GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,419.53
Target Level: 3,348.85
Stop Loss: 3,466.65
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
CFDGOLD trade ideas
Gold Holds Above $3340 as Dollar Drops and Fed Uncertainty Rises GOLD OVERVIEW
Gold Holds Gains as Dollar Weakens and Fed Uncertainty Grows
Gold climbed above $3,340 per ounce on Thursday, supported by a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar amid growing dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve.
Adding to market speculation, U.S. President Donald Trump hinted he may announce a new Fed Chair as early as September or October, potentially reducing Jerome Powell’s influence before his term ends in June and boosting expectations for a more accommodative policy stance.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – XAU/USD
Gold shows bearish potential if the price can stabilize below the pivot level at 3,341.
However, while trading above 3,341, a short-term correction toward 3,364–3,365 is likely before any renewed selling pressure.
Today’s U.S. GDP release may add further volatility and direction to the market.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 3,341
Resistance: 3,364 → 3,373
Support: 3,320 → 3,302
previous idea:
"Gold at Critical Zone – Parabolic Curve Support or Breakdown? 📈 Gold Parabolic Structure | Base 4 Breakout Setup | $4,000 Target
Sharing my analysis on Gold’s ongoing parabolic trend, which has followed a textbook progression of Base 1 → Base 4 since mid-2022. The price has respected a structural curved trendline, and we are currently in Base 4 consolidation — often the final pause before a blow-off rally.
Current Setup:
Gold is consolidating between $3,200 – $3,400, forming Base 4.
There is weekly bearish divergence, indicating momentum loss, but this is normal in late-stage parabolas.
I expect a retest of the $3,200 zone, near the parabolic curve support, possibly with a fakeout wick below — a common shakeout before the final rally.
Seasonality suggests the first week of July is typically bearish, which aligns with this potential retest.
Trade Plan (If Setup Confirms):
Watch for a strong bullish reversal candle near $3,200 (parabolic curve support).
Entry above the high of that bullish candle.
Stop loss just below the candle’s low.
Target: $4,000+, which aligns with typical blow-off potential (+20–25% from Base 4 breakout).
If Gold breaks and holds above $3,400, it could begin the vertical phase of the move.
Parabolic Move Concept Recap:
Base 1: Accumulation
Base 2: Confirmation
Base 3: Acceleration
Base 4: Final pause before blow-off
After Base 4, price often rallies sharply before forming a major top.
This is a high-reward but high-risk phase. Manage risk and don’t chase late entries once the move begins.
Would love to hear your thoughts and variations on this setup.
#Gold #XAUUSD #ParabolicTrend #TechnicalAnalysis #BlowOffTop #Base4
XAUUSD Forming Bullish Continuation Patternhi traders,
let's have a look at Gold on 3D time frame.
✅ Technical Outlook:
Uptrend Still Intact
Price action remains firmly within a higher high, higher low structure, confirming that Gold is still in an active uptrend.
* We can observe the Ascending Triangle Formation.
An ascending triangle has formed, with the price consistently finding support on a rising trendline while pressing against the horizontal resistance around $3,430.
This pattern typically acts as a bullish continuation, especially within strong trends.
Potential Breakout Target
If XAUUSD breaks above the horizontal resistance, the measured move (height of the triangle) points to a potential upside of ~13.32%, targeting the $3,880–3,900 zone.
RSI Observations
The RSI is consolidating just above 50 and remains in bullish territory. A breakout above the RSI trendline would further support bullish momentum.
📌 Trade Scenario (Plan A – Bullish Breakout):
Entry: Upon breakout and daily close above ~$3,430
Target: ~$3,880
Support Trendline: Acting as dynamic support
📌 Alternate Scenario (Plan B – Retest):
Price may retest the ascending trendline support before attempting a breakout. This would offer a lower-risk entry opportunity with tighter invalidation.
🧠 Summary:
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and the formation of an ascending triangle suggests a likely continuation to the upside. Watch for a breakout confirmation above the horizontal resistance for a potential high-probability long setup.
GOLD TOP DOWN ANALYSIS FOR MON. 30TH JUNE - FRI 4TH JULY, 2025Gold looks bearish heading into the new week. We had the formation of a weekly engulfing candle last week. I expect a pullback buy at market open from the current level to a take-profit level of 3316.
After that, I expect a sell-off from the 3318 level down to the 3000 level for the rest of the week.
I will be posting daily updates here, cheers!
GOLD SHORT TRADEAronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion, please feel free command me.
XAUUSD BULLISH ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION) GOLD READY FOR BIG FLYINGHi Traders! Here is my G0ld Analysis for today (Bullish Analysis) Chart 27 June 2k25 please read it and send the comment in the comments section
Gold pivot point is 3287 and market continually working bearish parallel and bears hit all sell targets. now Gold market ready for the Retracement. If Gold market going more down side then its jump our support area. our Bullish 1st Target is 3300 and then its show us some sell Retracement then again it jumps on buy and Easily hit our next Target 3320. If Market going Further up side then its hit our Demand zone.
