Could price reverse from here?CAD/CHF is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.63648
1st Support: 0.62457
1st Resistance: 0.64492
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CHFCAD trade ideas
CADCHF in Bullish TrendCADCHF is in bullish trend on 1H time frame. However, the same pair had already broken out the pole of bearish flag on a daily chart. Focusing on the hourly chart, there was a bullish divergence after which the trend has become bullish. It might remain bullish till it catches up with the projection of a bearish flag projection from there it might turns bearish again. I have placed a pending order of Buy Top on a hourly chart.
The Signal is:
EP: 0.62288
SL: 0.61474
TP: 0.6310
RR: 0.5%
CADCHF Bear StrikeBias Bearish
Fundamental
CAD is bearish. CHF is ongoing bullish momentum
Price Action
Price retrace back into H4 SR level. Price consolidated in H4 SR level. Price broke through retracement M15 trendline and M15 Consolidation support level. Price close with a bearish momentum candle
Confluence
H4 SR level rejection, M15 SR level broken, M15 Bullish Trendline broken, Bearish momentum candle.
Setup
Short Entry at M15 broken SR level.
SL 2x ATR(20) M15
TP Next Daily/H4 swing low. R:R 1:4
CADCHF - Return to Previous LevelsHere are several reasons to consider buying CAD/CHF (Canadian Dollar/Swiss Franc):
1. Economic Strength:
- Canada’s Economy: If recent economic indicators from Canada (such as GDP growth, employment data, and retail sales) show strong performance, it suggests a robust economy, which could strengthen the CAD.
- Switzerland’s Economy:Conversely, if Switzerland's economic data shows weakness, it could weaken the CHF. Factors could include lower-than-expected GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, or poor manufacturing data.
2. Interest Rate Differentials:
- Interest Rate Policies: If the Bank of Canada is hiking interest rates or maintaining higher rates compared to the Swiss National Bank (SNB), this interest rate differential makes holding CAD more attractive, as investors seek higher returns.
3. Commodity Prices:
- Oil Prices: Canada is a major oil exporter. Rising oil prices can boost the Canadian economy and strengthen the CAD. If oil prices are on an uptrend, it could be a signal to buy CAD/CHF.
4. Risk Sentiment:
- Global Risk Appetite: The CHF is considered a safe-haven currency. In times of global risk-on sentiment, investors may move away from safe havens like the CHF towards higher-yielding assets like the CAD.
5. Trade Balance:
- Positive Trade Balance: If Canada reports a trade surplus or an improving trade balance, it could support the CAD. Conversely, a trade deficit in Switzerland could weaken the CHF.
6. Technical Analysis:
- Support Levels: If CAD/CHF is trading near strong support levels, it might present a good buying opportunity. Look for technical patterns such as double bottoms, trendline support, or key Fibonacci retracement levels.
- Moving Averages: If the pair is above key moving averages (e.g., 50-day, 200-day), it could indicate a bullish trend.
7. Political Stability:
- Canada’s Political Climate: If Canada has a stable political environment compared to Switzerland, it could be another reason to favor the CAD.
8. Inflation Data:
- Canada’s Inflation: If inflation in Canada is under control and aligns with the Bank of Canada's targets, it can lead to a stronger CAD.
- Switzerland’s Inflation: Conversely, low or deflationary pressures in Switzerland can weaken the CHF.
9. Divergence in Economic Policies:
- Fiscal Policies: If Canada is implementing expansionary fiscal policies that are likely to stimulate economic growth, this could be favorable for the CAD.
- Monetary Policies:A divergence in monetary policies, with the Bank of Canada being more hawkish than the Swiss National Bank, could also support a bullish view on CAD/CHF.
10. Market Sentiment:
- Analyst Consensus:Positive market sentiment and analyst recommendations towards the CAD could influence traders and investors to buy CAD/CHF.
CAD/CHF Monthly AnalysisThe monthly chart shows a respected trendline and although we are only early into the month of August, this could be the optimal time to look for buyers to come into the picture. Diving down into the smaller time frames, you will see a sharp move lower recently. Price is certainly in need of a correction if nothing else.
CADCHF - SELL!Another one from this week...
Very simple set up..
-Overall downtrend in the pair across 1h to 1D charts in line with the EMA.
- Price cam up to retest the resistance zone in this descending channel.
- Confirmation by bearish rejection at this zone triggered entry
- Confluence with the MACD
CAD/CHF BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
CAD/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.646 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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CADCHF: Historic Moment 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF updated the all time low, violating a major
horizontal demand cluster on a daily and closing below that.
The broken structure turns into resistance now.
Bears will keep pushing the market lower.
Next support - 0.625
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