30/06 WILL WE SEE A RECOVERY ON THE LAST DAY OF THE MONTH? ↗️GOLD PLAN – 30/06: WILL WE SEE A RECOVERY ON THE LAST DAY OF THE MONTH? ☄️
✅ Macro Context – Focus on USD Debt and Political Pressure
Today marks the final trading day of June, and the U.S. faces a $6 trillion debt maturity from Covid-era borrowings, which may impact USD liquidity and market sentiment.
During the Asian session, gold experienced a sharp drop to the 32xx area before bouncing back and is now hovering near last week's close.
While the medium-term structure remains bearish, short-term signals suggest a potential reversal and recovery.
✅Political Catalyst:
→ Trump is pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to 1%-2%, stating he won’t appoint anyone unwilling to ease policy.
→ This raises expectations of future rate cuts, which could support gold prices in the near term.
✅ Technical Outlook – Multi-timeframe Structure
On the higher timeframes, gold continues to correct lower.
However, short-term candles are showing recovery momentum, with buyers absorbing around the 327x zone.
Today’s strategy: prioritize short-term BUY setups aligned with the recovery wave.
✔️Key Resistance & Support Levels
🔺Resistance: 3283 – 3291 – 3301 – 3322
🔻Support: 3277 – 3271 – 3259 – 3247
🔖Trade Scenarios
✅Buy Scalping
🔺Entry: 3272 – 3274
🔹SL: 3268
✔️TP: 3282 – 3288 – 3298
✅Buy Zone
🔺Entry: 3249 – 3251
🔹SL: 3244
✔️TP: 3265 – 3282 – 3295 – 3310
💠Sell Scalping
🔺Entry: 3298 – 3300
🔹SL: 3304
✔️TP: 3292 – 3282 – 3270
💠Sell Zone
🔺Entry: 3327 – 3329
🔹SL: 3333
✔️TP: 3322 – 3310 – 3298 – 3282
⚡️ Final Note
As this is the month-end session, expect possible volatility driven by USD flows and institutional rebalancing.
CFDGOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD: Is wave 4 complete?The view we had in past three weeks was a possibility of complex 4th wave and our short term bias was bearish. But price reacted and closed above 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level and therefore changed our bias to bullish(Technically 4th wave is complete). Another confluence was a clear 5 waves after the reaction on the 61.8 fib. Now two possibilities, either wave 2 is complete and we should expect price to continue up from current price level or a possibility of double 3 to push price down to atleast 61.8 Fib before continuation to the upside. To take advantage of this anticipated move a trader should either wait for price to drop to the golden zone or wait for price to breach the immediate high and retest.
XAUUSD POSSIBLE SHORTOn the technical view, the instrument is trading in a global bull trend on D1. It recently rejected for the 3rd time near a key zone and is now testing a supporting bullish trendline. If this is broken below and the subsequent support, it will be a good indication of a bearish movement.
Please do your own analysis before taking any trades.
Cheers and happy trading !!!
GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal and Breakout Target GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal and Breakout Target 🎯 ✨📈
🔍 Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart illustrates a clear bullish reversal pattern following a strong downtrend, with price reacting from a key support zone (highlighted in blue).
Multiple bullish rejection wicks and confirmation candles (green arrows) indicate buying interest at this support.
The recent higher low formation confirms shift in market structure towards bullish bias.
📌 Key Zones:
🟦 Support Zone: Around 3,280 – 3,320 USD
Price respected this zone multiple times (marked with orange circles), confirming its strength.
🟥 Resistance Zone / Target: 3,430 – 3,460 USD
This area aligns with previous swing highs and is the projected target for this bullish move.
📈 Chart Structure:
Break of descending trendline and bullish momentum above support suggests potential continuation towards the marked target.
Falling wedge breakout also aligns with reversal logic.
🎯 Price Target:
3,438.515 USD (resistance area), as labeled on chart with arrow and breakout projection.
🛑 Invalidation Level:
A sustained break below the support zone (3,280 USD) would invalidate this bullish outlook.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is exhibiting strong bullish behavior with confirmation from price action and structure break. As long as price sustains above support, the path toward 3,438 remains
ARE WE IN A BEAR MARKET, AT WHAT EXTENT?In this video, I attempt to explain the fractal similarities in the gold market five years apart and how we can use a best-fit model to predict the next stage of the current correction.
In the next video, I will investigate the results of our model.