Pivot Point: (3287)
Bullish Analysis:
Bullish Targets Are:
Target 1: (3300)
Target 2: (3320)
Demand Zone: (3350)
Disclaimer: This is not a Financial advice. Trade at your own risk
Please Dont Forget to Like, Comment and Subscribe
Stay tuned for further Analysis
Everybody loves Gold Part 6Great week in Part 5.
Starting this week with a strong bias towards the upside.
Here's a breakdown of trading dynamics:
1. Expecting price to break past green line, level of significance (LOS) for continuation up
2. Price might bounce back for which; will be looking for a continuation from -50/-100 or -150pips to the upside
3. Will be looking for double tops/bottom along the way
As always price action determines trades
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,339.37
Target Level: 3,313.04
Stop Loss: 3,356.82
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,380.73
Target Level: 3,335.74
Stop Loss: 3,410.56
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD/USD 1H – Bullish Reversal SetupLiquidity Collected. Demand Activated. Gold Set to Fly.
🔽 Buy Zone (Demand Area)
Range: 3,235 – 3,245
Liquidity sweep below lows suggests smart money accumulation
Watch for bullish confirmation within this zone
Take-Profit Levels
TP1 ~3,260 Minor structure break
TP2 ~3,280 Liquidity retest zone
TP3 ~3,329 FVG fill & supply mitigation
🧠 Setup Highlights
FVG between 3,295 – 3,310
Smart Money Concepts in play
Ideal reversal timing after June 27 news event
✅ Trade Plan
Entry: Inside demand zone (on confirmation)
Stop Loss: Below 3,222.75
Targets: 3,260 → 3,280 → 3,329
R:R: Favorable if entered near demand base
XAUUSD D1 Forecast: Gold at Pivotal 325x Support What's Next for the Yellow Metal?
Today, we're zooming out to examine the broader picture for Gold (XAUUSD) on the Daily (D1) timeframe. Our latest analysis indicates that Gold has encountered a very strong, critical support level around the 325x region. This is a pivotal point that could significantly influence Gold's medium to long-term direction!
🌍 Macroeconomic Landscape: The Underlying Forces Influencing Gold
While we've observed a degree of USD weakness stemming from speculations around the Federal Reserve (such as the rumours regarding Jerome Powell's replacement) and expectations of interest rate cuts, these factors haven't fully countered Gold's recent decline on the daily chart. Furthermore, the sustained ceasefire between Israel and Iran continues to temper Gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Nevertheless, the current price action at the robust 325x support level presents a significant technical signal. The impact of forthcoming US macroeconomic data (particularly the PCE Price Index on Friday) and speeches from FOMC members will be crucial in confirming or negating our projected movements for Gold. Should positive news for Gold align with this support holding, it could act as a potent catalyst.
📊 XAUUSD D1 Technical Analysis: Projecting Gold's Next Move
Given that Gold has reached strong support at 325x, we can anticipate the following scenarios:
Bounce from 325x (Potential Upside Phase):
If the 325x area (which reinforces the 3264.400 support from image_e9d325.png) holds firm, we expect a strong reaction and an upward move for Gold.
The initial target for this bounce would be the 332x region, aligning with resistance levels 3313.737 - 3330.483 from our previous analysis. On a broader timeframe (as illustrated in image_83845c.png), this corresponds to the resistance zone around 3326.022. This 332x area might represent a continuation pattern, suggesting it could be a corrective rally before the resumption of the larger trend.
Resumption of Downtrend (After Reaching 332x):
Once Gold reaches and tests the 332x zone (3313.737 - 3330.483 / 3326.022) and exhibits bearish confirmation signals (e.g., a strong bearish engulfing candle, a pin bar, or a clear top formation), we anticipate a resumption of the downward movement.
The next major target for this decline would be the 317x area, which correlates well with the strong support at 3173.052 on the larger timeframe (as depicted in image_83845c.png).
🎯 XAUUSD D1 Trading Plan: Your Long-Term Strategy Ahead!
Considering the current D1 analysis, here's our actionable plan:
1. BUY PHASE (Bounce from Support):
Entry: Observe price reaction in the 325x - 326x zone (specifically 3264.400). Only consider buying if there are clear bullish confirmations (e.g., a confirmed bullish pattern on the daily or 4-hour candle, a strong bounce from the zone with significant volume).
SL (Stop Loss): Position just below the 325x support zone (e.g., 3245-3240, depending on confirmation).
TP (Take Profit): 3280 - 3284 - 3290 - 3295 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3313.737 - 3320 - 3326.022 (key 332x zone). This will be our primary target for the potential bounce.
2. SELL PHASE (Downtrend Resumption):
Entry: Once the price reaches and tests the 332x zone (3313.737 - 3330.483 / 3326.022) and shows bearish confirmation signals (e.g., a strong bearish engulfing, pin bar, or clear top formation).
