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CFDGOLD trade ideas

GOLD Will Grow! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 3,281.18. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,396.94 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
Bullish TiqGPT setup todayMARKET NARRATIVE: Analyzing the Gold Spot (XAUUSD) across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent pattern of recovery from a recent downtrend. The 1D chart shows a series of declining peaks, but recent candles indicate a potential reversal or pullback. The 4H and 1H charts confirm this with a clear recovery from the lows, suggesting a shift in market sentiment. The 15m, 5m, and 1m charts show a more granular view of this recovery, with price action forming higher lows and higher highs, indicative of a short-term bullish momentum. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in a phase of accumulation after a significant sell-off, targeting liquidity above previous highs to trap late bearish entries. The recent bullish candles across lower timeframes suggest an engineered push to create a bullish sentiment, likely to induce retail traders into the market before a potential larger move. LEARNING POINT: "1H and 4H show recovery with potential liquidity sweeps above recent highs indicating a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment." SIGNAL: WAIT SYMBOL: XAUUSD ENTRY PRICE: $3,290.25 STOP LOSS: $3,280.00 (just below the recent swing low on the 15m chart) TARGET PRICE: $3,310.00 (near the previous high on the 1H chart) CONDITION: Buy limit order at $3,290.25 after confirming a bullish continuation pattern on the 15m chart. **RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.9 (Risk=**0.25, Reward=**9.75) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters. Market Structure: Recovery from lows on higher timeframes with higher lows and higher highs on lower timeframes. Momentum: Bullish candles forming consistently across multiple timeframes. Liquidity: Targeting stops above $3,300, a psychological resistance and previous high. Strategies Used: Multi-timeframe recovery analysis, liquidity targeting above recent highs. URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (based on current bullish momentum and institutional activity) **RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$10.25, Reward=$19.75, Ratio=1:1.9 (Below 2:1 minimum) RISK/REWARD CALCULATION: Risk = Entry Price - Stop Loss = $3,290.25 - $3,280.00 = $10.25 Reward = Target Price - Entry Price = $3,310.00 - $3,290.25 = $19.75 Ratio = Reward ÷ Risk = $19.75 ÷ $10.25 ≈ 1.93 FINAL DECISION: WAIT The calculated risk/reward ratio is slightly below the minimum threshold of 2:1. Therefore, while the setup shows bullish potential, the current positioning does not offer sufficient reward relative to the risk. Awaiting a better entry point or adjustment in stop loss/target prices could enhance the trade's viability.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Mistermoriarty
XAUUSD Analysis – June Monthly CloseGold starts the week with a weak bounce attempt after a strong bearish momentum on Friday, which pushed the market below the key 3254 support. The downtrend structure remains valid with a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows on the 4H chart. At the moment, price is trapped inside the 3254–3295 range. Despite the strong bearish pressure, we have yet to see a meaningful correction after the sharp drop on June 28th. This opens the door for a potential intraday pullback to test minor supply and moving average resistance near 3291–3297. However, today is monthly candle close, which means increased volatility and possible false breakouts—especially during US sessions. Traders should be cautious with breakout traps, especially around 3305–3310, where stop hunting might occur. The bigger picture still favors the bears unless gold manages to break and hold above the descending trendline and the EMA cluster. 📌 Trade Setup (Short Bias – Intraday Correction) SELL zone: 3291 – 3297 SL: 3303 (Above supply & EMA test zone) TP1: 3278 TP2: 3255 TP3: 3215 This is not a high-conviction swing setup but a tactical short based on potential rejection from previous supply and dynamic resistance. Small lot size is recommended due to the wider stop-loss and low R/R reward unless high volatility plays in our favor. 📊 Key Intraday Levels R3: 3342 R2: 3322 R1: 3295 Pivot: 3254 S1: 3214 S2: 3180 S3: 3123
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AbsoluteWillid
Market next target 🟥 Disrupted (Bearish or Cautious) Analysis: 1. Failed Bullish Attempt Risk While a bounce from the support zone (~3,260 USD) is visible, the momentum lacks strong bullish confirmation. The rejection from the support area could be a dead-cat bounce, especially since the overall trend leading into this zone was sharply downward. 2. Volume Divergence The volume spike on the large red candle suggests heavy selling pressure, not accumulation. The weak follow-up volume on the minor green recovery bars indicates a lack of buyer confidence. 3. False Breakout Possibility If price does push toward the “Target” or even the “Resistance” zone (3,290–3,310), it might be a bull trap, luring late buyers in before a reversal back downward. 4. Bearish Continuation Scenario Price may retest the support zone (3,260) again. If this support breaks decisively, it could trigger a strong sell-off, with potential to test lower zones around 3,240 or even 3,200.