7.2 Gold bulls continue to rise, bears come to an end temporarilFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper focus is on the 3345 line of suppression, the lower short-term support focuses on the 3314-3316 line, and the key support of 3295-3301 line is focused on. The overall support is based on this range to maintain the main tone of low-multiple participation. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Gold 3316-24 line long, retrace to 3295-3303 line to add more positions, stop loss 3293, target 3340-45 line, continue to hold if broken;
CFDGOLD trade ideas
Byt setup tiqgpt MARKET NARRATIVE: Analyzing the provided charts for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent uptrend from the 1D to the 1m timeframe. The 1D chart shows a recent bullish candle following a series of indecisive movements, indicating potential accumulation by institutions. The 4H and 1H charts display a clear impulsive move upwards, suggesting strong buying pressure. The 15m, 5m, and 1m charts further confirm this momentum with successive bullish candles and minimal retracement, indicating ongoing demand and limited supply.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, driving the price upwards through consistent buying. The lack of significant pullbacks across lower timeframes suggests a strong institutional commitment to higher prices, likely targeting liquidity above recent highs.
LEARNING POINT: The consistent bullish momentum across all timeframes without significant retracement indicates a strong institutional presence and a potential continuation of the uptrend.
SIGNAL: WAIT SYMBOL: XAUUSD ENTRY PRICE: $3,330.50 STOP LOSS: $3,325.00 (just below the recent minor pullback on the 1m chart, which can act as a short-term liquidity area) TARGET PRICE: $3,340.00 (just below the next psychological round number, providing a reasonable target for institutional profit-taking) CONDITION: Buy on a slight retracement to $3,330.50, confirming continued demand. RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.7 (Risk=$5.50, Reward=$9.50) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters. STRATEGIES USED: Multi-timeframe momentum trading, targeting minor pullbacks for entry. URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (based on the alignment of bullish signals across multiple timeframes) RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$5.50, Reward=$9.50, Ratio=1:1.7 (Below 2:1 minimum)
Risk = Entry Price - Stop Loss = $3,330.50 - $3,325.00 = $5.50
Reward = Target Price - Entry Price = $3,340.00 - $3,330.50 = $9.50
Ratio = Reward ÷ Risk = $9.50 ÷ $5.50 ≈ 1.73
Given that the risk/reward ratio is less than 2:1, the recommendation is to WAIT for a better entry point or adjust the target/stop to improve the ratio.
The limit is 3320. Rebound and still short📰 News information:
1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month
2. Impact of geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold has rebounded to around 3295, reaching our ideal trading area. I have given the short-selling trading idea in the previous post. At present, in the short term, we still maintain the short-selling trading idea before effectively breaking through the upper resistance. Focus on the 3325 line of resistance
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3295-3310-3320
TP 3285-3270
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3280.9
Sl - 3287.7
Tp - 3267.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,281.18.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,396.94 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WEEK PLAN|Will This Gold Rally Collapse Into a Liquidity Trap ? Gold remains trapped between high-liquidity resistance and a strong order block below. While short-term bullish structure is forming, the weekly outlook remains complex due to upcoming high-impact events from the Fed and US labour data. Expect volatility and traps in both directions.
🧠 Fundamental Context
FOMC Meeting Minutes (Wed 9 July): Market will look for rate cut clues.
Unemployment Claims (Thu 10 July): A stronger labour market = stronger USD = bearish for gold.
FOMC Member Waller Speaks (Thu 10 July): Any hawkish tone could cap gold upside.
📊 Key Zones
Zone Role Notes
3,387 – 3,439 Sell Zone High liquidity, weak highs, ideal reversal trap
3,240 – 3,260 Buy Zone Strong OB, liquidity sweep, aligned with trendline support
3,365 Weekly High May reject or break based on macro catalyst
🛠️ Trade Setups (Entry Zones as Requested)
✅ 1. BUY GOLD
Entry: 3,346 – 3,344
Stop Loss: 3,340
TP1: 3,356
TP2: 3,366
TP3: 3,376+ (Open Target)
Rationale: Scalping long off micro demand, aiming for a short-term spike above liquidity.
✅ 2. BUY GOLD SCALPING
Entry: 3,291 – 3,289
Stop Loss: 3,285
TP1: 3,299
TP2: 3,310
TP3: 3,320+ (Open Target)
Rationale: Buy on breakout momentum before hitting higher sell-side zones.
✅ 3. SELL GOLD
Entry: 3,389 – 3,391
Stop Loss: 3,396
TP1: 3,381
TP2: 3,371
TP3: 3,361 (Open Target)
Rationale: Fade the breakout — fakeout zone targeting liquidity void beneath.
