last analysis, which we posted. Currently, 750+ pips have been generated, and we expect further price drops. There are still two targets in place, as per our previous analysis. We anticipate a steady decline in the price. We recommend all of you to follow strict risk management. This is not a guaranteed analysis or view, but rather an overview/educational chart analysis.
If you want to support us, you can do the following:
- Like
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Team Setupsfx_
HelenP. I Gold will make small correction and then continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price declined to the 3245 support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then started to grow. In a short time, it reached the 3395 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then dropped to the trend line, breaking two levels, and made a gap. After this movement, the price started to grow in a wedge and soon reached the support level, which broke it and continued to rise next. Later, it made a correction to the 3245 level and then continued to move up and reached the resistance level. Price bounced from this level and corrected, after which it turned around and rose to the resistance line of the wedge pattern, breaking the 3395 resistance level. But soon, it turned around and corrected to the trend line. Not a long time ago, price exited from the wedge, fell to the support level, and then started to grow. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make a small correction. Then I think it can continue to grow and reach the 3395 resistance level, which is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD 3H Chart Pattern, I have marked a cup formationGOLD 3H Chart Pattern, I have marked a cup formation, which often indicates a bullish reversal setup. Based on the chart:
Key Levels:
Current Price Zone: Around 3,323 - 3,330
First Target: Near 3,380 - 3,400
Final Target: Near 3,440 - 3,460
Analysis:
Price is forming a cup pattern with resistance around 3,380 - 3,400
Break above 3,400 could lead towards the final target zone of 3,440 - 3,460
Watch for price reaction near Ichimoku Cloud; clean breakout above the cloud confirms bullish momentum
Suggested Targets:
✅ First Target: 3,380 - 3,400 USD
✅ Second Target: 3,440 - 3,460 USD
Note: Wait for confirmation above 3,330 - 3,340 and bullish momentum to continue.
If you want, I can also give stop-loss and entry suggestions based on this chart. Let me know!
Gold Trading Strategy July 3✏️D1 candle continues to increase towards the price gap zone. At the beginning of the European session, sellers accept to enter the market at this resistance price zone around 3365. The accumulation pattern of gold price is forming a triangle pattern.
The lower boundary is broken, it will lead to the breakout point of the lower boundary and vice versa, if the upper boundary of the triangle is broken, the price will move towards the next resistance.
📉 Key Levels
Resistance: 3388-3363
Support: 3330-3311-3297-3277
Buy trigger: breakout above 3363
Sell trigger: breakout below 3330
If this idea resonates with you or you have other ideas, please comment. I look forward to reading your thoughts!
Best regards, VHT Traders!
XAU/USD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionTechnical analysis of (XAU/USD) based on price action and technical indicators on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a
---
Key Technical Insights:
1. Resistance Level (Highlighted Yellow Zone):
Price is approaching a strong resistance zone (previous rejection marked by red arrows).
This area has historically pushed price downward.
2. Trendline Support (Rising Black Line):
Price has been following a short-term ascending trendline, forming higher lows.
A break below this trendline signals potential bearish reversal.
3. EMA 200 (Blue Line):
Price is currently above the EMA 200, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
However, price is testing resistance — a rejection could flip momentum bearish.
4. Bearish Rejection & Projection:
The chart shows an anticipated rejection from resistance, followed by a break of trendline support.
Target zone is marked near 3,228.098, indicating a drop of ~94 points from the current level.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is nearing overbought territory (68.79).
A bearish divergence or RSI crossing down may confirm weakening momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion / Trading Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near the resistance level (~3,322)
Confirmation: Break of trendline support
Target: 3,228
Stop-Loss: Above resistance zone (just over the upper trendline)
---
pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis)
9 Essential TIPS For Newbie Traders (Learn from my Mistakes!)
In the today's article, I will reveal trading secrets I wish I knew when I started trading.
1️⃣ Forget about becoming a pro quickly
Most of the traders believe, that you can learn how to trade easily and that it takes a very short period of time in order to master a profitable trading strategy.
The truth is, however, that trading is a long journey.
I spent more than 3 years, trying different strategies and looking for a profitable technique to trade. Once I found that, it took more than a year to polish a trading strategy and to learn how to apply that properly.
Be prepared to spend YEARS before you find a way to trade profitably.
2️⃣ Focus on One Strategy
While you are learning how to trade you will try different techniques, tools and strategies. And the thing is that newbies are trying multiple things simultaneously. The more strategies you try at once, the more setups you have on your chart. The more setups you have on your chart, the more complex and difficult is your trading.
Remember that in this game, your attention is the key.
You should meticulously study each and every trading setup.
For that reason, I highly recommend you to focus on one strategy, one approach, one technique. Test it, try it and look for a new one only when you realize that it doesn't work.
Here is the example how the same price chart can provide absolutely different trading opportunities depending on a trading strategy.
Price action pattern trader would recognize a lot of a patterns, while indicator based trader could spot absolutely different bullish and bearish signals.
Now, try to imagine how hard it would be to follow both strategies simultaneously.
3️⃣ Start with small capital that you can afford to lose
You will lose your first trading deposit and, probably, the second one and potentially the third one as well.