SL (Stop Loss): Position slightly above the 332x zone (e.g., 3335-3340).
TP (Take Profit): 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 - 3200 - 3173.052 (final 317x target).
Next Week Aims for 3300 Break💎 Last week, gold opened gap-up on Monday 🔼 but then trended lower 🔽. However, the 3290-3300 support zone remained robust from Mon-Thu ⚡. It plunged to ~3255 on Fri before rebounding 🌱. Next week's open may surge to 3290-3300 🔥!
🚀 Sell@3260 - 3270
🚀 TP 3280 - 3290 -3300
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Next week's market trend analysisShort-term technical analysis of gold next week:
After gold was horizontally consolidated below 3400, it had two relatively large retracements. The short-term downward channel, the upper edge of the channel is currently around 3340, which is also the turning point of the short-term long and short cycles that we need to pay attention to later.
Has the current big rhythm entered a weak position?
Daily level analysis: After reaching 3500, gold is still in a trend of high-level consolidation, and there is a periodic switch between long and short positions, and there is no extremely strong or weak rhythm. In this consolidation process, there are two relatively large retracements: the first from 3500 to 3200 space 300 points, the second from 3435 to 3120 space 315 points. In other words, in the current daily level cycle, the maximum decline is around 300 US dollars. Not exceeding this maximum retracement value, to a certain extent, it is still in the rhythm of high-level correction. According to the range of this space retracement, the limit of the daily retracement is around 3150, with an error of about 20 points. However, the daily range is large, so it is too early to talk about this threshold.
At present, the short-term pressure points of 0.618 and the top and bottom structures are all around 3300. Another point for everyone to pay attention to: in the market with a small cycle of negative decline, once there is a sideways trend. Don't take it as support! The price is consolidating horizontally, which only means that the current bulls are weak in pulling back and the change of weakness must be a strong pullback to break through the big negative. Similarly, the slow rise market is the same.
The first support below in the short term is around 3250. The strong support is at the integer level of 3200. Once this position is reached, it will become a repeated test position like 3400.
XAUUSD Update 29th JUNE 2025Last week, pullback has reached 62% fibonaci.
It have an opportunity to continue the correction in to 3205 support or more lower at 3190 level support.
So we need to becarefull on next week and we looking for a reversal / rejection signal from the market as a confirmation.
We need to give our attention to a fundamental data also. If there is a big news on war / geopolitical or global economic in July, we could be more convidence about gold price direction.
If 3155 lose...it would be more deep, but it would be unlikely.
Have a good luck !
P.S : If you agree, Boost it
Is today Black Friday?On Thursday, gold prices rose to 3350 with support from 3333-30. When the key support of 3320 was broken, it indicated that the short-term rise turned into a fall. This morning, the rebound to 3320 confirmed the pressure of the top and bottom conversion, and then slowly fell all the way to break the integer mark of 3300 US dollars.
In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two support positions below, namely 3277 and 3263. Don’t expect a big rebound before going short in the negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot.
Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3377 and 3363 below. If you consider more, you may be at a relatively extreme position of 3363. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
Gold’s Future: Contrary to Expectations?With rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, many analysts and global financial institutions have begun betting on a potential increase in gold prices. Some major banks have even raised their forecasts for gold to as high as $4,000 per ounce, raising a critical question: Will gold prices truly rise as expected, or are the markets heading toward a different outcome, one that sees gold’s future moving contrary to expectations?
Recent history has taught us much about gold’s behavior during times of crisis. Investors often turn to gold during heightened turmoil be it political, economic, or even health-related, because it is considered one of the most prominent safe havens and a key hedge against inflation.
Regarding the latest political tensions, gold has shown short-term positive reactions, often spiking in response to unfolding events. However, once markets absorb the impact, prices typically stabilize or partially retreat awaiting new developments or an escalation that could reignite momentum. This scenario played out in recent weeks during Middle East tensions, specifically on June 13, 2025, when gold rose by about 1.92% in a single day, only to drop 2.99% shortly after increasing all its gains.
When comparing the current situation to past events, a familiar pattern emerges. For instance, during the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, gold prices initially surged but then started to disregard the ongoing war. A similar reaction occurred with trade tariff decisions imposed by the U.S. president where gold responded briefly to each new headline, only to retreat thereafter.
In summary, gold responded to the latest Middle East developments with a slight uptick but soon absorbed the tension and returned to a more stable state awaiting a potentially more severe escalation.
Technical Outlook for Gold Prices:
Gold is currently trading in a downward trend on the daily chart, forming lower lows consistently. The current zone near 3366.804 is technically significant, acting as a strong resistance level that could push gold to continue its descent toward the 3225 mark.
This bearish scenario would only be invalidated if the price breaks above 3451.130 and closes a daily candle above that level, signaling a possible reversal in the current trend.