NAS100 - EXPECTING THE DUMPTeam, we got short well today with AUS200 - both target hit
we have set up the NAS entry , this is the entry price 23268 - 23200
STOP LOSS at 23100
Once it break above 23320 - bring stop loss to BE
Target 1 at 23320-60 - take 50%-70& partial
Target 2 at 23380-23400
LETS GO
US100 trade ideas
We Got The Deal - Time To Sell The NewsOkay, so we have the long-awaited deal between the US and the EU. After a large up-gap was announced last night, it now seems as if a “sell the facts” scenario is unfolding.
Such a wave of selling would also fit in well with the typical seasonal weakness that we often see in the markets from August onwards.
NAS/TEC100 - LETS GET NASTY ON NAS100Team, NAS currently sitting at 23480, before the US market open
however during the market open, please be aware of the volatility that may hit your stop loss
You have 2 options to trade on this NAS- NASTY
Option 1: wait for market open, if it hits 23500-23515 - then short with stop loss at 23580
Option 2: Short at the current market with small volume - and if the market open with volatile, you can take another advantage of shorting more volume as per option 1 instructed.
OK, pick your strategy! do NOT be shy.
I am going to have small short position and will consider adding more during US market opening after 5-10 minutes, much easier to see the direction of the market - we do LIVE trading everyday. Please note: if NAS fall below 23450-40 bring stop loss to BE (Break even)
1st TARGET range: 23435-23416 - make sure take 70% volume
2nd target at 23390 to 23376
Why do I short on NAS when tomorrow rate decision, i think this quarter report, market will not be the same as last quarter, even rate cut!
COULD THE NAS100 BREAKOUT THIS IMPORTANT FIB LEVEL?As examined similar to the SPX500, NAS100 has already reached the fib extension target of 0.618 and facing a resistance. There are indicator divergences on the weekly down to the 4H time frames suggestion a potential correction in likely soon. My thesis for this week is that NAS100 could briefly push through the resistance and clear liquidity above the fib resistance with a capitulation candle before a correction. Therefore the trade idea is caution to the upside as there are no major reversal candle yet on higher time frame but indicators are blowing warning horns so apply tight stop loss on the trade plan this week while watching for a reversal confirmation on the 4H or daily charts.
Nasdaq Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index rose following yesterday’s Fed decision and is currently trading near 23,700 USD.
1️⃣ The most likely scenario is a pullback to retest the 23,570 USD zone, or even 23,500 USD, before resuming its upward movement toward a new high.
2️⃣ However, if the price breaks below 23,500 USD and holds, it could trigger a decline toward 23,350 USD, followed by 23,200 USD.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
NAS100 MAY FORM THE BEARISH HEAD AND SHOULDERS.NAS100 MAY FORM THE BEARISH HEAD AND SHOULDERS.
NAS100 has been trading sideways since the beginning of the week, forming local highs with lows staying at same price for the most part. The price seem to form the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern
What is a Head and Shoulders?
A Head and Shoulders pattern is a reversal chart pattern signaling a potential trend change. It consists of three peaks: two lower "shoulders" and a higher "head" in the middle, connected by a "neckline" (support level). A bullish (inverse) Head and Shoulders forms at a downtrend's end, signaling an uptrend; a bearish Head and Shoulders forms at an uptrend's end, signaling a downtrend.
Currently the SMA50 is pushing on NAS100 from above, while SMA200 is supporting the price. In case the SMA200 on 30-m minutes timeframe gets broken, we may see the decline towards 23,200.00 support level.
NAS100 - How will the stock market react to the FOMC meeting?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. The target for this move will be the ceiling of the channel, but if it corrects towards the indicated support area, you can buy Nasdaq with better reward-risk.
As signs of easing global trade tensions begin to emerge, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet this week. Analysts widely expect the Fed to hold interest rates steady for a fifth consecutive time. This anticipated decision comes as the U.S. President continues to push for rate cuts, persistently pressuring the Fed to adopt a more accommodative monetary stance.
