After continuous decline, oversold rebound opportunity.Last week, gold showed a trend of rising and falling. The weekly line closed with an inverted hammer and a long upper shadow, continuing the cross-line pattern of the previous week. The short-term rise was obviously blocked. Although the trend line connecting the daily lows of 3247-3282-3309 has been substantially broken, it may continue to fall after testing and sorting. In the short term, we need to focus on the 3348 suppression level and the 3324 support level. If they fall below, they may fall to the 3300/3285 support area. From the current trend, the overall bearish and lack of rebound momentum, the weak pattern may continue, and only when the price falls to a specific position to complete the bottoming will it attract entry.
Therefore, it is recommended to maintain a bearish mindset. The hourly line shows that the long and short conversions are relatively frequent. The upward trend channel was maintained in the first three days, but all gains were given up in the next two days and the downward channel was rebuilt. Given that both the 4-hour and daily lines have fallen below the key support level, 3348 has become the key point for today's bearishness, and it is necessary to change the mindset in time and go short.
CFDGOLD trade ideas
XAUUSDXAU/USD Trade Analysis – buy Setup
📍 Trade Idea: buy Gold (XAU/USD)
Entry Zone: 3338/3336
Stop Loss: 3326..00/Above key resistance zone)
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 TP1: 3345
🎯 TP2: 3350
🎯 TP3: 3360
Targets are set conservatively and progressively at 3345, 3350, and 3360, capturing potential resistance zones and allowing partial exits to secure profits while maintaining upward exposure. This tiered approach to take-profit targets allows the trader to manage risk effectively and maximize gains from momentum continuation.
Gold remains fundamentally strong amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions and expectations of dovish monetary policy from central banks. These macroeconomic drivers often lead investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold, further supporting a bullish bias.
July 28, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Price action remains weak after last week's bearish close, with 3440 acting as a clear resistance level. While bulls have lost momentum, bears have not yet taken full control — 3310 and 3283 are key support zones to watch.
Price is currently reacting near 3339,
• Above 3345, the plan is to buy on pullbacks.
• Below 3332, switch to selling rallies.
Expect a potential bounce after the recent sharp decline from 3420 to 3385, but stay cautious near resistance zones like 3385–3400, as consolidation or rejection may occur.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3384 – Resistance
• 3375 – Key resistance
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3345 – Intraday key resistance
• 3325 – Intraday key support
• 3310 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological level
• 3283 – Critical support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3332 → target 3325, then 3320, 3310, 3300
• BUY if price holds above 3345 → target 3350, then 3365, 3375, 3384
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
Gold Trading Strategy Reference On Monday✅ Gold Market Weekly Summary
Gold prices experienced significant volatility this week and ultimately closed lower on the weekly chart, failing to hold above the key $3400 level. Although the price briefly achieved a bullish breakout earlier in the week, the rally lacked follow-through, indicating weak bullish momentum and growing market indecision from a technical perspective.
✅ Detailed Review
Gold surged by 2.4% in the first two trading days of the week, but gave back nearly 3% over the last three sessions. The reversal was primarily driven by renewed optimism surrounding trade negotiations led by former President Trump, which boosted risk appetite and dampened safe-haven demand for gold.
✅ Outlook for Next Week
Investors will closely monitor the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting scheduled for July 29–30. Market expectations suggest an extremely low probability of a rate cut during this meeting, with the likelihood of holding rates steady in September rising to approximately 40%, up sharply from around 10% a month ago.
✅ If Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlights progress in trade agreements as a reduction in economic uncertainty—thereby leaving the door open for a September rate cut—U.S. Treasury yields may fall sharply, potentially boosting gold prices. Conversely, if Powell cites rising inflation data and avoids signaling any easing at the next meeting, gold may come under renewed pressure.
✅ Technical Analysis
Gold suffered a sharp decline on Friday, breaking below the key 4-hour trendline support at the $3335 level, which we previously identified. This triggered renewed bearish momentum, and the current price action reflects a clear downtrend. Unless a firm bottom is established, the bearish trend is likely to continue.