✅ 4. SELL GOLD
Entry: 3,349 – 3,351
Stop Loss: 3,355
TP1: 3,339
TP2: 3,329
TP3: 3,319 (Open Target)
Rationale: Short off weak rally, playing potential rejection near intraday high.
📅 This Week’s Events
Date Event Likely Impact
9 July FOMC Minutes Fed tone → volatility spike
10 July Jobless Claims (233K) Strong number = gold downside
10 July FOMC Waller Speech Additional risk-on/risk-off flows
⚠️ Trading Strategy
Use H1–H4 confirmations (CHoCH, BOS, FVG) before entries.
Avoid entries 1h before and after red news.
Focus on 3,260–3,439 range as key decision area for the week.
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – July 7, 2025
Trade Setup: The chart shows a bullish trade setup based on a potential reversal from a "Weak Low" support area around 3304. After forming a BOS (Break of Structure) and a small consolidation (highlighted box), price is expected to move higher.
Entry:
Long position initiated slightly above the consolidation zone.
Stop Loss (SL):
Set at 3304, just below the recent weak low support.
Target (TP):
Final target at 3326, where a key resistance level lies.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 3304 (Weak Low)
Resistance Levels:
3317.5
3222.9
3326.2 (Final Target)
Market Structure Notes:
CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates potential shift to bullish momentum.
Price is expected to form higher highs and higher lows on its way to the target.
XAUUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 3301.42, a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fib projection.
Our take profit is set at 3330.92, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 3274.83, a swing low support.
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New tariffs are coming. How should gold respond?📰 News information:
1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire
2. New unilateral tariffs
3. Geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
On July 4th local time, there were constant turmoil in American politics and trade. Trump declared that the US government would send letters to trading partners that day to set new unilateral tariff rates, which would most likely take effect on August 1. He also revealed that the new tariff rates could soar to 70%. At the same time, Japan-US trade negotiations encountered obstacles, India planned to impose retaliatory tariffs on the United States, and the China-EU tariff war had also begun. At present, the news seems to be more favorable to the bulls.
From a technical point of view, gold closed higher last week, showing that there is still upward momentum this week. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the pressure in the 3365 and 3375 - 3380 areas, and the 3400 mark is a key position where bulls and bears are fighting fiercely. Before breaking through this position, we must be alert to the risk of falling back after a high rise. Pay attention to the support of 3310-3305 and 3295-3285 below. If effective support is obtained, we can consider going long. If it breaks, it may go to 3270-3260. Gold jumped to 3342 at the opening of the Asian session and then fell back. 3345 is the key in the short term. The news may affect its subsequent trend. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of 3345 on the upper side, and further to the strong resistance area of 3365-3380. If there is resistance and pressure, you can short at a high level. The impact of recent news is erratic, so enter the market with caution and be sure to set TP and SL strictly.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3330-3345
TP 3320-3310-3295
BUY 3310-3305
TP 3320-3330-3345
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?The view we had in past three weeks was a possibility of complex 4th wave and our short term bias was bearish. But price reacted and closed above 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level and therefore changed our bias to bullish(Technically 4th wave is complete). Another confluence was a clear 5 waves after the reaction on the 61.8 fib. Now two possibilities, either wave 2 is complete and we should expect price to continue up from current price level or a possibility of double 3 to push price down to atleast 61.8 Fib before continuation to the upside. To take advantage of this anticipated move a trader should either wait for price to drop to the golden zone or wait for price to breach the immediate high and retest.
Big changes begin. Dominant trend?Event summary:
The United States passed the Big and Beautiful Act; how to get this part of the tax after the massive tax cut? Then it can only be obtained through other means, and the tariff war initiated by Trump is one of them. At the same time, the bill will increase the federal debt by trillions of dollars, further widening the gap between the rich and the poor.
Immediately after the bill was signed and took effect, Musk announced the establishment of the "American Party". He wrote: We live in a one-party state, not a democratic country. Today, the American Party is established to return your freedom to you. At the same time, Musk posted on July 6, when and where should we hold the first congress of the "American Party"? This will be very interesting.
This event is likely to support the trend change of gold bulls in the short term.
Market analysis:
From the daily chart, after bottoming out and rebounding this week, the weekly line closed higher, and there is still upward momentum next week; short-term focus on the pressure of the 3345-3365 range, which is likely to become a key area for long and short competition. Before breaking upward, focus on the high and fall. Pay attention to the support rebound of 3320-3325 area below. Once the upper pressure range is broken, the bullish space will expand, and it is not ruled out that it will hit above 3400 and then go down.
In terms of operation, the price falls back and buy on dips in the 3315-20 area, and pay attention to the profit range of 3345-3365 on the upside.