Losses are the only way to learn real trading. While you are on a demo account, you feel like a king, but once you start risking your savings, the perspective completely changes .
For that reason, make sure that you trade with an account that you can afford to lose. The fact of blowing such an account should be unpleasant, but that should not affect your daily life.
4️⃣ Use stop loss
I am doing trading coaching for more than 4 years.
What pisses me off is that the main reason of the substantial losses of my mentees is the absence of stop loss. Why can it be if naturally everyone: from your broker to Instagram trading gurus repeat that day after day.
Set stop loss, know in advance how much you risk per trade, and know the exact level on a price chart where you become wrong.
Imagine what could be your loss, if you shorted USDJPY and hold the trade while the market kept going against you.
5️⃣ Forget about getting rich quick
That is the iconic fallacy. I believe that around 90% of people who come in this game want to get rich quick , want easy money.
And no surprise, when I share a trading setup in my free telegram channel, and it loses I receive dozens of messages that I am a scammer.
People truly believe that professional trading implies 100% win rate and quick and easy money.
The truth is, traders, that trading is a very tough game. And with a good trading strategy, you have just a little statistical edge that will give you the profits that would slightly overcome your losses.
6️⃣ Train your eyes
Professional trading implies pattern recognition: it can be some technical indicators pattern, the price action or candlestick formation, etc.
Your main goal as a trader is to learn to identify these patterns.
Pattern recognition is a hard skill to acquire.
You should spend dozens of hours in front of the screen in order to train your eyes to identify certain patterns.
Here is how many patterns you would spot on GBPUSD chart, paying close attention.
7️⃣ Track and analyze your trades
Study all the trades that you take, especially the losing ones.
Look for mistakes, look for the reasons why a certain setup played out and why a certain one didn't. Journal your trades and make notes.
8️⃣ Don't use technical indicators
Newbies believe that technical indicators should do the work for them.
They are constantly looking for one or a bunch that will accurately show where the market will go.
However, I always say to my mentees that technical indicators make the chart messy and distract.
If you just started trading, focus on a naked chart, learn to analyze the market trend, key levels, classic price action patterns.
Learn to make accurate predictions relying on a price chart alone.
Only then add some technical indicators on your chart.
They won't do the work for you, but will help you to slightly increase the accuracy of a certain setup.
Above is the classic chart of a newbie trader.
A lot of indicators and a complete mess
The same chart would look much better without technical indicators.
9️⃣ Find a Mentor
There are hundreds of trading mentors on Instagram, YouTube, TradingView. Find the one with a trading style that you like.
Follow him, learn from his trading experience, listen to his trading recommendations.
11 years ago I found a guy on YouTube, his name was Jason.
I really liked his free teachings, and they were meaningful to me.
I decided to purchase his premium coaching program.
It was 200$ monthly - a huge amount of money for me at that time.
However, with his knowledge I saved a lot, I learned a lot of profitable techniques and tricks that helped me to become a professional forex trader.
Of course, this list could be much bigger.
The more I think about different subjects in trading, the more important tips come to my mind. However, I believe that the tips above are essential and I truly wish I knew all that before I started.
I hope that info will help you in your trading journey!
Good luck to you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Bullish Trend breakdown and support on 3295XAUUSD Technical Breakdown
1H Time Frame Analysis by Livia 😜
Gold (XAU/USD) has officially broken down from the bullish trend, symmetrical triangle, and the key support zone at 3295.
A retracement is complete, and 3295 now acts as a fresh resistance level — setting up a clean entry point for sellers.
🎯 Bearish Technical Targets:
🔻 1st Support: 3260
🔻 2nd Support: 3240
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#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakdownAlert #JoinTheMovement
Gold Under Pressure After NFP Beat – More Downside Ahead?Moments ago, the US Non-Farm Payrolls surprised to the upside at 147K (vs 111K forecast), while the Unemployment Rate dropped to 4.1% (vs 4.3% expected) .
This stronger-than-expected labor market data reinforces the idea that the Fed has no immediate reason to cut rates. As a result, the USD( TVC:DXY ) strengthened, and gold came under renewed selling pressure.
If the dollar momentum continues, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) may face further downside in the short term.
In terms of Technical Analysis , Gold fell below the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) again after the announcement of US indices and is currently moving near the Support lines and 50_SMA(Daily) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed 5 impulsive waves in the one-hour time frame, and we should now wait for corrective waves .
I expect Gold to fall again after the upward correction , and the Support zone($3,312-$3,290) could be the target.
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,365
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD REVERSAL OR CONTINUATION?The analysis on GOLD in D1 shows us a bullish structure for several months. But could this be the end of this trend with the current configuration? NO!!!! today in July 2025 we can see that the price is facing strong resistance which has already been tested 3 times? certainly this resistance is solid but it is not what will reverse the trend. Indeed, looking more closely at this configuration we can see that the price forms a well-known chart pattern "THE ASCENDING TRIANGLE" which indicates a continuation of the trend. Furthermore, the price, still in its bullish run, rebounded on our D1 support LINE, thus marking the end of our retracement of the first wave and the start of the third which will go so far as to break the resistance in D1 and offer us new historic highs. DONNEZ VOS AVIS EN COMMENTAIRE.