US30 Fell for an intraday Short opportunityUS30 failed to rally and corrected some more to provide a nice intraday short.
US30 trade ideas
US30 Go Short Again It created a double top and trend breakout
Do not over-trade
Follow risk Management
Once trade in 300 pips profit, move SL to Breakeven
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DOW JONES starting a bullish streak to 48500.Dow Jones / US30 is trading inside a Channel Up since August 2022 and is right now on the 3rd straight green 1week candle.
Even though it is approaching the top of this 2.5 year pattern, the upcoming Bullish Cross on the 1week MACD indicates that the rally that is starting could be of a similar magnitude like November 2023 and October 2022.
Consequently, we expect this to reach at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension on a diverging Channel Up.
Target 48500.
Previous chart:
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NFP Feb 25 - US30 NFP Trading Plan Feb 2025.
Weaker NFP data with higher UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bullish)
Higher NFP data with Lower UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bearish)
Weaker NFP data with Neutral UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Choppy)
NFP - Forecast 169K vs Previous 256K
Unemployment Claims - Forecast 4.1% vs Previous 4.1%
Here's the tricky Part. If data comes out as expected (NFP 169K - UEC 4.1%) thats Bullish, but a choppy market up & down until market finds a valid support/trend.
Plan Of Action.
Wait 5 - 15 min after data release.
Identify the S&R zones. Wait for Break or Retest.
Wait for confirmation (Candle close/Volume Break/Retest).
Execute with Proper Risk Management.
STICK TO PLAN OF ACTION!!!
Support & Resistence
Resistence - 44725 - 44750
Support - 44525 -44500
Technicals
Monitor DXY for a weaker Dollar. Currently on the 4hr DXY chart we got a H&S Pattern with MA20 downside cross MA50 and RSI in sell area below 50.
US30 we inverted H&S Pattern with MA20 trading close to MA50 for upside cross and RSI in Buy area above 50.
Pre-News & Pre-Market Open Analysis: US30 Great morning to you all!
Pre-News & Pre-Market Open Analysis:
Key Levels to Watch:
Identify confluences between your weekly (green), hourly (blue), and 15-minute (yellow) Fib levels.
Look for areas where multiple levels align—these are strong reaction zones.
Identify strong support/resistance levels from previous highs and lows.
News Event Considerations (7:30 AM CT):
Volatility will increase near the release.
Expect potential liquidity grabs before the real move happens.
Consider waiting for the first reaction before entering any trades.
Indicators Check:
RSI: Currently at ~53, suggesting neutral momentum—watch for overbought/oversold zones.
MACD: Looks like it's slightly negative, suggesting a pullback or weak momentum. If it starts crossing bullish, that could indicate a potential reversal.
Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band—watch for a potential retracement if momentum weakens.
Game Plan:
Before the News:
Mark potential trade setups based on your fib confluences.
Avoid early entries—let the market show its direction first.
After the News Release:
If price spikes into a key level (like a strong fib resistance/support), wait for confirmation (e.g., candlestick pattern or RSI divergence).
If market trends strongly after the release, look for pullbacks to enter in the direction of momentum.
Based on your chart and the Fibonacci retracements, here’s how we can mark potential trade zones:
Key Trade Zones to Watch:
1. Resistance Zones (Potential Sell Areas)
Around 45,000 - 45,085:
This aligns with a previous high and is near the weekly fib 0.786 - 0.886 zone.
If price spikes here after news, look for rejection signs (e.g., wicks, RSI divergence, or MACD weakening).
44,810 - 44,850 (Mid-range Resistance):
Overlap of 1H fib 0.618 level and the EMA zone.
If price rejects from this level before the news, it could indicate a weaker bullish push.
2. Support Zones (Potential Buy Areas)
44,574 - 44,483 (Major Support Zone):
1H Fib 0.618 + Weekly Fib 0.382 confluence.
If price drops here after the news, watch for bullish confirmations (strong candle closes, RSI oversold).
44,380 - 44,250 (Deep Pullback Buy Zone):
1H Fib 0.786 - 0.886 level and aligns with past consolidation.
If news causes a liquidity sweep, this could be a strong reversal area.
Trading Approach:
Pre-News:
No aggressive entries; observe price reaction to key levels.
During News:
Expect liquidity grabs and fakeouts before a real trend is set.
Post-News:
If price rejects from resistance → Look for sell setups.
If price drops to strong support zones and holds → Look for buy setups.
Kepp in mind this is just. a pre-market analisys, onces the news have passed we will have a better understanding of what the market can head towares too!
comment your thoughts down bellow.
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Regards,
Nozuk
US30 Potential Sell - Wait for confirmation US30 Trading Strategy 🚀📊
📌 Market Overview
🔹 Price Action: Hovering near Fib 0.5 (44,805.5) & Fib 0.618 (44,861.2) – critical resistance zone.
