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#XAUUSD #GOLD 30Min 📉📈 #XAUUSD 30m Analysis – Dual Setup Scenario We’re monitoring two potential trade setups depending on how price reacts at key levels: 🔴 Sell Setup: Price is entering a Sell-Side Order Block Zone between 3350–3360, aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This premium zone is likely to act as strong resistance, with potential rejection targeting downside liquidity near 3310 — an ideal area for short positions. 🟢 Buy Setup: If price sweeps below and taps into the Liquidity Zone / Demand Area around 3305–3311, we’ll watch for a bullish reversal from this discount zone. This area offers a favorable setup for long entries, aligning with institutional buying levels. 📌 Be sure to mark these key zones on your chart for enhanced clarity and execution. 💬 What’s your outlook on Gold? Share your thoughts below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
2
Down for goldHi traders, Last week gold went lower then expected (wavecount updated). The last wave down could be wave 2 or it's part of a big Triangle/ Flat. Next week we could see this pair to go lower to sweep the liquidity below the lows and fill the 4H bullish FVG. After that it could go up again. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe to finish and trade (short term) shorts. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EduwaveTrading
Mastering Delta–Volume Divergence 🎓 Mastering Delta–Volume Divergence: How to Read Institutional Absorption and Trap Setups ⸻ 1️⃣ What Is Delta? Delta measures the net aggression between buyers and sellers: • Market Buys: traders lifting the ask • minus • Market Sells: traders hitting the bid ✅ Positive Delta indicates stronger buying pressure. ✅ Negative Delta indicates stronger selling pressure. Delta shows who is initiating trades, not just that trading is occurring. ⸻ 2️⃣ What Is Volume? Volume measures the total number of contracts traded, regardless of who initiated them. Every matched buy and sell contributes equally to volume. Volume reveals activity, but not who controls the move. ⸻ 3️⃣ What Is Delta–Volume Divergence? Delta–Volume Divergence occurs when: ✅ Volume is high (lots of trades happening), ✅ But Delta is near zero (neither side dominates). This signals: • Intense two-sided activity between buyers and sellers, • Strong participation on both sides, • Passive absorption—institutions quietly filling large orders without moving price significantly. ⸻ 4️⃣ Chart Breakdown – Bar by Bar Below is a clear example of this concept in practice, reviewing each daily bar from your footprint chart: ⸻ 🔴 June 24 • Delta: -8,240 (strong net selling) • Volume: 575,720 (very high) • Interpretation: • Heavy, aggressive selling. • Clear trend-confirming action. • No divergence. ⸻ 🟢 June 25 • Delta: +4,650 (net buying) • Volume: 343,990 (moderate) • Interpretation: • Counter-trend buying or short covering. • Less volume and less conviction. ⸻ 🟢 June 26 • Delta: +2,690 (mild net buying) • Volume: 416,820 (higher) • Interpretation: • Rising volume but weaker delta. • Early sign of balance developing. • Possible absorption beginning. ⸻ 🟨 June 27 (Critical Bar) • Delta: +272 (near zero) • Volume: 540,310 (very high) • Interpretation: • Huge volume churn. • Neither buyers nor sellers in control. • Likely institutional absorption of aggressive orders. ✅ This is a textbook example of Delta–Volume Divergence. ⸻ 5️⃣ Why This Matters Professional Insight: • Sellers had been aggressive for several sessions. • Suddenly, volume remained elevated, but delta flatlined. • This suggests: • Exhaustion of selling aggression, or • Institutional accumulation and passive positioning. This often sets the stage for: • A trap reversal (short squeeze), or • A continuation flush if sellers regroup and push lower. ⸻ 6️⃣ Confirmation Scenarios Scenario A: Bearish Continuation • Watch for renewed strong negative delta (e.g., -5,000 or worse). • Price remains below the last support (~3,250). • Confirms absorption failed and sellers remain dominant. Scenario B: Short Squeeze Reversal • Price reclaims the VAL (~3,285–3,300). • Delta flips strongly positive (+5,000 or more). • Trapped shorts begin covering, driving price back toward supply. ⸻ 7️⃣ Common Misinterpretation ⚠️ High volume alone does NOT mean momentum. Key Point: If delta is flat, high volume simply means churn, not directional energy. This is why inexperienced traders often get caught: • They see heavy volume and assume a breakout is underway. • In reality, the market is absorbing liquidity to trap both sides. ⸻ 8️⃣ Professional Tips for Trading Divergence ✅ Wait for confirmation before entering: • Clear delta shifts, and • Price reclaiming or rejecting key levels. ✅ Be aware of stop zones: • Under recent lows if buyers fail, • Above recent range if sellers get exhausted. ✅ Avoid trading during pure churn without clear follow-through. ⸻ 9️⃣ Quick Recap ✅ Delta–Volume Divergence: High volume, flat delta, no clear directional control. ✅ Typically signals absorption and position buildup. ✅ Requires confirmation before committing to trades. ✅ Recognizing it helps you avoid traps and false breakouts. ⸻ 🔟 Final Thought Learning to read divergence is what separates professional traders from retail: “Volume tells you how hard the market is working. Delta tells you who’s winning.” Combine both to see the hidden game behind every price bar. ⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This lesson is for educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial advice.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
2
