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CFDGOLD trade ideas

"Gold at Critical Zone – Parabolic Curve Support or Breakdown? 📈 Gold Parabolic Structure | Base 4 Breakout Setup | $4,000 Target Sharing my analysis on Gold’s ongoing parabolic trend, which has followed a textbook progression of Base 1 → Base 4 since mid-2022. The price has respected a structural curved trendline, and we are currently in Base 4 consolidation — often the final pause before a blow-off rally. Current Setup: Gold is consolidating between $3,200 – $3,400, forming Base 4. There is weekly bearish divergence, indicating momentum loss, but this is normal in late-stage parabolas. I expect a retest of the $3,200 zone, near the parabolic curve support, possibly with a fakeout wick below — a common shakeout before the final rally. Seasonality suggests the first week of July is typically bearish, which aligns with this potential retest. Trade Plan (If Setup Confirms): Watch for a strong bullish reversal candle near $3,200 (parabolic curve support). Entry above the high of that bullish candle. Stop loss just below the candle’s low. Target: $4,000+, which aligns with typical blow-off potential (+20–25% from Base 4 breakout). If Gold breaks and holds above $3,400, it could begin the vertical phase of the move. Parabolic Move Concept Recap: Base 1: Accumulation Base 2: Confirmation Base 3: Acceleration Base 4: Final pause before blow-off After Base 4, price often rallies sharply before forming a major top. This is a high-reward but high-risk phase. Manage risk and don’t chase late entries once the move begins. Would love to hear your thoughts and variations on this setup. #Gold #XAUUSD #ParabolicTrend #TechnicalAnalysis #BlowOffTop #Base4
TVC:GOLDLong
by Capitalgrowthtv
XAUUSD Forming Bullish Continuation Patternhi traders, let's have a look at Gold on 3D time frame. ✅ Technical Outlook: Uptrend Still Intact Price action remains firmly within a higher high, higher low structure, confirming that Gold is still in an active uptrend. * We can observe the Ascending Triangle Formation. An ascending triangle has formed, with the price consistently finding support on a rising trendline while pressing against the horizontal resistance around $3,430. This pattern typically acts as a bullish continuation, especially within strong trends. Potential Breakout Target If XAUUSD breaks above the horizontal resistance, the measured move (height of the triangle) points to a potential upside of ~13.32%, targeting the $3,880–3,900 zone. RSI Observations The RSI is consolidating just above 50 and remains in bullish territory. A breakout above the RSI trendline would further support bullish momentum. 📌 Trade Scenario (Plan A – Bullish Breakout): Entry: Upon breakout and daily close above ~$3,430 Target: ~$3,880 Support Trendline: Acting as dynamic support 📌 Alternate Scenario (Plan B – Retest): Price may retest the ascending trendline support before attempting a breakout. This would offer a lower-risk entry opportunity with tighter invalidation. 🧠 Summary: Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and the formation of an ascending triangle suggests a likely continuation to the upside. Watch for a breakout confirmation above the horizontal resistance for a potential high-probability long setup.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by vf_investment
2
Gold’s Future: Contrary to Expectations?With rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, many analysts and global financial institutions have begun betting on a potential increase in gold prices. Some major banks have even raised their forecasts for gold to as high as $4,000 per ounce, raising a critical question: Will gold prices truly rise as expected, or are the markets heading toward a different outcome, one that sees gold’s future moving contrary to expectations? Recent history has taught us much about gold’s behavior during times of crisis. Investors often turn to gold during heightened turmoil be it political, economic, or even health-related, because it is considered one of the most prominent safe havens and a key hedge against inflation. Regarding the latest political tensions, gold has shown short-term positive reactions, often spiking in response to unfolding events. However, once markets absorb the impact, prices typically stabilize or partially retreat awaiting new developments or an escalation that could reignite momentum. This scenario played out in recent weeks during Middle East tensions, specifically on June 13, 2025, when gold rose by about 1.92% in a single day, only to drop 2.99% shortly after increasing all its gains. When comparing the current situation to past events, a familiar pattern emerges. For instance, during the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, gold prices initially surged but then started to disregard the ongoing war. A similar reaction occurred with trade tariff decisions imposed by the U.S. president where gold responded briefly to each new headline, only to retreat thereafter. In summary, gold responded to the latest Middle East developments with a slight uptick but soon absorbed the tension and returned to a more stable state awaiting a potentially more severe escalation. Technical Outlook for Gold Prices: Gold is currently trading in a downward trend on the daily chart, forming lower lows consistently. The current zone near 3366.804 is technically significant, acting as a strong resistance level that could push gold to continue its descent toward the 3225 mark. This bearish scenario would only be invalidated if the price breaks above 3451.130 and closes a daily candle above that level, signaling a possible reversal in the current trend.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