✅ Hourly Chart Structure
Volatility between bulls and bears was apparent this week. The price followed an ascending channel during the first half of the week but reversed sharply in the latter half, erasing gains and forming a new descending channel. The $3350 level now acts as a critical pivot point and will serve as the key resistance level for bearish strategies next week.
✅ Conclusion
Given that both the 4-hour and daily charts have broken major support levels, the outlook has shifted from a mildly bullish consolidation to a trend-following bearish stance.
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 Entry: Consider initiating short positions around the $3350 level
⛔ Stop-Loss: Place stops above $3360
🔰 Targets: Initial target at $3325; if broken, look for further downside toward the $3310 area
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
Blueprint to Becoming a Successful Gold Trader in 2025🚀 Blueprint to Becoming a Successful Gold Trader in 2025
A strategic, step-by-step plan to master gold trading by combining institutional concepts, cutting-edge automation, and the best prop funding opportunities for XAUUSD.
________________________________________
🏦 Broker Selection (Gold-Specific)
• 🔍 Choose Brokers Offering Raw Spread XAUUSD Accounts:
Seek brokers with raw/zero spread gold trading or tight gold spreads (0.10-0.30 average) with deep liquidity.
• ⚡ Prioritize Ultra-Fast Execution for Metals:
Confirm broker servers are in NY4/LD4 and latency is optimized for gold volatility spikes.
• 🛡️ Verify Regulation & Execution:
ASIC, FCA, FSCA preferred; check for proof of XAUUSD execution quality (Myfxbook/FXBlue verified).
• 📊 MetaTrader 4/5 Gold Support:
Ensure MT4/5 platform offers tick-chart precision for gold and supports custom EAs/indicators.
• 💳 Flexible Withdrawals/Payouts:
Crypto, Wise, and Revolut compatibility for fast, secure funding.
________________________________________
🎯 Gold Trading Strategy (ICT + Supply/Demand Zones)
• 🧠 Master Gold-Adapted ICT Concepts:
o Liquidity runs and stops at London/NY session highs/lows
o XAUUSD-specific Order Blocks (OBs), FVGs, and Market Structure Breaks (MSB)
• 📍 Map Institutional Supply-Demand Zones:
Gold reacts violently to these—align SD zones with ICT Order Blocks for best confluence.
• 📐 Precision Entries:
Only enter after liquidity sweeps at key XAUUSD levels (H4/D1), avoiding choppy retail entries.
• 📈 Time & Price for XAUUSD:
Focus exclusively on London Open (8:00 GMT) and NY Open/Gold Fixing (13:20 GMT)—peak volatility windows.
• 📆 Weekly Preparation:
Annotate D1/H4 gold charts every Sunday with clear OBs, liquidity points, and SD zones for the week.
________________________________________
💰 Prop Funding for Gold Trading
• 🥇 Select Firms Offering XAUUSD with Tight Rules:
Choose FTMO, The Funded Trader, MyFundedFX, or similar with high leverage and XAUUSD trading enabled.
• 📑 Pass Evaluation with Gold-Only Strategy:
Use high-probability, low-frequency XAUUSD trades—1-3 setups per week, strict risk parameters.
• 🎯 Risk Management:
Max 1% risk/trade, stop trading after 2 consecutive losses—protect account and pass evaluations.
• 📊 Analytics Monitoring:
Use prop dashboards (FTMO Metrics, FundedNext stats) to review XAUUSD trade stats and adjust.
• 📚 Diversify Funded Accounts:
Split funded capital among multiple firms to hedge against firm-specific risk and maximize payouts.
________________________________________
⚙️ Automating Gold Trading (MT4/5 EAs & Bots)
• 🛠️ Hire MQL4/5 Developers for XAUUSD EAs:
Code bots focused on gold-specific ICT (OBs, FVGs, London/NY volatility).
