Nasdaq 100 SPOT forum
US100 US100 Market Update: Anticipating Key Levels and ScenariosAnalyzing the lower timeframes, we see that 21,623 marked the 100% Fibonacci extension for the current upward bullish move on the 2-hour timeframe, initiated after the structure break on January 15, 2025. Following this, a higher low at 21,000 was formed on January 16, aligning with an order block from our previous idea, leading to the recent rally.
Key Scenarios to Watch
1. Continued Upward Movement:
• The next targets are 21,771 (as projected in recent analyses) and potentially 22,000. While reaching 22,000 may require additional momentum, it is within the realm of possibility if bullish pressure intensifies.
2. Retracement Scenarios:
• If the market retraces, key levels to watch include:
• 0.382 Fibonacci retracement: Aligns with a 1-hour order block, offering a potential support zone.
• 0.5 Fibonacci retracement: Also coincides with a 1-hour order block, strengthening its importance.
• 0.618 Fibonacci retracement: Less likely to hold as support due to lack of confluence with significant levels. A breach here increases the probability of revisiting the 0.786 level at 21,158.
3. Likely Pullback Target:
• A move down to 21,300 is anticipated, where we’ll begin looking for long setups.
• If support holds at 21,411, the structural low will form around 21,374, providing another potential entry zone.
Risk-to-Reward Analysis for Aggressive Buyers
• For aggressive buyers, a bounce at 21,402 (near a 1-hour order block) could offer an entry:
• Stop Loss: Around 21,338, coinciding with the 4-hour order block bottom and the ascending trendline.
• Take Profit: Targeting 21,688–21,700, with potential extension to 22,000 if momentum permits.
Macro Considerations: BOJ Announcement (January 24)
The upcoming BOJ announcement could have significant implications for global liquidity, particularly for Nasdaq.
• Impact of Rate Hikes:
• If the BOJ raises rates, it could reduce global liquidity, affecting risk-on assets like Nasdaq. However, institutional investors are likely prepared given the BOJ’s transparency in recent communications.
• Retail traders not paying attention to the BOJ’s updates are more likely to be caught off guard.
• Market Dynamics:
• While news itself doesn’t break market structure, major macroeconomic events such as this can influence the trajectory and must be considered when planning trades.
Conclusion
Our base expectation is a pullback to the 21,300 level, with potential wicks extending to 21,250, before resuming an upward move toward 22,000. The BOJ announcement remains a key event to monitor, and if they do not Raise Rates this could be very beneficial for liquidity and so the NASDAQ 100.
Stay patient, and as always, trade with proper risk management and confluence-driven entries. Good luck!
NDQ so finally no volatility occur 2day
NAS100 To continue being bullish must close above 21497.. Moving resistance level.. Will be tough. Oanda prices not pepperstone
NDX democrats are bullish
XAUUSD US100 
US30 
US500 
BTCUSD The Importance of Stop-Loss Placement and Market StructureOne of the most critical aspects of trading is understanding liquidity engineering by smart money and market makers. Moves in the market require liquidity, and this often results in price targeting areas with concentrated stop-losses. Here’s how you can systematically approach stop-loss placement to avoid falling into common traps.
Stop-Loss Placement and Structural Importance
• Avoid Emotional Placement: Place stop-losses in structurally significant areas, not based on arbitrary or emotional decisions.
• Structural Key Points:
• If the market is in a range caused by a bearish break of structure, your stop-loss should be beyond the high that caused the displacement.
• If price surpasses this high, it indicates a structural shift, suggesting the market is no longer bearish.
Liquidity Sweeps and Retail Psychology
• Market Dynamics:
• Price frequently targets areas with clustered stop-losses, often just above or below a range. This phenomenon, called a liquidity sweep, is a deliberate move to gather liquidity before reversing.
• Retail traders often place stop-losses just beyond the range, making it easy to predict their locations.
• Common Misconception:
• Contrary to popular belief, hedge funds and institutions cannot “see” your stop-losses. However, based on market psychology, it is not difficult to anticipate where the majority of retail stop-losses are placed.
Practical Strategies for Stop-Loss Placement
1. Understand Market Structure:
• Identify levels that invalidate your trade thesis. For longs, this is typically the structural low, and for shorts, the structural high.
2. Use ATR (Average True Range):
• Add the ATR value to the structural low or high to account for market noise and volatility.