Gold opening market strategy analysis
💡Message Strategy
In the case of all negative non-agricultural data, gold did not fall below the support of 3300, which shows that gold bulls are still the main trend. The current daily pattern of gold is three positives, one negative and one positive. The trend of the opening next Monday is also very important. Once it continues to rise and rebound to break through the suppression, the bulls will open the door to regain the 3400 mark.
At present, the short-term pressure is still maintained at 3345-50, which is also the first point for the bulls to break through. Once the breakthrough is successful, the next target will be around 3365-3370.
📊Technical aspects
From the 4-hour analysis, the support at 3330 is concerned, and the support at 3320 is concerned. The short-term resistance at 3345-50 is concerned, and the suppression at 3365-70 is concerned. The overall low-multiple cycle participation is maintained. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3320-3330,SL:3305,Target: 3370
#GOLD_05.07.2025#COMBINED FRACTAL THEORY WITH ALMAZOV + FIBO CHANEL MANDELBROT FRACTAL
GOLD TREND LINE BREAKOUT + FIBO ZONE FOR PULLBACK, THIRD WAVE PENDING
fibo spiral #ALMAZOV
Fibonacci projection with golden numbers, A. A. Almazov's course, closing of the bearish trend cycle, reaching reversal levels, for longs
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 7/5/2025In my half year review, I expected next half year gold will continue its bullish drive. Overall picture shows a bullish momentum. However, the road is not straight and could be bumpy.
In 2W TF, there is a three drive pattern indicated in the chart with three red arrows. An immediate price drop will follow from this pattern. Therefore, I am expecting the price to drop to 3180 before next take off.
Next week's high is max at 3380 and could drop to 3260. Watch out the daily trading plan for more details next week.
XAUUSD – Clear Sideways Movement in a Narrow Price ChannelXAUUSD is moving within a parallel price channel, fluctuating between the 3,320–3,345 zone. Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are running flat and close together, indicating a balanced market with no strong momentum in either direction.
Recent highs and lows have formed within a narrow range, reflecting indecision from both buyers and sellers. The latest bounce also stalled at the channel resistance, lacking the strength to break out.
As long as price remains below 3,345 and above 3,320, the sideways trend is likely to continue. During this phase, a range-trading strategy is preferred – selling near the top, buying near the bottom – while waiting for a clear breakout to determine the next directional move.
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on July 4:
1. Non-farm data exceeded expectations, gold fell under pressure
The US non-farm payrolls data in June was strong, with 147,000 new jobs (expected 110,000) and the unemployment rate dropped to 4.1% (expected 4.3%), showing that the labor market is still resilient. This data reduced the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates in the short term, leading to a strengthening of the US dollar index and US Treasury yields, and gold was under downward pressure.
Although the wage growth rate (annual rate of 3.7%) was slightly lower than expected, the overall employment data still supported the Fed's wait-and-see attitude, and gold may continue to be suppressed in the short term.
2. Technical analysis: shock adjustment, pay attention to key support and resistance
Daily level:
Gold previously stood on the middle track for three consecutive days, showing that the short-term bullish momentum was strong, but on Thursday, it closed negatively due to the negative impact of non-farm payrolls, forming a K-line with a long lower shadow, indicating that the market still has buying support.
If the 5-day moving average (near 3320) can be maintained today, it may rebound again; if it falls below the support of 3310-3300, it may further pullback.
4-hour level:
Gold is currently oscillating in the 3327-3360 range, 3345-3355 is short-term resistance, and 3310-3300 is key support.
MACD momentum weakened, RSI fell back to the neutral area, if it falls below 3310, it may test the support of 3275-3280.
3. Today's trading strategy
Short-term operation (intraday):
Long at low first, short at high later:
Long near the support level of 3320, target 3340-3350, stop loss below 3310.
Short at the resistance level of 3345-3355, target 3320-3310, stop loss above 3360.
If it falls below 3310, it may further drop to 3300-3280. You can consider shorting the trend.
Mid-term trend:
If the gold price stands above 3360, it may challenge the resistance of 3370-3400.
If it falls below 3300, it may enter a deeper adjustment, with a target of 3275-3250.
4. Market focus
Fed policy expectations: If subsequent economic data (such as CPI, retail sales) continue to be strong, gold may be further under pressure.
Geopolitical risks: The situation in the Middle East and US-EU trade frictions may still provide safe-haven support.
US dollar trend: If the US dollar index continues to strengthen, the upside space of gold will be limited.
Conclusion: Gold will remain volatile and bearish in the short term, and range trading is recommended in terms of operation.
Gold lacks downward momentum.Today, gold is relatively quiet due to the impact of the US Independence Day holiday. Below, we continue to pay attention to the short-term quality layer of 3324. The key pressure above is maintained at yesterday's opening point of 3345-50. At midnight, gold rebounds near 3345-50 and can be shorted. The target is around 3330-33. It closes early at midnight and maintains a range of fluctuations! If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the support of 3324-30 below, focus on the support position of 3316, and pay attention to the short-term resistance of 3345-50 above. At midnight, the overall high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to participate.