• 🤖 Develop EAs for Gold:
o OB/FVG/Market Structure detection on XAUUSD
o Supply/Demand zone algo entries
o Gold breakout EAs for session openings
• 📌 Trade Management Automation:
o Entry, stop loss, partial TP, BE, trailing for gold’s high volatility
o Dynamic lot-sizing by daily ATR
• 📡 VPS Hosting Near Broker’s Gold Server:
Use NY4/LD4 VPS for lowest latency (ForexVPS, Beeks).
• 📈 Quarterly Forward-Testing:
Optimize EAs in demo before live trading, retest on every major gold volatility shift (FOMC, CPI).
________________________________________
📲 Leveraging Bots & AI in 2025
• 📊 Integrate with MT4/5 Analytics Tools:
Use myfxbook, QuantAnalyzer for detailed gold trade breakdowns.
• 🔮 AI-Based Gold Forecasting:
Layer in machine learning models (e.g., TensorTrade, TradingView AI) to anticipate session volatility and direction.
• 🔔 Real-Time Alert Bots:
Set up Telegram/Discord bots for instant notification of ICT-based XAUUSD signals.
• 🧑💻 Manual Oversight:
Always review high-impact news (NFP, CPI, FOMC) and override automation when macro risk spikes.
• 🔄 Continuous Bot Updates:
Retrain your EAs monthly on latest XAUUSD price action to maintain edge.
________________________________________
🗓️ Daily Gold Trader Routine
• 🌅 Pre-Session (30 mins):
Review annotated gold charts, key session highs/lows, OB/FVG/SD levels, and upcoming news.
• 💻 During Session:
Monitor bot execution, validate setups manually, manage risk during NY/London overlap.
• 📝 Post-Session (15 mins):
Journal gold trades, note reasoning for entry/exit, emotional state, and lessons learned.
• 📆 Weekly Review:
Assess overall gold trading stats and EA performance, adjust strategy as needed.
• 📚 Continuous Learning:
Stay updated on ICT, gold market fundamentals, and new trading tech.
________________________________________
📌 Final Success Advice for 2025
• 🔍 Specialize in XAUUSD/Gold—Don’t Diversify Randomly:
Depth > Breadth—become a true gold trading expert.
• 🚩 Keep Adapting Your Gold Trading EAs:
Markets change—so must your bots and playbooks.
• 🧘 Stay Patient, Disciplined, and Selective:
Gold rewards precision and patience, not overtrading.
• 💡 Embrace AI & Automation:
Leverage every tool: AI, analytics, and custom EAs for a real 2025 trading edge.
XAUUSD LIVE OUTLOOK – JULY 23, 2025Good evening, traders—let’s get this right, no mistakes. Gold hit 3,438, then pulled back and found support exactly in the 3,380–3,390 zone. Here’s your precise update:
🔸 HTF OVERVIEW (H4 → H1)
New High & Liquidity Sweep: A clean breakout to 3,438 invalidated every old supply.
Primary Demand: Price settled into the 3,380–3,390 H4 order block (untested FVG beneath). H1 confirms this blue zone as the critical buy area.
Invalidated Supply: No valid sell zones until we carve fresh structure above 3,438.
🔹 LTF PRECISION (M30 → M15)
M30 Flow: Spike to 3,438, then instant drop into 3,380–3,390. Volume spiked on the decline, then eased as price held.
M15 Structure: Inside 3,380–3,390, watch for a clean BOS above 3,395—that’s your bull‑bear pivot. Until then, this zone is the edge of the knife.
🎯 KEY ZONES & TRIGGERS
Buy Zone #1 (Live): 3,380–3,390
Confluence: H4 order block + unfilled FVG + H1 swing low
Trigger: M15 BOS above 3,395 and retest.
Buy Zone #2 (Backup): 3,350–3,360
For a deeper pullback—untested H4 demand.
Sell Zone: 3,420–3,438
Confluence: unfilled H4 FVG + premium supply
Fade only on clear M15 rejection (pin‑bar/engulf).
Decision Pivot: 3,395
Above = bullish continuation; below = stand aside.