XAUUSD BULLISH ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION) GOLD READY FOR BIG FLYINGHi Traders! Here is my G0ld Analysis for today (Bullish Analysis) Chart 27 June 2k25 please read it and send the comment in the comments section Gold pivot point is 3287 and market continually working bearish parallel and bears hit all sell targets. now Gold market ready for the Retracement. If Gold market going more down side then its jump our support area. our Bullish 1st Target is 3300 and then its show us some sell Retracement then again it jumps on buy and Easily hit our next Target 3320. If Market going Further up side then its hit our Demand zone. Pivot Point: (3287) Bullish Analysis: Bullish Targets Are: Target 1: (3300) Target 2: (3320) Demand Zone: (3350) Disclaimer: This is not a Financial advice. Trade at your own risk Please Dont Forget to Like, Comment and Subscribe Stay tuned for further Analysis
TVC:GOLDLong
by viola_davis1
1
GOLD/USD 1H – Bullish Reversal SetupLiquidity Collected. Demand Activated. Gold Set to Fly. 🔽 Buy Zone (Demand Area) Range: 3,235 – 3,245 Liquidity sweep below lows suggests smart money accumulation Watch for bullish confirmation within this zone Take-Profit Levels TP1 ~3,260 Minor structure break TP2 ~3,280 Liquidity retest zone TP3 ~3,329 FVG fill & supply mitigation 🧠 Setup Highlights FVG between 3,295 – 3,310 Smart Money Concepts in play Ideal reversal timing after June 27 news event ✅ Trade Plan Entry: Inside demand zone (on confirmation) Stop Loss: Below 3,222.75 Targets: 3,260 → 3,280 → 3,329 R:R: Favorable if entered near demand base
VELOCITY:GOLDLong
by Bullish_Babe_
2
XAUUSD Elliot wave update: Is wave 4 still in play?From our previous count we were anticipating a drop for 4th wave completion. We can see now we have been dropping as anticipated. Given the current wave structure I am expecting a double 3 (wxy) to complete this 4th wave. If we are correct then we should expect price to continue down from current position before pulling back up and fall one more time. To take advantage of the move if not caught at the top, one should find areas where price will find resistance to short the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elliotwavesglobal
Next Week Aims for 3300 Break💎 Last week, gold opened gap-up on Monday 🔼 but then trended lower 🔽. However, the 3290-3300 support zone remained robust from Mon-Thu ⚡. It plunged to ~3255 on Fri before rebounding 🌱. Next week's open may surge to 3290-3300 🔥! 🚀 Sell@3260 - 3270 🚀 TP 3280 - 3290 -3300 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_11
XAUUSD Update 29th JUNE 2025Last week, pullback has reached 62% fibonaci. It have an opportunity to continue the correction in to 3205 support or more lower at 3190 level support. So we need to becarefull on next week and we looking for a reversal / rejection signal from the market as a confirmation. We need to give our attention to a fundamental data also. If there is a big news on war / geopolitical or global economic in July, we could be more convidence about gold price direction. If 3155 lose...it would be more deep, but it would be unlikely. Have a good luck ! P.S : If you agree, Boost it
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RogueXXX
Is today Black Friday?On Thursday, gold prices rose to 3350 with support from 3333-30. When the key support of 3320 was broken, it indicated that the short-term rise turned into a fall. This morning, the rebound to 3320 confirmed the pressure of the top and bottom conversion, and then slowly fell all the way to break the integer mark of 3300 US dollars. In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two support positions below, namely 3277 and 3263. Don’t expect a big rebound before going short in the negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot. Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3377 and 3363 below. If you consider more, you may be at a relatively extreme position of 3363. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by DrewJudson
XAUUSD: Trend changed to bearish. Significant downside potentialGold turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.253, MACD = 18.142, ADX = 16.679) as it crossed below both the 4H MA200 and 1D MA50. The two form a Bearish Cross. Technically a Channel Down has emerged, no different than those that emerged after rejections on the R1 Zone (like now). As long as the 4H MA50 acts as a Resistance and holds, we will be bearish, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 3,245). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
XAUMO REPORT: XAUUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS Period: Monday June 30 – Friday July 5 Focus: US Independence Day (July 4), NY Market Closure Impact 🟢1. Price Action Context Last Week (ending June 28): Weekly bearish engulfing closed near the lows (~3,250 area). Series of failed rallies above 3,330. Price compressed in a tight lower range—distribution, not accumulation. Monday June 30 – Friday July 5: Market begins in a low-confidence, low-volume environment. Tuesday–Wednesday: traders will be positioning ahead of July 4 closure. Thursday (July 4): NY market closed—no COMEX metals futures settlement. Friday (July 5): NY market reopens—liquidity and volume surge back in. 🟡 2. Range, Support & Resistance Composite Volume Profile: VAH: ~3,410 POC: ~3,330 (where the heaviest volume has been transacted) VAL: ~3,250 (final defense) Support: 3,250: major structural shelf 3,200: next key liquidity target Resistance: 3,330–3,350: loaded supply zone 3,390–3,420: overhead liquidity from prior weeks Interpretation: Price under POC, hugging VAL, is bearish. Acceptance under 3,250 sets up a vacuum to 3,180–3,200. 🔵 3. Volume Footprint and Delta Footprint Characteristics: Strong negative delta (-21K) as price approached 3,250. Buyers unable to lift offers at 3,300+. Repeated ask dominance = supply persistence. Institutional Read: They’re selling into every bounce, and liquidity thinness around July 4 increases stop-hunt potential. 🟣 4. Trend and Wave Structure Weekly trend: bearish Daily trend: bearish with lower highs and lower lows Wave count: Wave 1: 3,500 ➡ 3,273 Wave 2: retrace ~3,330 Wave 3: active—projected target 3,180 🟤 5. Stop Hunt Zones Above: 3,330–3,350: obvious short stops and breakout buy stops.
