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XAUUSD Weekly July 2025 28 July - 1 Aug🧭 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW – H4 1. Major Trend: Bullish The overall trend remains bullish, with multiple Bullish Breaks of Structure (BOS) recorded during the upward move since early July. A strong CHoCH followed by a solid Bullish BOS on H4 after the early July breakout confirms strong buyer intent. --- 2. Bearish BOS? You're absolutely right — there are no significant Bearish BOS on H4 after the recent rally. The current downward movement appears to be a retracement, not a structural break. No confirmation of bearish market structure yet. --- 🔵 CURRENT ZONE: H4 OB BUY (Active POI) Price is currently rejecting from the H4 OB BUY zone, which aligns with the ascending trendline confluence. If the H4 candle closes with a strong rejection (e.g. bullish engulfing or pinbar), this would confirm a potential buy entry for the next bullish leg. This OB BUY is the main POI for next week and represents a: ✅ Buy from Discount ✅ Entry in Uptrend Structure ✅ Confluence of OB + POI + Momentum --- 🟥 FVG & TP Structure 1. TP1 / Scaling Zone: H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3368–3380 can serve as the first target. 2. Final TP / ATH Zone: Upper FVG (3420+) near a previous POI could act as the final target or a potential ATH test zone if buyers push higher. --- 🚀 TRADING PLAN – NEXT WEEK (Still Valid) ✅ Structure is still bullish ✅ Current drop is a retracement to OB BUY ✅ No valid Bearish BOS detected ✅ Current POI + OB BUY zone = prime entry level --- 📌 ENTRY STRATEGY Entry: Buy within the OB BUY H4 zone (around 3320–3340) Confirmation: Wait for a strong H4 rejection candle Stop Loss: Below OB H4 (~3310, or adjust to lower OB zone) TP1: 3368–3380 (FVG zone) TP2: 3420+ (Upper FVG / POI / ATH zone) --- ⚠️ Additional Notes If price breaks below OB BUY H4 with a strong bearish candle, this setup becomes invalid. Then, we shift focus to lower OB zones (3280 / 3250). Be cautious of high-impact news (FOMC/NFP?) – price may spike before confirming direction. --- 🔥 FINAL VERDICT: ✅ Plan is highly valid ❌ No strong bearish structure in place 🔒 Current POI is a key sniper entry zone
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mamasss_1883
5
Gold may paint a false breakdown of supportGold is testing local resistance at 3325 with a touch. It is also touching the lower boundary of the channel. Thus, the price is stuck in the range between 3325 and 3320. A return of the price to the upward channel may attract buying activity. In this case, we can expect growth to 3375 or to the channel resistance. The trend is upward. If gold does not fall but returns to the channel, we will see a false breakdown of support. According to statistics, all the strongest movements begin after false breakdown
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
2
XAU/USD) bullish the support Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential bounce from a key trendline support within a rising channel. --- Analysis Summary Pair: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) Timeframe: 4H Current Price: 3,338.715 Bias: Bullish rebound within ascending channel --- Key Technical Elements 1. Ascending Channel: Price has been respecting a well-defined rising channel, bouncing between support and resistance levels. 2. Key Support Zone: The yellow highlighted area marks a critical support level and lower boundary of the channel. Also intersects with the trendline, strengthening the potential for a bounce. 3. 200 EMA (Dynamic Support): The 200 EMA at 3,343.616 lies just below current price, acting as a dynamic support level. 4. RSI (14): RSI is around 34.93, nearing the oversold zone, suggesting a buying opportunity may be near. --- Target Points First Target: 3,402.099 Second Target: 3,446.661 --- Trade Idea Direction Entry Zone Stop-Loss Target Zones Buy 3,330–3,345 Below 3,320 3,402 / 3,446 Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Gold is currently testing a key support level and ascending trendline. If price holds above this area, we can expect a bullish rebound toward 3,400–3,446 levels, aligning with the upper channel resistance. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
16
XAU/USD GOLD NFP DIRECTIONThis chart analysis is for XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe. The focus is on a bearish market structure, highlighting potential Price of Interest (POI) zones for a short (sell) setup. Key Elements: Market Structure: Clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. POIs Identified: Optional POI: An initial supply zone where price might react. Extreme POI: A more significant supply zone marked for a stronger potential reversal. Labels & Notes: The price levels are marked between 3,320 – 3,340, showing where the reversal is expected. Interpretation: The chart anticipates a retracement upward into the POIs before continuing the bearish move. Traders may look to enter short positions around these zones, especially the Extreme POI, which is seen as a high-probability reversal area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pips_Hunter_Forex
2