➡️ ACTION PLAN
Longs: Enter on M15 close above 3,395 and retest; targets at 3,420 then 3,438.
Shorts: Only on rally into 3,420–3,438 with a decisive rejection candle.
Invalidation: A sustained break below 3,380 warns of a deeper flush toward 3,350–3,360.
🚀 CALL TO ACTION
If this nailed your edge, smash that Like, Follow @GoldFxMinds for daily sniper updates, and Boost this post so your fellow traders don’t miss these live levels! Drop a 🔥 if you’re ready to strike the next move.
Disclosure: I’m part of TradeNation’s Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their chart feed.
— GoldFxMinds
Gold (XAU/USD) in Symmetrical Triangle – Short‑Term Squeeze,Price Structure & Technical Setup
Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, showing lower highs and higher lows—a classic precursor to breakout in either direction
Fxglory Ltd
+5
TradingView
+5
Babypips.com
+5
TradingView
+2
Babypips.com
+2
TradingView
+2
.
Trendlines converge tightly around $3,326–$3,334, hinting at imminent directional acceleration
Investopedia
+4
TradingView
+4
TradingView
+4
.
🎯 Key Levels & Targets
Scenario Trigger Confirm Area Targets Stop Loss
Bullish Breakout above $3,344–$3,350 $3,369 → $3,396 → $3,422–$3,550 ~$3,340
Bearish Breakdown below ~$3,326–$3,320 $3,320 → $3,300 → $3,297 → $3,255 ~$3,335–$3,340
A breakout above $3,344–$3,350 validated with volume may drive prices toward $3,400+, with extended targets up to $3,550 or higher in bullish conditions
Traders Union
Time Price Research
.
A drop below $3,326–$3,320 risks further decline, targeting $3,300, $3,297, and eventually $3,255 if breakdown momentum builds .
📉 Market Context & Drivers
U.S. dollar strength, easing safe-haven demand, and optimistic trade sentiment are constraining gold’s upside unless breakout forces emerge .
Key upcoming catalysts: FOMC guidance, U.S. macro data (GDP, inflation), and geopolitical developments—their tone could tip the bias direction .
⚙️ Trade Rules & Risk Management
Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown—do not trade mid-range.
Confirm break with at least one close outside the triangle and rising volume .
Position sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade, adjust stop-loss to price structure ($8–$15 depending on volatility).
Take profits in stages: scale out at minor milestones (first targets), trail stop for extended targets.
Avoid chasing price within the middle of the triangle—risk/reward is unfavorable.
🧠 Why This Plan?
Follows textbook symmetrical triangle trading methodology: entry on breakout, stop beyond pattern opposite side, projection based on triangle height .
Aligns with broader outlook: bearish unless convincing upside breakout appears, consistent with analyst consensus hedging current bull exhaustion and wait‑and‑see on policy signals .
✅ Summary
Gold is coiling inside a tight triangle range near $3,326–$3,334, with breakout potential identified to either side:
Bullish breakout over $3,344–$3,350 targets up to $3,550 or beyond.
Bearish breakdown under $3,326–$3,320 risks slide towards $3,300–$3,255.
Wait for confirmation, apply disciplined risk controls, and let volume validate the move.
Gold long: Completion of Cycle degree Wave 4Hello, in this video, I go through Gold Elliott Wave structure on a cycle level (again) before zooming in on the latest 5-waves structure that is Cycle level wave 4. I talk about using existing broken trendlines and how that allows me to determine the strength of a move when there are false breakouts, whether to the upside or the downside.
Lastly, I discuss on how to trade this on the short-term using lower timeframe and price action. Most importantly, where to set the stop and the rationale for it.
Good luck!
GOLD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello, Traders!
GOLD surged up sharply
On Friday and is already
Retesting the horizontal
Resistance of 3377$
From where we will be
Expecting a local pullback
On Monday as Gold
Is locally overbought
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Is the uptrend complete? Will there be a pullback?On the last trading day of this week, gold prices soared, rising nearly $56, driven by the non-farm payroll data. The rally began at 3300 and peaked near 3356. The price has now retreated slightly, fluctuating around 3345.