Check back shortly
Short gold, it will fall again after reboundingToday, gold rebounded after hitting a low of around 3245, and rebounded all the way to a high of around 3296, with a rebound of more than $51. Although the strength of gold's rebound cannot be underestimated, since gold fell and broke through, the previous support has become a strong resistance under the top-bottom conversion effect. Under the influence of heavy resistance, the short trend of gold has become more obvious.
At present, gold faces resistance in the 3300-3310 area in the short term. Before breaking through this area upward, gold shorts still have an advantage, and it is possible to test the support of the 3260-3250 area again. Moreover, before the NFP market this week, gold may maintain a volatile trend, so after a sharp rebound in gold, the short force may be more expressive.
Therefore, in trading, we can appropriately consider shorting gold in the 3295-3305 area, and look at the target area: 3275-3265-3255
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
How to make accurate layout during gold volatility?Gold maintained a small range of fluctuations and consolidation rhythm today. In the morning, we arranged long orders at 3330-3331 and successfully exited at 3343. Affected by the ADP data, the gold price broke through 3345 and hit 3351. We also arranged short orders in the 3350-3351 area in time and are still holding positions. The focus of the support below is 3325-3315, which is the key position today. As long as this position is maintained, the long position will rebound and rise. Otherwise, it will fall into the battle for support at 3305-3295. In terms of operation, we continue to step back and do more.
From the current analysis of gold trend, the support below focuses on 3325-3315. The main bullish trend remains unchanged. Focus on the long-short watershed position of 3305-3295. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to step back and do more bullish rhythm.
GOLD LIQUIDITY MASTERCLASS: The Smart Money Playbook Revealed🧠 INSTITUTIONAL MINDSET
At $3,365: "Perfect! Time to sell into retail buying"
At $3,337: "Let's see how this plays out"
At $3,318: "Preparing for the hunt"
At $3,270: "Starting to accumulate"
At $3,245: "Loading the truck! This is what we've been waiting for"
🔍 LIQUIDITY ZONES DECODED: The Hidden Treasure Map
🎯 BELLOW SELL IF CLOSE CONFIRMED: $3,318
Significance: Close below = bears take control
Time Frame: 4H close confirmation needed
________________
🛡️ BUY ZONE & 1H OB: $3,270
The Fortress: Major institutional buy zone
Order Block Significance: 1H order block provides additional support
Risk/Reward Sweet Spot: Excellent entry for swing positions
_______________
⚡ BUY ZONE + ADD CONFIRMATION LIQUIDITY SWEEP: $3,245
The Ultimate Accumulation Zone: Where smart money loads up
_________ 🎯 STRATEGY _________
Entry: $3,238-$3,2440 (after liquidity sweep confirmation)
Stop Loss: $3,230 (below the sweep low)
Target 1: $3,290 (Risk:Reward 1:3)
Target 2: $3,320 (Risk:Reward 1:5)
Target 3: $3,365 (Risk:Reward 1:8)
🚨 RISK WARNING 🛡️ DYOR 🚨 DISCLAIMER - JUST FOR EDUCATION PROPOSAL ⚠️
Gold price analysis July 2As expected, after the D1 candle showed the return of buying power, yesterday's trading session saw the price continue its upward trend and reach 3357.
Currently, the market is in an accumulation phase with a fairly wide range, fluctuating from 3328 to 3344. This is an important price zone, acting as a "sideway box" waiting for a breakout.
The priority strategy at this time is still trend trading - activated when the price breaks out of the above accumulation zone.
BUY orders will have a high probability of success if the price adjusts and retests the Support or Resistance zones that have just been broken, then forms a confirmation signal.
Meanwhile, SELL orders around resistance should only be considered a recovery strategy in an uptrend - requiring strict risk management and short-term profit expectations.
Breakout Range: 3328 – 3344
Support: 3310 – 3298
Resistance: 3368 – 3386
Potential NFP tonightThe markets are currently bracing for a softer-than-expected NFP print, driven by weak ADP data and U.S. demographic headwinds. If the numbers come in below consensus, it would open the door for USD‑short trades and entries into gold or equity indices. Conversely, a stronger release would warrant watching for a rebound in the dollar and Treasury yields. This report will also shape expectations around Fed policy and the likelihood of a rate cut in September.
XAUUSD Traders – The ONLY Timeframes That Matter🎓 XAUUSD Traders – The ONLY Timeframes That Matter
If you want to stop being a liquidity snack for the big players, you must know which timeframes actually reveal what the market makers are doing.