So far, the Federal Reserve has kept its benchmark rate within a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. While some officials project two cuts by the end of the year, markets are waiting for the Fed’s patience to run out. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, investors have priced in a 62% chance of a rate cut in the September meeting. By then, the Fed will have access to the July and August employment reports—key indicators of whether the labor market is weakening or remains resilient.
The upcoming week marks the peak of Q2 earnings season, with 37% of S&P 500 companies reporting results, including four major tech firms. In parallel, the August 1st tariff deadline for the EU and other countries is approaching, while legal challenges over existing tariffs remain ongoing.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, many large U.S. corporations have so far absorbed the bulk of tariff-related costs without passing them on to consumers. This strategy aims to maintain market share and avoid drawing criticism from President Trump. However, the question remains—how long can this continue?
Examples from the report include:
• General Motors paid over $1 billion in tariffs in Q2 alone without announcing any price hikes.
• Nike expects a $1 billion hit from tariffs this fiscal year and is planning price increases.
• Hasbro is working on a combination of price hikes and cost cuts to offset $60 million in tariff impacts.
• Walmart has made slight pricing adjustments (e.g., bananas rising from $0.50 to $0.54) and managed pressure through inventory reductions.
This week is shaping up to be one of the busiest on the economic calendar in recent months. A flood of key data on growth, inflation, and employment, alongside three major interest rate decisions, has markets on high alert.
On Tuesday, attention will turn to two significant reports: the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index for July. These metrics will offer a clearer view of labor market dynamics and household sentiment heading into critical monetary policy decisions.
The most anticipated day is Wednesday. That day brings the ADP private payrolls report, the first estimate of Q2 GDP, and pending home sales data. Additionally, both the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve will announce rate decisions—events with the potential to simultaneously steer global market trajectories.
On Thursday, the July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index will be released—a key inflation gauge closely monitored by the Fed. Weekly jobless claims data will also be published that day.
The week concludes Friday with two heavyweight economic indicators: July’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, a crucial input for Fed policy decisions, and the ISM Manufacturing PMI, which offers insights into the health of the real economy.
Some economists argue that a September rate cut may be premature, and even suggest that no rate changes might occur in 2025. Analysts expect Fed Chair Jerome Powell to reiterate a data-dependent stance, consistent with previous meetings.
Still, beyond political dynamics, the July meeting holds independent significance.The Fed’s internal policy tone is gradually leaning more dovish, and subtle signals of this shift may emerge in the final statement. Given that only one meeting remains before September, if policymakers are leaning toward a rate cut then, it’s critical that the groundwork for such communication be laid now.
Beyond the Chart – NAS100 Through Technicals & Fundamentals📊 CAPITALCOM:US100 Analysis
Today, NAS100 opened with a huge gap up following former President Trump’s announcement that the U.S. has officially reached a trade agreement with the European Union.
🕳️ After price rejected the gap zone, and volume gets low low. I’m now looking for a potential test of the 23,540 level.
💼 With Q2 earnings season kicking off, stock-moving news will be hitting fast. While retail traders might scramble to catch up, smart money is already positioning for surprise earnings beats.
Stay sharp, this week could set the tone for the next major move.
"NASDAQ 100 Heist – Scalp, Swing, or Hold? (Full Plan)🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST PLAN – BULLISH LOOT AWAITS! 🔥
🚨 Attention Market Robbers & Money Makers! 🚨
(Swing/Day Trade Strategy – High-Risk, High-Reward Play)
🎯 Mission Objective: Loot the NDX100/US100 (NASDAQ 100) Like a Pro!
Based on Thief Trading’s ruthless technical & fundamental analysis, we’re executing a bullish heist—targeting the Red Zone (high-risk, high-reward area).
⚠️ WARNING: Overbought market, consolidation zone, potential bear traps—weak bears may get slaughtered! Strong hands only!
🔐 ENTRY: The Vault is OPEN!
"SWIPE THE BULLISH LOOT!" – Any price is a steal, but smart thieves use:
Buy Limit Orders (15m-30m TF) near recent swing lows/highs.
DCA/Layering Strategy – Multiple limit orders for max loot.
Breakout Confirmation – Don’t jump in early; wait for the real move!
🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Stash!