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Big changes begin. Dominant trend?Event summary: The United States passed the Big and Beautiful Act; how to get this part of the tax after the massive tax cut? Then it can only be obtained through other means, and the tariff war initiated by Trump is one of them. At the same time, the bill will increase the federal debt by trillions of dollars, further widening the gap between the rich and the poor. Immediately after the bill was signed and took effect, Musk announced the establishment of the "American Party". He wrote: We live in a one-party state, not a democratic country. Today, the American Party is established to return your freedom to you. At the same time, Musk posted on July 6, when and where should we hold the first congress of the "American Party"? This will be very interesting. This event is likely to support the trend change of gold bulls in the short term. Market analysis: From the daily chart, after bottoming out and rebounding this week, the weekly line closed higher, and there is still upward momentum next week; short-term focus on the pressure of the 3345-3365 range, which is likely to become a key area for long and short competition. Before breaking upward, focus on the high and fall. Pay attention to the support rebound of 3320-3325 area below. Once the upper pressure range is broken, the bullish space will expand, and it is not ruled out that it will hit above 3400 and then go down. In terms of operation, the price falls back and buy on dips in the 3315-20 area, and pay attention to the profit range of 3345-3365 on the upside.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
Gold opening market strategy analysis 💡Message Strategy In the case of all negative non-agricultural data, gold did not fall below the support of 3300, which shows that gold bulls are still the main trend. The current daily pattern of gold is three positives, one negative and one positive. The trend of the opening next Monday is also very important. Once it continues to rise and rebound to break through the suppression, the bulls will open the door to regain the 3400 mark. At present, the short-term pressure is still maintained at 3345-50, which is also the first point for the bulls to break through. Once the breakthrough is successful, the next target will be around 3365-3370. 📊Technical aspects From the 4-hour analysis, the support at 3330 is concerned, and the support at 3320 is concerned. The short-term resistance at 3345-50 is concerned, and the suppression at 3365-70 is concerned. The overall low-multiple cycle participation is maintained. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3320-3330，SL：3305，Target: 3370
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
WEEK PLAN|Will This Gold Rally Collapse Into a Liquidity Trap ? Gold remains trapped between high-liquidity resistance and a strong order block below. While short-term bullish structure is forming, the weekly outlook remains complex due to upcoming high-impact events from the Fed and US labour data. Expect volatility and traps in both directions. 🧠 Fundamental Context FOMC Meeting Minutes (Wed 9 July): Market will look for rate cut clues. Unemployment Claims (Thu 10 July): A stronger labour market = stronger USD = bearish for gold. FOMC Member Waller Speaks (Thu 10 July): Any hawkish tone could cap gold upside. 📊 Key Zones Zone Role Notes 3,387 – 3,439 Sell Zone High liquidity, weak highs, ideal reversal trap 3,240 – 3,260 Buy Zone Strong OB, liquidity sweep, aligned with trendline support 3,365 Weekly High May reject or break based on macro catalyst 🛠️ Trade Setups (Entry Zones as Requested) ✅ 1. BUY GOLD Entry: 3,346 – 3,344 Stop Loss: 3,340 TP1: 3,356 TP2: 3,366 TP3: 3,376+ (Open Target) Rationale: Scalping long off micro demand, aiming for a short-term spike above liquidity. ✅ 2. BUY GOLD SCALPING Entry: 3,291 – 3,289 Stop Loss: 3,285 TP1: 3,299 TP2: 3,310 TP3: 3,320+ (Open Target) Rationale: Buy on breakout momentum before hitting higher sell-side zones. ✅ 3. SELL GOLD Entry: 3,389 – 3,391 Stop Loss: 3,396 TP1: 3,381 TP2: 3,371 TP3: 3,361 (Open Target) Rationale: Fade the breakout — fakeout zone targeting liquidity void beneath. ✅ 4. SELL GOLD Entry: 3,349 – 3,351 Stop Loss: 3,355 TP1: 3,339 TP2: 3,329 TP3: 3,319 (Open Target) Rationale: Short off weak rally, playing potential rejection near intraday high. 📅 This Week’s Events Date Event Likely Impact 9 July FOMC Minutes Fed tone → volatility spike 10 July Jobless Claims (233K) Strong number = gold downside 10 July FOMC Waller Speech Additional risk-on/risk-off flows ⚠️ Trading Strategy Use H1–H4 confirmations (CHoCH, BOS, FVG) before entries. Avoid entries 1h before and after red news. Focus on 3,260–3,439 range as key decision area for the week.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 7/5/2025In my half year review, I expected next half year gold will continue its bullish drive. Overall picture shows a bullish momentum. However, the road is not straight and could be bumpy. In 2W TF, there is a three drive pattern indicated in the chart with three red arrows. An immediate price drop will follow from this pattern. Therefore, I am expecting the price to drop to 3180 before next take off. Next week's high is max at 3380 and could drop to 3260. Watch out the daily trading plan for more details next week.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SteadyFund