Here’s your complete educational guide for XAUUSD:
⸻
🔍 1️⃣ The 4-Hour (4H) – The Market Maker Blueprint
✅ Why Watch It?
This is where the real accumulation and distribution happens.
Market makers build and unwind positions over multiple sessions—London and New York.
If you want to see the big plan, this is your chart.
✅ What to Look For:
• Strong rejection candles near key resistance (3330–3350).
• Fake breakouts with no follow-through.
• EMA21 and SMA50 acting as dynamic resistance.
• High-volume candles marking where the big boys stepped in.
🎯 Tip: If the 4H chart is bearish, every bounce on smaller timeframes is suspect.
⸻
⏰ 2️⃣ The 1-Hour (1H) – Timing the Trap
✅ Why Watch It?
1H is perfect for seeing the moment the trap is set.
This is when price pumps into resistance or dumps below support—just enough to trigger stops.
✅ What to Look For:
• Quick rallies on low volume (pump phase).
• Reversal candles forming right after a breakout.
• Delta flipping negative as price pushes higher (hidden selling).
🎯 Tip: Combine 4H structure with 1H confirmation—this is where precision timing happens.
⸻
🎯 3️⃣ The 15-Minute (15M) – Entry Execution
✅ Why Watch It?
15M shows micro-structure and liquidity hunts.
This is where you confirm whether that big 1H candle was real—or just a head fake.
✅ What to Look For:
• Sharp wicks that stop out traders (liquidity flush).
• Tight consolidation after a failed breakout.
• Rejection patterns before price reverses.
🎯 Tip: Use the 15M to pull the trigger—not to overthink.
⸻
📅 4️⃣ The Daily – Bias Confirmation
✅ Why Watch It?
Daily sets the macro tone.
You must know whether you’re fighting the bigger wave.
✅ What to Look For:
• Where price closed relative to EMA21 and SMA50.
• Big bearish engulfing candles.
• Volatility expanding or contracting.
🎯 Tip: If daily is bearish, you have extra confirmation to fade pumps.
⸻
⚔️ How to Combine These Timeframes
Here’s the professional workflow:
1️⃣ Daily – Define bullish or bearish bias.
2️⃣ 4H – Spot the setup zone (accumulation or distribution).
3️⃣ 1H – Watch the trap unfold.
4️⃣ 15M – Execute your entry with surgical precision.
✅ This is how you stop chasing noise and start trading structure.
⸻
💡 Pro Wisdom:
“Retail traders react to price. Professionals react to price and context.”
— Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits
⸻
🚀 Trade smart. Study structure. Outsmart the herd.
#XAUUSD #ForexEducation #PriceActionTrading #MarketMakerSecrets #LearnToTrade
GOLD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅GOLD is trading in a
Downtrend and the price is
Making a typical rebound but
After the horizontal resistance
Level above around 3,300$ is
Retested we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Early Session Dynamics:
Gold rebounded in today’s early trading after finding support at the prior low of 3245, aligning with our weekly forecast. The intraday strategy prioritizes a low-level rebound correction, with short positions to be initiated at resistance levels.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: 3295–3308
Support: 3250–3240
4-Hour Chart Perspective:
The market remains weak with high volatility. The double-bottom effect at 3245 is unconfirmed, and no bottoming pattern has emerged. Thus, the week’s initial outlook is for a range-bound oscillation between 3308 and 3240:
A rebound opportunity exists as long as 3240 holds.
A break above 3308 could trigger upward momentum.
Intraday Trading Strategy:
Lacking follow-through in the European session, the short-term trend is viewed as range-bound
Sell@3305-3295
TP:3285-3250
buy@3250-3260
TP:3285-3300
XAUUSD - BUY - Scalp
1. Market Structure & Trend
Recent Downtrend: The left side of the chart shows a sharp, persistent decline, with price breaking through multiple support levels.
Base Formation: After the selloff, gold found support (marked “Spring” and “SC”—Selling Climax) and began consolidating, forming a base.
Reversal Signs: The chart shows classic Wyckoff accumulation signals:
SC (Selling Climax): Panic selling exhausts sellers.
Spring: Final shakeout, trapping late shorts.
AR (Automatic Rally): First strong bounce.
SOS (Sign of Strength): Bullish breakout above resistance.
2. Key Levels & Zones
Support: Thick blue and black horizontal lines mark major support zones where price reversed.
Target: The blue label at 3,318.571 marks a major upside target, aligning with a prior high and a confluence of resistance.
3. Volume & Order Flow
Volume Profile: The red/blue histogram on the left shows heavy volume at lower prices, indicating accumulation. Lower volume above suggests less resistance if price rallies.