Gold Consolidating Ahead of Next Move Gold Consolidating Ahead of Next Move – Is 3390 the Bull Target or a False Breakout Trap?
🧭 Fundamental Outlook
Gold has entered a tight consolidation phase following a wave of high-impact macroeconomic events:
The US House of Representatives has passed Trump's “Super Bill”, raising expectations of increased fiscal spending and long-term inflationary pressures. In theory, this is supportive of gold prices.
However, strong NFP and Unemployment Rate figures released recently have reinforced dollar strength in the short term, suggesting the Fed may delay rate cuts → a temporary headwind for gold.
With Independence Day in the US, liquidity across global markets is expected to drop, increasing the risk of false moves or stop-hunt volatility.
🟡 The lack of immediate upside doesn’t mean bullish momentum has disappeared. Price may simply be building energy before its next leg.
📉 Technical Overview – XAU/USD
Gold has broken out of a minor descending trendline and is now testing a key supply zone around 3344–3345, which could determine the intraday trajectory.
🔍 Key Levels
Resistance Zones: 3345 – 3362 – 3374 – 3388 – 3390
Support Zones: 3330 – 3312 – 3304 – 3302 – 3298
🟢 Bullish Scenarios (Buy Setups)
📍 Intraday Buy Zone:
3313 – 3311
Stop Loss: 3307
Take Profit: 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350
📍 Deep Pullback Buy Zone:
3304 – 3302
Stop Loss: 3298
Take Profit: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340
These zones are ideal for trend-continuation entries, especially if supported by bullish candles or price action on lower timeframes.
🔴 Bearish Scenarios (Short-Term Only)
📍 Intraday Sell Zone:
3362 – 3364
Stop Loss: 3368
Take Profit: 3358 – 3354 – 3350 – 3346 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330
📍 High-Risk Sell Zone:
3388 – 3390
Stop Loss: 3394
Take Profit: 3384 – 3380 – 3376 – 3370 – 3365 – 3360
Bearish positions should be reserved for signs of exhaustion or rejection patterns at resistance levels.
🧠 Trading Bias for Today
With limited liquidity due to the US holiday, price may remain trapped in a sideways range between 3320 and 3340. Traders should stay nimble and avoid overexposure.
✅ Primary bias: Buy dips near major support
⚠️ Alternative view: Only short if price confirms reversal at resistance
💬 What’s Your Take on Gold Today?
Will gold break through the 3390 barrier this week?
Or are we looking at one more dip before a true bullish continuation?
👇 Share your thoughts and trading ideas in the comments!
Excellent NFP sessionAs discussed throughout yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is Trading within #3,350's belt which represents crossroads for the Short-term. Either #3,362.80 - #3,368.80 break-out to the upside towards #3,377.80 strong Resistance, or #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 break-out to the downside towards #3,327.80 Support. Current Price-action is ideal for Scalping since I don't expect major movement until tomorrow's NFP numbers."
Firstly I have re-Sold Gold almost all Wednesday's Asian session from #3,360's (Wednesday - Thursday) closing my orders on #3,352.80 then re-Bought Gold with set of aggressive Scalping orders from #3,345.80 towards #3,352.80. As NFP numbers were delivered, I have waited for decline to find a Support and Bought Gold aggressively from #3,312.80 and closed on #3,320.80. Later on, #3,332.80 Sold again (#4 aggressive Scalps) and closed on #3,327.80 and with mentioned order finalized excellent NFP session.
Technical analysis: The Short-term Price-action is Trading within #3,327.80 - #3,352.80 belt as I can easily spot idle movements on Hourly 4 chart with #3,327.80 Support bounces but regardless, Gold is Trading within my predicted values. Spot though on the Hourly 4 chart how Technicals are showcasing different / mixed values, and Gold is isolated within Neutral Rectangle with detectable Higher Low’s Upper and Lower zone. This is what I described on my commentary as an Bearish Divergence (BD) and is usually a first alert that the trend might be pointing to even stronger takedown. See how the very same divergence has Traded since November - April. On the November #12 Low, the Price-action started rising on an Ascending Channel but only once the structure formed a new Low. Then again after mentioned Low’s, Gold started rising until the next Bullish Divergence (which means, after local Low's tested, Gold engaged parabolic uptrend). I am monitoring closely #MA50 on Daily chart which is pointer for new #1 - #3 Month cycle.
My position: I will take no new orders as I am Highly satisfied with my returns / also it is holiday in U.S. as I do not expect major moves throughout the session (only ranging candles with Low Volume). Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!