XAUUSD – Clear Sideways Movement in a Narrow Price ChannelXAUUSD is moving within a parallel price channel, fluctuating between the 3,320–3,345 zone. Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are running flat and close together, indicating a balanced market with no strong momentum in either direction. Recent highs and lows have formed within a narrow range, reflecting indecision from both buyers and sellers. The latest bounce also stalled at the channel resistance, lacking the strength to break out. As long as price remains below 3,345 and above 3,320, the sideways trend is likely to continue. During this phase, a range-trading strategy is preferred – selling near the top, buying near the bottom – while waiting for a clear breakout to determine the next directional move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Rocky_trade_
Analysis of the latest gold trend next week: Analysis of gold news: Friday (July 4) coincided with the US Independence Day holiday, and gold prices were in a narrow range of fluctuations. Strong employment data not only pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields, but also significantly weakened the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's early rate cuts, which greatly reduced the attractiveness of gold. At the same time, the US Congress passed the Trump administration's massive tax cut and spending bill, further injecting complex variables into the economy. There will be no key data to watch today. Due to the US Independence Day, all markets will close early, which will limit the fluctuation range of gold prices. Key technical signals: Daily level: Range fluctuations: Gold prices repeatedly tested in the 3320-3360 range, the Bollinger band narrowed, and the MACD kinetic energy column shrank, indicating that the market was in a wait-and-see mood. Key support/resistance: Support: 3320 (5-day moving average), 3300 (psychological barrier + Bollinger lower track). Resistance: 3350-3360 (non-agricultural starting point + daily middle track). 4-hour level: Short-term bottoming signs: After the non-agricultural data, the gold price fell to 3322 and then rebounded, forming a double bottom prototype, but it needs to break through 3350 to confirm the reversal. RSI is neutral (around 50) and may maintain a narrow range of fluctuations in the short term. 2. Next week's market deduction 1. Baseline scenario (oscillation and consolidation, 60% probability) Trend: The gold price fluctuates in the 3320-3360 range, waiting for CPI data to guide the direction. Operation strategy: Short-term high-sell and low-buy: Long order: Long at around 3320-3325, stop loss 3305, target 3350. Short order: Short at 3350-3360 under pressure, stop loss 3370, target 3320. 2. Bullish breakthrough scenario (30% probability, CPI data required) Trigger conditions: CPI is lower than expected (such as below 3.2%), the market re-bets on interest rate cuts, and the US dollar weakens. Trend: After breaking through 3360, it may test 3380 (200-day moving average) or even 3400. Operation strategy: Break through and chase long: Follow up after stabilizing 3360, target 3380-3400. 3. Bearish breakout scenario (10% probability, need continued strength of the US dollar) Trigger conditions: CPI is stronger than expected (such as more than 3.5%), and the Fed's hawkish remarks suppress expectations of rate cuts. Trend: After breaking below 3300, it may test 3260 (June low). Operation strategy: Break through and follow short: After breaking below 3300, chase short, target 3260. III. Trading strategy and risk management Short-term trading (suitable for intraday positions) Shock strategy: Buy high and sell low in the range of 3320-3360, with strict stop loss (10$-15$). Breakout strategy: Wait for CPI data and follow the trend. If it breaks through 3360, chase longs or if it falls below 3300, follow shorts. Mid-term layout (pay attention to the trend after CPI) If CPI is positive: set up long orders at 3330-3340, with a target of 3400. If CPI is negative: set up short orders at 3350-3360, with a target of 3260. Risk warning Liquidity risk: Speech by Fed officials (such as Powell) may trigger short-term sharp fluctuations. Geopolitical risk: Sudden conflicts or banking crises may trigger safe-haven buying, breaking the technical logic. 4. Summary and key points Core range: 3320-3360 (maintain the idea of oscillation before breaking through). Long-short watershed: Breaking through 3360 → opening up space to 3400. Breaking through 3300 → opening a downward trend to 3260.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on July 4: 1. Non-farm data exceeded expectations, gold fell under pressure The US non-farm payrolls data in June was strong, with 147,000 new jobs (expected 110,000) and the unemployment rate dropped to 4.1% (expected 4.3%), showing that the labor market is still resilient. This data reduced the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates in the short term, leading to a strengthening of the US dollar index and US Treasury yields, and gold was under downward pressure. Although the wage growth rate (annual rate of 3.7%) was slightly lower than expected, the overall employment data still supported the Fed's wait-and-see attitude, and gold may continue to be suppressed in the short term. 2. Technical analysis: shock adjustment, pay attention to key support and resistance Daily level: Gold previously stood on the middle track for three consecutive days, showing that the short-term bullish momentum was strong, but on Thursday, it closed negatively due to the negative impact of non-farm payrolls, forming a K-line with a long lower shadow, indicating that the market still has buying support. If the 5-day moving average (near 3320) can be maintained today, it may rebound again; if it falls below the support of 3310-3300, it may further pullback. 