The current uptrend has repeatedly tested the resistance level near 3355 but has failed to break through. The RSI indicator hovered around 76.8, indicating a gradual flattening of the upward trend. The 3355 high is likely the end of this uptrend.
As this is the last day of a major data week, Quaid believes the current uptrend is complete. Consider a light short position around 3350-3355. The current low has yet to be confirmed, and the pullback is likely to end around 3335.
However, we cannot rule out the possibility that the price will remain within the upward channel with slight fluctuations on the last trading day of the week.
Gold Price Target: 3380-3400+, Set a Trailing StopGold Price Target: 3380-3400+, Set a Trailing Stop
As shown in Figure 4h:
Gold finally rallied this weekend.
Despite recent heavy losses for long positions, the past two days have been encouraging.
We ultimately managed to successfully buy the dip in the 3280-3300 range and recover all our losses.
Gold prices continue to rise, and everyone is asking if it's time to sell.
Now is the critical time to exit.
We must acknowledge one fact:
Gold currently presents a huge opportunity.
Of course, the risks are also increasing.
At times like these, I always emphasize that the best approach is to set a 10-point trailing stop.
Even if gold prices soar, we can move with them.
This non-farm payroll data was a huge disappointment.
It was a truly positive surprise for gold.
The market expected 110,000 new jobs, but the result was a disappointing 73,000, a decrease of half from the previous month.
The market went into a tizzy after the outperformance. But even more shocking news is yet to come: Non-farm payrolls for May and June were revised downward by a combined 258,000.
This means the June gain was revised downward from 140,000 to 14,000.
The May gain was abruptly revised downward from 140,000 to 19,000.
The strong data of the past two months was completely false.
Market followers have become the "clowns" of the Fed and Trump.
Now you understand why everyone praised Powell's hawkish speech two days ago.
Because Powell said: "Only if there is a severe decline in employment will we consider cutting interest rates."
Just this Wednesday, some good non-farm payroll data was released.
This undoubtedly gave the market a false impression.
Everyone believed that a rate cut was impossible, and the probability of a September cut had dropped to 40%.
However, today's poor non-farm payroll data, combined with revisions to May and June data, revealed the truth.
The job market has been dismal over the past quarter.
The market reacted quickly, and gold prices soared on this sentiment.
My advice is to buy gold at a low price and hold on.
For investors who have successfully bought in the 3280-3300 level in recent days, I recommend setting a 10-15 pip trailing stop-loss.
Gold prices are likely to continue their upward trend next Monday.
Our next target is above 3380-3400 points.
NFP data is positive, the bullish trend remains unchanged#XAUUSD
The current market, influenced by data such as NFP, remains bullish, even briefly pushing towards the 4H upper limit of 3350, reaching a high near 3354.📈
In the short term, gold still has upward momentum and could even reach the previous high resistance level near 3375.🐂
Currently, gold is undergoing a technical correction and needs to begin a pullback to accumulate more bullish momentum, giving traders who previously missed the opportunity to get on board.🚀
As resistance continues to rise, support below will also rise. 📊If gold retreats below 3335-3315, consider going long.📈
🚀 SELL 3335-3315
🚀 TP 3350-3375
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis:Gold remains in a downward trend and is currently moving sideways in a consolidation phase in the short term. The bearish outlook still dominates, with a potential move toward levels like $3,245.
1️⃣ A break and close below $3,276 may trigger a drop toward the strong support zone at $3,245.
2️⃣ However, if bullish momentum pushes the price above $3,310, this opens the path toward $3,330, a key level where a bearish rejection might occur.
📈 If the price holds above $3,330, a continuation toward $3,350 becomes likely.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
Gold: final pullback or bull trap?On the 1H chart, gold (GOLD) is forming a bullish flag after a sharp decline, which may just be a corrective move within a broader downtrend. The price is now approaching the key resistance zone around $3313–$3317 - this area holds the POC, broken trendline, and the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci retracement from the last drop. This is the decision-making zone.