🔹 RSI (51.88): Neutral ⚖️ – not overbought, not oversold.
🔹 MACD: Histogram turning green 📈 – possible bullish momentum, but no strong confirmation yet.
🔹 Bollinger Bands: Price near the mid-band 📊 – no extreme conditions.
🟥 SELL Setup (If Price Rejects Resistance)
🔻 Wait for a bearish rejection at 44,805 - 44,980 (wicks, engulfing candles).
🔻 Sell Entry: Below 44,805 after confirmation.
🔻 Stop Loss (SL): Above 44,980 ❌.
🔻 Take Profit (TP):
🎯 First target: 44,680 (lower Bollinger Band).
🎯 Second target: 44,480 (Fib 0.886).
🔻 Risk-to-Reward (RR): 1:2 or better ✅.
Risk no more than 1% of your account.
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Nozuk,
US30 04FEB 2025 TRADE IDEA The **Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30)** remains in a long-term bullish trend, with price continuing to form higher highs and higher lows. However, in the short term, a pullback is expected after a recent push higher, as indicated by the current price of 44,285.9. The key resistance zone lies between 44,803 – 45,124, where selling pressure could emerge, while major support zones are found at 43,113 – 43,047 and further down at 41,757 – 41,527. If the price fails to break above the resistance, a decline toward the lower demand zones is likely before any potential continuation of the bullish trend.
From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, liquidity is positioned both above the 45,103 – 45,124 zone, where stop-losses of retail traders might be targeted, and below at 43,047 – 42,000, which could serve as a liquidity grab area before a bounce. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are present near 43,113, making it a potential retracement target. Additionally, a bearish order block (OB) is evident at 44,803 – 45,124, reinforcing the likelihood of rejection from this zone, while a bullish OB at 41,684 – 41,527 suggests a high-probability area for a price reversal. Given these factors, smart money could drive price down toward these key liquidity levels before another upward move.
In terms of supply and demand, the market is currently testing a strong supply zone (44,803 – 45,124), which may result in a short-term decline. Meanwhile, significant demand zones at 43,113 – 43,047 and 41,757 – 41,527 could provide support where buyers may step in. A sell-off from the supply zone, followed by a reaction at the demand levels, aligns with the overall market structure.
On the fundamental side, several macroeconomic factors are influencing US30’s trajectory. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision in February 2025 will be a key driver. A hawkish Fed stance could strengthen the USD, putting pressure on stocks, while a dovish approach (rate cuts) could provide upward momentum. Additionally, the US jobs report (NFP and unemployment rate) will be closely monitored; a strong labor market could reinforce the Fed’s tightening policy, negatively impacting equities. Geopolitical risks, including ongoing tensions in Russia-Ukraine, the Middle East, and the US-China trade war, may also introduce volatility. Rising geopolitical tensions could lead investors to seek safe-haven assets, causing US30 to decline, whereas easing tensions could bolster market sentiment and support the index.
Given these technical and fundamental factors, the short-term expectation for US30 is **bearish**, with price likely to retrace toward the 43,113 level and possibly 41,527 before any renewed bullish momentum. Traders looking for short opportunities may consider selling near 44,803 – 45,124, with a stop-loss above 45,200, targeting 43,113 and potentially 41,757. On the other hand, long positions could be considered around the 41,684 – 41,527 demand zone, with a stop-loss below 41,400 and targets back toward 43,113 – 44,800.
Overall, while the broader trend remains bullish, short-term corrections are expected before the market resumes its upward trajectory. Traders should keep an eye on key economic releases and geopolitical developments, as they could significantly impact market sentiment and price action.
US30 sellOverall Trend:
The overall trend has been bullish, but there has been a breakout below the ascending trendline.
The price is currently retracing towards support zones.
Key Levels:
Main Resistance: Range between 45,208 - 45,300 (upper red zone)
Main Support: Range between 44,300 - 44,500 (lower red zone)
Important Mid-Level: Around 44,866
Trading Scenario:
After hitting resistance, the price has started a correction.
The highlighted green area marks a potential entry zone.
📉 Trading Signal:
🔹 Enter Short Position:
If the price pulls back to the 44,600 - 44,700 area and shows signs of bullish weakness, a short position could be considered.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Above the resistance zone at 45,208 (e.g., around 45,300)
🔹 Take Profit:
First level at 44,300
Second level at 43,663 (shown on the chart)
Third level at 43,140 if the downtrend continues
🔹 Risk Management:
The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade seems reasonable. Reassess the trade if the price breaks above 44,866.