4-hour level: Gold is currently oscillating in the 3327-3360 range, 3345-3355 is short-term resistance, and 3310-3300 is key support. MACD momentum weakened, RSI fell back to the neutral area, if it falls below 3310, it may test the support of 3275-3280. 3. Today's trading strategy Short-term operation (intraday): Long at low first, short at high later: Long near the support level of 3320, target 3340-3350, stop loss below 3310. Short at the resistance level of 3345-3355, target 3320-3310, stop loss above 3360. If it falls below 3310, it may further drop to 3300-3280. You can consider shorting the trend. Mid-term trend: If the gold price stands above 3360, it may challenge the resistance of 3370-3400. If it falls below 3300, it may enter a deeper adjustment, with a target of 3275-3250. 4. Market focus Fed policy expectations: If subsequent economic data (such as CPI, retail sales) continue to be strong, gold may be further under pressure. Geopolitical risks: The situation in the Middle East and US-EU trade frictions may still provide safe-haven support. US dollar trend: If the US dollar index continues to strengthen, the upside space of gold will be limited. Conclusion: Gold will remain volatile and bearish in the short term, and range trading is recommended in terms of operation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
Gold lacks downward momentum.Today, gold is relatively quiet due to the impact of the US Independence Day holiday. Below, we continue to pay attention to the short-term quality layer of 3324. The key pressure above is maintained at yesterday's opening point of 3345-50. At midnight, gold rebounds near 3345-50 and can be shorted. The target is around 3330-33. It closes early at midnight and maintains a range of fluctuations! If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate! From the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the support of 3324-30 below, focus on the support position of 3316, and pay attention to the short-term resistance of 3345-50 above. At midnight, the overall high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to participate.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by JoyLouise53
Excellent NFP sessionAs discussed throughout yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is Trading within #3,350's belt which represents crossroads for the Short-term. Either #3,362.80 - #3,368.80 break-out to the upside towards #3,377.80 strong Resistance, or #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 break-out to the downside towards #3,327.80 Support. Current Price-action is ideal for Scalping since I don't expect major movement until tomorrow's NFP numbers." Firstly I have re-Sold Gold almost all Wednesday's Asian session from #3,360's (Wednesday - Thursday) closing my orders on #3,352.80 then re-Bought Gold with set of aggressive Scalping orders from #3,345.80 towards #3,352.80. As NFP numbers were delivered, I have waited for decline to find a Support and Bought Gold aggressively from #3,312.80 and closed on #3,320.80. Later on, #3,332.80 Sold again (#4 aggressive Scalps) and closed on #3,327.80 and with mentioned order finalized excellent NFP session. Technical analysis: The Short-term Price-action is Trading within #3,327.80 - #3,352.80 belt as I can easily spot idle movements on Hourly 4 chart with #3,327.80 Support bounces but regardless, Gold is Trading within my predicted values. Spot though on the Hourly 4 chart how Technicals are showcasing different / mixed values, and Gold is isolated within Neutral Rectangle with detectable Higher Low’s Upper and Lower zone. This is what I described on my commentary as an Bearish Divergence (BD) and is usually a first alert that the trend might be pointing to even stronger takedown. See how the very same divergence has Traded since November - April. On the November #12 Low, the Price-action started rising on an Ascending Channel but only once the structure formed a new Low. Then again after mentioned Low’s, Gold started rising until the next Bullish Divergence (which means, after local Low's tested, Gold engaged parabolic uptrend). I am monitoring closely #MA50 on Daily chart which is pointer for new #1 - #3 Month cycle. My position: I will take no new orders as I am Highly satisfied with my returns / also it is holiday in U.S. as I do not expect major moves throughout the session (only ranging candles with Low Volume). Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
Gold? Hi Do you have a crystal ball? I do.. haha You should rub/shine it frequently. Nahh.. just a joke. I will call it : a prediction or bias.(That I hold , till proven wrong) Look at weekly; formed 1 bar bullish , was taken/ broken low by 2 bearish bar. So I'm bearish still.. although.. this week. it went into area of break price 3291. The subtle point is.. where do i entry and how much price difference I will put in. If 20$ gap.. price now $3330.00 +20$ = $3350 for 0.01 = 20$ risk price 20$ seems reasonable if I'm at the right point/entry. I'm too basic... I'm too simple.. Not a guru NB/ Yest NFP will be a strong bias too. What a sell off :)
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by reazosman