6.26 Gold intraday operation strategy, rebound 42-48 line shortFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 3342-48. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The short-term support below is around 3314-3316 integers. The upper pressure is around 3342-48. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. The short-term long-short watershed is 3370. It is difficult to say that it is strong before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so please pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: 1. Short the gold rebound at 3345-48, stop loss at 3356, target 3317-3325, and continue to hold if it breaks;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Dramatic change coming?In response to prospects of a de-escalation in the Middle East tensions, XAU/USD fell and has continued to decline throughout the day. Despite the apparent breakthrough, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz ordered retaliatory strikes after claiming Iran violated the agreement hours after both nations agreed to the ceasefire, allegations that Tehran denies. US President Donald Trump announced the initial ceasefire between Israel and Iran on Monday evening during an address at Capitol Hill, stating that “Stability in the Middle East is essential for global peace.” The announcement followed Iranian missile strikes on US bases in Qatar, which were intercepted without casualties. The ceasefire has pressured Gold and Crude Oil prices as traders unwind risk hedges tied to potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for roughly 20% of global Oil supply. The reduced threat of supply disruption would help lower inflation expectations, a key theme for the Fed, which is facing pressure from Trump to cut interest rates. However, investors expect the Gold price to get supported by a dramatic change in the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) stance on the monetary policy outlook. Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman stated in a gathering in Prague on Monday that monetary policy adjustments are becoming appropriate amid growing job market risks and expectations that the tariff policy announced by Donald Trump will have limited impact on inflation. Tomorrow,Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testifies about the semiannual Monetary Policy Report before the US Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADINGACPVIP
Will the 3300 support hold today?Due to the sudden ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel today, the gold market quickly flipped from bullish to bearish — when gold tested the 3300 support level just now, it rebounded near 3315 📈. It may challenge the 3290-3300 support range again later: if it effectively breaks below, the next target is the strong support at 3265, and it may eventually dip to 3200 before starting a rebound 🔄. If the breakout fails, it may consolidate near 3330, waiting for further market guidance 📊 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@3330 - 3320 🚀 TP 3310 - 3305
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign_11
XAUUSD – Smart Money Flow & Weekly OutlookGold reacted precisely at the key OB zone near 3270. Following a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the H4, Smart Money may be redistributing positions. 🔍 Main scenario: Price is expected to retrace to the 3349–3360 OB zone, where strong sell-side reactions may occur. If that fails, the next likely move is a drop toward the high-liquidity demand zone at 3215, where buyers could re-enter. 📰 Key macro drivers: Final GDP and PCE data show slight economic cooling in the US, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will maintain higher-for-longer rates. Trump’s recent comments stir political uncertainty, increasing safe-haven demand for gold. 🎯 Strategy: Look for confirmed short setups near 3349–3360. Consider longs at 3215 if strong bullish reaction forms.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
1
Falling Wedge: The Bullish Pattern Most Traders Miss Falling Wedge: The Bullish Pattern Most Traders Miss A falling wedge is a bullish pattern that forms when price action contracts between two downward-sloping lines. Both highs and lows are getting lower, but the lower trendline declines more slowly. This shows that sellers are losing momentum. There are two types of falling wedges: 🟢In an uptrend, it acts as a continuation pattern. The price pauses and consolidates before breaking out upward again. 🔴In a downtrend, it acts as a reversal pattern, often signaling a bottom before a trend change. Both versions look similar on the chart — a narrowing wedge sloping down. The breakout usually happens to the upside. To trade it 👇 1️⃣Wait for a confirmed breakout above the upper resistance line. 2️⃣Look for strong volume on the breakout to confirm the move. 3️⃣You can enter on the breakout or wait for a retest of the trendline. 4️⃣Place your stop below the recent low. 5️⃣Set a target based on the height of the wedge. Falling wedges work best in strong trends and become more reliable the longer they form ✍️ #FAQ
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
XAUUSD Market Roadmap (June 30 – July 4, 2025)XAUUSD Market Roadmap (June 30 – July 4, 2025) Currently, XAUUSD is showing a rejection at the 3261 demand zone, signaling a potential short-term pullback. As long as the price remains above the 3241 demand level, there is a possibility of testing the 3289 supply zone. However, if sellers re-enter from that area, the market may resume its decline toward the next demand target at 3225. Key Levels: Demand (current rejection zone): 3261 Demand (critical support): 3241 Supply (resistance target): 3289 Next downside target: 3225 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by magnettrader_id