Gold Breakout Failed – Bearish Reversal in Play?Last week was both interesting and revealing for Gold. After breaking above the key $3375 resistance—which also marked the upper boundary of a large triangle—price quickly accelerated higher, reaching the $3440 resistance zone. However, instead of a bullish continuation, we witnessed a false breakout and sharp reversal. What initially looked like a healthy pullback turned into a full bearish rejection by week’s end. ________________________________________ 📉 Current Technical Picture: • On the daily chart, we now see a clear Three Black Crows formation • On the weekly chart, a strong bearish Pin Bar confirms rejection • And if we add the failed breakout above 3375, the bias tilts decisively bearish ________________________________________ 📌 Key Zones and Trading Plan: • Gold is currently bouncing from the ascending trendline zone, which is natural after dropping more than 1,000 pips in just 3 days • The $3375–3380 area has regained importance as a key resistance zone, and that’s where I’ll be looking to sell rallies • A bullish invalidation would only come if price manages to stabilize above $3400 Until then, this remains a bear-dominated market, and a drop below $3300 is on the table. ________________________________________ 🧭 Support levels to watch: • First support: $3280 • Major support: $3250 zone ________________________________________ 📉 Conclusion: The failed breakout, bearish candle formations, and current price structure all point to a market that's shifting in favor of sellers. I’m looking to sell spikes into resistance, with a clear invalidation above $3400. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
NF news, can gold selling pressure drop to 3240?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) is trading lower, around $3,285 in early Asian hours on Friday, as a firmer U.S. dollar weighs on the non-yielding metal following new tariff measures announced by President Donald Trump. The White House said late Thursday that Trump will set a 10% baseline tariff, stepping back from earlier speculation about hikes to 15% or higher, according to Bloomberg. He also signed an executive order raising the tariff on Canada from 25% to 35%, effective August 1, 2025, while extending Mexico’s current tariff rates for another 90 days to allow more time for negotiations. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: large frame, gold price is still moving in the downtrend line. will wait for NF result to have strong selling force again 3240 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3374- 3376 SL 3381 TP1: $3365 TP2: $3350 TP3: $3333 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3242-$3240 SL $3235 TP1: $3255 TP2: $3268 TP3: $3280 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
GOLD recovers after many days of declineOANDA:XAUUSD has recovered after several days of declines. Investors will focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday, which is expected to cause significant market volatility. Gold hit a three-week low of $3,301 an ounce on Monday, before recovering somewhat on Tuesday after falling for a fourth straight day as the dollar erased some of its earlier gains, boosting demand for the precious metal. Falling US Treasury yields and a weak US jobs report also prompted investors to buy gold. Data released by the U.S. Labor Department on Tuesday showed the number of jobs added fell in June after two straight months of gains. The number of jobs added in June fell to 7.44 million from a revised 7.71 million in May. The median forecast of economists in a survey was 7.5 million. Focus on the Federal Reserve's decision The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at 01:00 IST on Thursday; Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference on monetary policy at 01:30 IST on the same day. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, with the focus on whether Fed Chairman Powell's speech will provide any clues about the timing or pace of future rate cuts. The market sees a very low chance of a rate cut in July and a roughly 40% chance of another rate cut in September, up from about 10% last month, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool. Investors will be closely watching the statement and Fed Chairman Powell's remarks at his post-meeting press conference for fresh clues on the timing of the next rate cut. - If Powell opens the door to a rate cut in September, citing the recent trade deal as a reason to ease uncertainty, US Treasury yields could fall immediately, paving the way for gold prices to rise. - On the other hand, if Powell avoids committing to a rate cut at this meeting, citing recent rising inflation data, gold prices could fall. Gold typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments because it does not pay interest and its appeal increases when returns from other assets decline. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has recovered from the key $3,300 price point and is holding above $3,310, which is also the nearest support. However, the current recovery is not technically enough to create a short-term uptrend, or conditions for a sustained price increase. In terms of position, gold is under pressure with the 21-day EMA as the nearest resistance at around $3,340 – $3,350. If gold falls below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it will be eligible to open a new downtrend with a target of around $3,246 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. On the other hand, RSI is below 50, and the current 50 level acts as momentum resistance in the short term. If RSI slopes down, it will signal bearish momentum with more downside ahead. For gold to qualify for bullish expectations, it needs to at least push price action above EMA21, then retrace back to the price channels and finally break above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level to confirm bullish conditions. The upside target could be towards $3,400 in the short term, more like $3,430 – $3,450. For the day, the technical outlook for gold prices tends to lean more towards the downside, with the following notable points listed. Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD Resistance: 3,340 – 3,350 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3376 - 3374⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3380 →Take Profit 1 3368 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3362 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3280 - 3282⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3276 →Take Profit 1 3288 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3294