✅ Conclusion:
Currently expecting a bearish correction, but if reversal candles or weakness in sellers are observed at support levels, there might be a chance for a trend change.
SELLS ON US30We are tapping into a HTF resistance. We can either break through or reject. It also depends on the fundamentals next week that will determine whether in line with technicals
US30 Bearish M-Pattern Setup for Next Week Overview: Potential M-Pattern (Double Top) Formation
Analyzing the US30 4H chart, we might see a bearish M-pattern develop next week.
Here’s why:
🔹 Price Action: Rejection near the 0.786 - 0.886 Fibonacci zone suggests a potential reversal.
🔹 Bollinger Bands 📊: Price hit the upper band and is contracting, signaling a potential downside move.
🔹 RSI 📉: Falling from overbought and heading toward 40, confirming bearish momentum.
🔹 MACD ⚡: Bearish crossover happening, with the histogram turning red—momentum is shifting down.
🔹 Fundamental Catalyst: Next week’s economic events:
CPI Data (Tuesday) 🏦
Retail Sales (Thursday) 🛍️
Unemployment Claims (Thursday) 📊If inflation remains high, the Fed could maintain a hawkish stance, further weighing on US30.
🔥 Bearish Trade Plan 🔥
🔢 Entry Zone: 44,600 - 44,750 (Watch for rejection)
🔢 Confirmation:
✅ Bearish engulfing candle 🔥
✅ RSI below 50
✅ MACD maintaining bearish momentum🎯 Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 44,350 (0.618 Fib Level)
TP2: 43,950 (0.5 Fib Level)
TP3: 43,075 (0.382 Fib Level - Strong Demand Zone)
🚨 Stop Loss: Above 44,900 to protect against false breakouts ⚠
💸 Risk-Reward: Aim for 1:2 or better
Final Thoughts 🤔
If the M-pattern plays out, expect a bearish move next week. However, CPI data will be a key factor—stay flexible and manage risk!
🚀 Trade smart & stay disciplined! 🚀
Do not risk more than 1% of your account.
Comment your thoughts and follow for more cool ideas
Regards,
Nozuk
#US30 #Trading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Indices #Nozuk
US30We Looking For Selling Opportunities As The Market Has Broken Outside The Bearish Trend Resulting In A Change Of Trend Which Indicates Upcoming Sells| 1HR TIMEFRAME
US30 SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on U30 price form a supply around zone level of 44987.54 which is likely to continue moving down so trader should go for down with expect profit target of 43652.46 and 42325.72 . Use money management
US30 Grow trend key levels to watchGo through the this analysis Trade wisely use proper risk management US30 suggesting as bullish pattern that the reaching a price point around 44,700 we expert from this zone price will grow to up ward. 1st Target 45,001 and 2nd target will be 45,000.
this is possible zone its important idea for you use making profit from this analysis Do you have any idea about the US30 share in comments.
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Market Analysis for US30 (Sell)US30 has broken through the fair value gap, confirming a strong bearish momentum and aligning perfectly with our trading strategy. This setup indicates a market imbalance correction, creating an optimal sell opportunity. With price action showing rejection from key resistance levels, we anticipate further downside movement. Stops are placed above the FVG for risk control, and targets are set at the next support zone. This is a textbook example of our strategic approach to capitalizing on market inefficiencies.
Dow Jones Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
US30 TRADE IDEA: SHORT | SELL (10/08)Price has been bullish overall. While it has been overall bullish - price hasn’t broken from its consolidation, therefore in the meanwhile we’ll take advantage of the situation. Price has broken down on the 4H TF, so we’re looking for an optimal entry. Although I have marked out FVG - I believe the uppermost order block is a great place to enter from.
RR 1 : 2.69
RR 2 : 2.95
RR 3 : 4.82
N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
Correlation of Dow Jones to Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Today marks the release of the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), a key labor market indicator that tends to generate high volatility in financial markets. This report, issued monthly by the Department of Labor, reflects the number of jobs created in the non-farm sector during the previous month and is a key determinant of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy.
Report Expectations
The latest U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, released on January 10, 2025, revealed an increase of 256,000 jobs in December 2024, exceeding market expectations that anticipated 160,000 new jobs. This increase represented the largest in nine months suggesting continued strength in the U.S. labor market. In addition, the unemployment rate declined to 4.1%, an improvement from the 4.2% recorded in November. Wage growth held steady, with average hourly earnings increasing by 0.3% month-over-month and 3.9% year-over-year. For the January 2025 report, to be released today, February 7, 2025, analysts are forecasting a slowdown in job creation. An increase of 170,000 jobs is expected, down from the number added in December. The unemployment rate is projected to hold steady at 4.1%. This moderation in job growth could reflect a normalization following earlier increases. A weaker-than-expected employment report could influence expectations about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, potentially affecting the U.S. dollar and broader financial markets. Investors will be watching this data to assess economic health and adjust their strategies accordingly.