If bulls fail to push above it, we expect a move down toward $3268 - the next strong support and potential buy zone, also confirmed by Fibonacci and local demand. Stochastic divergence and slowing volume suggest a possible rebound from that level. However, if the price breaks and holds above $3317, this would indicate a local trend reversal, with targets at $3333 and $3374.
Watch the $3317 zone closely - bulls have yet to prove this is more than just a bounce.
Non-farm payrolls are coming. Will it trigger the market?On Thursday, the US dollar index briefly rallied after the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation indicator unexpectedly rebounded, crossing the 100 mark for the first time in two months. This marked the sixth consecutive trading day of gains and the first monthly gain since 2025.
Spot gold rebounded as risk aversion lingered amid uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff deadline, reaching a high of around $3,315, but its intraday gains narrowed after the release of the PCE data.
The dollar has already firmly established itself above the 100 mark on the daily chart, so the next target is likely to be between 101.5 and 102.0. Currently, support levels on the daily chart are visible at 99.5 and 99.0.
The gold market is currently consolidating in the 3315-3275 range. However, if the dollar rises again, Quaid believes gold prices could fall below 3275.
On the daily chart, if it falls below 3275, the price would likely be around 3250. If 3250 falls below, the market could test 3200. However, the possibility of a consolidation between 3315 and 3275 remains undisputed.
Before the release of the non-farm payroll data, scalping within this consolidation range is advisable. However, the risk is relatively high, so please take profits in time.
Will gold prices continue to fall on August 1st?
Core Logic Analysis
Negative factors dominate
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance: keeping interest rates unchanged and Powell suppressing expectations of a rate cut have weakened gold's safe-haven appeal.
Strong economic data: ADP employment data exceeded expectations, and coupled with the upcoming PCE and non-farm payroll data, market expectations of an early Fed rate cut have cooled.
Technical Breakdown: Gold prices fell below the key support level of $3,300, hitting a new monthly low. A large weekly bearish candlestick chart indicates bearish dominance.
Key Support and Resistance
Resistance: 3315 (hourly rebound resistance), 3333 (previous high and daily resistance).
Support: 3280-3290 (short-term), 3250-3245 (strong monthly support).
Potential Risks
Unexpectedly weak non-farm payroll data or escalating geopolitical tensions could trigger a short-term rebound, but a break above 3330 is required to reverse the downward trend.
Today's Trading Strategy
Short-Term Trading
Primarily short at highs: Short lightly on a rebound to 3310-3315, stop loss at 3325, target 3290-3280.
Aggressive Short: Add to short positions if the price reaches 3330-3333, stop loss at 3340, target 3280.
Cautious Long: Try a long position on the first touch of 3250-3245, stop loss at 3235, target 3270-3280 (quick in and out).
Mid-term Strategy
If the monthly line closes below 3250, shorting at high levels can be continued in August, targeting the 3150-3100 range.
If the gold price rebounds above 3350 after the non-farm payrolls, the trend needs to be reassessed.
Events to Watch
Data:
Non-farm payroll report on Friday (if the data exceeds expectations, gold prices may fall further).
US June PCE Price Index (Federal Reserve inflation indicator).
Technical Signal:
A daily close below 3250 would confirm a medium-term downtrend.
Observe the recapture of the 3300 level, which serves as a dividing line between bulls and bears.
Summary
Gold is currently in a bearish phase. Prioritize shorting on rallies, but be wary of unexpected data fluctuations. If the mid-line breaks below 3250, the market could target the 3000-3100 range. Conversely, if it holds above 3330, strategy adjustments will be necessary. Strictly stop loss and control risks.
XAUUSD GOLD The XAUUSD Gold price is approaching our target zone, where it will find strong support in EMA 100 if it does not comply with LSOB in small timeframes. In the 4H timeframe, the price has been making lower lows so far, so I recommend waiting a little and entering based on the daily timeframe from the lower zone.