GOLD → Risk zone 3340. Sell-off after rallyFX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of its accumulation phase, rallied towards the 3400 zone of interest, but failed to reach liquidity and reversed, selling off its gains due to economic uncertainty. In my opinion, the market is unexpectedly subdued and has reacted very weakly to geopolitical problems in the Middle East. The market has digested the news of US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and is awaiting PMI data from the US and the eurozone, Fed statements, US GDP and other macroeconomic data. The uncertainty factor has done its job... Participants fear further escalation of the conflict, but so far Iran has refrained from taking drastic steps, which has reduced demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Geopolitics and macro statistics remain in focus. Technically, gold is trading above 3340 (in the buy zone). A retest of the liquidity zone is possible, and if buyers keep the market above 3340-3350, the price may continue to rise. Support levels: 3347, 3342, 3320 Resistance levels: 3366, 3396 On D1, the key level is the 3340-3347 area. At the moment, we are seeing a sell-off and a move to retest support. Accordingly, a false breakdown and price holding above 3340, followed by a change in character and a breakdown of the bullish structure, will hint at growth. But if the reaction at 3340 is weak and the market continues to storm this support, then in this case, the metal could drop to 3300 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
Hanzo | 30-Min Setup / incoming 300 Pip After Break Out Time Frame: 30 -Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified Break out 🩸Bullish Break : 3338 : 3342.5 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ➕ Hanzo Protocol: Dual- Entry Intel Zone Activated: Deep Analysis ( 3338 ) Point why we did chose it ? Solid Key level ➗1st Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025) ➗2nd Wick Touch (12 Jun /2025) ➗3rd Wick Touch (24 Jun /2025) Deep Analysis ( 3338 ) Point why we did chose it ? ➗1st Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025) ➗2nd Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025) ➗3rd Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025) ➗4th x2 Wick Touch (20 Jun /2025) ➗5th x2 Wick Touch (24 Jun /2025) 🔖That means we created a Solid Zone (3338 : 3342) of Breakout on the 30-min Chart - Price must break liquidity with a clear 30-min candle to confirm the move.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Gold Slips as Ceasefire Eases SafeHaven Demand Bearish Below3339Gold Drops on Israel-Iran Ceasefire Gold prices declined as safe-haven demand eased following President Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Despite the pullback, gold remains up nearly 23% year-to-date, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty driven by Trump’s tariffs, and robust central bank purchases. Market Focus: All eyes are now on U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, which may offer fresh insights into potential near-term interest rate cuts. Technical Outlook: Gold remains under bearish pressure as long as it trades below the 3329–3339 pivot zone. A confirmed 4H candle close below 3329, or especially 3309, would further validate downside momentum toward the support range. Support Levels: 3302, 3281, 3256 Resistance Levels: 3364, 3393 A clear break below 3302–3281 would open the path toward deeper bearish continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
2
GOLD → Attempt to buy back the fall. Uncertainty factorFX:XAUUSD is falling within our expectations. After breaking through the trigger-level of 3340, the price fell to the liquidity zone of 3306. There is uncertainty in the market... Gold is rising after a false break of support at 3300-3306, interrupting a three-day decline amid a weakening dollar and ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Investors are cautious due to the unstable truce between Iran and Israel, while the decline in USD/JPY after the Bank of Japan's statements and the rise in PPI in Japan are further supporting demand for gold. Powell's comments on the need for caution in monetary policy only temporarily strengthened the dollar. Now the market is focused on US housing data and the second day of Powell's speech Technically, the price may consolidate at 3306-3347 for some time and only then show us (against the backdrop of the fundamental sentiment that has formed) which direction it will then take Resistance levels: 3347, 3364, 3372 Support levels: 3319, 3307 The market is trying to buy back the decline. Tuesday's daily session closed with a long shadow, indicating interest in this price range. A pullback to 3320-3310 is possible before growth to 3340-3347. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
Gold Continues to Fall Below $3,300As the week comes to a close, gold is on track for a decline of more than 1.5% during the latest trading session. So far, the bearish bias remains firmly in place in the movements of the precious metal, as demand for safe-haven assets continues to fade, mainly due to the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East conflict, which has helped restore market confidence. Since gold is a classic safe-haven asset, demand has steadily weakened in recent sessions, and as long as this situation holds, selling pressure on gold may continue to intensify. Uptrend Breaks: Recent selling activity has played a crucial role, as it has led to a bearish breakout below the short-term trendline, which had been consistently holding on the chart. This breakdown has now opened the door for a lateral channel to form, suggesting that market sentiment has entered a more neutral zone in the short term. If bearish pressure continues, it could