• This ensures your stop-loss is not hit prematurely while maintaining a systematic approach.
Risk-Reward and Trade Selection
• Focus on Positive Risk-to-Reward Ratios:
• Your risk-to-reward should always exceed 2:1 to accommodate larger stop-losses while maintaining profitability.
• If the setup does not offer a favorable ratio, do not adjust the stop-loss to force the trade. Instead, look for a new opportunity.
• Systematic Discipline:
• Keep your process systematic. Only take trades that align with your strategy and offer the correct risk-reward dynamics.
• Avoid the temptation to tweak stop-losses or take-profits to fit a setup that doesn’t meet your criteria.
Key Takeaways
• Be Systematic: Trading success comes from consistency and a systematic approach, not from emotional decision-making.
• Learn Market Structure: Understand what levels invalidate a trade idea and use these as the basis for stop-loss placement.
• Use ATR for Precision: Account for volatility to avoid being stopped out unnecessarily.
• Focus on Risk-Reward: Always ensure your trades align with a positive risk-to-reward framework; otherwise, skip the trade.
By incorporating these principles into your trading, you can avoid common retail mistakes and develop a more professional, profitable approach over time.
NDX officially, Wall street didn't open trading today.. so its algosDamn!
US100 US100 Market Update: Capturing Opportunities Across BiasesWe hope everyone has been closely following our recent ideas. Our approach transcends a single market bias—we aim to extract opportunities in all market conditions. Recently, we successfully capitalized on the short from 21,700, profited from a counter long, and are now seeing further gains for those who traded the breakout.
Current Market Status
At present, we are not personally in a trade, as we prefer to exercise patience and await the anticipated pullback. Despite this, the market exhibits potential for higher levels as FOMO-driven buying continues to dominate.
For those with lower entries around 21,200, congratulations on securing a high-quality risk-reward setup. To maximize your gains, we recommend employing a trailing stop loss, which allows profits to grow while safeguarding against potential reversals. As Paul Tudor Jones wisely advises:
“Run with your winners, cut your losses.”
Too often, traders prematurely cut winning trades while allowing losses to run—discipline and strategy are key to avoiding this pitfall.
Anticipated Market Movement
• Near-Term FOMO: We anticipate the market will test higher levels as momentum and retail buying enthusiasm persist.
• Correction After FOMO: A minor correction is likely to follow—not a deep retracement, but enough to align with our identified levels.
• Entry Strategy: Once the correction occurs, we will seek long positions upon confirmation of a bullish break of structure on lower timeframes.
Key Advice
Discipline and adherence to a well-defined plan remain crucial. The financial markets handle trillions of dollars daily, and no one can predict every movement with certainty. This is why diversification and flexibility are critical. Trading only one asset or maintaining a singular bias is akin to running straight on a circular track—it’s unsustainable without adaptation.
We provide ideas across multiple markets to ensure diversification. Recently, our notable trades in USDJPY, GBPJPY, and EURAUD have captured 1,000+ pip movements, delivering substantial rewards to our followers. This success is a testament to the power of pre-defined analysis and disciplined execution.
Thank you for your continued support. Let’s continue to navigate the markets with clarity, precision, and adaptability, ensuring everyone can benefit from the opportunities ahead.
NAS100USD Price is currently at my 23.6% Fib Level and guess what?
That is the last level before the 0% which is the ATH...
Now is the time to be patient and wait for that entry...
Ideal scenario is a return to 38% for another buy entry, but will trade only what the market confirms...
Like I said...it's a marathon...not a sprint....
HLs to HHs Guaranteed!...just be patient
NAS100USD thanks for playing yallNAS100USD Just for those who are looking for something to spring on...
I am out of the market...this does not mean that I am done trading...
If I see my setup, I will take it once it is in line with my established guidelines.
Just know that I am not jumping into buys here as I no longer chase the price around...
Here is a trick i have learned..
*** If you see a strong buy going on an you are not in it, rather than chase the price and enter from a high position...Wait for a low point...you already know the price will always go back and break it...the more patient you are is the easier it gets...trust me...***
#oneauberstrategy
Here is the blueprint:
1. Buy on your largest HL
2. TP on your HH
3. If you only get a LH (TP and wait for another HL)
4. Repeat the process everytime...it never fails (guaranteed)
#oneauberstrategy