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
2
Gold at a Crossroads: $100 Drop Ahead or New All-Time High?Gold is now sitting at a critical decision zone near the $3300 level — a key bank-level area. If we see a daily candle close below this level, I anticipate a minimum drop of 1,000 pips, with the first major support around the $3220–$3200 range. The $3200 level is extremely significant, and I’ll discuss its importance more in future updates if necessary. On the flip side, if buyers step in and we get a daily close above $3300, I still believe it’s too early to jump into longs. The selling pressure remains quite obvious, and we’ve already seen multiple failed attempts to push beyond this level toward the $3500 all-time high. That tells me the orders at this level might be exhausted. Personally, I’ll only consider a long position if we get at least a clean 4-hour candle close above $3350. It’s going to be an exciting week ahead with high-impact data releases including ADP, Core PCE, the Federal Funds Rate — and most importantly, Friday’s NFP. 📌 Stay tuned for updates throughout the week! Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion!!!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mehrasfx
2
The rebound is weak, short orders intervene#XAUUSD After two consecutive trading days of volatility, gold finally began to fall under pressure near 3335. After breaking through the 3300 mark, the price of gold accelerated its decline, reaching a low of around 3268, and yesterday's daily line closed with a large negative line. 📊 Today's rebound is more likely to be based on the buffering performance of the impact of news. The ATR data also shows that the bullish momentum is slowly weakening in the short term. 🐻After digesting the impact of yesterday's news through rebound during the day, it may fall again in the future.📉 📎The primary focus today is 3305 above, which was also the high point of yesterday's pullback correction. If the gold price rebounds to 3305-3320 and encounters resistance and pressure,📉 you can consider shorting and look towards 3290-3270.🎯 If the short-term gold rebound momentum is strong and breaks through the 3305-3320 resistance area, it will be necessary to stop loss in time. Gold may be expected to touch yesterday's high resistance of 3330-3335, which is the second point to consider shorting during the day.💡 🚀 SELL 3305-3320 🚀 TP 3290-3270
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
2
GOLD REVERSALHello folks, most traders stop out on this idea right? lets get back to previous month opening price, for short idea stoploss above. 3440. But If you can wait for LONG below. maybe in the next 2 days. Goodluck. I prefer LONG? I will update once I see volumes on downtrend today or the next day. I only see short today. the volume is declining/exhausted. I predict reversal atm. ciao.. see the chart above. this is not a financial advice. trade it like its your own business.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by D1GITALTRADES
23
Gold suddenly increased sharply Hey everyone, let’s dive into what’s happening with XAUUSD! Gold is experiencing a remarkable rally this weekend, skyrocketing from the $3,285 zone to around $3,362 — gaining over 700 pips. This sharp move comes amid weakening U.S. labor market data, which has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates as early as September. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (August 1st), non-farm payrolls rose by just 73,000 jobs in July — well below economists’ expectations of 106,000. The disappointing figures have shaken confidence in the U.S. economy and placed pressure on the U.S. dollar, as markets increasingly anticipate a dovish shift from the Fed. For gold, this weak jobs report reinforces its role as a safe-haven asset, driving strong demand as investors seek protection from economic uncertainty. At the same time, lingering fears around global trade tensions and new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump continue to support the flight to safety. From a technical perspective, gold has broken out of its descending price channel and is moving fast. According to Dow Theory, a short-term correction may occur soon, but if price holds above key support levels, the rally could extend toward the $3,432 region — the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone. This move might mark the beginning of a new bullish phase after weeks of consolidation. What do you think — is gold just getting started?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
5