If the figures beat expectations, they could reinforce the Fed's stance of keeping interest rates higher for longer, which would benefit the US dollar and put downward pressure on risky assets. Conversely, a disappointing data could open the door to a tightening of monetary policy, weakening the dollar and supporting equities and commodities.
Impact on markets
1. US Dollar and Forex: If NFP beats expectations, this could lead to an appreciation of the USD, especially against EUR, GBP and JPY. If not, the greenback could lose ground, pushing pairs such as EUR/USD above key resistances.
2. Stock markets: Wall Street tends to have a mixed reaction to NFP. Strong data could generate concerns about a tighter Fed, affecting the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. On the other hand, weak data could generate optimism about a possible monetary easing.
3. Commodities: Gold tends to react in reversal to the dollar. If the NFP strengthens the USD, gold could retreat; if the data is weak, it could overcome key resistances. In oil, a strong reading could indicate higher energy demand, benefiting crude oil prices.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Ticker AT: USAIND) Analysis
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) is a key event in particular, for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), as it reveals the health of the U.S. labor market and can set the tone for stocks on Wall Street. A strong report could benefit many of the Dow30 majors, from Goldman Sachs to Caterpillar. However, that initial euphoria may quickly fade if investors begin to fear that the Federal Reserve will take this data as a reason to keep interest rates higher for longer. In that case, the Dow may turn downward, as a high rate environment makes financing for companies more expensive and reduces growth expectations. On the other hand, when NFP disappoints and shows lower job creation, the market reaction can be more complex. If the data suggests a controlled slowdown, the Dow could find support in the expectation that the Fed will loosen its monetary stance, which would reduce borrowing costs and stimulate business growth. However, if the report is too weak and points to a possible recession, panic may take hold in the markets, sending the Dow Jones into steep declines as investors seek refuge in safer assets such as gold or Treasuries. In short, the Dow Jones is particularly sensitive to NFP because it reflects the balance between growth and monetary policy. A figure that is too strong or too weak can generate sharp movements, while a figure in line with expectations tends to generate stability. That is why every NFP release is a time of high tension on Wall Street.
If we look at the chart, the latest NPF data supported the index and pushed it to the highs, and it is currently hitting resistance for the third time at 45,110 points at its current all-time high. If the payrolls data is as bad as expected, it is very likely that the price will fall again to test the 42,000 points being its support at 41,788.80 points. RSI is currently 61.57% overbought with only a few hours to go before the key event of the month. The long term Control Point (POC) is located in the 34,000 points zone, being this its previous accumulation zone. The current accumulation zone is located at the average of 39,500 points.
Conclusion
Today's NFP will play a crucial role in the market's perception of the direction of the Fed's monetary policy in which the trends on the dollar and on this index in particular may be affected in order to face the whole month, prior to the corporate results of the companies that make up the index.
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Downtrend It is expected that the continuation of the downward trend will be formed according to the specified paths and will pass the support range.
US30 Analysis: Is This Resistance the Turning Point?👀 👉 In this video, we conduct an in-depth analysis of US30, dissecting its prevailing uptrend and the recent retracements from resistance. We’ll examine key support and resistance zones, market structure, and price action behavior to identify potential trade scenarios. With price nearing a significant resistance level, we assess possible countertrend opportunities—provided price action aligns with our technical outlook. Watch now for a comprehensive breakdown. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
US 30 has been in consolidation for 2 daysUS30 is likely to make a breakout decision for a major fall or rise at this current level. Look for price to make an immediate move to the lower side at the beginning of next week for another correction of the market.
Best opportunities are buys from a retest of the current level. Keep your eyes open.
US30, Short, 4h✅ US30 has formed a rectangle pattern, and the price is now moving downward toward the key support at 43230. This level has been tested five times as both support and resistance, reinforcing its importance.
SHORT 🔥
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DOW JONES close to a rejection. See where to buy & target 47000.Dow Jones (DJI) gave us the most optimal buy entry on our previous call (January 09 2025, see chart below), as we bought right below the 4H MA200, which was the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up, and on minimum risk it hit our 45000 Target:
The price is currently about to break above Resistance 1. As this chart shows, every time a sub-1D MA50 (blue trend-line) rebound broke above a Resistance 1 level, it was only on a marginal note and then corrected back to the 1D MA50.
The two notable examples where August 30 2024 and May 20 2024. After the correction bottomed and the bullish trend was resumed, the rebound that followed reached the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, making a roughly +8.50% rise from the Low.
This indicates that the next Higher High of the Channel Up should be a little over 47000 and that will be our Target after we catch that 1D MA50 pull-back entry.
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