Thief’s SL Rule: Nearest 4H swing low (22,600) – WICK LEVEL ONLY!
DO NOT place SL before breakout! (Patience = Profit.)
Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders.
🎯 TARGETS: Escape Before the Cops Arrive!
Main Take-Profit: 24,400 (or exit early if momentum fades).
Scalpers: Longs ONLY! Use trailing SL to lock in profits.
Swing Traders: Ride the wave like a true market pirate!
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP: Why This Heist Will Work
Bullish momentum in NDX100 driven by:
Macro trends (Fed, inflation, tech earnings).
COT Report & Institutional positioning.
Geopolitical & Sentiment Shifts.
Intermarket correlations (USD, Bonds, Tech Sector).
(Stay updated—markets change FAST!)
⚠️ TRADING ALERT: News = Danger Zone!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your best friend.
Lock profits early if volatility spikes!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥
👉 Hit LIKE & FOLLOW to strengthen our robbery crew!
🚀 More heists coming soon—stay tuned, thieves! 🚀
Longs then short - $$$🚀 Caught the Bottom. 🔻 Sold the Top.
Same chart. Same system. Same day.
While most traders were guessing,
ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion was sniping both ends on the US Tech 100.
📍 Long Signal:
At the dead low — green UP arrow fired.
The reversal followed instantly. Momentum exploded.
📍 Short Signal:
At the top of the rally — red DOWN printed.
Perfect spot. Price reversed hard within 1 candle.
⸻
🎯 How It Works:
✔️ Combines RSI overshoots + volatility reversion
✔️ Filters false signals using structure + time of day
✔️ Works on any index or FX pair
✔️ Real-time signals. No lag. No repainting.
⸻
💡 These weren’t “lucky trades.”
They were high-probability SETUPS.
Backed by logic. Confirmed by RSI extremes.
And now? Proven on the chart.
⸻
👉 Want to catch the next reversal like this?
💬 DM me “USTEC” or drop a 🚀
🔒 Access is limited to serious traders only.
📲 Follow for daily setups & training.
Nasdaq Short: Completion of 5 waves with wave 5=wave 1Over here, I present a short case for Nasdaq (and S&P500 by default since their correlations are high). The main reasons are:
1. Completion of 5 waves structure both on the high degree and on low degree, as shown in the chart.
2. Fibonacci measurement where wave 1 = wave 5.
The stop of this idea is to be placed slightly above the high, in this case, I placed it at around 23320. The take profit target is at the bottom of primary wave 4, around 20685.
Take note that this is a positional short, meaning the strategy is to short and hold and periodically adjust your stop loss based on unfolding on wave structure. Sizing is based on your risk tolerance.
Good luck!
Do you want to keep buying NAS100?📉 Sell-Side Bias Activated
After PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 confirming the trend shift with a clean Break of Structure (BOS) and a strong rejection from the FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone, price failed to hold above 23,275.
This move validated the liquidity sweep and imbalance fill. Multiple FVGs stacked above suggest premium pricing and further downside potential.
🧠 I’m now watching for continuation setups toward discount zone. Especially below 23,100 and possibly targeting the lower FVG region.
This is a classic smart money play, manipulation, BOS, FVG retest, and selloff.
🔻Bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: Liquidity pools below 23,100
🛑 Invalidated above 23,280 (structure reclaim)
NAS100 steadies at high levels, pay attention nextThe most recent move on NAS100 saw a sharp drop that briefly recovered, likely triggering stops before aggressively reversing from the lower boundary of the newly projected channel. This isn't a cause for concern, on the contrary, it's another opportunity to get involved.
That is because this drop and recovery is a common behavior in strong uptrends before resuming bullish momentum.
The market is likely in the early stages of a new impulsive leg to the upside right here.
We could either have short-term consolidation or pullback, then a continuation toward the upper channel boundary or straight upwards, and with NAS100, the latter is more plausible.
My target will be at 23,300 around the upper boundary of the projected channel resistance.
In this context, the market remains bullish clearly. The most interesting aspect is the emotional flush on the last drop, trapping sellers before fueling what could be another big leg up.