Will gold continue to fall on July 29: Comprehensive analysis of the gold market and trading strategy recommendations News analysis Short-term support factors Weakened US dollar: The market is in a wait-and-see mood before the Fed's interest rate meeting, and the US dollar bulls are temporarily suspended, providing support for interest-free assets such as gold. Safe-haven demand: Policy uncertainty (such as the Fed's interest rate decision) may trigger a short-term return of funds to gold. Repressive factors Trade situation easing: The US-EU tariff agreement, US-Japan and US-China trade progress boost risk appetite and weaken the safe-haven appeal of gold. Bull-bear game: Gold is currently at a balance between "macro game" and "technical adjustment", and needs to wait for the FOMC statement and economic data (GDP, PCE) to guide the direction. Technical analysis Long-term trend (monthly/weekly) Top signal appears: 3 consecutive months of long upper shadows (April-June). If the long upper shadow is closed again in July, it may confirm that the bears are dominant, and the market may drop to the 3000-2950 area in the future. Key resistance: 3400-3500 area is a historically strong pressure. Even if the Fed cuts interest rates to stimulate the rise, it may form a "lure to buy" and then reverse. Short-term key position (daily/4 hours) Bull-short watershed: 3350 is the short-term strong and weak boundary. If it breaks through, it will look up to 3370-3405; if it is under pressure, it will look down to 3330-3290. Oscillation characteristics: The recent long-short continuity is poor (such as last week's sharp rise and then a sharp drop), so be wary of repeated washes. Today's operation strategy Short-order opportunity Entry area: 3330-3340 (aggressive investors can arrange in batches), stop loss above 3350. Target position: 3290-3280, look at 3245 after breaking down. Long-order opportunity Pullback support: 3290-3280 light position to try long, stop loss below 3270, target 3310-3320 (short-term rebound). Breakthrough follow-up Break above 3350: Wait and see if it is a false breakthrough. If it stabilizes, you can buy short-term to 3370-3405 (need to cooperate with the Fed's dovish signal). Break below 3280: Be cautious when chasing shorts, avoid low-level sweeps, and pay attention to the support of 3245. Risk warning Federal Reserve decision: If the interest rate is cut but the "hawkish expectations" are released (such as the subsequent suspension of interest rate cuts), gold may rise and fall. Data impact: If GDP/PCE is stronger than expected, it may strengthen the US dollar and suppress gold prices. Summary: At present, gold is in a volatile bearish pattern. It is recommended to sell short at the rebound high as the main trading idea, and strictly stop loss. Conservatives can wait for the trend to become clear after the Fed's decision before making a layout.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Entry_Point
1
7.29 Gold 1-hour bottom signal appearsIn the short term, we see the daily line as the range of 3301-3345, and the current price is showing a volatile rebound, so we have to buy on dips. Then 3306-08 is the long point, but the price has risen in the morning, so the long position should be around 3310-12 in advance. If it falls below 3301 during the day, it will continue to test the 3292-3282 line downward. Similarly, if it breaks above 3345 during the day, it will continue to test 3372 upward and show a rebound trend in the next few days.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MichaeliaAly
1
Technical Analysis - Gold Rejected at ResistanceGold is currently trading around $3,341 after facing a strong rejection from the $3,438 resistance area. This rejection coincided with the upper boundary of the trend channel and the main resistance zone, which also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement levels. After the rejection, price fell below the descending trendline, indicating that short-term sellers have taken control. On the downside, the immediate support sits at $3,324, which has acted as a short-term bounce level. A break below this could push gold lower toward $3,281 and potentially $3,254, which are key Fibonacci extension support levels. On the upside, the immediate hurdle is at $3,355–$3,360 (descending trendline). A breakout above this area will be critical for any bullish recovery attempt toward $3,381–$3,394 and eventually $3,420–$3,438. At the moment, the short-term trend remains bearish because gold is trading below the descending resistance and showing lower highs. However, as long as gold holds above the $3,254 support zone, the medium-term structure remains neutral to bullish, giving bulls a chance if momentum shifts again. Last week candle is pin bar bearish candle which is showing bearish momentum at the moment. The candle shows rejection near $3,400–$3,450, aligning with the triangle’s upper resistance trendline. If gold cannot reclaim and hold above last week’s high, price may drift lower to retest support zones around $3,248–$3,150 before another breakout attempt. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
2
Gold Struggles at Resistance – Indicates Lower Lows AheadGold has been in a clear downtrend after facing a strong rejection around the 3,438 level (main resistance zone). Price is currently moving within a descending channel, confirming the formation of lower highs and lower lows – a classic bearish market structure. Currently, Gold is trading near 3,306, facing resistance at 3,339 (marked as a possible lower high). If price fails to break above this level and sustain, there is a strong probability of continuation towards 3,249 and even 3,216. Key Technical Highlights - Immediate Resistance: 3,339 – 3,353 - Support Levels: 3,301 (short-term), 3,249, and 3,216 A rejection near 3,339 can lead to another leg down targeting 3,249 and 3,216. However, a strong breakout above 3,339–3,353 could temporarily shift momentum towards 3,394. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
2