pave the way for a more dominant downtrend to take shape in the sessions ahead. Indicators: RSI: The RSI line has started oscillating steadily below the 50 level, signaling that downward momentum is beginning to dominate. If the line continues to move away from the neutral 50 level, we could expect more consistent bearish pressure on the chart. MACD: A similar setup is emerging on the MACD. The indicator's histogram has dropped below the neutral line at zero and is showing persistent negative readings. This signals that selling momentum remains dominant, based on the average strength of the moving averages. If this continues, it would confirm a clear bearish bias. Key Levels to Watch: $3,300 – Current barrier: This level aligns with the midpoint of the short-term lateral channel. Price action around this area could reinforce the neutral outlook in the near term. $3,400 – Key resistance zone: This level marks the historical highs of the gold market. A return to this level would revive the recently abandoned bullish trend and could reestablish a more optimistic outlook. $3,200 – Critical support: This marks the lower boundary of the short-term channel. A breakdown below this level could trigger a fresh selling trend in the coming sessions. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
XAUUSD/GOLD/SellThe pressure from the bears is too great. In the end, the pressure from above was not broken. Instead, it broke out and fell after being under pressure. The stop loss was hit. The current price is 3285. After gradually boosting the US dollar index. The trend of gold prices has continued to fall. More importantly, the tariff issue has been eased. At the same time, geopolitical factors are also orderly and stable. This is the news that caused the bears to attack. History has not become the savior because of repeating itself. Of course, this is also an emergency. In some transactions, the extremely low probability of causing losses is a common problem in transactions. However, our analysis team has stabilized a high trading win rate. Then the next trading plan is still to focus on the pressure from above. If the London market rebounds above 3300. It is still mainly selling. 3314 is an important level for short-term rebound, and we need to pay attention. Although there is no obvious sign of rebound yet, the release of short-selling pressure has been alleviated because the decline is slow. Today's main trading idea is still to sell at high levels. The target is to focus on the position of 3264-3248. Remember the risk of buying at low levels. Do not trade independently.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ludvig_Band_King
The data is negative. Will the price rebound from the bottom?Gold prices have continued to fall since the high near 3450. This trading day started the downward mode near 3328, and the European session continued to fall, breaking a new low. The negative PCE data also continued the downward mode. So far, it has rebounded after hitting the lowest level near 3255. However, the rebound is small, and the upper pressure is still very strong. From the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance focuses on the vicinity of 3295-3300, followed by important pressure near 3315. The short-term support below focuses on the vicinity of 3265-3270. The overall strategy of shorting at high positions remains unchanged based on this range. Operation strategy: Short at the price rebound near 3295, short covering at the high point of 3315, stop loss 3325, profit range 3370-3360. At present, the price fluctuates greatly. If you want to try scalping transactions, you can trade with a light position and float up and down 5 points to stop loss or profit in time. This is the last trading day of this week. I hope you all will gain something and have a happy weekend with your family.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
GOLD FREE STRUCTUREChina Hong Kong gold vault hints at a geopolitical shift, as the Shanghai Gold Exchange's expansion, aims to enhance China's gold trading infrastructure and challenge Western dominance, potentially impacting demand and supply of physical gold need. 3380-3385 triggered but be cautious buy zone 3250-3255 reacted and instant buy rejection on the descending trendline. the Core PCE Price Index (month-over-month): rose by 0.2%, above the forecast of 0.1% and the previous 0.1% reading. This indicates a slight acceleration in the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, with the annual core PCE inflation rising to about 2.7% year-over-year, above expectations of 2.6%. Personal Income (month-over-month): declined by 0.4%, worse than the forecasted 0.3% increase and down from the previous 0.8% rise. This drop suggests a weakening in household income growth. Market and Policy Implications: The uptick in core PCE inflation signals that underlying price pressures remain somewhat persistent, complicating the Fed’s path toward its 2% inflation target. The decline in personal income could weigh on consumer spending going forward, potentially slowing economic growth. The US Dollar Index reacted by edging lower, reflecting market caution amid mixed inflation and income data. Fed officials, including Chair Powell, have emphasized a cautious approach, suggesting no immediate rate cuts until inflation dynamics become clearer. Summary: Core inflation is ticking up slightly, reinforcing inflation concerns, while personal income weakness points to potential softening in consumer demand. This mixed data supports a Fed stance of patience, with markets pricing in a moderate chance of rate cuts later in 2025 but expecting continued vigilance. stay cautious on #gold
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1