4. RSI & Momentum
Recently rebounded from oversold (below 30), supporting the bullish reversal.
Sign of Strength (SOS): Confirms buyers are in control for now.
Actionable Insights
Short-term: Bullish momentum is strong; price is likely to test the 3,318 resistance zone.
In summary:
If momentum holds, a breakout could trigger further upside; if not, a pullback or consolidation is likely.
Analysis and layout of gold trend at the end of the month📰 News information:
1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month
2. Impact of geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
From the beginning of the decline of gold near 3338 on Friday to today's lowest point near 3244, gold has fallen by nearly $94. At present, gold has rebounded as expected. In the short term, I think we have two key areas to pay attention to. The first is the position of 3290-3295, which is a 50% rebound, and the second is the upper top range limit range of 3300-3320. Of course, if it breaks through 3280 and then retreats, it can also be long twice, but the current price rebounds, considering the position of the temporary low long position, there is not much trading opportunity. First look at the key areas given to find opportunities for shorting, and pay attention to the opportunity of retreating to 3280-3270 below.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3290-3295
TP 3380-3370
SELL 3300-3310-3320
TP 3290-3280-3270
BUY 3270-3260
TP 3290-3300
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – July 3, 2025The chart of gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe shows that the price is moving within a corrective range after a strong bullish wave during which gold reached levels above $3,368 per ounce. Following a rejection from the resistance area near 3,365–3,368, the price began a downward correction and is currently stabilizing around the support zone at 3,344–3,343.
The price is now testing a key support area. If it holds above this zone, we may see a rebound toward the 3,363 and 3,365 resistance levels. A breakout above 3,368 could restore bullish momentum and open the way for new highs.
However, if the current support at 3,343 breaks, the bearish scenario would be favored, with potential targets at the next support levels around 3,336 and 3,329.
Likely Scenario: As long as gold holds above 3,343, the bullish bias remains valid. We will monitor price action at this area to confirm a possible rebound.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3,343 – 3,336 – 3,329
Resistance: 3,363 – 3,365 – 3,368
This is a short-term analysis and depends on the price reaction at the current support zone.
XAUUSD - Trading Plan 4-Hour Analysis and ProjectionThis 4-hour candlestick chart of Gold against the US Dollar highlights key Wyckoff market phases and technical levels that frame the current market structure. The analysis identifies significant points including the Buying Climax (BC), Upthrust (UT), Second Test (ST), and Automatic Reaction (AR), which mark essential phases of accumulation and distribution.
Multiple Dow swing counts (Dow-1, Dow-2, Dow-3) are annotated with various colors, illustrating the market’s internal structure and momentum shifts. The chart shows a failed upthrust after distribution, signaling a likely bearish pressure following the attempt to push prices higher.
The current price action indicates a potential retracement to the support zone near the Automatic Reaction level, followed by possible continuation up to recent highs. The plan suggests watching for a minor pullback around area A, after which a bullish move is expected to resume, targeting higher resistance levels as indicated by the projected price movement arrows.
This trading plan emphasizes careful observation of price reactions around key support and resistance levels derived from Wyckoff methodology phases, aiming to capture potential bullish continuation or prepare for bearish scenarios if support fails.
==============
Dow Theory & Wyckoff
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,341.44 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold price range: 3310-3360Gold price range: 3310-3360
Spot gold fell to $3311.65 during the session, but it is still fluctuating above the key support level of $3310, and the current price is around 3340.
As shown in the figure:
The latest triangle convergence range oscillation pattern has been shown to everyone
Key pressure area: 3355-3360
Key support area: 3310-3320
It is expected to enter a range oscillation pattern on Friday.
Due to the US Independence Day holiday, today's gold price trend is more affected by the performance of the Asian session.
According to analysis and observation, the gold price showed a pull-up or oscillating upward trend in the Asian session this week.
Most of the factors that led to the rise in gold prices this week can be attributed to the pull-up rhythm in the Asian session.
According to Chinese news reports: China has suspended holdings of gold, but Turkey and India are still buying.
In other words, the main factors for this week's rise are Turkey and India.
At present, the range of gold price fluctuations will become narrower and narrower, and it is unlikely that a new general direction will appear this week.
Then the corresponding strategy is:
In the oscillation range of 3310-3360, use oscillation thinking to trade
Short at high level, stop loss at 3365
Long at low price, stop loss at 3300
The author prefers the idea of short at high price