Below: 3,250: stop cluster from dip buyers and trapped longs. Expected Behavior: Institutions use Wednesday and low liquidity Thursday to spike stops before the real move on Friday. Stop Hunt Scenario: July 3–4: quick liquidity sweep above 3,330. July 5 (Friday): NY reopen—supply steps in, drives price back down. 🟢 6. Market Closure & Liquidity Impact NY Market Closure Schedule: July 4 (Thursday): NY COMEX metals closed for Independence Day. Forex open but liquidity ~40% of normal. Price can move erratically with minimal volume. July 3 (Wednesday): Early close in many US desks. Position squaring—thin books. July 5 (Friday): Liquidity flood back in—true directional follow-through likely. Implications: Avoid heavy positioning during July 4 closure. Expect false breakouts and “ghost candles”. Major moves likely Friday July 5 during NY session. 🟠 7. Psychological Dynamics Retail: FOMO if price spikes above 3,330 on low liquidity. Fear if price knifes under 3,250 without volume confirmation. Institutions: Use the holiday to: Clear out stops. Create liquidity pools. Accumulate positions for Friday’s push. 🔴  8. Tangible Day-Trader Scenarios 🟢 Scenario A: Pre-Holiday Stop Hunt Trap When: July 3–4 Price spikes over 3,330 on low volume. Footprint shows negative delta quickly after. Execution: Sell limit ~3,340. SL: 3,375. TP: 3,200. Note: Keep size reduced—thin conditions are volatile. 🟣 Scenario B: Post-Holiday Breakdown When: Friday July 5 NY opens, volume returns. Price fails to reclaim 3,250 after test. Execution: Sell stop 3,249. SL: 3,310. TP: 3,180. Scale in as confirmation strengthens. 🟠 Scenario C: Holiday Range When: July 4–early July 5 pre-NY Price likely ranges 3,250–3,330. Avoid entries unless volatility contraction ends with volume breakout. 🟡 9. Hypothetical Institutional Trade Plan ✅ Order Type: Sell Stop ✅ Entry: 3,249 ✅ Stop Loss: 3,310 ✅ Take Profit: 3,180 ✅ Position Size: Max 0.5–1% account risk ✅ Trigger: NY session reopens Friday with volume confirmation ✅ Confidence: 85% (post-holiday breakdowns historically have high follow-through) 🟢 10. The Executive Recap ✅ Timeframe:June 30–July 5
 ✅ Trend:Weekly/Daily bearish ✅ Volume:Negative delta clusters
 ✅ Stop Hunts: 3,330–3,350 (trap) 3,250 (flush)
 ✅ Liquidity Event:July 4 closure reduces liquidity by ~60% False moves likely Major move probable Friday NY session 
✅ Execution: Low liquidity: reduced size Confirmation: delta + volume No chasing pre-closure #GoldTrading #XAUUSD #ForexTrader #PriceActionTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #VolumeProfile #FootprintAnalysis #InstitutionalTrading #DayTrading #MarketAnalysis #ForexSignals #ComexGold #TradingStrategy #MarketPsychology #LiquidityTraps #StopHunt #NYMarketClosure #July4Trading #MetalsMarket #TrendAnalysis #WaveAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #ForexEducation #CMEGroup #TradingMindset #RiskManagement ⚠️ Disclaimer : This is a purely educational scenario. You are the only one responsible for your risk.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE